6 explosive moments that could still come in Russia probe – Politico
After two high-stakes congressional hearings, President Donald Trump faces more explosive moments to come in the expanding criminal investigation that has consumed Washington.
The president and his attorneys are showing an increasing willingness to play hardball in their defense, raising the prospects of drag-out fights over everything from Oval Office tape recordings (if there are any) to the president testifying before a grand jury.
Story Continued Below
Although special counsel Robert Mueller and key House and Senate committees set out to investigate whether Trumps team worked with Russia to win the White House, their path could end up being defined by these sidebar showdowns, where theres little history beyond Watergate or Monica Lewinsky to guide them.
A set of two precedents is not a big set of precedents, said Samuel Buell, a former federal prosecutor and Duke University law professor. You also have to say whatever the Trump story ends up being, its probably going to be something else.
The Trump-Russia investigation is moving at a breakneck pace compared with past White House scandals. To help keep up, here are six potent powder kegs awaiting Trump, Mueller and Congress:
Executive privilege
The White House decided not to block ex-FBI Director James Comeys testimony about his own firing and interactions with Trump before the Senate Intelligence Committee last week.
Attorney General Jeff Sessions, meantime, repeatedly sidestepped questions Tuesday from his former Senate colleagues about Comeys firing, explaining that Trump had decided not to invoke executive privilege yet.
At this point, I believe its premature to discuss private interactions with the president, Sessions told frustrated Democrats on the Senate panel.
Trump and his attorneys can expect to face the same decision again and again about whether to resist giving full answers or handing over documents if they think questions and requests from Congress or Mueller probe too deep into their internal communications.
Legally, Trump wont have much to lean on if he wants to hold back information. Presidents havent been very successful in their attempts to block inquiries, and it would be even harder to assert privilege if a court believed the materials in demand would help in determining the existence of a criminal violation.
Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time.
The Supreme Courts unanimous 1974 decision rejecting President Richard Nixons attempts to withhold private presidential tape recordings and other materials despite a subpoena also looms over any executive privilege debate.
Trump hasnt given an explanation since a mid-May warning to Comey on Twitter that hed better hope that there are no tapes of our conversations, but legal history isnt on his side if tapes exist and he wants to protect them.
The tape issue could come to a head soon. The House Intelligence Committee has asked White House Counsel Don McGahn to say whether there are tape recordings, and theres a June 23 deadline to turn any relevant materials over to the panel.
Lawyer versus lawyer
More than a dozen lawyers are already working on behalf of Trump and his associates in the Russia investigation, representing everyone from the president himself to senior White House aide Jared Kushner, former national security adviser Michael Flynn, former campaign chairman Paul Manafort, Trump personal attorney Michael Cohen and former campaign advisers Carter Page, Roger Stone, Boris Epshteyn and Michael Caputo.
More lawyers mean more complications.
There are already the makings of a clash between Trumps personal attorney Marc Kasowitz, who is taking the lead on all public crisis communication on the Russia scandal and has reportedly discouraged White House staff from retaining their own private counsel, and the lawyers who take on Trump aides as clients.
His duty is to Trump not White House staff, said Jane Sherburne, a former Clinton White House attorney. So first and foremost, White House staff should understand that he is not looking out for their interests.
Trump aides who dont have their own attorneys may be at risk of making decisions or enabling the creation of a record without having fully understood the potential consequences for them, Sherburne said.
Even as Kasowitz may suggest their interests are aligned with Trumps, he is not in a position to evaluate that for the staff, and they would be wise to get independent professional advice about their own risk, she added.
Trumps tax returns
Democrats and Republicans alike have been gunning for Trumps tax returns since the heat of the 2016 campaign. Blue states like California and New York are trying to pass laws requiring candidates running in their 2020 presidential primaries to file reams of tax documents to get on the ballot. And the attorneys general of Maryland and the District of Columbia filed a federal lawsuit Monday over Trumps businesses, largely in hopes theyll get ahold of his tax returns.
But theres one venue where the presidents tax records may be most susceptible to discovery: the Russia investigation.
It shows the chaos around Washington that nobody has really started to talk about this yet, a Justice Department lawyer told Politico Magazine in a story published last month. But finally, I think, someone is going to get their hands on Donald Trumps tax returns. And that man is Robert Mueller.
