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Summary:Did she do anything wrong? Were federal record-keeping laws broken? Was security compromised? Email expert and presidential scholar David Gewirtz deconstructs Hillary Clinton's emailgate.

Credit: APLet's start with the elephant in the room. Hillary Clinton could be America's next president.

According to PredictWise, she currently has a 74.9 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination (the next closest is Elizabeth Warren, with a 9.3 percent chance and Joe Biden with a 3 percent chance). Of definite concern to the Republicans, she has a 44.7 percent chance compared to Jeb Bush with 15.9 percent, Scott Walker with 6.4 percent, and Marco Rubio with 6.3 percent.

The point is, a fuss about Hillary Clinton's email isn't going away. The stakes for all the parties are way too high.

But did she do anything wrong? Were federal record-keeping laws broken? Was security compromised?

UPDATE 3/10/2015: Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton addressed email concerns in a statement followed by a question and answer segment with the press. We have the full video, plus analysis of her comments. Read Hillary Clinton: Yes, I did operate a private server.

As the update above shows, five days after this article was published, Mrs. Clinton acknowledged that she did have a private email server. Keep reading to see how my original, now clearly incorrect analysis was derived, and also for details that might shed light on more of her practices.

I'm basing this analysis on an aggregation of other press reports and public registry information because the sources who were so willing to provide information when I was investigating the Bush White House email situation are much less helpful when looking at a Clinton. That's not exactly a surprise. Politics is politics.

As was the case with the Bush email controversy, the press reports are confusing. Also, many reports are making incorrect assertions, probably due to a surprising (in this day and age) lack of understanding about how the internet works.

I'll start with an Associated Press report claiming that Mrs. Clinton (or, presumably, a staffer) "ran [her] own computer system for her official emails" out of her family's home in Chappaqua, New York.

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Hillary Clinton's little email fuss: Beyond 'servers in the basement'