In an Uphill Year, Democrats of All Stripes Worry About Electability – The New York Times
On Monday night, several left-leaning congressional candidates joined an emergency organizing call with activists reeling from a draft Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade. A somber Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, opening the discussion, acknowledged that Democrats held control in Washington but were nonetheless in an uphill battle for change.
The moment, she said, demanded leaders who know how to get in the fight and who know how to win.
Tensions over how to execute on both of those ambitions pushing effectively for change, while winning elections are now animating Democratic primaries from Pennsylvania to Texas to Oregon, as Democrats barrel into an intense new season of intraparty battles.
For the first months of 2022, Republican primaries have dominated the political landscape, emerging as key measures of former President Donald J. Trumps sway over his partys base. But the coming weeks will also offer a window into the mood of Democratic voters who are alarmed by threats to abortion rights, frustrated by gridlock in Washington and deeply worried about a challenging midterm campaign environment.
Some contests are shaped by policy debates over issues like climate and crime. House primaries have been deluged with money from a constellation of groups, including those with ties to cryptocurrency and pro-Israel advocacy, sometimes resulting in backlash. And in races that could be consequential in the general election, national party leaders have openly taken sides, turning some House primaries into proxy battles over the direction of the party.
Tuesday nights Democratic House primary in the Omaha area attracted less of that national fervor, but it may lay the groundwork for a competitive general election. Representative Don Bacon, a Republican representing a district President Biden won, defeated a vocally left-leaning Democratic contender in 2018 and 2020.
Democrats hope to make inroads there this year despite a brutal national climate, and on Tuesday nominated State Senator Tony Vargas, who has emphasized his governing experience and background as the son of immigrants.
Jane Kleeb, the chairwoman of Nebraskas Democratic Party, said that recent primary contests had been shaped above all by moderate-versus-progressive divisions. This time around, she said, voters appeared focused much less on ideological labels and much more on policy proposals and electoral viability. Its a reflection of the urgent concerns held by many Democratic voters around the country who, above all else, worry that their party will lose its congressional majorities in Washington.
There is a less ideological mood I think that Democrats, especially in our state, feel like were fighting for every office we can get, she said. People want to win, but I also think the word progressive is not enough. Voters are really wanting to know what the candidate stands for and what theyre going to do when they get into office.
Beginning next Tuesday, the Democratic primary season accelerates, headlined by the marquee Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania. Lt. Gov. John Fetterman has consistently led sparse public polling against Representative Conor Lamb of suburban Pittsburgh and State Representative Malcolm Kenyatta of Philadelphia.
The race, in one of the few states where Democrats have a solid chance of picking up a Senate seat, has focused heavily on what it will take to win the general election. Mr. Fetterman promises to improve Democratic standing in rural Trump territory, while Mr. Lamb, a polished Marine veteran, often cites his record of winning in a challenging House district.
That theme has echoed in a handful of upcoming House primaries, highlighting fierce Democratic disagreements over what the partys candidates need to do or show to win this November.
In Oregon, Representative Kurt Schrader, the well-funded chair of the centrist Blue Dog Coalitions political arm who has Mr. Bidens endorsement, faces a challenge from Jamie McLeod-Skinner, a small-business owner and emergency response coordinator who ran unsuccessfully for Congress in 2018.
This time, Ms. McLeod-Skinner has amassed considerable support from local institutions, as well as from left-leaning groups including the Working Families Party (which convened the Monday meeting that Ms. Warren addressed).
Several county Democratic Party organizations in Oregon, ordinarily expected to back the incumbent or remain neutral, endorsed Ms. McLeod-Skinner and urged the House Democratic campaign arm, which is supporting Mr. Schrader, to stay out of the primary. Johanna Warshaw, a spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, noted that the organizations core mission is to re-elect Democratic members.
Mr. Schraders supporters and some national Democrats believe he has a better shot in a fall election that may be robustly competitive. But Ms. McLeod-Skinners supporters argue that she can galvanize Democratic voters in a year when Republicans have been widely thought to have the edge on enthusiasm.
Democrats should want a candidate who Democrats are enthusiastic about, said Leah Greenberg, the co-founder and co-executive director of the Indivisible Project, a grass-roots group. Citing local frustration, she added, Kurt Schrader is not that candidate.
In a statement, Mr. Schraders spokeswoman, Deb Barnes, said he has a proven ability to bring everyone together rural, urban and suburban to find common ground and deliver wins that make a real difference.
Electability is playing out in a different way in South Texas, where Jessica Cisneros is challenging Representative Henry Cuellar, the most staunchly anti-abortion Democrat in the House, in a district where conservative Democrats have often thrived.