Mueller could get a federal judges sign-off on the release of Trumps returns so long as he can show there is reason to believe a crime has been committed and the documents would help the case.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin may not be thrilled with the IRS releasing those materials, and white-collar veterans wouldnt reject the idea the White House might spoil for a fight. But if it happens, its possible Trump may not even be notified of a court order to the IRS.
The move does not require a formal subpoena or the action of a grand jury; veteran federal prosecutors said it could all take place in a matter of hours, the Politico story noted.
A grand jury
The federal courthouse in Washington could become the center of the political universe.
While Mueller has other options, including just across the Potomac River in Alexandria, Virginia, the Constitution Avenue location is a likely spot where he might convene a grand jury for witness testimony in his investigation and for potential criminal indictments.
You will eventually have a bit of a circus outside the grand jury building, said Adam Goldberg, a former Clinton White House crisis communications official.
Grand jury hearings dont take place in public, though the witnesses are free to talk about the experience when its over. But reporters often camp out by the buildings anyway to try to learn whats happening in a special prosecution case eager to pick up clues based on who is called in to testify.
Thats not his only option. Mueller can also do official witness interviews away from a grand jury spotlight and its there that he can negotiate with a witness attorneys over everything from whether theres a video recording of the proceedings to the granting of immunity from prosecution.
A white-collar attorney said participating in these interviews is at the discretion of the witness. Therefore, everything about it is negotiable because you have no duty to do it, the attorney said.
Trump himself could even find himself before a grand jury. Last week, the president said hed be 100 percent ready to testify under oath on the Russia probe, and White House press secretary Sean Spicer clarified Monday that the president was referring to appearances before Mueller and not Congress.
There is some precedent for that. Bill Clinton was the first president to testify as a subject of a grand jury investigation, appearing in 1998 via closed-circuit television from the White House to talk about his relationship with intern Monica Lewinsky. President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney gave interviews in their offices not grand jury testimony during the special prosecutor investigation into who leaked the identity of CIA operative Valerie Plame Wilson.
Whether Trump follows through with his offer to speak with Mueller remains to be seen. Hed also have the option to invoke his Fifth Amendment right, refusing to incriminate himself.
Among the Trump officials who are expected to get Mueller inquiries: Anyone Comey mentioned last week in his public testimony related to the Feb. 14 Oval Office meeting where the president allegedly pulled him aside to talk about the Flynn probe, suggesting he let this go.
Vice President Mike Pence, chief of staff Reince Priebus, Sessions and Kushner were in the room before Trump asked them to leave, Comey said.
If youre Mueller, youd want to know from Priebus what the president told him after that meeting. And youd want to know what he told Jared, Goldberg said. All the senior staff are potential grand jury witnesses.
Presidential interference
Some of Trumps leading surrogates, including Ann Coulter and Newt Gingrich, have urged the president to consider dumping Mueller, which Newsmax CEO Chris Ruddy said was under discussion by senior aides during his visit to the White House on Monday.
Trump could certainly make it happen, though it wouldnt be without controversy.
Under the DOJs special counsel regulations, Mueller could be removed only by the personal action of the Attorney General. Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein has that role because of Sessions recusal from all-things-Russia, and Rosenstein testified on Tuesday that hed ignore calls to oust Mueller unless the orders were lawful and appropriate.
Democrats and even some Republicans are warning that should Trump fire Mueller, it would trigger a crisis on the magnitude of the Saturday Night Massacre the 1973 moment when Nixon fired his attorney general and deputy attorney general after both refused to fire Watergate special prosecutor Archibald Cox.
House Intelligence Committee ranking member Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) said on Twitter that if Trump fired his special counsel, Congress would re-establish a law that lets it pick an independent prosecutor and appoint Bob Mueller. Ruddy, meantime, said in an interview he disagreed with the idea of going after Mueller. I think firing Mueller could trigger an impeachment process, he said.
Indictments
The special counsel probe could be wide-ranging. Trumps firing of Comey has prompted speculation hes opened himself up to an obstruction of justice charge. Mueller also may find himself digging into any connections between the Trump Organization and Russian banks or how WikiLeaks obtained stolen emails from Hillary Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta.
Its all fair game, said Peter Zeidenberg, a former federal prosecutor who worked at DOJ during the Wilson investigation.
As Mueller brings the probe to a close, he could face perhaps the most explosive of all decisions: whether to prosecute the president himself.
