12 New Immigration Ideas for the 21st Century – Cato Institute
1 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Gross Domestic Product [GDP], Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, accessed February 9, 2020, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDP.
2 Stuart Anderson, The World Has Changed since 1990, U.S. Immigration Policy Has Not, National Foundation for American Policy Policy Brief, September 2015.
3 Daniel Griswold and Jack Salmon, Attracting Global Talent to Ensure America Is First in Innovation, Mercatus Center at George Mason University Policy Brief, March 2019.
4 David Bier, Immigration Wait Times from Quotas Have Doubled: Green Card Backlogs Are Long, Growing, and Inequitable, Cato Institute Policy Analysis no. 873, June 18, 2019.
5 Daniel Griswold, Reforming the US Immigration System to Promote Growth (Arlington, VA: Mercatus Center at George Mason University, October 2017).
6 U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, Characteristics of H-1B Specialty Occupation Workers: Fiscal Year 2017 Annual Report to Congress October 1, 2016September 30, 2017 (Washington: Department of Homeland Security, April 9, 2018).
7 EmploymentBased Immigration, Senate Republican Policy Committee, February 6, 2018, https://www.rpc.senate.gov/policy-papers/employment-based-immigration.
8 Establishment Data: Table B1a. Employees on Nonfarm Payrolls by Industry Sector and Selected Industry Detail, Seasonally Adjusted, Employment and Earnings Table B1a, Current Employment StatisticsCES (National), Bureau of Labor Statistics, last modified February 7, 2020. Professional and technical services is CES ID 60540000.
9 Establishment Data: Table B1a. Architectural and engineering services is CES ID 60541300, and Computer systems design and related services is CES ID 60541500.
10 As an alternative to official employment data compiled by the government, the escalator could be indexed to more timely employment indicators generated in the private sector, such as the number of job vacancies scraped from relevant employment websites.
11 The proposed adjustment and escalator mechanism could also be applied to temporary work visas for lowerskilled workers, such as the H-2A and H-2B visa categories. But demand for those visas also reflects the decreasing supply of nativeborn workers who are available to fill those jobs and thus the demand is not as closely tied to the employment numbers in the relevant categories.
12 Jake Ulick, Nasdaq Off 20% This Year: Another Day, Another Tech SellOff, This Time Amid Chip Stock Downgrades, CNNMoney, October 10, 2000.
13 Neil G. Ruiz, Key Facts about the U.S. H-1B Visa Program, Fact Tank, Pew Research Center, April 27, 2017.
14 For an overview of commission proposals, see American Council on International Personnel, Examining Proposals to Create aNew Commission on EmploymentBased Immigration, June 2009.
15 Daniel Costa, Future Flows and Worker Rights in S. 744 (Washington: Economic Policy Institute, November 12, 2013).
16 For an overview of commission proposals, see American Council on International Personnel, Examining Proposals to Create aNew Commission on EmploymentBased Immigration.
17 8U.S.C. 1151(b)(2)(A)(i).
18 8U.S.C. 1152(a).
19 Business Roundtable, State of Immigration: How the United States Stacks Up in the Global Talent Competition (Washington: Business Roundtable, March 2015).
20 Reuniting Families Act, H.R. 4944, 115th Cong. (2018).
21 Stuart Anderson, Bill Aims to End DecadesLong Waits for HighSkilled Immigrants, Forbes, February 15, 2019; and David Bier, 150Year Wait for Indian Immigrants with Advanced Degrees, Cato at Liberty (blog), June 8, 2018.
22 Fairness for HighSkilled Immigrants Act of 2019, H.R. 1044, 116th Cong. (2019).
23 David Bier, Fairness for High Skilled Immigrants Act: Wait Times and Green Card Grants, Cato at Liberty (blog), September 30, 2019.
24 Department of State, National Visa Center, Annual Report of Immigrant Visa Applicants in the FamilySponsored and EmploymentBased Preferences Registered at the National Visa Center as of November 1, 2019, 2019.
25 Charles Wheeler, Backlogs in FamilyBased Immigration: Shedding Light on the Numbers, Catholic Legal Immigration Network, last updated March 1, 2019.
