Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first …
By Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto
In the first CBS News Poll following last weeks presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Clinton has edged ahead to a four-point lead over her Republican rival among likely voters. Forty-fivepercent of likely voters support or lean towards Hillary Clinton, while 41 percent support Donald Trump. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets 8 percent of likely voters, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives just 3 percent of the vote. Before the debate the two leading candidates were tied in a four-person race at 42 percent each.
Hillary Clinton extends her lead further in a direct head-to-head comparison. In a two-way match-up where third party candidates are not named explicitly, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, including leaners.
On balance, the recent presidential debate has had a more positive impact on views of Clinton than on views of Trump. Likely voters who watched the first presidential debate are twice as likely to say the debate made them think better of Clinton (32 percent) than worse (16 percent). For Trump, the reverse is true. Only 10 percent of voters who watched the debate say it made them think better of him, while 36 percent say it made their opinion of him worse. For about half of likely voters the debate had no effect on their impressions of the candidates.
Far more Democratic voters (58 percent) than Republican voters (22 percent) say the image of their candidate improved after the debate.
Play Video
Hillary Clinton made her first public comments on the New York Times' reporting on Donald Trump's tax returns Monday during a rally in Toledo, Oh...
Thirty-nine percent of registered voters overall now say they are very enthusiastic about voting, a slight increase from last month. The percentage of Clinton voters who are very enthusiastic about voting has risen seven points since before the first debate from 39 percent to 46 percent - which now matches the 46 percent of Trump voters who are very enthusiastic. Seven in 10 registered voters who support someone other than the two major party candidates are either not too (22 percent) or not at all (49 percent) enthusiastic about voting.
Just half of likely voters strongly favor their candidate, and another 27 percent like their candidate with reservations; 23 percent have made their choice because they dislike the other candidates. However, more Clinton voters (55 percent) strongly favor their candidate than Trump voters (47 percent). Nearly half (44 percent) of those voting for Johnson, Stein, or another third-party candidate are doing so because they dislike their other options.
Hillary Clinton enjoys strong support from women; she now leads Trump by 18 points. Trump maintains an 11-point lead among men.
Play Video
Donald Trump took questions from veterans during a campaign stop in Herndon, Virgina.
Trump holds a 12-point lead among white voters overall, and an even larger lead among white men. Clinton has an edge among white women. Trump continues to trail among blacks, eight in 10 of whom are voting for Clinton.
Trump has a 13-point lead among seniors, but Clinton now holds a lead among voters of all age groups under 65 years of age. Clinton continues to struggle with voters under 30 years of age beating Trump by 10 points among this group but getting just 40 percent of their vote overall. About one in four are voting for either Gary Johnson (21 percent) or Jill Stein (5 percent).
Whites without a college degree are strong supporters of Trump (56 percent back him), while Clinton leads Trump among white voters with a college degree. Trump and Clinton continue to hold similarly commanding leads among members of their own parties, while Trump holds a slight edge among independents.
Most Clinton and Trump voters say theyre sticking with their candidate. Ninety-twopercent of Trump voters and 93 percent of Clinton voters say their choice is set. Voters choosing a third-party candidate such as Gary Johnson or Jill Stein are far less secure in their decision. While 59 percent of these voters say their mind is made up, 41 percent could still change their mind and vote for another candidate.
Sixty-eight percent of voters are now paying a lot of attention to this years presidential campaign, up from 61 percent recorded before the first debate. Since last month, attention has risen 13 points among independents, seven points among Democrats, and four points among Republicans.
Regardless of who they will vote for, 55 percent of registered voters expect Hillary Clinton to finally win the 2016 presidential election, compared to just 33 percent that expect Trump to win. Most Republicans think Trump will win, while Democrats and independents think Clinton is more likely.
This poll was conducted by telephone September 28-October 2, 2016 among a random sample of 1,501 adults nationwide, including 1,217 registered voters. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News by SSRS of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones.
The poll employed a random digit dial methodology. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly selected from all adults in the household. For the cell sample, interviews were conducted with the person who answered the phone.
Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish using live interviewers.The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables.
The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample and the sample of registered voters could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups may be higher and is available by request. The margin of error includes the effects of standard weighting procedures which enlarge sampling error slightly.
The sample of likely voters is modeled among registered voters (N=1217), assigning each respondent a probability of voting based on their responses. The margin of error for the sample of likely voters is plus or minus four points. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
10-03-16 CBS/NYT toplines by cbsnews on Scribd
Read more:
Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first ...
