The Economic and Political Impact of Brexit on the European Union – Sputnik International
Brexit means the EU sheds one ofits largest annual contributorsthe UK contributesaround US$19.3 billion (18.2bn) leavingGermanyandFrancefar and away the largest donors, atUS$25.8 billion (24.3bn) and US$20.1 billion (19bn) respectively.
In interviews withlocal media, Commissioner Oettinger indicated cuts would be made tothe EU budget, particularly inthe field ofagricultural subsidies, butthese would be insufficient tocover the shortfall created bythe UK's departure, and other countries' contributions may have torise asa result. He suggested Germany would be obliged topay atleast US$4.8 billion (4.5bn) extra from2019.
It is not the first time Oettinger has expressed concern aboutthe fiscal impact ofBrexit onthe EU and his home country, although his forecasts forhow much it might cost have escalated overtime forinstance,he previously suggestedit may cost Germany an extra US$1 billion.
Nevertheless, the question ofwhat impact Brexit might have onindividual EU Member States, and the bloc overall, has rarely been considered inthe mainstream Western media.
Given the UK is theEU's third most populous member state, comprising 12.76 percent ofthe bloc's overall population, the country is a highly influential player inthe European Council and Parliament, and the UKspends more ondefensethan any other EU country.
The implications could be seismic, although analysis byUniversity College London (UCL) suggests a raft ofpotentially positive developments.
For one, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP)could be jettisoned outright the UK was a determined lobbyist infavor ofthe controversial trade deal, despitethe protestations ofleaders such asFrench President Francois Hollande.
AFP 2016/ FREDERICK FLORIN
Members of the European Parliament take part in a voting session as they hold signs against the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), on June 10, 2015, in the European Parliament in Strasbourg, eastern France
Brexit could also increase EU protectionism, asthe strength ofpotentially protectionist member states would grow.Open Europe analysisof Council voting patterns notes that underthe Council's Qualified Majority voting system, the Southern protectionist bloc (France, Italy, Spain, Greece, Portugal and Cyprus) and Northern liberal bloc (UK, Germany, Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, Finland and the Baltics) are ineffective deadlock.
Without the UK, the collective weight ofthe liberal bloc would decline, whereas the protectionist bloc would strengthen, producing a less open EU. Brexit would also alter Parliament's party landscape and ideological composition over60 percent ofthe UK's 73 MEPs currently sit withcenter-right and Eurokceptic groups.
While it's unclear whether the UK's seats will be lost or reallocated, their loss would arguably strengthen the left, asfor the first time inyears, progressive parties could form majorities withoutthe European People's Party. In an ironic twist, this may mean that if and when the UK is obliged toimport policies fromthe EU, they will be ofa more social democratic nature thanin the past.
REUTERS/ Vincent Kessler
Members of the European Parliament take part in a voting session at the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, December 14, 2016.
Moreover, Brexit could alter the balance ofpower withinthe EU inother ways too namely, bystrengthening Germany's position, while weakening smaller states.
VoteWatchdata shows that the UK's main voting allies are Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands Germany almost never votes the same way.
UCL contend this inturn will strengthen the Eurozone, which could replace the single market asthe EU's core and driving force. The UK has long been a staunch skeptic and critic ofthe single currency, withits leadersrepeatedly emphasizingthe need tokeep the Eurozone distinct fromthe EU. British withdrawal bydefinition means the end ofsuch pressure.
While strengthening some EU interests and objectives, Brexit could also have a deleterious impact inother areas.
For instance, Brexit will almost inevitably weaken the EU's global role the only question is how severely. Britain is the EU's foremost military power, and its membership means the EU can access the country's significant diplomatic network, intelligence capabilities and soft power.For instance, the LSE question whether the EU could have imposed sanctions onRussia withoutthe UK's international strength and note that post-Brexit, France would be the only major military power inthe EU, potentially undermining future development ofserious EU military capabilities, such asthe long-awaited EU army.
Brexit could even be the long-term trigger ofthe EU's eventual collapse. The period sincethe June 23 referendum has seen the rise toprominence ofanti-EU politicians incountries such asAustria, Denmark, France,the Netherlandsand Sweden.
