The European Union Got Stronger: Global Week Ahead – Zacks.com
This Global Week Ahead started with a foregone conclusion: Emmanuel Macron is the new French president. Imagine the sighs of relief. They must be heard across the European Union, and certainly within the formal office corridors of that institution.
However, it was a sell the news trading event.
Education! That key social variable showed itself as important again. It proved to be the strongest predictor of a vote for Macron. The higher the number of people with a university degree in an area, the stronger the percentage vote for Macron.
This pattern echoes the findings ofother Financial Times analysis. They looked into the predictors of the Leave vote in 2016 Brexit referendum,the 2016 U.S. presidential election and recentDutch elections. In each electoral instance, the less educated made up more of the right wing, anti-establishment voters.
Here is the rest of what happening to the globe this week.
Last week, the House voted to repeal Obamacareand replace it with the American Health Care Act. In the week ahead and beyond, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) will assess the cost and coverage. This a reversal of the order usually undertaken. Also, independent effort in the Senate has begun towards a health care bill. The Senate version will be substantially different than the House bill. Then, the reconciliation fun begins. In short, dont expect this to be done for months and months.
There is a Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting this week. Expect modest changes to the Bank of Englands key macro projections.While U.K. inflation is likely to reach or even exceed +3.0%, still, dont expect the BoE to hike. According to observers, the BoE will retain a bias to hike. But, the committee is not hurried to deliver, given the Brexit tremors.
This week coughs up a key data in Canadas loud housing debate about a bubble. Canada housing starts may be poised for some moderation after they hit the highest level in about five years in March and almost the highest in a decade. The Bank of Nova Scotia write about efforts to cool Ontarios and more specifically southern Ontarios including Torontos housing markets. Policy housing demand restraints may have been timed at the peak pace of demand -- and just as Canadas housing supply is rising to meet the challenges.
Over in Asia, Chinas CPI inflation rate probably is likely to track at +1.0% y/y in April. Their Inflation rate looks very soft on the consumer side. On top of that, mainland Chinese producer price inflation is likely to fall toward zero -- and possibly lower over the second half of 2017. That is a weak level of inflation.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stocks
Arcelor Mittal (MT - Free Report) : This is a $24.2 billion market cap stock. The company operates as a major global steel producer. It also has a long-term Zacks VGM score of A.
Roche Holding AG (RHHBY - Free Report) : With a French election complete, lets talk about French large caps. This is a $233 billion market cap stock, with a base of operations in France. It is a pharma stock, and one with a nice long-term Zacks VGM score of B.
Cummins (CMI - Free Report) : You dont hear much about the success of this small internal combustion engine company. But this $26 billion market cap stock was lit up with a Zacks #1 Rank on May 5th. The stock also has a long-term Zacks VGM score of B.
Key Global Macro
Ho hum. Back to macro data after an exciting French election last week!
German factory orders, industrial production and trade for March will lead up to Q1 German GDP growth. The latter is out on Friday. French trade, industrial production and Q1 nonfarm payrolls also come out.
In top of that, we will tap into U.K. industrial output and trade figures, Italian retail sales and industrial output.
The Eurozone sum of its member countries on industrial output will also be made available.
Eight U.S. Fed voting members will be speaking 10 times, all over the country and in India this week.
On Monday, Canadas housing starts came in at 214K, below the 220K number expected. Note: There is a housing bubble going on in some urban areas up there.
The Feds Bullard speaks in Florida and Mester speaks in Chicago.
On Tuesday, German industrial production should be growing +2.5% y/y.
The U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism index comes out. It has been spiking up.
The forecast is for 103.5 from 104.7 in a prior reading.
The bi-week core CPI in Mexico should be +5.71% from 5.35% y/y. Thats a concern.
The Feds Kashkari speaks in Minneapolis, Rosengren in NY, and Kaplan in Dallas.
On Wednesday, same store retail sales in Mexico are holding up at 3.2% y/y.
Industrial Production in France could be down -0.5% y/y, whereas in Italy, it is up +1.9% y/y. Lets hope the new French President can change sentiment there.
Mario Draghi speaks to the Dutch Parliament, and in Frankfurt.
Industrial production in the U.K. is strong, at +2.8% y/y.
The unemployment rate in Greece is now 23.5%. Its a big problem.
On Thursday, interestingly, the Feds Dudley speaks in Mumbai, India
The BoE Monetary Policy Committee meets and issues a rate decision. 0.25% is the base rate, and it is not forecast to change.