- Hillary Clinton outs herself as REDSKINS fan in old pic as fans blast hypocrisy over 'insensitive' team name - Daily Mail - January 6th, 2026 [January 6th, 2026]
- Bild: German intelligence wiretapped calls from Obama, Hillary Clinton, and US military personnel - Latest news from Azerbaijan - January 6th, 2026 [January 6th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Caught Wearing Gloves That Prove She's Full Of Crap - OutKick - January 4th, 2026 [January 4th, 2026]
- Steve Bannon Compares Trump to Hillary Clinton in Stunning Attack - Yahoo - January 4th, 2026 [January 4th, 2026]
- Hillary Clinton Called Out for Wearing Washington Redskins Gloves After Slamming Team Name - Inquisitr News - January 4th, 2026 [January 4th, 2026]
- FBI caught Hillary Clinton discussing donations with foreign felon - The Heartlander - December 31st, 2025 [December 31st, 2025]
- 'My Wife Would Not Be Happy!': Donald Trump Takes a Jab at Hillary Clinton Amid Melanias Warning - AOL.com - December 31st, 2025 [December 31st, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Shares Throwback Photo Of Bill Amid Epstein File Chaos - okmagazine.com - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Quote of the day by Hillary Clinton: 'Women are not victims, we are agents of...' - The Economic Times - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton hospitalized in New York City? Here's the truth behind viral news | Hindustan Times - Hindustan Times - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Bill and Hillary Clinton are pushing back against weaponized Republican-led Epstein investigation - The Independent - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Trump 'diverting attention' from himself as Bill and Hillary Clinton are avoiding testifying in Epstein case - WION - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- HOUSE OVERSIGHT DELAYS CLINTON EPSTEIN DEPOSITIONS TO JANUARY, THREATENS CONTEMPT IF THEY DON'T COMPLY The Clintons wanted out... Comer said no. Bill... - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton reveals she is 'grateful' to King Charles ahead of major broadcast - GB News - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Scottish rock band airs video of Netanyahu, Hillary Clinton with swastikas over their eyes - New York Post - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Meet Suzanne Peyton, the new executive director for Bill and Hillary Clinton National Airport - thv11.com - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton saddened to accept award in name of Irish political giant Peter Sutherland - Business Post - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- Genocide experts blast Hillary Clinton for 'genocide denial' in Gaza - Press TV - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Warns: 'Trump Is Turning Away From Allies And America Will Pay the Price' - Times Now - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- 'America Losing Core Values': Hillary Clinton Talks MAGA; Sends Unusual Message To Trump - Times of India - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- US urged to uphold rule of law: Hillary Clinton - The Korea Times - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Eleanor Coppola tried to start a wronged-wives club with Hillary Clinton and got a blunt reality check - San Francisco Chronicle - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Allegedly 'Finished' With Bill: Ex-POTUS 'Going Down' As Epstein Scandal Explodes, Facing New Orders - International Business Times UK - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Called "Genocide Denier" by Leading Genocide Prevention Organization Named After Holocaust Survivor - thenorthstar.com - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton claims TikTok is influencing young peoples views on Israel-Palestine - The Independent - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Im Shocked: MAGA Influencer Gives Hillary Clinton Props On Fox News For TikTok Take - Yahoo - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton says anti-Israel sentiment among young people fueled by propaganda on social media - Jewish Insider - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton says 'Israel Has the worst PR' - www.israelhayom.com - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Ro Khanna to Hillary Clinton: Don't Disparage the Intelligence of Young People on Israel - Zeteo | Substack - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton says TikTok to blame for young Americans' pro-Palestine views. They disagree - Middle East Eye - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Blames TikTok for Misinformation Influencing Young Peoples Views on Israel and Palestine - IMDb - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Joins in Blaming TikTok for Young Americans' View That Israel Is Committing Genocide - Common Dreams - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- The Most Explosive Moments In Donald Trump And Hillary Clinton's Bitter Feud - thelist.com - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- The Israel Hayom summit brings global leaders to Manhattan to discuss US-Israel relations and antisemitism. Mike Waltz, Hillary Clinton, freed... - December 4th, 2025 [December 4th, 2025]
