Why Hillary Clinton e-mail troubles don't mean much for 2016
Its been just over two weeks now since we first learned, via a New York Times report, thatHillary Clinton had used a private e-mail account for all her official communicationswhile she was secretary of State, a revelation that raised eyebrows on both sides of the aisle in Washington, to say the least. Roughly a week later, Clinton made her first real public statement on the matter at a press conference which seemed toraise more questions than it answeredand revealed, among other things, that Clinton and her advisers had been the sole parties to review her e-mails after she left office to decide what was personal and what was related to her State Department work. While that press conference didnt go over well, and Republicans on Capitol Hill have signaled that they intend to pursue the issue further both as it relates tothe ongoing Benghazi investigationandmore generally,there have been few signs that Clinton is being harmed by the story. A Gallup poll last week, for example, showed thatClinton had higher favorable numbers than any of the potential Republican candidates for presidentnotwithstanding the fact that her numbers had fallen significantly since she had served at Foggy Bottom and, indeed, that she seemed to berunning away with the race.Now,a new poll from CNN shows Clinton with massive leadsboth in the race for the Democratic nomination and in hypothetical general election matchups:
Washington (CNN) Hillary Clinton continues to be a dominant force heading into the 2016 presidential election,according to a new CNN/ORC poll.The former secretary of state maintains a broad lead over the field of potential Democratic challengers she could face in a nomination contest and sizable advantages over the leading contenders from the Republican side in general election match-ups.
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush tops the possible field for the Republican Partys nomination race, followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former neurosurgeon Ben Carson all in a tight cluster.
But none of the top candidates in this field gets within 10 points of Hillary Clinton in a series of hypothetical general election matchups.
Rand Paul comes closest, with 43% saying theyd be more likely to back him while 54% choose Clinton. The two candidates who currently top the GOP field, Bush and Walker, match up equally against Clinton, with each carrying 40% to her 55%. Huckabee gets 41% to Clintons 55% and Carson has 40% to Clintons 56%.
In the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, Clinton holds a nearly 50-point lead over Vice President Joe Biden, her closest competitor in the field, 62% to 15%. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren rounds out the top three on the Democratic side with 10%. No other potential candidate tops 5%.
Should Warren decide not to get into the race, Clinton stands to benefit more than others, gaining 5 points and holding a 67% to 16% advantage over Biden when Warrens backers are re-allocated to their second-choice candidate. Notably, with Warren out of the race, Clinton surges from 67% support to 74% among Democratic women.
And Democrats broadly believe the partys chances to hold the White House in 2016 are strongest with Clinton; 68% say so, while 30% say the party would have a better shot with someone else leading the ticket.
As always, one must keep in mind the caveat about early polls when looking at data like this. The Democratic primaries dont begin for another 11 months, and the general election is still some 20 months away. At the very least, though, it appears to be safe to say that there seems to be little doubt at this point that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee for president next year, barring something completely unforeseeable at the moment. This polls shows the same thing that others in the past have shown, namely that Clinton has a seemingly insurmountable lead over her potential Democratic opponents, as well as Democrats who clearly arent going to get into the race, such as Elizabeth Warren. As Ive noted before, this lead is far more substantial, and far stronger, than the one Clinton had over Barack Obama at a comparable time in the 2008 election cycle, and there isnt anyone in the potential Democratic field who could even come close to being the an Obama-like candidate. So, unless theres some unforeseen stumble on Clintons part, or a health issue, its pretty much a certainty that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Partys candidate for president in 2016.
When it comes to the general election, its obviously far too early to say anything with certainty even based on these numbers. There are any number of things that could happen between now and November 2016 that could influence that outcome of the general election, many of which will be beyond the control of either of the candidates. The domestic economy could take a downturn, or there could be an international crisis that would likely cause problems for the Democrat seeking to succeed President Obama, Alternatively, Republicans could find themselves making the same kind of mistakes theyve made in the past, which seems quite likely given the wide open GOP field and the likelihood that candidates will feel the need to pander to the most extreme elements of the party. Perhaps most importantly, we dont know if Hillary Clinton will be able to get the same kind of turnout among minority and young voters that President Obama did in 2008 and 2012, factors that were hugely important to his victory in both of these elections. And, finally, since we dont even know who the Republican nominee will be, most of these head-to-head matchup polls are purely hypothetical.
