No-deal Brexit is the most likely outcome of trade talks, former EU chief says – CNBC
President of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker delivers a speech during a session of the European Parliament on Brexit on January 30, 2019 in Brussels, Belgium.
Thierry Monasse | Getty Images
U.K. and EU negotiators are unlikely to reach a trade agreement in the coming months, Jean-Claude Juncker, the former president of the European Commission, said at an event Tuesday.
The two negotiating teams started their eighth round of discussions over new trade arrangements on Tuesday a necessary step after the U.K. left the European Union in January and agreed to work toward a trade deal with the bloc, to be implemented in January 2021.
However, the trade talks have not made any significant progress so far and there are growing doubts that this will change in the coming weeks.
"The situation is not developing in the best direction possible," Jean-Claude Juncker, who led the executive arm of the EU between 2014 and 2019, said at an event hosted by financial services company Principal.
"No deal is the most possible and probable, the only outcome of the negotiations," Juncker, who often played a key role in prior Brexit negotiations, said.
Tensions between both sides of the English Channel have risen in recent days, with reports that the U.K. government is preparing to override parts of the Withdrawal Agreement the deal that allowed for its orderly departure and for a transition period throughout 2020.
Flouting parts of that agreement would diminish trust in trade talks; the EU has said that the implementation of the Withdrawal Agreement is a precondition to any trade deal.
"I trust the British government to implement the Withdrawal Agreement, an obligation under international law and prerequisite for any future partnership," Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, said Monday.
In addition, U.K. and EU negotiators have been unable to agree on state aid and new rules on fisheries since trade talks began earlier this year.
Speaking Sunday evening, U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that if they could not overcome these differences by October 15, "then I do not see that there will be a free trade agreement between us.
This would mean that as of January 1, EU-U.K. trade would follow the World Trade Organization rules. In practical terms, this could increase costs for companies on both sides.
According to Juncker, the U.K. government doesn't "understand that there is no way to be part of the internal market without agreeing to common rules."
Read more:
No-deal Brexit is the most likely outcome of trade talks, former EU chief says - CNBC
- European Union contributes 4.4 million for child protection and education in Ukraine - ReliefWeb - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- Trump threatens the European Union with 35% tariffs if they do not invest 600 billion dollars in the United States - metroworldnews.com - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- European Union says it's pausing retaliatory tariffs against the US amid trade talks - Scripps News - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- European Union assumes its faces 15% tariffs in the US from Friday. But a key text still isn't ready - ABC News - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- Goodis expands Swedish candy delivery to European Union - NJBIZ - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- European Union expects 15% U.S. tariffs on Friday, but key document still not complete - PBS - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- US Travelers Obtaining ETIAS Authorization to Visit European Union Nations Starting in 2026: Heres More You Need to Know - Travel And Tour World - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union allocates 1.1mn to address urgent water crisis in Iraq - bne IntelliNews - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union Seeks Approval To Remove Liquid Limit In Carry-On Luggage bags, Allowing Up to Two Liters At Airports - Travel And Tour World - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Quinoa Market to Grow at CAGR of +2.5%, Reaching $104M by 2035 - IndexBox - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Phosphinates and Phosphonates Market: Volume to Reach 26K Tons and Value to Hit $79M by 2035 - IndexBox - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- Statement of the European Union and its Member States on the 5th anniversary of the Beirut Port blast - EEAS - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union Triples Visitor Entry Fee for Travelers What You Need to Know - Travel And Tour World - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- Dodik: The verdict was created by the European Union, Schmidt is the source of disorder in BiH - European Newsroom - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union's Roasted Chicory Market Expected to See 1.5% CAGR Growth, Reaching $674M by 2035 - IndexBox - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- The agreement with the European Union holds: Trump confirms the 15% tariffs. - L'Unione Sarda.it - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union expects to face 15% US tariffs from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - newspressnow.com - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- European Union expects to face 15% US tariffs from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - AP News - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- U.S. and European Union reach trade pact that sets 15-per-cent tariff on EU goods - The Globe and Mail - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- European Union expects to face 15% US tariffs from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - WDIO.com - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- The United States and European Union Trade Deal - Forvis Mazars US - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- European Union assumes it faces 15% tariffs in the US from Friday. But a key text still isnt ready - fox5sandiego.com - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- The United States and the European Union Reach a Trade Deal - Council on Foreign Relations - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- No Majority in the European Union to Suspend Funding for Israeli Startups - Haaretz - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- President Trump and European Union President Speak After Meeting in Turnberry, Scotland - C-SPAN - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Following a European Union Trade Deal, Heres the Top Move You Should Make Today - Yahoo Finance - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- U.S. and European Union trade deal could cost the pharma industry up to $19 billion - Fast Company - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- United States and European Union come to terms on trade deal framework - logisticsmgmt.com - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Fact Sheet: The United States and European Union Reach Massive Trade Deal - kboi.com - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Reaction to the European Union's trade agreement with the Trump administration - Midland Daily News - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- What's at stake with the European Union-U.S. trading partnership if a tariff deal isn't reached - Wyoming Public Media - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- China and the European Union Europea: The summit that wasnt - Pressenza - International Press Agency - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- A group of 32 long-term observers from the European Union were deployed today to the nine departments of Bolivia - EEAS - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- The French rebel against a pesticide authorised for use in the European Union - Euronews.com - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- European Union has the votes to impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. - upi.com - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- European Union: Concerns over systematic restrictions against solidarity with the Palestinian people - fidh.org - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- China and the European Union: The End of Strategic Ambiguity - Robert Lansing Institute - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- The European Union Could Force All Rental Car Companies to Buy EVs As Early As 2030 - Road & Track - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union | ETIAS fee has increased to 20 euros - BAL Immigration Law - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Black Printing Ink Market to See Modest Growth with CAGR of +1.4% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Confirmed Trump imposes 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico as of August 1 - Blanquivioletas - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Acyclic Hydrocarbons Derivatives Market to Experience Slight Growth with CAGR of +0.7% - IndexBox - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Almond Market to Grow at a Decelerating Rate with a CAGR of +0.8% from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- European Union's Wheat Market Expected to Reach 118M Tons and $34.3B by 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Nail and Bolt Market to Grow at +1.2% CAGR Over the Next Decade - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's HVAC Equipment Market to Grow at +1.0% CAGR, Reaching 932M Units by 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Vacuum Pumps and Air or Gas Compressors Market to Witness 1.8% CAGR Growth from 2024 to 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Confectionery Market to Experience Slow Growth with CAGR of +1.2% - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union increasing pressure on Russia to end invasion of Ukraine - WFAA - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- European Union's Flat Hot-Rolled Steel in Coils Market to Grow at +1.4% CAGR, Reaching 37M Tons by 2035 - IndexBox - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- The European Union Passed Its Artificial Intelligence Bill. Will It Enforce It? - Billboard - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- Solidarity visit to Ukraine: COMECE witnesses the scale of human loss - The Catholic Church in the European Union - July 20th, 2025 [July 20th, 2025]
- Briefing paper for the 13th European Union-Vietnam human rights dialogue - fidh.org - July 18th, 2025 [July 18th, 2025]
- How Important Are the Turkic States to the European Union, and in What Areas? - Hungarian Conservative - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- European Union threatens tariff retaliation after Trumps trade move - CGTN America - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- European Union Responds to Trump Tariffs by Targeting Boeing, U.S. Cars and Bourbon - CPA Practice Advisor - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- EU expands sanctions against Russia for destabilization in the European Union and Ukraine - - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- Nine Iranian individuals and entities added to the European Union's new sanctions list - Iran Focus - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- European Union to delay retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods in hopes of reaching deal - CBS News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces tariffs of 30% on Mexico and the European Union - CNN - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Video Trump threatens the European Union and Mexico with new tariffs - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- European Union on the ropes as Trump and China turn the screws - South China Morning Post - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces tariffs on European Union, Mexico starting in August - CBS News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- EUR/USD rises to near 1.1700 due to Trumps tariff threats on European Union - FXStreet - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump: European Union in discussions with us on trade - Forex Factory - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces 30% tariffs on Mexico and European Union starting Aug. 1 - CBS News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump Announces 30% Tariffs On European Union And Mexico As Trade War Ramps Up Again - HuffPost - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces 30% tariff on European Union and Mexico - The Economic Times - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Trump announces 30 percent tariffs against European Union and Mexico - The Boston Globe - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump announces shocking new tariffs for European Union and Mexico that will have a major impact - UNILAD - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump announces tariffs of 30% on Mexico and the European Union - KTVZ - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Israel, European Union reach deal on more aid, fuel deliveries to Gaza - The Washington Post - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump hits the European Union (EU) with a 30% tariff, starting on August 1 - Forexlive | Forex News, Technical Analysis & Trading Tools - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions from passenger cars in the European Union: A 2025 update and key factors to consider - International Council on... - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump's 30% tariff threat on European Union goods a negotiation tactic: EU officials - Mint - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- European Union's Dental Fittings Market to Reach 14M Units and $13.1B in Value by 2035 - IndexBox - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Bigger, better funded and focused on public goods: how to revamp the European Union budget - Bruegel - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- European Union Special Representatives for the Sahel and the Horn of Africa visit Addis Ababa - EEAS - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Iceland : The 28th member state of the European Union ? Le Taurillon - treffpunkteuropa.de - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- European Union's Caramel Market to Reach 606K Tons and $838M by 2035 - IndexBox - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]