U.S. initial claims for the week come out.
On Friday, the core German inflation rate, the HICP (harmonized index of consumer price inflation) comes out. The prior reading was +2.0% y/y. In Spain, it is +2.6% y/y. The tack above the 2 percent target in Spain is worth noting.
University of Michigan sentiment comes out. The prior was 97.
Read more from the original source:
The European Union Got Stronger: Global Week Ahead - Zacks.com
- The European Union supports the digital transformation and reform of public administration in Bosnia and Herzegovina - European Newsroom - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Finnish President: The European Union Will Not Consider Russia's Interests When Formulating Security Guarantees for Ukraine - tesaaworld.com - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- European Union's Fireclay Market Poised for Steady Growth with 2.7% CAGR in Value Through 2035 - IndexBox - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- The European Union Welcomes the Raising of the Syrian Flag in Washington - tesaaworld.com - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Toukan: The European Union Is One of Jordans Most Important Development Partners - jordannews.jo - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- TRYNGOLZA (olezarsen) approved in the European Union for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS) - Yahoo Finance - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- EVENT | "AI and Human Trafficking: threats, tools and legal frontiers Conference at the European Parliament, 30 September. Registration now open... - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- The European Union announced a meeting on new sanctions against Russia - - - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Andreas Knne is the new Ambassador of the European Union to Switzerland - EEAS - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- European Union's Diesel-Electric Locomotive Market Poised for Steady Growth with 1.4% CAGR Through 2035 - IndexBox - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- European Union Chamber of Commerce in China urges Beijing to address cutthroat competition, price wars, and rare earth issues - DIGITIMES Asia - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- European Union's Safflower Seed Market Poised for Steady Growth with 3.5% CAGR in Value Through 2035 - IndexBox - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- European Union's Magnesite Market Poised for Steady Growth with 2% CAGR Through 2035 - IndexBox - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- European Union's Nitrites Market Poised for Steady Growth with 2.4% CAGR in Value - IndexBox - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- The Exotic Pet Trade Harms Animals and Humans. The European Union Is Studying a Potential Solution - The Revelator - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- In July, price for wood pellets imported to European Union contracts 8% - lesprom.com - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Discover Ukraines path to the European Union in the new Euroquiz! - EU NEIGHBOURS east - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Microsoft resolves European Union probe into Teams - The Killeen Daily Herald - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- How are microplastics regulated in the UK and European Union? - Fieldfisher - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- European Union and its member States should take measures to respond to Georgias crackdown on civil society and human rights organisations - fidh.org - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- What Is In The State Of The European Union 2025 For The Tech Sector? - Access Partnership - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- The Sound of Economics Live: The State of the European Union 2025 - Bruegel - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Webull Launches in the European Union, Debuting Retail Investment Platform in the Netherlands - PR Newswire - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- How Do Citizens See the Future of the European Union? - Hungarian Conservative - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- Global Gateway: The European Union to invest close to 300 million in the Pacific - EU Reporter - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- Russia jeopardizes nuclear safety and IAEA monitoring work European Union - Ukrinform - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- Treasury secretary says U.S. and European Union must partner to 'collapse' Russian economy - - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- European Union's preserved sardines market to grow at a steady 0.7% CAGR through 2035, driven by sustained demand, reaching 157K tons. - IndexBox - September 9th, 2025 [September 9th, 2025]
- Palestine recognition: the principle the EU has been stuck on for decades | European Union - The Guardian - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - AP News - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with massive fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - France 24 - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - ABC News - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Ukraine opens its first railway line with European track width standard, boosting the countrys integration with the European Union - Enlargement and... - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- China to impose temporary duties on European Union pork imports - Le Monde.fr - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - The Independent - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - El Paso Inc. - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- European Union's flat hot-rolled steel in coils market, forecast to grow at a 3.0% CAGR through 2035, is driven by sustained demand to reach $32.3B. -... - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- European Union's hot-rolled steel bar and rod market to grow at a CAGR of +1.7%, driven by rising demand, reaching 34M tons by 2035. - IndexBox - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - Bakersfield.com - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - Caledonian Record - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- Google hit with $3.5 billion fine from European Union in ad-tech antitrust case - Castanet - September 6th, 2025 [September 6th, 2025]