Read the original post:
Why Hillary Clinton e-mail troubles don't mean much for 2016
- Hillary Clinton Endorses Her First Candidate of 2026 - NOTUS - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton, Chloe Fineman, and More Attend Argents 10th Anniversary Party - Yahoo - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton, Huma Abedin, Barbara Bush and More Attend Argent 10-Year Work Friends Dinner - WWD - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Trump Administration Won't Invite International Election Observers For 2026 Midterms and Hillary Clinton - Benzinga - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Trump says 'I could've done very bad things to Hillary Clinton,' Obama, Biden - The National Desk - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Trump Says He Could Have Done 'Very Bad Things' to Hillary Clinton, Biden and Obama Presidency Must be - Benzinga - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Trump says 'I could've done very bad things to Hillary Clinton,' Obama, Biden - WGXA - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- 'I Could Have Done Very Bad Things': Trump Targets Hillary Clinton, Biden, Obama; Says They Impeached Him T - News18 - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- I couldve done very bad things to Hillary Clinton, Biden & Obama: Trump | presidency as a sacred position: Trump | Inshorts - Inshorts - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Trump says he 'could have done very bad things to Hillary Clinton' - Yahoo - October 8th, 2026 [October 8th, 2026]
- Pete Davidson Grows Up: On Leaving SNL, Famous Exes, the Joys of Fatherhood and Why Hes Keeping His Hillary Clinton Tattoo - Variety - October 4th, 2026 [October 4th, 2026]
- Pete Davidson to keep Hillary Clinton tattoo as he removes the rest - Washington Times - October 4th, 2026 [October 4th, 2026]
- Pete Davidson Is Getting Hundreds of Tattoos Removed, But Wont Touch His Hillary Clinton Ink: Thats My Dog - AOL.com - October 4th, 2026 [October 4th, 2026]
- Making the Cookies From The First Lady Bake Off 1992: Barbara Bush versus Hillary Clinton - Columbus Underground - September 28th, 2026 [September 28th, 2026]
- Washington Post. . President Trumps effort to ban CNN, MS NOW and Politico from the White House is deeply disturbing, former secretary of state... - September 28th, 2026 [September 28th, 2026]
- Harold Ford Jr.: I Wonder How Hillary Clinton Feels About Obama Saying It "Would Be Better" If Women Were In Charge - yahoo.com - September 28th, 2026 [September 28th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton on Trump banning White House reporters - The Washington Post - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- JD Vance tried to get Hillary Clinton elected in 2016, insiders claim - the-independent.com - September 22nd, 2026 [September 22nd, 2026]
- JD Vance Tried To Advise Hillary Clinton On Beating Trump: Report - Yahoo - September 22nd, 2026 [September 22nd, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton reflects on the losses and lessons of 9/11 - THIRTEEN - New York Public Media - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton recounts 9/11 and the fight for funds that followed - amny.com - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton on 10/7: It's Possible Netanyahu Wanted To See What Hamas Could Plan So That "He Could Come Down Hard" - Yahoo - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton and More to Join Fords Theatre's Event Marking 25 Years Since 9/11 - BroadwayWorld - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- Elon Musk Finds Common Ground With Obama and Hillary Clinton and Breaks with Trump on AI - Latin Times - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- Horrible to say: Hillary Clinton floats Netanyahu knew about Oct 7 beforehand | RISING - The Hill - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- 'Biggest Conspiracy Theorist in America?' Hillary Clinton Sparks Fury With Netanyahu, Oct 7th Remark - Yahoo - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- I am done: Hillary Clinton bangs table, yells and walks out as GOP grills her over Epstein ties - The Economic Times - September 15th, 2026 [September 15th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton warns the U.S. has let its guard down on terrorism 25 years after 9/11 - NBC News - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton says shes increasingly confident Democrats will win back Congress - MS NOW - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton: 'I hate' Trump and Netanyahu's governments but love America and Israel - Fox News - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton: Trump Is The "Olympic Champion Of Lying," "He Lies Just For The Sake Of Lying" - Yahoo - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton told House panel probing Epstein, 'I've given the same answers over and over again' - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- CNNs Scott Jennings Gets Called Out Over His Attack on Hillary Clinton - Yahoo - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton on Trumps handling of COVID: He lies about everything - Washington Times - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton calls for tougher US position if Israelis reelect ICC fugitive Netanyahu - TRT World - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton: The Curtain Rises Again (and Again) - East Wing Magazine - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Says the US No Longer Has Eyes And Ears in the Countries Where Extremism Is Spreading - Thought Catalog - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton on what she learned in the aftermath of 9/11 and how those lessons apply today - MS NOW - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton joins Morning Joe to reflect on 25 years after 9/11 - MS NOW - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- 'Incredibly ill-advised': Hillary Clinton BASHES Trump on Iran war - Modern Ghana - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton on Israel and the