Market news: Turkish lira jumps on Erdogan victory …
The Turkish lira climbed on Monday following news of another election victory for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and a parliamentary majority for an alliance led by his party.
The currency rose 3% against the dollar and the euro, to its highest level in two weeks after the results were confirmed. It has since stabilized.
The chart below shows the downward move of the euro as the lira rose:
Markets Insider
Erdogan secured 52.5% of the votes according to the state-run Anadolu Agency, with only 2% of ballots left to be counted, amounting to a strong enough majority to avoid run-off elections.
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The elections were conducted amidst human rights abuses and what Amnesty International called "a climate of fear." Erdogan's hold on power follows a crackdown against the opposition in Turkey which has seen acedmeics, students, politcians and others dissidents jailed.
One of the presidential candidates, Selahattin Demirta, ran his campaign from prison in Edirne, where he has been detained under charges of terrorism.
But commentators said the assurance of political stability that Erdogan and his majority maintain has at least temporarily attracted investors back to the market.
But the lira is still down 16% against the dollar this year following what has been called a spreading EM debt contagion, and concern remains over long term issues with the country and its currency, which investors may again focus on after the election passes.
"In the past, Turkish assets have responded positively to political events that were perceived as increasing political stability," analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note before the election.
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"However, President Erdogan's comments on monetary policy during the election campaignadvocating lower interest rates and indicating that he would play a more active role in monetary policyhave raised concerns over the future direction of monetary policy in the event of this outcome," Goldman added.
Erdogan has previously described high interest rates as "the mother and father of all evils." Investors have expressed concern over the views and a leaning to other unorthodox monetary policies.
The Turkish currency has lost nearly 75% of its value against the dollar in the last ten years.
"The recent financial market turmoil means that a sharp slowdown is [in] the cards," Jason Tuvey, senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics said in a note to clients.
"The risks stemming from the election are more likely to materialize over the longer termin particular, the risk that an Erdogan-AKP government pursues much looser fiscal and monetary policy."
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Market news: Turkish lira jumps on Erdogan victory ...
- Turkey's Erdogan says Iran war must stop before whole region dragged in - Reuters - March 17th, 2026 [March 17th, 2026]
- Erdogan says Turkey will not get dragged into Mideast war after Iranian missile incidents - The Times of Israel - March 17th, 2026 [March 17th, 2026]
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- Erdogan says Syrian government-SDF agreement is positive step toward stability - - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
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- Why Somaliland is furious with Erdogan - The Africa Report - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
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- Erdogan Warns on Israels Somaliland Recognition - - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
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- President Erdogan in Ethopia to celebrate century of ties - Trkiye Today - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Erdogan seals Kante transfer to Fenerbahce in talks with Saudi crown prince - Middle East Eye - February 4th, 2026 [February 4th, 2026]
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- Turkey Issues Two NAVTEX Notices in the Aegean Ahead of Mitsotakis-Erdogan Meeting - greekcitytimes.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
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- Israel to bar Bilal Erdogan, 28 Turks as ICC-wanted Netanyahu skips Davos over arrest fears - Trkiye Today - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
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- Trump says he had a very good call with Turkish President Erdogan - whbl.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
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- Erdogan chooses the ayatollahs over the Iranian people - Washington Examiner - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Erdogan will soon decide whether to join Trumps Board of Peace - ekathimerini.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Erdogan will decide soon on Trumps Board of Peace invite, FM says - timesofisrael.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- How Erdogan's big win in Syria could put the U.S. and Israel on a collision course - Haaretz - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Erdogan is ISIS at heart and a jihadist at soul - ekathimerini.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Erdogan: Iran Will Overcome Recent Plots Through Prudence and Diplomacy - WANA News Agency - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
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- Trump asks Turkiyes Erdogan, Egypts el-Sisi to join Gaza board of peace - Al Jazeera - January 18th, 2026 [January 18th, 2026]
- Milei, Erdogan Invited to Join Trumps Gaza Board of Peace - Bloomberg - January 18th, 2026 [January 18th, 2026]