26 David Bier, Immigration Wait Times from Quotas Have Doubled: Green Card Backlogs Are Long, Growing, and Inequitable, Cato Institute Policy Analysis no. 873, June 18, 2019.
27 Office of Immigration Statistics, 2017 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics (Washington: Department of Homeland Security, July 2019), 2024.
28 Anderson, Bill Aims to End DecadesLong Waits.
29 Michael A. Clemens, Carlos Gutierrez, and Ernesto Zedillo, Shared Border, Shared Future: ABlueprint to Regulate USMexico Labor Mobility (Washington: Center for Global Development, 2016).
30 Giovanni Peri makes aversion of this proposal. Giovanni Peri, Rationalizing U.S. Immigration Policy: Reforms for Simplicity, Fairness, and Economic Growth, Discussion Paper 2012-01, The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution, May 2012.
31 Giovanni Peri and Chad Sparber, Task Specialization, Immigration, and Wages, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 1, no. 3 (July 2009): 13569; and Julie L. Hotchkiss, Myriam QuispeAgnoli, and Fernando RiosAvila, The Wage Impact of Undocumented Workers: Evidence from Administrative Data, Southern Economic Journal 81, no. 4 (April 2015): 874906.
32 Giovanni Peri, The Effect of Immigration on Productivity: Evidence from U.S. States, Review of Economics and Statistics 94, no. 1 (February 2012): 34858; and Ethan Lewis and Giovanni Peri, Immigration and the Economy of Cities and Regions, in Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 5 (Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2015), pp. 62585. This occurred both through encouraging capital formation and by raising total factor productivitythe collective productivity of all inputs to production, including both capital and labor, through changes in the technology and organization of production; Andri Chassamboulli and Giovanni Peri, The Labor Market Effects of Reducing the Number of Illegal Immigrants, Review of Economic Dynamics 18, no. 4 (October 2015): 792821.
33 Michael A. Clemens and Kate Gough, Can Regular Migration Channels Reduce Irregular Migration? Lessons for Europe from the United States, Center for Global Development Brief, February 2018.
34 Ana GonzalezBarrera and Jens Manuel Krogstad, What We Know about Illegal Immigration from Mexico, FactTank, Pew Research Center, June 28, 2019.
35 Allison OConnor, Jeanne Batalova, and Jessica Bolter, Central American Immigrants in the United States, Migration Information Source, Migration Policy Institute, August 15, 2019.
36 Jens Hainmueller and Daniel J. Hopkins, Public Attitudes toward Immigration, Annual Review of Political Science 17, no. 1 (May 2014): 22627.
37 Jeff R. Clark et al., Does Immigration Impact Institutions?, Public Choice 163, no. 3 (June 2015): 32135; and Benjamin Powell, Jeff R. Clark, and Alex Nowrasteh, Does Mass Immigration Destroy Institutions? 1990s Israel as aNatural Experiment, Journal of Economic Behavior &Organization 141, (September 2017): 8395.
38 Timothy B. Gravelle, Partisanship, Border Proximity, and Canadian Attitudes toward North American Integration, International Journal of Public Opinion Research 26, no. 4 (Winter 2014): 45374.
39 Other extant free movement agreements include the Nordic Pass Union and the British Isles Common Travel Area.
40 Alessandra Casella and Adam B. Cox, A Property Rights Approach to Temporary Work Visas, The Journal of Legal Studies 47, no. S1 (January 2018): S21214.
41 B. Lindsay Lowell and Johanna Avato, The Wages of Skilled Temporary Migrants: Effects of Visa Pathways and Job Portability, International Migration 52, no. 3 (September 2013): 8598.
42 Matthew Goodwin and Caitlin Milazzo, Taking Back Control? Investigating the Role of Immigration in the 2016 Vote for Brexit, The British Journal of Politics and International Relations 19, no. 3 (2017): 45064; Sofia Vasilopoulou, UK Euroscepticism and the Brexit Referendum, The Political Quarterly 87, no. 2 (AprilJune 2016): 21927; and Italo Colantone and Piero Stanig, Global Competition and Brexit, American Political Science Review 112, no. 2 (May 2018): 20118.