John Carlin, a former senior Obama-era Justice Department official, published a Washington Post op-ed earlier this month that ticked through the complicated scenario. While Mueller may find it appropriate to indict Trump, Carlin noted DOJs Office of Legal Counsel has long taken the position that the president cannot be prosecuted or even indicted while still in office.
Thats how DOJ dealt with Nixon in 1973 and Clinton in 2000, though Carlin said the topic remains subject to heated legal debate.
If Mueller closes his investigation without bringing charges against Trump, does that mean that evidence might exist of a presidential crime left unprosecuted? he wrote. And what would happen next? As of now, it is anybodys guess.
Missing out on the latest scoops? Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
Go here to see the original:
6 explosive moments that could still come in Russia probe - Politico
- Opinion | Donald Trump is fighting a conspiracy the only way he knows how - The Washington Post - July 18th, 2025 [July 18th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Underwent Vascular Tests After Swelling In His Legs, Diagnosed With Chronic Venous Insufficiency - Deadline - July 18th, 2025 [July 18th, 2025]
- Why Donald Trump is facing doubts in the manosphere - CNN - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- Donald Trump says those interested in Jeffrey Epstein inquiry are bad people - The Guardian - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Responds When Asked If He Was Told His Name Was in Epstein Files - Newsweek - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- Gavin Newsom's Warning to Donald Trump Over Plan for Texas Republicans - Newsweek - July 16th, 2025 [July 16th, 2025]
- Rosie O'Donnell Scoffs At Donald Trump's Threat To Revoke Her Citizenship - Vanity Fair - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Buckingham Palace Announces Dates of Donald Trump's State Visit to the U.K. and It's Happening Soon - People.com - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Butler one year later: Revisiting the historic assassination attempt against Donald Trump - Fox News - July 14th, 2025 [July 14th, 2025]
- Donald Trump announces 30% tariffs on goods from the EU and Mexico - The Guardian - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump Broke His Social Security Vow -- and It May Be the Best Thing That's Happened to Retirees - Yahoo Finance - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Donald Trump's frustration with Vladimir Putin prompts shift of tone on Ukraine - Financial Times - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Donald Trump, the Club World Cup final, and how security protect VIPs at major sporting events - The Athletic - The New York Times - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Donald Trump and the Scots: A not-so special relationship - BBC - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Does Donald Trump deserve the Nobel Peace Prize? We asked 5 experts - The Conversation - July 10th, 2025 [July 10th, 2025]
- Mary Trump Issues Warning on Long-Term Impact of Donald Trump Move - Newsweek - July 10th, 2025 [July 10th, 2025]
- Donald Trump threatens to impose 50% tariff on Brazil - Financial Times - July 10th, 2025 [July 10th, 2025]
- Is the Hispanic Red Wave for Donald Trump Starting to Crash? - The New Yorker - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump's approval rating by state as of July 2025 - Yahoo - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Sending More Weapons to Ukraine: What We Know - Newsweek - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- It Appears Elon Musk REALLY Pissed Off Donald Trump This Time, And I'm Convinced They're DUNZO - Yahoo - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Wants to Add His Face to Mount Rushmore. Here's What Its Former Keeper Says About 'the Reality of the Rock' - Yahoo News - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Map Shows Donald Trump's Approval Rating in Every State on 4th of July - Newsweek - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Keir Starmer says good relationship with Donald Trump based on shared family values - The Guardian - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Donald Trump's 'Big, Beautiful Bill' Heads Back to the House: What's Next? - Newsweek - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- The play-by-play of the 24-hour war of words between Elon Musk and Donald Trump - Business Insider - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump Says Hes Found a Group of Very Wealthy People to Buy TikTok and Keep App in U.S. - Variety - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Says Group Of "Very Wealthy People" Looking To Acquire TikTok - Deadline - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Confirmed to Return with Speaking Part in Disney World's Hall of Presidents - WDWMagic - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Warns NY Mayor Candidate Zohran Mamdani: 'Do the Right Thing' - Newsweek - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Donald Trump says 'very wealthy group' has agreed to buy TikTok in the US - Sky News - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Orchestrated grovel: critics react to Europes attempts to tame Donald Trump - The Guardian - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Is About to Confront the Real Reason the US Keeps Starting Wars - Politico - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Cuts Off Trade Talks With Canada, 'Effective Immediately' - Newsweek - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Jen's Version: Are we really going to pretend Donald Trump is concerned about classified material? - MSNBC News - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Makes Major Change to Mortgages: What to Know - Newsweek - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- 'It's possible' Putin will invade more than Ukraine, says Donald Trump - Euronews.com - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Nobel