- 11th Circuit rejects Trump's attempt to revive Hillary Clinton conspiracy - Courthouse News - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Unpacking claim Trump tweeted that Hillary Clinton couldn't 'satisfy her husband' in 2015 - Yahoo News UK - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton returns to the spotlight - www.israelhayom.com - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Bill, Hillary Clinton threatened with contempt of Congress as house expands Jeffrey Epstein probe - New York Post - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton wishes for nationwide announcement that Trump is 'gone' in video on social media - Fox News - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- 'Arguments were indeed frivolous': Appeals court savages and dashes Trump's RICO lawsuit against Hillary Clinton, upholds full dismissal and nearly $1... - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Did Trump tweet that Hillary Clinton couldn't 'satisfy her husband' in 2015? - Snopes.com - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton blasted for 'daydreaming' about the day it's announced Donald Trump is 'gone' - Sky News Australia - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- REP. LUNA ACCUSES CLINTONS OF REFUSING EPSTEIN DEPOSITIONS Bill and Hillary Clinton are refusing to appear before House Oversight for their... - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Slams Trumps $300 Million White House Ballroom as Destruction of the Peoples House - Azat TV - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton warns against 'spheres of influence' and U.S. taking its eye off China - Yahoo - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton warns against 'spheres of influence' and U.S. taking its eye off China - Fox News - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- The work is literally just beginning: Hillary Clinton says Trumps Mideast cease-fire needs patient diplomacy - The Boston Globe - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- At Brown, Hillary Clinton reflects on her career, encourages the pursuit of truth and diplomacy - Brown University - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton opens up about the past, present and future in Brown lecture - Rhode Island Current - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton to receive Sutherland Leadership Award - KPMG - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Bill Clinton Hillary Clinton's Best Family Photos - Yahoo - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Criticizes Trump, Gavin Newsom Calls Out Mike Johnson And More: This Week In Politics - Benzinga - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Republicans mock Hillary Clinton over 2001 furniture scandal after Trump ballroom remarks - WEAR-tv - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Trump admin accuses Hillary Clinton of stealing White House furniture as former first lady slams ballroom plan - Fox News - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton releases 'Not his house' merch as Trump administration demolishes East Wing of White House for ballroom - Yahoo - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton launches Not His House merchandise amid Trumps White House East Wing demolition - The Indian Express - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton to host 'unscripted' conversation at Target Center - Yahoo - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Quotes Daughter Chelsea's Attack On Trump For 'Wrecking' The White House, Recalls Why Its Called The 'People's House' - Benzinga - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Says Trump Is 'Destroying' The White House, Ted Cruz Claps Back With 'At Least He Didn't Steal The Silverware' - Benzinga - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Joe Rogan makes ludicrous claim that Marjorie Taylor Greene is more pro-LGBTQ+ than Hillary Clinton - PinkNews - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton: Trump destroying White House with demolition for ballroom - The Hill - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton fires up voters against Trump's White House ballroom construction: 'Not his house'' - Fox News - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton to host 'unscripted' conversation at Target Center - Bring Me The News - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton's Event At Target Center Promises A Candid Discussion On Her Career - WJON - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Slams Trumps $200 Million White House Ballroom Project: Its Not His HouseIts Yours - southerndigest.com - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton says Trump is destroying White House with ballroom construction - Washington Examiner - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Blasts Trump Over White House Ballroom: 'He's destroying it' As Demolition Begins - inkl - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Among Critics as Trump Sparks Outrage With Bizarre 'No Kings' AI Video - International Business Times UK - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Did Hillary Clinton Undergo Cosmetic Surgery Before Attending Ragtime Revival? - International Business Times UK - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Hits Out at President Trump for Demolishing Part of White House to Build Ballroom - news24online.com - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Among Critics as Trump Sparks Outrage With Bizarre 'No Kings' AI Video - inkl - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Joe Rogan: Hillary Clinton Was Further Right Than Marjorie Taylor Greene - Newsweek - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Shocks Onlookers With New Look During Opening Night of Ragtime on Broadway - Yahoo - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Rachel Zegler, Audra McDonald, Hillary Clinton, and More Celebrate the Broadway Revival of Ragtime - Vogue - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Trump Invents Tale of World Leader Snubbing Hillary Clinton - Yahoo - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Benny Johnson says "little birdies" tell him Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Brennan, and James Clapper are facing "real legal... - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton's Throwback Photos Have Fans Freaking Out Over Her Shocking A-List Twin - Yahoo - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- What is Letitia James accused of? Eric Trump compares the New York AG to Hillary Clinton who "dug so deep, she ended up finding herself" -... - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Trump Invents Tale of World Leader Snubbing Hillary Clinton - The Daily Beast - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Hillary Clinton Slams GOP As 'Trump Shutdown' Enters 3rd Week: They're Willing To 'Hold The Country Hostage' Over Health Care - Benzinga - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]