43 David M. Rankin, Borderline Interest or Identity? American and Canadian Opinion on the North American Free Trade Agreement, Comparative Politics 36, no. 3 (April 2004): 33151.
44 Connor Huff and Dustin Tingley, Who Are These People? Evaluating the Demographic Characteristics and Political Preferences of MTurk Survey Respondents, Research &Politics 2, no. 3 (July 2015); Kevin J. Mullinix et al., The Generalizability of Survey Experiments, Journal of Experimental Political Science 2, no. 2 (Winter 2015): 10938; Scott Clifford, Ryan M. Jewell, and Philip D. Waggoner, Are Samples Drawn from Mechanical Turk Valid for Research on Political Ideology?, Research &Politics 2, no. 4 (October 2015); and Antonio A. Arechar, Simon Gchter, and Lucas Molleman, Conducting Interactive Experiments Online, Experimental Economics 21, no. 1 (March 2018): 99131.
45 This sample size is adequate for evaluating nationwide opinion, but caution should be used when interpreting regional variations.
46 Question wording: Would you support allowing Canadian citizens to [live, but not work / live and work] in the United States indefinitely? Canadians would [not have / have] access to American welfare programs. [-blank / In exchange, American citizens would receive reciprocal treatment in Canada.] Answer wording: Iwould support this policy / Iwould not support this policy.
47 Twotailed; pvalue 0.05.
48 ATN visa classification also exists for Mexican citizens, but its requirements are significantly stricter.
49 TN NAFTA Professionals, Temporary Workers, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, last updated March 7, 2017, https://www.uscis.gov/working-united-states/temporary-workers/tn-nafta-professionals.
50 This essay is largely based on David Bier, StateSponsored Visas: New Bill Lets States Invite Foreign Workers, Entrepreneurs, and Investors, Cato Institute Immigration Research and Policy Brief no. 2, May 11, 2017.
51 Nonimmigrant Classes, 8C.F.R. 214.2(h)(2) (2019).
52 Nonimmigrant Classes, 8C.F.R. 214 (2019).
53 David Bier, Do Guest Workers Overstay? Not Often, Niskanen Center, March 12, 2015.
54 Citizenship and Immigration Canada, Evaluation of the Provincial Nominee Program, September 2011.
55 Facts &Figures 2015: Immigration OverviewPermanent ResidentsAnnual IRCC Updates, Government of Canada, last modified May 3, 2017.
56 Brandon Fuller and Sean Rust, StateBased Visas: AFederalist Approach to Reforming U.S. Immigration Policy, Cato Institute Policy Analysis no. 748, April 23, 2014; Subclass 188: Business Innovation and Investment (Provisional) Visa, Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government, last updated March 5, 2020, https://www.border.gov.au/Trav/Visa-1/188-; Subclass 187: Regional Sponsored Migration Scheme Visa, Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government, last updated March 5, 2020, https://immi.homeaffairs.gov.au/visas/getting-a-visa/visa-listing/regional-sponsor-migration-scheme-187; Subclass 190: Skilled Nominated Visa, Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government, last updated March 5, 2020, https://immi.homeaffairs.gov.au/visas/getting-a-visa/visa-listing/skilled-nominated-190; Subclass 489: Skilled Regional (Provisional) Visa, Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government, last updated March 5, 2020, https://immi.homeaffairs.gov.au/visas/getting-a-visa/visa-listing/skilled-regional-provisional-489; and Australian State Sponsored Visa: SkilledNominated (Provisional) Visa (subclass 489), Australian Visa Bureau.
57 Department of Immigration and Border Protection, 201516 Migration Programme Report, Australian Government, June 30, 2016, p. 11.
58 Roslyn Cameron, Responding to Australias Regional Skill Shortages through Regional Skilled Migration, Journal of Economic and Social Policy 14, no. 3 (2011): 4.
59 Permanent ResidentAd Hoc IRCC (Specialized Datasets), Government of Canada, last modified March 3, 2018; and Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government, last updated February 26, 2020.
60 Congress specifically preserved such authority for the States , Chamber of Commerce v. Whiting, 563 U.S. 582, 60001 (2011).
