Opinion | This Is Not the Year of the Optimist – The New York Times
Bret Stephens: Happy Easter, Gail. The news has been so depressing lately. A crazy guy opens fire in a subway in Brooklyn. The Russians are committing atrocities in Ukraine and are about to start a major offensive in the east. And my tuna melt on rye costs $21 at a not-much-to-look-at New York City diner, not including the tip.
Anything cheering you up?
Gail Collins: Happy holidays to you, Bret. This is one of the many times in recent years when Ive appreciated the role professional sports play in our lives. You meet a friend who starts listing all the things about the world that could plunge anyone into depression, and at some point you can break in with: But say, how about those Mets?
Bret: The Mets are off to a strong start, but give them a few months and theyll be depressing you as well.
Gail: Otherwise, I guess its reasonable to at least note that winters over, job openings are way up in the past year, and the subway shooting was miraculously miraculously! without fatalities.
I admit that the last one is not an ideal example of cheery news.
Bret: Crazy Guy Aims, Shoots, Misses could also be a contender for the next Russian national anthem.
Gail: Love the way you think.
Bret: The strong employment numbers are obviously good news. But let me put the dark cloud inside your silver lining: The Wall Street Journal reports that roughly three million Americans have dropped out of the work force, often for health reasons, and that that labor shortage is going to keep inflation high. This strikes me as yet another good argument for offering every Ukrainian refugee a green card.
Gail: Even before the pandemic, we were moving into an era in which our birthrate was just not providing enough future workers to keep the economy going. Immigrants shouldnt just be tolerated; they should be welcomed with marching bands.
Bret: The other big story of last week, Gail, is Elon Musks offer to buy Twitter at $54.20 a share. Half the punditocracy seems to think this would be great; the other half thinks its the apocalypse. Where do you come down on this?
Gail: Am I nuts to think this is not going to happen?
Bret: Youre not nuts. The Twitter board seems determined to stop him, and Musk has been known to pull stunts like this before. Also, the 4.20 in $54.20 is an inside joke about getting high.
Gail: Lord help us. Even if Twitter tanked, wouldnt there be some new post-Twitter communications system coming around the bend soon? Youre 10 times smarter than me about this stuff, so tell me what you think, and Ill adopt it as my theory. At least for the spring.
Bret: Maybe in the distant future a big media company will create a platform in which non-unhinged adults can exchange ideas, air their disagreements without rancor, make a few jokes, have their claims fact-checked before they are published and then go out for a friendly drink.
Gail: Hope hes listening.
Bret: Im sympathetic to the idea that social-media companies should try to honor the spirit of the First Amendment, even if they arent legally bound by it. But the idea that Twitter is a good forum for speech is silly. Trying to communicate a thought in 280 characters isnt speaking. Its blurting. You dont use Twitter for persuasion. You use it for insults and virtue signaling. A healthy free-speech environment depends on people talking with each other. Twitter is a medium for people to talk at others. The best thing that could happen to Twitter isnt an acquisition, by Musk or anyone else. Its bankruptcy.
Gail: Wow, Ive always pretty much avoided Twitter, but it was mainly out of laziness. Now Im cloaked in righteousness and am deferring to you on all Twitter topics.
Dont suppose youd be willing to respond by deferring to me on health care?
Bret: Youve laid a trap, Gail. Whats on your mind?
Gail: I appreciate Joe Bidens call for increasing government aid to those who dont have good private coverage and putting a lid on the prices pharmaceutical companies charge for drugs people have to buy whether they want to or not. This would bring me back to my cheer for limiting the price of insulin to $35 a month.
Bret: The high cost of insulin is a national scandal. But I dont think price controls are ever a good answer. The biggest roadblock is the dearth of so-called biosimilars, which is largely a function of regulatory and legal roadblocks, including abuse of the patent system by some of the big pharmaceutical companies, as well as insufficient pricing transparency.
Here is the moment I can almost hear our readers screaming, Price controls are how other countries do it! But that almost inevitably leads to health care rationing and wait lists. Would you rather us be Canada?
Gail: You know, Ive heard that Canada threat for decades, and generally my reaction is, Thats our worst danger? Obamacare did a lot to make our health care system more efficient, but the system is still way too clogged with duplicative management and other administrative failings.
Bret: Obamacares many problems are the high road toward Medicare for all, which is why I was opposed to it in the first place.
Gail: Go, Bernie Sanders!
I guess we should move on to politics for a bit. Next month therell be big Senate primaries in places like Ohio where Republicans will have to choose between the newly anointed Trump favorite J.D. Vance of Hillbilly Elegy fame and a bunch of noncelebrities and Pennsylvania, where theyll have the option of selecting Trumps man, Dr. Oz of Oprah fame, or a half-dozen alternatives without reality-TV careers.
Anybody youre rooting for? And whats the chance the Republican Party is going to become the Home for Unwillingly Retired Entertainers?
Bret: My favorite Republican these days is the governor of New Hampshire, Chris Sununu, who recently described Donald Trump as crazy, with a pungent modifier to go with it. Being able to say that out loud should be a litmus test for any serious conservative. Other litmus tests include the willingness to connect the words evil with Putin, legitimate with 2020 election, president with Biden and supercilious twerp with Tucker. All the rest is commentary.
Gail: Ah, Bret. Your vision of unshackling the Republican Party from Trump is stirring and about as likely as a snark-free Twitter.
Bret: Of course its easy to make fun of Republicans for their insanity. But isnt it the Democratic Party that could use a bit more introspection as it heads into what looks like a wipeout in the midterms?
Gail: Well, things certainly dont look good. Its ironic that the Democrats huge flaw is an inability to get anything serious passed in Congress because of the, um, lack of Democrats in the Senate. Which will probably cost them several more Senate seats.
But one of the other things Republicans seem to be counting on is a right-wing revolt on social issues, especially abortion. Is there any way for the pro-choice faction of the party to combat that, or is it just way too much of the Republican brand now?
Bret: Political parties often lose when their cultural values get too extreme for the mainstream. Thats what happened to Democrats in 1972 (amnesty, abortion, acid) and to Republicans in 1992 (Patrick, J., Buchanan). Right now it feels as if Democrats have become the party of wokeness, which is how they got hammered in last years governors race in Virginia and why they are losing votes over antipolice posturing. But that could change if the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade. As we discussed last week, that decision will be bad for women but probably good for Democratic candidates, since most Americans still want abortion to remain legal.
The other big court decision will be on affirmative action. Any thoughts on how that will play out politically if affirmative action is ruled unconstitutional?
Gail: Not sure about the politics, since its always easy to sell the idea that the people with the top scores/grades/extracurriculars should be the top choice. But for the country, ending affirmative action would be a disaster. We have to be sure that people from all races, creeds and economic backgrounds are part of the population thats moving up.
Bret: Agree about the importance of diversity in many walks of life. Disagree that affirmative action is the right way to get there. Looks like were going to have to debate this when the decision is handed down.
Gail: Theres one other huge Supreme Court decision coming around the bend: on New York Citys gun control laws. Im terrified the conservative majority is going to declare the government has no right to prohibit people from carrying concealed weapons in public. Do you think itll happen?
Bret: Yeah. And I think the decision will be 5 to 4, with John Roberts joining the liberal wing in dissent on states rights grounds. Hey, its never too late to move to Canada.
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Opinion | This Is Not the Year of the Optimist - The New York Times
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