Ukraine wants to join the European Union. But it is not going to be easy – CNBC
Ukraine has requested to become a member of the EU, but the process is likely to take some time and it is unclear if there is a broad support to accept several new nations in the bloc.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
The European Union could be about to throw its support behind Ukraine becoming its newest member, but the process will not be easy: not only the country is still at war, but several other nations are keen to join and have been for some time.
Just days after Russia started its unprovoked invasion of the country, Ukraine sent a letter to the EU to formally start its application process.
Since then, several EU officials have come out in support of Ukraine joining the bloc, but they have also been clear this would be a long process, even if they try to speed things up given Ukraine's circumstances.
The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, is expected to issue an opinion on Ukraine joining the EU in the next few weeks but this will likely just mark the start of a long and difficult journey.
Even the European Parliament's President Roberta Metsola has admitted that accepting new members into the EU can be challenging.
"Enlargements are always complex you have different countries, different paths, different steps to take, different rules to abide by. But this is the moment we need to send the strongest of political message: Ukraine belongs in the European family," she told CNBC last month.
According to Daniel Gros, from the Brussels-based think tank CEPS, receiving political support to join the EU represents "a moral boost to Ukraine and a signal to Russia that the EU will not be deterred."
But for the EU, supporting Ukraine's membership bid is a delicate balancing act which affects many countires.
Nations in the Western Balkans have long been promised accession, for example including North Macedonia, which even changed its name in an effort to bolster its chances of joining the EU but negotiations have yet to begin.
Moldova, which borders Ukraine, and Georgia, which borders Russia, have also asked to join the bloc in the wake of the Russian invasion.
"Particularly against the background of the war in Ukraine, we have to remain vigilant and give the same priority to the Western Balkans as to Ukraine," Austrian ministers Alexander Schallenberg and Karoline Edtstadler said in a letter to the EU's top diplomat Josep Borrell late last month.
"We cannot allow ourselves to create first and second-class candidates."
Western Balkans is a term used to refer to six countries in southern and eastern Europe: the Republic of Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, the Republic of Kosovo, the Republic of North Macedonia and the Republic of Serbia.
The risk for the EU is that it is seen to be giving preferential treatment to Kyiv upsetting other parts of the continent and potentially pushing them closer to Russia.
"We want and need those countries firmly anchored in our camp, the one of the European model of life, we need to demonstrate to them that they are key partners and that we are serious about their European future," the Austrian ministers said in the letter.
The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, was not immediately available for comment when contacted by CNBC Tuesday.
Even after it publishes its opinion on Ukraine joining the bloc, it will likely be years before member states are given the opportunity to approve Kyiv's accession, to a large extent because Ukraine will have to implement several economic and political reforms to comply with European rules.
However, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has been vocal about Ukraine belonging in the EU. Last month, she advocated for financial aid for reconstruction as a way to also help Ukraine's accession to the bloc.
"It could set a system of milestones and targets to make sure that European money truly delivers for the people of Ukraine, and is spent in accordance with EU rules. It could help fight corruption, align the legal environment with European standards and radically upgrade Ukraine's productive capacity," she said in the European Parliament, adding that "eventually, it will pave the way for Ukraine's future inside the European Union."
But political experts think full membership for Ukraine is some way off.
"While Ukraine joining the EU anytime soon is unlikely, there is a clear shift in attitudes towards enlargement amongst EU leaders who have realized that keeping countries that want to become members on hold is very frustrating and opens the door to democratic backsliding and non-EU influence from Russia, from China," Anna Rosenberg, partner at advisory firm Signum Global, said via email.
"So, yes, EU leaders are now somewhat more open to enlargement than before the war, but it nevertheless remains very difficult problems with countries like Hungary are evidence for that. No EU leaders wants to allow a second Hungary into the bloc," she added.
Hungary, which joined the EU in 2004, has long been a thorn in the side of Europe's institutions.
This is most recently evident in the decision to impose an oil embargo on Russia. The European Commission made the proposal back in early May, but Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban led a coalition of a handful of countries in negotiating carve-outs. This dragged the process out for much longer than initially expected.
"The EU with 27 is often ungovernable and it is in my opinion hard to see new members being admitted to the club without Treaty revisions of the kind that [French President Emmanuel] Macron proposed, more qualified majority voting and more fiscal integration," Jacob Kirkegaard, from the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said via email.
Currently and as demonstrated by the recent impasse over the Russian oil embargo key foreign policy decisions require unanimity.