61 U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, EB-5 Adjudications Policy, PM-6020083, May 30, 2013; Conrad 30 Waiver Program, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services; Mark Spivey, Report: Rural Health aTarget for Harm by Trump Travel Ban, RAC Monitor, February 8, 2017; and About the SEVIS Help Hub, Study in the States, Department of Homeland Security, last updated January 25, 2018.
62 Liz Robbins, CUNY Schools to Lure Foreign Entrepreneurs with New Visa Program, New York Times, February 17, 2016; The Global Entrepreneur in Residence (GEIR) Program, Innovation Institute, MassTech Collaborative, accessed March 10, 2020, https://innovation.masstech.org/projects-and-initiatives/global-entrepreneur-residence-pilot-program; and Colorado Law, The University of Colorado Global Entrepreneurs in Residence Pilot Program, University of Colorado Boulder, https://siliconflatirons.org/documents/newsletters/EIR%20Flyer.pdf.
63 Dirk Hegen, State Laws Related to Immigrants and Immigration (Washington: National Conference of State Legislatures, July 24, 2008); and Kirk Siegler, Three Years On, Utahs Immigrant Guest Worker Law Still Stalled, NPR, July 31, 2014.
64 S.J.R. 12, 2011 Gen. Sess. (Ut. 2011); H.B. 469, 2011 Gen. Sess. (Ut. 2011); H.B. 466, 2011 Gen. Sess. (Ut. 2011); and H.B. 116, 100 Gen. Sess. (Ut. 2011).
65 Dirk Hegen, 2007 Enacted State Legislation Related to Immigrants and Immigration (Washington: National Conference of State Legislatures, January 31, 2008); Kansas Seeks Waiver for Undocumented Workers to Solve Farm Crisis, Fox News, last updated December 23, 2016; S.R. 715, 151st Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. (Ga. 2012); and Monica Davey, Immigrants Seen as Way to Refill Detroit Ranks, New York Times, January 23, 2014.
66 Jon Johnson, Konopnickis Guest Worker Bill Passes Committee, Eastern Arizona Courier, February 20, 2008; and Alex Nowrasteh, Immigration Reform: Let the States Lead the Way, oped, Los Angeles Times, June 16, 2015.
67 NewsOn6.com and Wire Reports, Oklahoma State Senator Plans to Propose Guest Worker Program Bill, News 9, December 14, 2012; H.B. 3735, 84th Leg., Reg. Sess. (Tx. 2015); and S.B. 14, 50th Leg., 2nd Sess. (Nm. 2012).
68 Regional Data, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, accessed March 11, 2020, https://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=70&step=1&isuri=1&acrdn=2#reqid=70&step=1&isuri=1.
69 Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor.
70 David Rogers, Senate Passes $787 Billion Stimulus Bill, Politico, updated February 16, 2009.
71 American Farm Bureau Federation, Statement by Bob Stallman, President, American Farm Bureau Federation, Regarding Final H2A Rule, ImmigratonWorks USA, February 12, 2010.
72 Occupational Employment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor.
73 Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor, ForeignBorn Workers: Labor Force Characteristics2015, news release no. USDL-160989, May 19, 2016, https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/forbrn_05192016.pdf.
74 Bureau of Labor Statistics, Major Industries with Highest Employment, by State, 19902015, TED: The Economics Daily, Department of Labor, August 5, 2016.
75 Jeffrey S. Passel and DVera Cohn, Size of U.S. Unauthorized Immigrant Workforce Stable after the Great Recession, Pew Research Center, November 3, 2016; and Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor, Labor Force Characteristics2015.
76 State Sponsored Visa Pilot Program Act of 2017, S. 1040, 115th Cong. (2017); and State Sponsored Visa Pilot Program Act of 2019, H.R. 5174, 116th Cong. (2019).
77 Elizabeth Fussell, Warmth of the Welcome: Attitudes toward Immigrants and Immigration Policy in the United States, Annual Review of Sociology 40 (July 2014): 47998; and Chris Lawton and Robert Ackrill, Hard Evidence: How Areas with Low Immigration Voted Mainly for Brexit, The Conversation, July 8, 2016.
