Mediaboss Marketing

Jan 18, 2015 8:58am

Its almost enough to reconsider quitting the day job: Mike Huckabees got a steep hill to climb should he face off against Hillary Clinton for the presidency in 2016.

Tested in a head-to-head matchup among registered voters, Huckabee gets 39 percent support in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, vs. 56 percent for Clinton, a wide 17-point gap in presidential preference. Its their first test in an ABC/Post poll in this cycle, and much better for Clinton than a hypothetical matchup in late 2007, when she and Huckabee ran essentially evenly among registered voters, 48-45 percent.

See PDF with full results here.

Huckabee, a guest today on ABCs This Week with George Stephanopoulos, resigned his Fox News job earlier this month and said hes exploring another run for the Republican presidential nomination. Hes on a book tour the next few weeks, including three stops in Iowa, where the voting starts in a year.

Additional candidate matchups and attitudes about the 2016 contest will be covered later this week in a subsequent analysis of the latest ABC/Post poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

In one striking difference in their support profiles, Clintons backed by 92 percent of Democrats who are registered to vote (6 percent cross over to Huckabee), while Huckabees backed by fewer Republicans (79 percent, with 14 percent going to Clinton and 7 percent simply taking a pass.) Further, Clinton leads Huckabee among independents, potentially a swing voting group, by 52-41 percent.

Huckabee, an ordained Southern Baptist minister, holds a broad 68-27 percent lead over Clinton among evangelical white Protestants, a core Republican group and one in which he did especially well in his 2008 campaign for the GOP nomination. However, that flips to a 55-39 percent race, Clinton-Huckabee, among non-evangelical white Protestants. And, typical for a Democrat, Clinton has a vast lead among nonwhites, 81-15 percent an ongoing challenge for the GOP as nonwhites grow as a proportion of the electorate.

Clinton leads Huckabee among women by 24 points, and does particularly well among younger adults, with a 65-32 percent advantage among registered voters who are under 40. Unusually for a Democrat, Clinton is competitive with Huckabee even in rural areas, customarily a GOP stronghold, as well as the suburbs, while shes trouncing him in urban areas, 66-29 percent.

Ideology is another strong differentiator. Huckabee leads Clinton by 73-22 percent among Americans who identify themselves as very conservative, and by a much closer 16 points among somewhat conservatives. Clinton, though, comes back with a 62-33 percent result among moderates and 81-15 percent among liberals, who together account for 60 percent of all registered voters.

More here:
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Reconsider the Day Job?