Peace Prize Nomination Withdrawn - Newsweek - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Dear heads of state: Donald Trump wont love you back. He may be the worst boyfriend the world has ever seen - The Guardian - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene Flips Out Over 'Dirty Rumors' About Her And Donald Trump - Yahoo - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- 'How angry Donald Trump is': Social media reacts to Trump dropping F-bomb live on TV - Times of India - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- President Donald Trump: The strikes were a spectacular military success - Fox News - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump Bombs Iran, and America Waits - The New Yorker - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Bombing Iran, Donald Trump is triggering a tragedy that Thucydides foretold long ago - The Forward - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Is Donald Trump an Antagonist or Champion of the Gay Community? - The New York Times - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump to Address Nation After Attacking Iran Nuclear Sites - Newsweek - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump says US has attacked three Iranian nuclear sites and totally obliterated them - The Guardian - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Juventus meet Donald Trump at the White House as he discusses Iran conflict and transgender women in sport - The New York Times - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Trump denies approving Iran attack plan but will make decision within two weeks | Donald Trump - The Guardian - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Donald Trump's National Park Tip Line Flooded With Angry Messages - Newsweek - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Opinion | What the Godfather of American Conservatism Would Think About Donald Trump - Politico - June 16th, 2025 [June 16th, 2025]
- The quiet truce between Gavin Newsom and Donald Trump is over - CalMatters - June 10th, 2025 [June 10th, 2025]
- Gavin Newsom Dares Donald Trump to Arrest Him: 'Get It Over With' - Newsweek - June 10th, 2025 [June 10th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Accused Of Inciting Violence With Chilling New Rhyme - Yahoo News - June 10th, 2025 [June 10th, 2025]
- Opinion | Donald Trump vs. California (and everywhere else) - The Washington Post - June 10th, 2025 [June 10th, 2025]
- 'So much for being nice guy': Donald Trump reignites trade tensions, warns China it has violated tariff d - Times of India - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- Mike Pence Accuses Donald Trump of Ignoring Constitution - Newsweek - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- We demanded justice after George Floyds death. Donald Trump made things worse, but we fight on | Al Sharpton - The Guardian - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Posts All-Caps Memorial Day Message Attacking USA Hating Judges And Scum Who Are Trying To Destroy Our Country - Deadline - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- CNN abruptly stopped for breaking news as Donald Trump explodes at reporter over Ukraine question - The Mirror US - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Donald Trump is throttling Americas oil industry - The Economist - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Donald Trump prizes more Gulf investment in the US - BBC - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Vows to Reduce Prescription Drug Costs by Up to 80 Percent - Newsweek - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- What is habeas corpus and why might Donald Trump want to suspend it? - BBC - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Donald Trump calls for 20,000 new officers to aid with deportations - BBC - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Donald Trump is a bigger threat to UK than terrorists, poll says - politico.eu - May 8th, 2025 [May 8th, 2025]
- Donald Trump to announce 'major trade deal' with a big and highly respected nation - Times of India - May 8th, 2025 [May 8th, 2025]
- Donald Trump picks the wrong trade fight with China - The Economist - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Donald Trump says he will be talking to Australias prime minister about tariffs - The Guardian - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Names His Dream Successor for Pope Francis Ahead of the Papal Conclave - People.com - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Giants say they had no conversations with Donald Trump about Saquon Barkley - NBC Sports - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Donald Trump is proving disastrous for big tech - The Economist - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Opinion | Donald Trump Is Selling the White House to the Highest Bidder - The New York Times - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- 'Kicking butt' or 'going too fast'? Donald Trump voters reflect on 100 days - BBC - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Donald Trump's approval rating takes a hit as he reaches 100 days: New polls - USA Today - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Experts On Russia Say Donald Trump Is Wrong About The War In Ukraine - Forbes - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Donald Trump went after one of America's top law firms. Its decision to fight back took just two hours. - Business Insider - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Sweeping change. Donald Trump voters reflect on controversial first 100 days of second term. - Chicago Tribune - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Donald Trump wants celebrities to kiss the ring. Bill Maher did: wholl be next? | Emma Brockes - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Donald Trump's trip to Pope Francis' funeral puts a sharper focus on their clashes over the years - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]