This is already at times difficult, given that the EU is made up of 27 countries with often entirely different domestic priorities. And it could become even harder if the group is expanded.
Yet another complication is the fact that there is currently no clarity as to when Russia's war in Ukraine will end.
"A prerequisite for a meaningful accession process is not just that Ukraine wins the war in the sense that they need control over their own territory, but that an actual peace agreement is signed with Russia," Kirkegaard said, adding that "a frozen conflict situation will not give Ukraine EU membership."
"Question of course is how to achieve that, given that in a sense Moscow does have a veto over Ukraine's possible EU accession - no peace deal, no EU membership in the end."
Correction: A quote taken from a letter sent by Austrian ministers Alexander Schallenberg and Karoline Edtstadler has been updated to correct a spelling mistake.
Read more here:
Ukraine wants to join the European Union. But it is not going to be easy - CNBC
- European Union drops controversial gas car ban originally set to take effect in 2035 after years of debate - supercarblondie.com - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- European Union: yes to funding abortion, no to funding large families - ZENIT - English - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- The Western Balkan energy sector: between Russia, the European Union and the green transition - Bruegel - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- European Union approves massive loan for Ukraine as Putin boasts about Russia's war - CBS News - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- European Union's Injection-Moulding Machine Market Poised for Steady Growth With 2.2% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- What we gain and lose by staying inside the European Union - MSN - December 18th, 2025 [December 18th, 2025]
- As I See It | Russia will end the European Union, not the other way around - South China Morning Post - December 18th, 2025 [December 18th, 2025]
- The European Union should embrace decentralised finance and make it safe - Bruegel - December 18th, 2025 [December 18th, 2025]
- Russia hit with fresh sanctions! European Union adds firms tied to Moscows shadow fleet to list; bans oi - Times of India - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- The European Union and the war in Ukraine: more money, but not more Europe - Bruegel - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- European Union expected to indefinitely freeze Russian assets in Europe - CBS News - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- Finnish Officer appointed new Deputy Commander of the European Union Military Assistance Mission in Mozambique - EEAS - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- Independent living of persons with disabilities in the European Union - European Parliament - December 12th, 2025 [December 12th, 2025]
- The European Union moves ahead with toughening its migration system - ABC News - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Elon Musk calls for abolition of European Union after it hit X with $140M bullst fine - New York Post - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Why is Elon Musk in a war of words with the European Union? - Australian Broadcasting Corporation - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- The European Union moves ahead with toughening its migration system - AP News - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- The European Union Reportedly Plans to Push Its Ban on New ICE Cars Back to 2040 - Road & Track - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Romania aims to become the customs hub of the European Union - European Newsroom - December 10th, 2025 [December 10th, 2025]
- Hungary Becomes Net Contributor to the European Union - Hungarian Conservative - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- European Union and Singapore reinforce digital cooperation - European Interest - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Morawiecki on the judgment of the Court of Justice of the European Union: a brazen interference in the order of family law - European Newsroom - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- European Union and UNESCO launch a new initiative to strengthen literacy and economic resilience in Afghanistan - Unric - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Court of Justice of the European Union Strengthens the Rights of Parents With Disabled Children - JD Supra - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- European Union moves to cut off Tanzania over rights record - ZAWYA - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- The Baltic Edge: A Strategic Imperative for NATO and the European Union - Taylor Wessing - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- European Union threatens Tanzania with sanctions, funding freeze over post-election abuses - Business Insider Africa - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- Europes chance to change the war: How to make the most of the reparation loan - European Union Institute for Security Studies | - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- Shein faces European Union scrutiny over child safety and illegal products - AP News - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- European Union's Nickel Market Set for Growth to 445K Tons in Volume and $8.6B in Value by 2035 - IndexBox - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- European Union-funded Food Security Response in Northern Ghana - Food and Agriculture Organization - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- European Union's Sweet Biscuit Market Set for Steady Growth With a 3% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- Paris Louvre Museum To Increase Ticket Price For Visitors From Outside The European Union - Southern Minnesota News - November 30th, 2025 [November 30th, 2025]
