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Former President Donald Trump walks out of court and toward the media following the guilty verdict in his hush money trial. (Mark Peterson / Associated Press)

They finally got him.

Not on Russia collusion. Ukraine phone calls. Jan. 6 riots. Classified documents. Or mean tweets.

They finally got Donald Trump, after everything, on filing the wrong financial sex-story coverup paperwork.

Read more:Guilty: Trump becomes first former U.S. president convicted of felony crimes

Who but Donald Trump could even be indicted for such a thing? As CNNs Fareed Zakaria said a few days ago: I doubt the New York indictment wouldve been brought against a defendant whose name was not Donald Trump.

It was jarring to hear my CNN colleague Jake Tapper say guilty 34 straight times, as the verdicts rolled in Thursday afternoon. A historic moment that further divided an already divided nation.

And it was equally jarring to see text after text pop up on my phone from decidedly non-MAGA Republicans, but also not Never Trumpers, all sounding the same note: I dont like this man, and now I think I have to vote for him.

Read more:Litman: Does it matter that Donald Trump just became a convicted criminal? Of course it does

Lest you think thats just anecdotal or a sign that Scott has weird friends, the Trump campaign reported a deluge of online contributions in the minutes following the verdict crashed their system.

The polling indicates the guilty verdict wont make much of a difference to how most Americans vote. But Republicans are madder than wet hens that the partys nominee for president and, according to the polls, likely the next president of the United States was indicted for 34 felonies that few can fully explain, in a very Democratic jurisdiction.

Basically, the prosecution argued that Hillary Clinton might have won if Trump hadnt paid Stormy Daniels for her silence, and so you must convict him for covering up what amounts to a campaign finance violation that he was never charged with or convicted of in the first place. The Department of Justice and Federal Election Commission declined to pursue this novel theory, but it found a home in the Manhattan district attorneys office.

Read more:What verdict will voters render after jury finds Trump guilty in hush money case?

It sounds crazy just typing it. Having never stuck the landing on Russia stole the election in 2016, Democrats have moved on to this rationalization of Hillary Clintons loss being caused by Trump paying for the silence of a porn star he allegedly had sex with in 2006. (Trump maintains it didnt happen; Daniels says it did.)

The consensus in my circle is that this will backfire massively, as Republicans get energized. Even Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, no Trump fan himself, tweeted: These charges never should have been brought in the first place. I expect the conviction to be overturned on appeal.

Read more:Editorial: Even before guilty verdict, Trump was unfit to serve

Im watching two groups of voters in the polling aftermath senior citizens and what we in the politics business call low info flow voters who consume very little news other than fleeting headlines. Seniors still remember the before times, when presidents werent spending all their time in courtrooms, and low info voters may never know much beyond that Trump is now a convicted felon.

Biden has strength with older white voters, while Trump does better with the disengaged types. If either group moves against Trump, it could cause a polling bump for Biden. Im not betting on it, but if I were in the Trump command center, those are the folks Id be tracking very closely for the next few weeks.

The guilty verdict kicks off a consequential June for what had become a sleepy campaign. Biden has been stuck in the mud for months, languishing at around a 38% approval rating (historically low), and trailing Trump in national and swing state polls. Voters remain angry with Biden over inflation and immigration. His job approval hasnt been above water since August of 2021, after the disastrous, chaotic and deadly pullout of U.S. troops from Afghanistan.

At the end of June, Biden and Trump will debate in Atlanta, with perhaps an unwanted party crasher on stage in the form of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Read more:Q&A: Yes, Trump could be elected president as a convicted felon

Step 1 to revive his flailing campaign was for Biden to see Trump convicted. Step 2 is for Biden to win the June 27 debate.

As of June 1, Trump is winning. What will the story be on July 1? What if, after a Trump conviction and a debate, Biden hasnt moved in the polls in a months time?

If you think the Democrats are in panic mode today (which Politico reported just this week), brace yourself for what comes next prominent members of the party wondering aloud about replacing Biden on the ticket if he cant move ahead of a convicted felon.

For Trump, the message is clear: The only verdict that matters will come from the American people on Nov. 5. And hell take the boost hes sure to get in the wake of the verdict, just as he has following his previous indictments and legal milestones.

Scott Jennings is a former special assistant to President George W. Bush and a senior CNN political commentator. @ScottJenningsKY

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This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

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Opinion: The guilty verdict only makes Donald Trump stronger - AOL