78 Michael A. Clemens, Global Skill Partnerships: AProposal for Technical Training in aMobile World, IZA Journal of Labor Policy 4, no. 2 (January 2015).
79 Michael Clemens, Claudio Montenegro, and Lant Pritchett, Bounding the Price Equivalent of Migration Barriers, Center for Global Development Working Paper no. 428, June 2016.
80 Ronald Brownstein, Places with the Fewest Immigrants Push Back Hardest against Immigration, CNN, August 22, 2017.
81 Jonathan Woetzel et al., People on the Move: Global Migrations Impact and Opportunity (McKinsey Global Institute, December 2016); and Florence Jaumotte, Ksenia Koloskova, and Sweta Saxena, Migrants Bring Economic Benefits for Advanced Economies, IMFBlog, October 24, 2016.
82 Ricardo Gambetta and Zivile Gedrimaite, Municipal Innovations in Immigrant Integration: 20 Cities, 20 Good Practices, American Cities Series (Washington: National League of Cities, Municipal Action for Immigrant Integration, 2010).
83 Xi Huang and Cathy Yang Liu, Welcoming Cities: Immigration Policy at the Local Government Level, Urban Affairs Review 54, no. 1 (2018): 332.
84 Griff Witte, Trump Gave States the Power to Ban Refugees. Conservative Utah Wants More of Them, Washington Post, December 2, 2019.
85 Who We Are, About, Welcoming America, accessed February 17, 2020, https://www.welcomingamerica.org/about/who-we-are.
86 Huang and Yang Liu, Welcoming Cities.
87 Sponsor aRefugee, Government of Canada, last modified December 3, 2019, https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/refugees/help-outside-canada/private-sponsorship-program.html.
88 Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship Canada, Rapid Impact Evaluation of the Syrian Refugee Initiative, December 2016.
89 Subclass 489: Skilled Regional (Provisional) Visa, Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government, last updated March 5, 2020, https://immi.homeaffairs.gov.au/visas/getting-a-visa/visa-listing/skilled-regional-provisional-489.
90 Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot: About the Pilot, Government of Canada, last modified January 14, 2020, https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/rural-northern-immigration-pilot.html.
91 Chae Chan Ping v. United States, 130 U.S. 581, 603 (1889).
92 R. Eric Petersen and Sarah J. Eckman, Congressional Nominations to U.S. Service Academies: An Overview and Resources for Outreach and Management (Washington: Congressional Research Service, 2017), pp. 1, 9, 18.
93 Trump v. Hawaii, 585 U.S. ___ (2018).
94 Dan Mangan, Trump Calls for MeritBased Immigration System in Address to Congress, CNBC Markets, February 27, 2017, https://www.cnbc.com/2017/02/28/trump-calls-for-merit-based-immigration-system-in-congress-speech.html.
95 Harriet Duleep and Mark Regets, FamilyFriendly and HumanCapitalBased Immigration Policy, IZA World of Labor 389 (October 2017).
96 Michael Lewis, Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game (New York: W. W. Norton &Co., 2003).
97 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration (Washington: The National Academies Press, 2017); and National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, The Integration of Immigrants into American Society (Washington: The National Academies Press, 2015).
98 Immigration and Nationality Act, 8U.S.C. 1182(a)(9)(B) (2012).
99 Michelangelo Landgrave and Alex Nowrasteh, Criminal Immigrants in 2017: Their Numbers, Demographics, and Countries of Origin, Cato Institute Immigration Research and Policy Brief no. 11, March 4, 2019.
100 This essay and planks are partly based on The IDEAL Immigration Policy, IDEAL Immigration, https://www.idealimmigration.us/policy.
Excerpt from:
12 New Immigration Ideas for the 21st Century - Cato Institute
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- The Solution to Trumps Immigration Debacle? Immigration Reform - The Well News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Immigration reform in the UK - Centre for European Reform - July 10th, 2025 [July 10th, 2025]
- West Hollywood Chamber of Commerce Condemns ICE Raid on Local Business, Calls for Humane Immigration Reform - wehotimes.com - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- A Path Forward on Immigration Reform That Strengthens America - GV Wire - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Weighing in on Trump's promise of immigration reform - Hortidaily - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]