Obama's diminished standing among women is hurting Democrats in the midterms
Democrats have long had an electoral advantage among women, particularly among single and suburban professional women, that has helped propel them to victory in elections both in presidential and non-presidential years. In 2008, for example, exit polling showed thatPresident Obama won women by 56% to 49%;and in 2012,the breakdown was 55% to 44%.The reasons for the disparity in these elections, and in many others at the national, state, and local level, have been the subject of speculation for decades, ever since the so-called gender gap was first noticed. Among the factors that have been cited has been the fact that women tend to have more liberal views on economic and pocketbook issues and tend to support a less aggressive foreign policy, although that last one doesnt really apply to the Democratic Party in the age of Obama, and, of course, the fact that the Republican Parrys stance on social issues, as well as debacles like 2012's comments by various candidates about abortion and rape and the comments of many on the right about birth control issues, have turned women off to the party as a whole. That doesnt mean that Republicans cant do well among women, of course. Ronald Reaganwon the womens vote quite handily in his 1984 landslide,for example, andGeorge H.W. Bush won it narrowly in his smaller 1988 landslide.More recently, just last year, Chris Christie won the womensvote in deep blue New Jersey by twelve points. In 2010,Republicans won women by a narrow 1%on the way to taking control of the House. Now, as we head into a midterm that could hand control of the Senate,President Obamas problems with women, which seem to have come out of nowhere, threaten to hurt his party:
Female voters powered President Barack Obamas victory over Mitt Romney in 2012, as Democrats leaned heavily on social issues to rally single women and suburban moms to the polls.
But with two weeks until Election Day, the presidents diminished standing with women is quickly becoming one of the biggest liabilities facing Democrats as they struggle to hang onto the Senate majority.
In battleground states across the country, Obama is underwater with female voters especially women unaffiliated with a political party and its making it harder for Democrats to take advantage of the gender gap, according to public polling and Democratic strategists.
Already Democrats are taking a beating from men, who back Republicans over Democrats by double digits in most of the key Senate races. But to overcome that deficit, Democrats need to win over female voters by a wider margin in battleground states like Colorado, Iowa, Alaska, North Carolina and New Hampshire. That task that will be the primary focus of Democratic campaigns as they prepare an intensive voter-turnout operation.
First, they must overcome the Obama factor. After defeating Mitt Romney by 11 points among women in 2012, the president has seen his approval rating drop sharply with females, particularly in the battleground states.
In Alaska, for instance, Obama lost soundly in 2008 and 2012. But hes only gone downhill from there, especially among female voters, only 29 percent of whom give him high marks. Obamas unpopularity could be having a spillover effect on Sen. Mark Begich (D-Alaska), who is fighting for his political life against Republican Dan Sullivan. In one recent CNN/ORC poll of likely voters, Begich was losing women to Sullivan by 7 points.
()
According to a Quinnipiac poll this week, Democratic Sen. Mark Udall was trailing by 19 points to his GOP challenger, Rep. Cory Gardner, among male voters. In that poll and a new CNN poll, the Republican was down only 9 points among women. In 2010, when Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet barely beat GOP candidate Ken Buck, the Democrat won female voters by 17 points and lost men by 10, according to exit polls. Most Democrats believe Udall needs a similar advantage to win.
But the presidents sharp decline in Colorado has made life much harder for Udall. The CNN poll showed 60 percent of white women disapproving of Obamas job performance and 56 percent of nonwhite women also holding negative views. Just two years ago, Obama outperformed Romney in Colorado, 51-49 percent, among female voters, according to exit polls, as the president carried the state.
More:
Obama's diminished standing among women is hurting Democrats in the midterms
- Are Democrats having a Tea Party moment? I'm not buying it. | Opinion - USA Today - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats Are Blaming Each Other Over Minnesotas Welfare Fraud Scandal - wsj.com - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Can Democrats still win if socialists take over their party? - The Hill - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Moderate Democrats Scramble to Block a Socialist From Winning in Wisconsin - Time Magazine - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- As Democrats elsewhere squabble among themselves, Kansas voters just want to win - Kansas Reflector - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Trump tries new line of attack on Democrats, calling them jihadists - CNN - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Crypto Democrats Are Ghosting the Industry - The American Prospect - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats have a working-class voter problem that progressives like Abdul El-Sayed are still struggling to solve - The Conversation - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Opinion | Democrats need to face their real liability - The Washington Post - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Centrist Democrats dismiss Abdul El-Sayed as a freak radical. Do they want to win in 2028 or not? | Nesrine Malik - The Guardian - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Can NC Democrats gain legislative power in November elections? Races to watch. - WRAL - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- House Democrats Demand Answers From Trumps VA on Vets Struggling to Access Mental Healthcare - ProPublica - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Can Gluesenkamp Perez win over the Democrats who voted against her in Washingtons primary? - opb.org - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Ocasio-Cortez says Democrats are 'unifying,' focused on 'working people' in midterms - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats face their next big fight between moderates and the left - The Seattle Times - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats Vow to Unite Behind Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, but Tensions Remain - The New York Times - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Hostage activist Zangauker says Golan broke pledge to put her on Democrats slate - The Times of Israel - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- The GOPs free cash for education puts Democrats on the hot seat - Politico - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats see an chance to flip a US House seat as abuse claims mount against Ohio Rep. Max Miller - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Opinion: Georgia Democrats state convention will double down on a losing agenda - AJC.