Should Britain thrive outsidethe bloc, the case forother countries exiting would be strongly emboldened.
Continued here:
The Economic and Political Impact of Brexit on the European Union - Sputnik International
- Carney says Canada will decide its own partnerships after Trump calls EU proposal laughable - CNBC - September 20th, 2026 [September 20th, 2026]
- Mapped: The European Union in 2026, and Whats Next - Visual Capitalist - September 20th, 2026 [September 20th, 2026]
- State of the European Union 2026: GLOBSEC Experts Weigh In - GLOBSEC - September 20th, 2026 [September 20th, 2026]
- The European Union participates at the launch of the Strategic Plan 20262028 of the African Union Office of the Special Envoy on Women, Peace and... - September 20th, 2026 [September 20th, 2026]
- Carney welcomes proposal for Canada to be European Union's first associate member - Le Monde.fr - September 20th, 2026 [September 20th, 2026]
- Relations with the European Union - North Atlantic Treaty Organization | NATO - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Owning the middle: What India's BRICS presidency says about the future of multilateralism - European Union Institute for Security Studies | - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- A Serbia that mourns Mladi and rallies behind Vui cannot join the European Union - EUobserver - September 8th, 2026 [September 8th, 2026]
- Spanish City Overwhelmed by Moroccan Migrant Influx Pleads For Help From European Union - The New York Sun - September 8th, 2026 [September 8th, 2026]
- International Day Commemorating the Victims of Acts of Violence based on Religion or Belief: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the... - August 23rd, 2026 [August 23rd, 2026]
- European Union launches a new EUR143 million Annual Action Plan (AAP) 2026 for Malawi - European External Action Service (EEAS) - August 23rd, 2026 [August 23rd, 2026]
- European Union Foreign Policy and the Global Climate Regime - ActuaLitt.com - August 23rd, 2026 [August 23rd, 2026]
- Volodymyr Zelensky requests the European Union for 30 billion euros in aid to finance Ukraine's defense. - Informat.ro - August 23rd, 2026 [August 23rd, 2026]
- Is the U.S. driving Iceland to join the European Union? - DW.com - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- European Union Brackish Water Reverse Osmosis Systems - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- Uefa takes inspiration from European Union in plan to oust Gianni Infantino and reform Fifa - The Independent - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- European Union marks International Youth Day in Nepal with a day of opportunity, innovation and youth leadership - EEAS - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- European Union Indirect Fired Heaters - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - August 16th, 2026 [August 16th, 2026]
- 'Migrant tunnels' used by foreigners to smuggle into European Union exposed as border crisis deepens - GB News - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- European Union IP Rated Enclosures - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- International Day of the Worlds Indigenous Peoples, 9 August 2026: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union -... - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Gaza: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union - consilium.europa.eu - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- On the Anniversary of the 2008 War, the European Union Condemns Russia's Actions in Georgia - sovanews.tv - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- 'Superauthoritarian Governance': Abolish the European Union, the Sooner the Better - voz.us - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Ukraine PM: The European Union has provided an additional 30 million to the Ukraine Energy Support Fund, bringing its total contribution to the Fund... - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- European Union intensifies its fascist migration policies in wake of Ceuta - World Socialist Web Site - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Why heroism alone is not enough for Ukraines accession to the European Union - EUalive - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Bialiatski: Joining the European Union is not a question of "I want or I don't want," it's a question of the - - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Venezuela: The IRC and the European Union strengthen health and protection response following earthquakes - International Rescue Committee - August 4th, 2026 [August 4th, 2026]
- The Irish Presidency of the Council of the European Union Should Welcome Scrutiny from Academia - Tech Policy Press - August 4th, 2026 [August 4th, 2026]
- Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union on Iran - consilium.europa.eu - August 4th, 2026 [August 4th, 2026]
- The European Union disburses a new tranche of 1.5 billion euros to Egypt - Financial Afrik - August 4th, 2026 [August 4th, 2026]
- European Union to hold emergency talks to address migration crisis in Ceuta - The Indian Awaaz - August 4th, 2026 [August 4th, 2026]
