Kounalakis, Clinton and California clout – POLITICO – POLITICO

THE BUZZ: If you want to finish first, declaring first can help. Just ask Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis.

Kounalakis is announcing that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and former Sen. Barbara Boxer are endorsing her gubernatorial bid, roughly three years before the first votes will be tallied. Those blessings from widely-recognized Democrats build Kounalakis credibility and nurture a sense of momentum that TBD-candidates cant claim. Those kinds of things can sway insiders with outsize campaign clout.

They wont attract the notice of California voters who arent watching the nascent 2026 campaign or reading this newsletter you know, normal people. But theyre certainly on the radar of people who can move money, marshal endorsements and help determine who prevails in the 2026 gubernatorial race.

Its a world Kounalakis knows well. She became the Obama administrations ambassador to Hungary in part because of her Democratic fundraising acumen. Her San Francisco apartment was a fixture of the West Coast big check circuit. Kounalakis then-neighbor and major money-mover, Susie Tompkins Buell, has already maxed out to Eleni 2026, as have criminal justice benefactor M. Quinn Delaney, tech titan Sheryl Sandberg and the Federated Indians of Graton Rancheria. The tribe, at the urging of Kounalakis last year, steered $5 million to enshrine abortion rights in Californias constitution.

Money isnt everything. But its both a necessity for a statewide campaign and an indicator of viability in the early days when a field is still coalescing. Kounalakis also had $4.4 million left over from her re-election campaign at the end of 2022 and a father developer Angelo Tsakopoulos who sunk millions of dollars into his daughters 2018 LG bid and presumably has some money left for 2026.

Shell have competition. Former State Controller Betty Yee has said shell run, and Attorney General Rob Bonta has publicly acknowledged his interest without committing to a run. Both would bring the recognition and connections that come with statewide office. Yee has deepened those connections as a California Democratic Party official; Bonta has broad support among criminal justice reformers and has telegraphed a focus on housing.

But Bonta would need to give up a second term as AG, since hes up for re-election in 2026. Yee would need to re-introduce herself to voters. Both start with less cash on hand than Kounalakis, particularly Yee. That gap could grow, as could the endorsement count. What happens in 2023 is already determining what will happen in 2026.

BUENOS DAS, good Thursday morning. The California Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments today in Chevrons challenge to Monterey Countys ban on oil and gas extraction a 2016 initiative that was supported by Assembly Speaker-elect Robert Rivas when he was a county supervisor. The high court is also expected to rule on a law limiting campaign contributions from players with business before local government.

Got a tip or story idea for California Playbook? Hit us up at [emailprotected] and [emailprotected] or follow us on Twitter @JeremyBWhite and @Lara_Korte.

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