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On the last day of the 2014 campaign, Democrats knew they were in trouble.

Long ago, the party had given up hope of winning back the House in Tuesdays midterm elections. By Monday, it had skipped ahead to winning the post-election blame game. House Democrats have succeeded on every measure within our control, the partys House campaign committee announced preemptively in the early afternoon.

And at the end of a bitter and massively expensive campaign, it appeared the Senate might be slipping from Democrats grasp as well.

In all, there are 13 states where Senate seats might change from one party to the other. Republicans need to win nine of them to attain a 51-seat majority in the Senate for the first time since 2007. On Monday, Republicans seem to be leading, by a lot or by a little, in eight of those races.

If the GOP wins all those eight, they will need just one more win one of the toss-up races in Alaska and Kansas, or perhaps the runoff race thats expected in Louisiana.

The Fixs Chris Cillizza breaks down how close the battle for the Senate really is. (The Washington Post)

Victory is in the air, declared Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), the Senate minority leader who is set to become majority leader if the Republicans take over. McConnell was beginning the last swing of his own reelection campaign against Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes.

Like other contests around the country, that race seemed to be tilting toward Republicans in the last days. Lets go out there and sock it to them! the usually subdued McConnell said in closing, as a loudspeaker started blasting out Eye of the Tiger.

There also will be gubernatorial elections Tuesday in 36 states, including Florida, Massachusetts, Kansas, Maine and Wisconsin, where potential presidential candidate Scott Walker (R) is in a close race to keep his position. Republicans, who already control a majority of the countrys state legislative chambers, seem likely to win several more.

But the nights big prize is the U.S. Senate.

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Math is forbidding for Democrats in struggle for Senate