- European Union gives its greenlight to Paramount and Warner's mega merger with some conditions - AP News - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- The European Union Is Splinteringand Some Say Thats the Only Way to Revive It - WSJ - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Competing for inputs: how the European Union can improve critical raw materials supply security - Bruegel - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Aidoptation Receives Approval for First Fully Autonomous Driving Tests on Highways in the European Union - Business Wire - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- 'If Ukraine falls, this will be the end of the European Union and the end of Europe's future' - France 24 - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- European Union Sensor Protection Tubes - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- European Union Automotive Raindrop Sensor - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Speech by President Antnio Costa at the opening ceremony of the Irish Presidency of the Council of the European Union - consilium.europa.eu - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- The future of the European Union's Cohesion Policy in the next Multiannual Financial Framework post-2027 - Committee of the Regions - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- The thin blue line: the European Union and the future of Lebanons security beyond UNIFIL - PubAffairs Bruxelles - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- A decade after Brexit, UK voters reflect on decision to break from European Union - PBS - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Dispatch from Tivat: What Montenegro still needs to do to join the European Union - Atlantic Council - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Representatives Of The Taliban Have Made Their First Official Visit To The European Union - i24NEWS - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Strengthening the Strategic Partnership between the European Union and Kazakhstan - consilium.europa.eu - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Specialty Blend Surfactants - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Canada and the European Union Joint Statement on the United Nations Secretary-General, Antnio Guterres' Call to Action on Methane -... - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Calcium Grease - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Inflatable Air Cushion Packs - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Polyurethane Injection Grouts - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Calcined Lime - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Bauxite Feedstock - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- European Union Gearbox Oil Additives - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Human Rights Watch: European Union Member States Meeting with the Taliban Is Hypocrisy - KabulNow - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Receives Marketing Authorization in the European Union for REDEMPLO (plozasiran) to Reduce Triglycerides in Adults with... - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Video. Will the UK rejoin the European Union? MEPs debate Brexit on The Ring - Euronews - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Tax Alert: Ruling of the General Court of the European Union (the EU General Court) on the VAT treatment of post-sale loan management services -... - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Euroviews. Kazakhstan and the European Union: Building the next chapter of a strategic partnership - Euronews - June 22nd, 2026 [June 22nd, 2026]
- European Union Going To Put Tariffs On Plugin Hybrids From China Now? - CleanTechnica - June 22nd, 2026 [June 22nd, 2026]
- If the UK wants to rejoin the European Union, it first needs to understand it - European Council on Foreign Relations - June 22nd, 2026 [June 22nd, 2026]
- Watch Danish and Swedish at European Union Film Festival in Bangkok this week - Scandasia - June 22nd, 2026 [June 22nd, 2026]
- European Union Wave Washers Stainless Steel - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Surgical Towel Clamps - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Rotary Adsorption Contactors - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Buffer Preparation Systems - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Sample Vials and Inserts - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Rapid Pregnancy Test Kits - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Rapid Strep Test Cartridges - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- European Union Abrasive Finishing Media - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights - IndexBox - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- STATEMENT | COMECE President reacts to European Parliament vote on the Return Regulation - The Catholic Church in the European Union - June 17th, 2026 [June 17th, 2026]
- Stavros Lambrinidis, Ambassador of the European Union to the United Nations Statement on Behalf of the European Union and Its Member States at the UN... - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- The right balance: how to fix European Union artificial intelligence regulation - Bruegel - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- The European Union and Equity Group Foundation join forces to expand global education pathways for top performing Kenyan scholars - EEAS - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Apple and Brussels blame each other for delaying European Union rollout of Siri AI - The Killeen Daily Herald - June 10th, 2026 [June 10th, 2026]
- Apple says Siri AI will be delayed in the European Union because of regulations - PhoneArena - June 10th, 2026 [June 10th, 2026]
- Kyrgyzstan and Germany Set for New Air Travel Links as European Union Removes Two-Decade Flight Restrictions on Kyrgyz Airlines: What This Means for... - June 10th, 2026 [June 10th, 2026]
- The European Union announces a new package of sanctions against Russia, including freezing the oil price ceiling - - June 10th, 2026 [June 10th, 2026]
- The European Union allocates an additional $18 million to combat Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo - - June 10th, 2026 [June 10th, 2026]