U.S.: "I love Israel and I hate Netanyahus government and his policies. I love America and I hate Trumps... - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Why does Hillary Clinton say terrorism remains a threat? - Attack of the Fanboy - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton remembers Gloria Steinem as "one of the architects" of women's equality - cbsnews.com - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Behind the Headlines: Hillary Clinton at Guild Hall and More - 27east.com - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton, Oprah Winfrey and others pay tribute to Gloria Steinem - Boston Herald - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton, Jill Biden and others honor Gloria Steinem, who has died at 92 - WOWT - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Is Heartsick Over Friend Gloria Steinems Death as She Recalls Their Final Visit in Emotional Tribute - People.com - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton, Jane Fonda, Oprah Winfrey and others pay tribute to feminist icon Gloria Steinem - Le Monde.fr - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton heartsick over Gloria Steinem death: Burning bright to the very last hour of her life - Entertainment Weekly - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton: Gloria Steinem was brilliant, beautiful, funny, so connected to the world and she did it all with such grace - MS NOW - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Mourns the Loss of 'Beautiful, Brilliant' Gloria Steinem: 'The Difference That One Person Can Make' - TheWrap - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Recalls Final Visit With Gloria Steinem and Her Lasting Message: The Fight Is Worth It - yahoo.com - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton, Jill Biden, Oprah Winfrey and others honor Gloria Steinem, who has died at 92 - Star Beacon - September 4th, 2026 [September 4th, 2026]
- Lauren Snchez Bezos, Hillary Clinton, President Donald Trump, Reba, and more celebrities mourn Dolly Parton: There will never be another you - HOLA - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton says Democrats going through experiment - Fox News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- India, China could help Trump resolve Iran crisis through diplomacy: Hillary Clinton - The Times of India - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Ex-Hillary Clinton staffer warns Democrats that courting far-left could cost them Jewish voters - Fox News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- 'Trump could get out of this...': Hillary Clinton names India, China as key cards to end Iran crisis - WION - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Trump Beseeches Supreme Court for More Time To Revive Racketeering Case Against Hillary Clinton for Unthinkable Plot - The New York Sun - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Trumps Iran exit? Hillary Clinton says key could be India, China - The Indian Express - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton says India and China could help Trump end US-Iran conflict through economic and diplomatic... - Moneycontrol.com - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Says 'She's Making a List' of Changes the White House Will Need After Trump Leaves Office - Yahoo Lifestyle Canada - August 18th, 2026 [August 18th, 2026]
- Column: Why Im not voting for Hillary Clinton - The Daily Tar Heel - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Wears A Chic Blazer While Criticizing Donald Trump Over 'Tackied-Up' White House Decor In New Podcast Appearance - Yahoo News... - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Vows to Clean Up Donald Trumps White House Amid His Third-Term Ambitions - AOL.com - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Warns Republicans Communist, Socialist Attacks on Democrats Will Be Effective in 2026 - Yahoo - August 14th, 2026 [August 14th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton warns this Republican attack on Democrats will be very effective - The Independent - August 14th, 2026 [August 14th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Ridicules Unhinged Donald Trump Over His Obsession With All the Wrong Things - AOL.com - August 14th, 2026 [August 14th, 2026]
- Quote of the day by Hillary Clinton, 'To me you cannot be fully human, fully civilised, unless you recogni - The Economic Times - August 14th, 2026 [August 14th, 2026]
- Trump indicates that he will bring Hillary Clinton case to SCOTUS - SCOTUSblog - July 30th, 2026 [July 30th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton knocks Pulte: We should definitely be worried about everything - The Hill - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Says Trump Cant Clean A Pool Or Run A Real 250th Party,' Claims The Reason Is Not Just Incompetence But Also 'Corruption' - Yahoo - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- The World Would Be A Much Different Place If Hillary Clinton Had Won The 2016 Nathans Hot Dog Eating Contest - The Onion - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton issues grim prediction on unleashed and unhinged Trump administration - AL.com - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton and Trumps Board of Peace for Gaza - The American Prospect - July 1st, 2026 [July 1st, 2026]
- White House Tries To Troll Hillary Clinton And Critics Turn The Tables - Yahoo News Australia - July 1st, 2026 [July 1st, 2026]
- Happy birthday to this future president: Why White House is mocking Hillary Clinton with her old post - Firstpost - July 1st, 2026 [July 1st, 2026]
- White House X account mocks Hillary Clinton, shocked netizens say it is being run by 'petty, juvenile teenagers' - WION - July 1st, 2026 [July 1st, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Says Trump Cant Clean A Pool Or Run A Real 250th Party,' Claims The Reason Is Not Jus - Benzinga - July 1st, 2026 [July 1st, 2026]
- White House Tries To Troll Hillary Clinton And Critics Turn The Tables - AOL.com - July 1st, 2026 [July 1st, 2026]