What does it mean that the euro has fallen below parity with the dollar? – PBS NewsHour
The euro has fallen below parity with the dollar, diving to its lowest level in 20 years and ending a one-to-one exchange rate with the U.S. currency.
READ MORE: Europes central bank raises interest rates for first time in 11 years
Its a psychological barrier in the markets. But psychology is important, and the euros slide underlines the foreboding in the 19 European countries using the currency as they struggle with an energy crisis caused by Russias war in Ukraine.
Heres why the euros slide is happening and what impact it could have:
It means the European and American currencies are worth the same amount. While constantly changing, the euro has dropped just below a value of $1 this week.
A currencys exchange rate can be a verdict on economic prospects, and Europes have been fading. Expectations that the economy would see a rebound after turning the corner from the COVID-19 pandemic have been replaced by recession predictions.
More than anything, high energy prices and record inflation are to blame. Europe is far more dependent on Russian oil and natural gas than the U.S. to keep industry humming and generate electricity. Fears that the war in Ukraine will lead to a loss of Russian oil on global markets have pushed oil prices higher. And Russia has been cutting back natural gas supplies to the European Union, which EU leaders described as retaliation for sanctions and weapons deliveries to Ukraine.
Energy prices have driven euro-area inflation to a record 8.9 percent in July, making everything from groceries to utility bills more expensive. They also have raised fears about governments needing to ration natural gas to industries like steel, glassmaking and agriculture if Russia further reduces or shuts off the gas taps completely.
The sense of doom increased as Russia reduced the flows through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline to Germany to 20 percent of capacity and said it would shut it down for three days next week for routine maintenance at a compressor station.
Natural gas prices on Europes TTF benchmark have soared to record highs amid dwindling supplies, fears of further cutoffs and strong demand.
If you think Euro at parity is cheap, think again, Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance banking trade group, tweeted Monday. German manufacturing lost access to cheap Russian energy & thus its competitive edge.
Global recession is coming, he said in a second tweet.
The euro was last valued below $1 on July 15, 2002.
The European currency hit its all-time high of $1.18 shortly after its launch on Jan. 1, 1999, but then began a long slide, falling through the $1 mark in February 2000 and hitting a record low of 82.30 cents in October 2000. It rose above parity in 2002 as large trade deficits and accounting scandals on Wall Street weighed on the dollar.
WATCH: American cities, states cant find enough workers despite an influx of federal funding
Then as now, what appears to be a euro story is also in many ways a dollar story. Thats because the U.S. dollar is still the worlds dominant currency for trade and central bank reserves. And the dollar has been hitting 20-year highs against the currencies of its major trading partners, not just the euro.
The dollar is also benefiting from its status as a safe haven for investors in times of uncertainty.
Many analysts attribute the euros slide to expectations for rapid interest rate increases by the U.S. Federal Reserve to combat inflation at close to 40-year highs.
As the Fed raises interest rates, the rates on interest-bearing investments tend to rise as well. If the Fed raises rates more than the European Central Bank, higher interest returns will attract investor money from euros into dollar-denominated investments. Those investors will have to sell euros and buy dollars to buy those holdings. That drives the euro down and the dollar up.
Last month, the ECB raised interest rates for the first time in 11 years by a larger-than-expected half-percentage point. It is expected to add another increase in September. But if the economy sinks into recession, that could halt the ECBs series of rate increases.
Meanwhile, the U.S. economy looks more robust, meaning the Fed could go on tightening and widen the rate gap.
American tourists in Europe will find cheaper hotel and restaurant bills and admission tickets. The weaker euro could make European export goods more competitive on price in the United States. The U.S. and the EU are major trade partners, so the exchange rate shift will get noticed.
In the U.S., a stronger dollar means lower prices on imported goods from cars and computers to toys and medical equipment which could help moderate inflation.
American companies that do a lot of business in Europe will see the revenue from those businesses shrink when and if they bring those earnings back to the U.S. If euro earnings remain in Europe to cover costs there, the exchange rate becomes less of an issue.