- European Commission Approves BRINSUPRI (brensocatib) as the First and Only Treatment To Date Approved for Non-Cystic Fibrosis Bronchiectasis in the... - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- President of Slovakia before ambassadors: Slovakia co-creates the rules of the game in the European Union - European Newsroom - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Secretary-General of ASEAN meets with the European Union Heads of Missions based in Jakarta - ASEAN Main Portal - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- European Union Military Assistance Mission participates in the closing Ceremony of ISEDEF 2025 Courses - EEAS - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- European Union and Vietnam: A joint path to poultry farming based on immunity and prevention - Laotian Times - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Implications of Free Trade between Mercosur and the European Union - PotatoPro - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- However difficult to sell, the EU must get bigger - European Union Institute for Security Studies | - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- European Union's Corrugated Paper Box Market Set for Growth to 30 Million Tons in Volume and $57 Billion in Value - IndexBox - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Red Cross and the European Union call for increased and local humanitarian investment in Latin America and the Caribbean in response to rising crises... - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- RUBIO: "I don't think that the European Union gets to determine what international law is. They certainly don't get to determine is how the... - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Yes, there are political refugees from the European Union - Washington Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Kallas: The European Union will not allow a security vacuum in Bosnia and Herzegovina - European Newsroom - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina Evaluated as Very Successful with the European Union Strategy for the Danube Region - European Newsroom - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Transforming Local Economic Opportunities: The European Union-funded ILO PROSPER Project Officially Launched in Southern Belize - EEAS - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The European Union supports strengthening cooperation between Bulgaria and the Republic of North Macedonia, said Valentina Superti from the EC -... - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The European Union is forging a new strategic alliance with Latin America - Peterson Institute for International Economics - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- UNDP, DPPA and European Union Renew Partnership to Build National Capacities for Conflict Prevention - Unric - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Red Hat introduces confirmed sovereign support for European Union - telecomtv.com - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Private security firm says European Union vessel reaches ship raided by pirates off Somalia, all 24 crew on board safe - Yahoo - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Progress in Implementing the European Union Coordinated Plan on Artificial Intelligence (Volume 1) - OECD - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- European Union restricts visas for Russian nationals over Ukraine war - The Hindu - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Jumptuit Awarded Trademarks in the European Union (EU) - PR Newswire - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Romania welcomes the publication of the Annual Package on the Enlargement of the European Union - European Newsroom - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- US partners with unexpected ally in faceoff with European Union: 'Could jeopardize existing and future investments' - Yahoo - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Exclusive: Zelenskyy says 'Ukraine's future is in the European Union' - Yahoo News UK - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Kaja Kallas: Trkiye remains a key partner of the European Union - AnewZ - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- European Union's SAN and ABS Copolymers Market to Reach 1.2M Tons and $2.6B by 2035 - IndexBox - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- European Union tries to forge new climate targets before the COP30 summit in Brazil starts next week - The Daily Reporter - Greenfield Indiana - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Navigating the grey zone: Readiness, solidarity and resolve - European Union Institute for Security Studies | - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- European Union's Metal Permanent Magnet Market Poised for Steady Growth with a 3.1% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- European Union's Refined Rapeseed Oil Market Poised for Steady Growth With a 2.3% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- European Union slaps a 1,600-crore fine on luxury brands Gucci, Loewe, and Chlo - Know why - ET BrandEquity - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- 30th European Union Film Festival in Europe: A Global Cinematic Showcase Promoting European Art, Culture, and Tourism for Audiences Worldwide - Travel... - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- European Union helps Ukrainian community of Vysoke open its first preschool - Agenparl - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- European Union's Plastic Tubes and Pipes Market Set for Steady Growth with a 2.4% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Bulgaria, as a member of Schengen, will continue to contribute to the overall security of the European Union, said the Bulgarian interior minister -... - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Flexible Plastic Tubes and Hoses Market Set for Steady Growth with 3.3% CAGR in Value Through 2035 - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Bridge and Tower Market Set for Steady Growth with 2.8% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Yoghurt and Fermented Milk Market Set to Reach 9.8M Tons and $21.2B by 2035 - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Flags of China and the European Union together at some event or fair. Flags of the two countries as a symbol of cooperation between the two states.... - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Fruit and Berry Market Set for Steady Growth with 2.5% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Frozen Fish and Seafood Market Poised for Steady Growth with a 3.2% CAGR in Value Through 2035 - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Lithium-Ion Battery Market Set for Growth to 944 Million Units and $32 Billion by 2035 - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Frozen Dried and Smoked Fish Market Set for Steady Growth With a 1.6% CAGR - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Paper and Paperboard Market Set to Reach 80 Million Tons and $96 Billion by 2035 - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Jewelry Market Forecast to Expand With a 1.6% CAGR Through 2035 - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- European Union's Meat Market Set for Modest Growth to 30 Million Tons in Volume and $132 Billion in Value - IndexBox - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]