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- The Democrats have one last chance to halt the erosion of US democracy and its less than 100 days away - The Guardian - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats factional battle hits a swing district in Michigan - NBC News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Two looming primaries will test pro-Israel Democrats role in the party - Politico - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Trump shattered ethics norms. Will voters trust Democrats to fix them? - npr.org - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats big Virginia plans were foiled, but its still at the center of the battle for the House - NBC News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Will Left-Wing Democrats Reinvent the Party or Hurt Its Chances in November? - The New Yorker - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- 100 days until midterms and Democrats are winning because they actually have a message - Fox News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Opinion | Fauci and the Democrats Have a Lot to Answer For - The New York Times - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- To win over working-class voters, Democrats need to stop talking about democracy - npr.org - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Two Democrats advance to a runoff in the Georgia special election to succeed late Rep. David Scott - NBC News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Essay | Michigans Millennial Primary Is a Fight for the Future of the Democrats - wsj.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Mandela Barnes is asking Democrats for another chance in governors race - WPR - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Trump claims attacks on Minnesota's water systems were due to Democrats, not Iran - Scripps News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Americans give Republicans and Democrats brutal ratings on #1 issue: New poll - NJ.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- A better branding could help the Democrats refocus and unite [letter] - LancasterOnline - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Young House Democrats Push to Expand Their Growing Influence (1) - news.bgov.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- More Democrats will brave the stage at this year's Fancy Farm picnic - WUKY - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- First Thing: Top Democrats accuse Republicans of becoming gelatinous blobs on Iran war - The Guardian - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- WATCH: Democrats admit when they'd eliminate the filibuster as SAVE Act fight heats up - Fox News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats in Congress demand training, vetting information on ICE agent who killed immigrant in Maine - CBS News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats have nominee for interim Rockford mayor, but no clear majority - Rock River Current - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats Mobilize Over Fears Trump Will Deploy Troops to Polls - News of the United States - NOTUS - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- How the Democrats Screwed Bernie Review: Party Crushers - wsj.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Maher slams Democrats, says hes open to voting for Vance in 2028 - The Hill - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- The Democrats suddenly have a 39-year-old Senate warrior tearing into Trump and 'Prince Don and Prince Eric': Jon Ossoff - Fortune - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- In Arizonas Primaries, Democrats Fight Over a House Seat They Need Badly - The New York Times - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats select delegates as the party begins the abnormal process of replacing Platner - Maine Morning Star - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Fetterman threatens to abandon Democrats - Axios - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Sen. John Fettermans small-dollar donor base dries up in another sign of his struggles with Democrats - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Democrats call for investigation into ICE officer shooting in Maine after new reports emerge - The Guardian - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- These AIPAC-Backed Democrats Voted to Nix Israel Aid. AIPAC Punished Them. - The New York Times - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- NEWS: Casar, Oversight Democrats Demand Investigation of ICE Murdering Lorenzo Salgado Araujo - House.gov - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Inside the fight over Israel tearing Democrats on the Hill apart - CNN - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Sen. Fetterman on Democrats' position on Israel: It's getting "more incredibly hostile towards Israel." - CNN - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- More than half of House Democrats vote to cut Israel aid in growing split - AP News - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- AIPAC stops taking donations for House Democrats who voted to cut military aid to Israel - The Times of Israel - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Will progressive or moderate candidates help Democrats win in November? - CNN - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Texas Democrats Ask for Investigation Into Ken Paxton After Our Reporting Found He May Have Violated Election Law - ProPublica - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Over 100 House Democrats vote to block billions of dollars in military aid to Israel, reflecting growing schism in party - CNN - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- How Democrats datacenter push in swing states is risking their midterm hopes - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Trumps intelligence nominee Jay Clayton clashes with Democrats over 2020 election - AP News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Nearly half of House Democrats vote to cut off aid to Israel as public opinion shifts - NBC News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- 100 House Democrats vote to cut off aid to Israel, showcasing party shift - The Hill - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Eight Democrats hoping to replace Graham Platner to debate Thursday - Maine Morning Star - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House vote to end Israel aid divides Democrats, with 103 voting to cut off funding - CBS News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House defeats bid to end military aid to Israel as over 100 Democrats vote for it - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Here Are the Maine Democrats Running to Replace Graham Platner - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats block advancement of defense bill to protest Trumps hostilities with Iran - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats arent coalescing behind a Graham Platner replacement - Politico - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats Split Over Rep. Massies Amendment to Cut Israel Aid - News of the United States - NOTUS - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Here are the 12 Democrats trying to win the right to face Susan Collins - Bangor Daily News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Onondaga County Legislature Democrats have started fighting for their agenda. Its because they got a lawyer. - Central Current - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats face test over future of party in Michigan Senate primary - The Hill - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- "Every option is bad": Democrats squirm over House vote to shut off aid to Israel - Axios - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats Block Defense Bill Over War in Iran - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House Democrats fracture badly over Massie amendment to cut $3.3B in U.S. aid to Israel - Fox News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Can Democrats Win Rural Voters Turning Away From Trump? Its a Tough Sell. - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Surge of House Democrats back failed bid to cut off U.S. military aid to Israel - Washington Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Todd Blanche says hes not a yes man while tangling with Democrats at his confirmation hearing - NBC News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Nearly 200 House Democrats demand probe into ICE deaths without interference - Anadolu Ajans - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]