- European Union's Ready-Mixed Concrete and Factory Made Mortars Market to Expand at a CAGR of +1.1% through 2035 - IndexBox - September 5th, 2025 [September 5th, 2025]
- European Union's Base Metal Padlocks Market to Grow at a CAGR of +1.1% from 2024 to 2035, Reaching $364M by End of Forecast Period - IndexBox - September 5th, 2025 [September 5th, 2025]
- European Union's cored arc-welding wire market projected to experience slight growth, with CAGR of +1.4% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - September 5th, 2025 [September 5th, 2025]
- Drought and doubts: can the European Union help Greece and other thirsty Member States? - Yahoo News UK - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- Eurobarometer: Czechs Have Least Positive View of European Union of All Member States - Brno Daily - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Refined Palm Oil Market to Expand at +2.0% CAGR through 2035 - IndexBox - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Hormones, Prostaglandins, Thromboxanes, and Leukotrienes Market to Grow at 1.9% CAGR from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- Eurobarometer: 56 percent of Europeans support the expansion of the European Union - European Newsroom - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- Did The European Union Impose A Limit On The Size Of Georgias Army? - - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Iron or Steel Self-Tapping Screws Market to Reach 322K Tons by 2035 with a Value of $1.7B - IndexBox - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- European Union's Vegetable Oils Market to Experience Slight Growth with Anticipated CAGR of +1.4% by 2035 - IndexBox - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- European Union's Fish Fats and Oils Market to Grow at 1.0% CAGR, Reaching 609K Tons by 2035 - IndexBox - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- The European Union is considering using frozen Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine after the war - tesaaworld.com - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- European Union's Frozen Crustaceans Market to Witness +0.9% CAGR Growth by 2035 - IndexBox - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- European Union's Frozen Whole Fish Market: Anticipated +1.8% CAGR Growth Expected to Reach 2.1M Tons by 2035 - IndexBox - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- European Union's Printing and Writing Paper Market to see Slow but Steady Growth with +1.3% CAGR from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- The European Union Election Observation Mission deploys 20 short-term observers to all regions of Guyana - EEAS - August 29th, 2025 [August 29th, 2025]
- European Commission summons Russia's top diplomat in Brussels over attack that damaged European Union building in Kyiv - ABC News - August 29th, 2025 [August 29th, 2025]
- Google may face only a "minor penalty" in the latest antitrust case in the European Union, significantly lower than in previous years. - - August 29th, 2025 [August 29th, 2025]
- European Union's Newsprint Market to Experience Slight Growth with Expected CAGR of +1.7% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - August 29th, 2025 [August 29th, 2025]
- Poland is second after the leader in European Union maize exports - Trade.gov.pl - August 29th, 2025 [August 29th, 2025]
- European Union mulls removing US tariffs this week, Bloomberg News reports - Reuters - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- The European Union excluded Greenland from public consultations on the EU seal product ban. Why? - The Conversation - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- European Union mulls removing US tariffs this week, Bloomberg News reports - Denver Gazette - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- Construction in the European Union fell by 0.5% m/m in June - GMK Center - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- Facts on the ground: Confronting the hypocrisy of the European Union - JNS.org - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- European Union mulls removing US tariffs this week, Bloomberg News reports By Reuters - Investing.com - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- The State of the European Union 2025 - IIEA - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- European Mobility Week Car Free Day Concert from the Delegation of the European Union to Trkiye! - EEAS - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- 'A Principled, Thoughtful, and Steadfast Ally': CAM Reiterates Support for Embattled European Union Antisemitism Envoy Katharina von Schnurbein -... - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- Austria and Germany to become the first markets in the European Union (EU) to launch LEQEMBI (lecanemab) - Biogen - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Safety Headgear Market: Slow but Steady Growth Expected with a CAGR of +0.2% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- U.S. and European Union trade deal to remove 20 percent tariff on American bison exports to EU - kotatv.com - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Iron Table and Kitchen Articles Market to See Marginal Growth with CAGR of +0.1% - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Granite Building Stone Market to Experience Mild Growth with +1.0% CAGR from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Sunflower Oilcake Market to Grow at a CAGR of +0.9% by 2035, Reaching $2.4B in Value - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Paper Trays Market to Reach 656K Tons by 2035, Valued at $3.1B - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Uncoated Mechanical Printing and Writing Papers Market to Grow at +1.4% CAGR from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- European Union's Anionic Surface-Active Agents Market to Grow at 1.7% CAGR, Reaching 2M Tons by 2035 - IndexBox - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]