A key worry for the U.S. is that a stronger dollar makes U.S.-made products more expensive in overseas markets, widening the trade deficit and reducing economic output, while giving foreign products a price edge in the United States.
A weaker euro can be a headache for the European Central Bank because it can mean higher prices for imported goods, particularly oil, which is priced in dollars. The ECB is already being pulled in different directions: It is raising interest rates, the typical medicine for inflation, but higher rates also can slow economic growth.
Continue reading here:
What does it mean that the euro has fallen below parity with the dollar? - PBS NewsHour
- European Union expects 15% U.S. tariffs on Friday, but key document still not complete - PBS - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- US Travelers Obtaining ETIAS Authorization to Visit European Union Nations Starting in 2026: Heres More You Need to Know - Travel And Tour World - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union allocates 1.1mn to address urgent water crisis in Iraq - bne IntelliNews - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union Seeks Approval To Remove Liquid Limit In Carry-On Luggage bags, Allowing Up to Two Liters At Airports - Travel And Tour World - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Quinoa Market to Grow at CAGR of +2.5%, Reaching $104M by 2035 - IndexBox - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Phosphinates and Phosphonates Market: Volume to Reach 26K Tons and Value to Hit $79M by 2035 - IndexBox - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- Statement of the European Union and its Member States on the 5th anniversary of the Beirut Port blast - EEAS - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union Triples Visitor Entry Fee for Travelers What You Need to Know - Travel And Tour World - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- Dodik: The verdict was created by the European Union, Schmidt is the source of disorder in BiH - European Newsroom - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Roasted Chicory Market Expected to See 1.5% CAGR Growth, Reaching $674M by 2035 - IndexBox - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- The agreement with the European Union holds: Trump confirms the 15% tariffs. - L'Unione Sarda.it - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union expects to face 15% US tariffs from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - newspressnow.com - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union expects to face 15% US tariffs from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - AP News - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- U.S. and European Union reach trade pact that sets 15-per-cent tariff on EU goods - The Globe and Mail - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- European Union expects to face 15% US tariffs from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - WDIO.com - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- The United States and European Union Trade Deal - Forvis Mazars US - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- European Union assumes it faces 15% tariffs in the US from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - fox5sandiego.com - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- The United States and the European Union Reach a Trade Deal - Council on Foreign Relations - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- No Majority in the European Union to Suspend Funding for Israeli Startups - Haaretz - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- President Trump and European Union President Speak After Meeting in Turnberry, Scotland - C-SPAN - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Following a European Union Trade Deal, Heres the Top Move You Should Make Today - Yahoo Finance - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- U.S. and European Union trade deal could cost the pharma industry up to $19 billion - Fast Company - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- United States and European Union come to terms on trade deal framework - logisticsmgmt.com - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Fact Sheet: The United States and European Union Reach Massive Trade Deal - kboi.com - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Reaction to the European Union's trade agreement with the Trump administration - Midland Daily News - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- What's at stake with the European Union-U.S. trading partnership if a tariff deal isn't reached - Wyoming Public Media - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- China and the European Union Europea: The summit that wasnt - Pressenza - International Press Agency - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- A group of 32 long-term observers from the European Union were deployed today to the nine departments of Bolivia - EEAS - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- The French rebel against a pesticide authorised for use in the European Union - Euronews.com - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- European Union has the votes to impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. - upi.com - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- European Union: Concerns over systematic restrictions against solidarity with the Palestinian people - fidh.org - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- China and the European Union: The End of Strategic Ambiguity - Robert Lansing Institute - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- The European Union Could Force All Rental Car Companies to Buy EVs As Early As 2030 - Road & Track - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union | ETIAS fee has increased to 20 euros - BAL Immigration Law - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Black Printing Ink Market to See Modest Growth with CAGR of +1.4% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Confirmed Trump imposes 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico as of August 1 - Blanquivioletas - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Acyclic Hydrocarbons Derivatives Market to Experience Slight Growth with CAGR of +0.7% - IndexBox - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Almond Market to Grow at a Decelerating Rate with a CAGR of +0.8% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Wheat Market Expected to Reach 118M Tons and $34.3B by 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Nail and Bolt Market to Grow at +1.2% CAGR Over the Next Decade - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's HVAC Equipment Market to Grow at +1.0% CAGR, Reaching 932M Units by 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Vacuum Pumps and Air or Gas Compressors Market to Witness 1.8% CAGR Growth from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Confectionery Market to Experience Slow Growth with CAGR of +1.2% - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union increasing pressure on Russia to end invasion of Ukraine - WFAA - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Flat Hot-Rolled Steel in Coils Market to Grow at +1.4% CAGR, Reaching 37M Tons by 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- The European Union Passed Its Artificial Intelligence Bill. Will It Enforce It? - Billboard - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- Solidarity visit to Ukraine: COMECE witnesses the scale of human loss - The Catholic Church in the European Union - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- Briefing paper for the 13th European Union-Vietnam human rights dialogue - fidh.org - July 18th, 2025 [July 18th, 2025]
- How Important Are the Turkic States to the European Union, and in What Areas? - Hungarian Conservative - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- European Union threatens tariff retaliation after Trumps trade move - CGTN America - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- European Union Responds to Trump Tariffs by Targeting Boeing, U.S. Cars and Bourbon - CPA Practice Advisor - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- EU expands sanctions against Russia for destabilization in the European Union and Ukraine - - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- Nine Iranian individuals and entities added to the European Union's new sanctions list - Iran Focus - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- European Union to delay retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods in hopes of reaching deal - CBS News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces tariffs of 30% on Mexico and the European Union - CNN - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Video Trump threatens the European Union and Mexico with new tariffs - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- European Union on the ropes as Trump and China turn the screws - South China Morning Post - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces tariffs on European Union, Mexico starting in August - CBS News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- EUR/USD rises to near 1.1700 due to Trumps tariff threats on European Union - FXStreet - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump: European Union in discussions with us on trade - Forex Factory - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces 30% tariffs on Mexico and European Union starting Aug. 1 - CBS News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump Announces 30% Tariffs On European Union And Mexico As Trade War Ramps Up Again - HuffPost - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces 30% tariff on European Union and Mexico - The Economic Times - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces 30 percent tariffs against European Union and Mexico - The Boston Globe - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump announces shocking new tariffs for European Union and Mexico that will have a major impact - UNILAD - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump announces tariffs of 30% on Mexico and the European Union - KTVZ - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Israel, European Union reach deal on more aid, fuel deliveries to Gaza - The Washington Post - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump hits the European Union (EU) with a 30% tariff, starting on August 1 - Forexlive | Forex News, Technical Analysis & Trading Tools - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions from passenger cars in the European Union: A 2025 update and key factors to consider - International Council on... - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump's 30% tariff threat on European Union goods a negotiation tactic: EU officials - Mint - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- European Union's Dental Fittings Market to Reach 14M Units and $13.1B in Value by 2035 - IndexBox - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Bigger, better funded and focused on public goods: how to revamp the European Union budget - Bruegel - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- European Union Special Representatives for the Sahel and the Horn of Africa visit Addis Ababa - EEAS - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Iceland : The 28th member state of the European Union ? Le Taurillon - treffpunkteuropa.de - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- European Union's Caramel Market to Reach 606K Tons and $838M by 2035 - IndexBox - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- European Union's Threaded Steel Articles Market to Grow at +1.4% CAGR, Reaching $4.4B by 2035 - IndexBox - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- The European Union awards an additional 14.8 million in Aid to UNICEF to support the most vulnerable children and strengthen disaster preparedness in... - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Speech by President Antnio Costa at the opening ceremony of the Danish Presidency of the Council of the European Union - consilium.europa.eu - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Deepening structural reforms and reprioritising public spending can boost growth in the European Union - OECD - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Now Unfolding The Impact Of Russias Military Priorities On International Travel: Insights For US, China, European Union And CIS Markets: Here Is What... - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]