Ms. Cisneros has strong support from national left-leaning leaders, and abortion rights advocates believe that Democratic outrage around that issue will help her in the May 24 runoff and beyond.
Why are these midterms so important? This years races could tip the balance of power in Congress to Republicans, hobbling President Bidens agenda for the second half of his term. They will also test former President Donald J. Trumps role as a G.O.P. kingmaker. Heres what to know:
What are the midterm elections? Midterms take place two years after a presidential election, at the midpoint of a presidential term hence the name. This year, a lot of seats are up for grabs, including all 435 House seats, 35 of the 100 Senate seats and 36 of 50 governorships.
What do the midterms mean for Biden? With slim majorities in Congress, Democrats have struggled to pass Mr. Bidens agenda. Republican control of the House or Senate would make the presidents legislative goals a near-impossibility.
What are the races to watch? Only a handful of seats will determine if Democrats maintain control of the House over Republicans, and a single state could shift power in the 50-50 Senate. Here are 10 races to watch in the Houseand Senate, as well as several key governors contests.
When are the key races taking place? The primary gauntletis already underway. Closely watched racesin Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia will be held in May, with more taking place through the summer. Primaries run until September before the general election on Nov. 8.
Go deeper. What is redistrictingand how does it affect the midterm elections? How does polling work? How do you register to vote? Weve got more answers to your pressing midterm questions here.
When we defeat the anti-choice Democrat, thats going to set the tone for the rest of the midterms, Ms. Cisneros said in a recent interview.
But other national Democrats plainly see Mr. Cuellar as a stronger fit in a more culturally conservative district that may become a heated general-election battleground.
We ought not have a litmus test of who and what makes one a Democrat, said Representative James E. Clyburn, the third-ranking House Democrat, who campaigned with Mr. Cuellar last week.
Still, there are sharp divisions over what it means to be an effective Democrat a dynamic at the heart of high-profile primary battles in recent years, as left-wing contenders defeated several senior incumbents but also faced setbacks, as in Ohio, where Representative Shontel Brown won a rematch against former State Senator Nina Turner.
Next Tuesday kicks off a fresh series of tests concerning what kinds of candidates can excite or reassure Democratic voters at a perilous moment for their party.
In 2018 and 2020 they were rebelling against an establishment that lost to Trump, said Sean McElwee, the founding executive director of Data for Progress, a liberal policy and polling organization. Now they want people who will pass Bidens agenda and hold swing seats, and progressives need to make the case that they are the best chance to do that.
In Pennsylvania, a House primary for the seat around Pittsburgh being vacated by Representative Mike Doyle, who is retiring, will vividly test that argument. An attorney and former head of the Pennsylvania Securities Commission, Steve Irwin, has amassed the support of much of the party establishment, while Senator Bernie Sanders and Mayor Ed Gainey of Pittsburgh are expected to campaign this week with State Representative Summer Lee, who joined the Monday call with Ms. Warren. Jerry Dickinson, a law professor at the University of Pittsburgh, is also among those vying for the nomination.
In North Carolina, former State Senator Erica Smith and Durham County Commissioner Nida Allam also participated in the Working Families Party call. Ms. Smith, running in the First District, is vying to succeed Representative G.K. Butterfield, who endorsed State Senator Don Davis. Ms. Allam is facing off against opponents including State Senator Valerie Foushee and Clay Aiken, the former American Idol contestant, in the Fourth District. There is also a primary in the states newly drawn 13th District, which may be competitive in the general election.
In Kentuckys primary next Tuesday, State Representative Attica Scott, a vocal leader of the police accountability movement in Louisville, is running to the left of Senate Minority Leader Morgan McGarvey in the race to succeed Representative John Yarmuth.
And in the coming weeks, several incumbent House members will face contested primary elections, while the Los Angeles mayoral primary and the recall vote against San Franciscos district attorney, both on June 7, will gauge the attitudes of typically liberal Californians on issues of crime and homelessness.
Mr. Sanders, who has endorsed in several upcoming primaries, cast the moment as a struggle about whether the Democratic Party is a party of working families or one of wealthy campaign contributors.
But he also offered a grave warning for his party that has implications well beyond primary season.
Because Democrats have so far failed to pass major pieces of their agenda, he said, There is now a great deal of demoralization among working people, whether theyre Black or white or Latino or Native American, whatever. And I fear very much that the voter turnout for Democrats will not be very high.
Excerpt from:
In an Uphill Year, Democrats of All Stripes Worry About Electability - The New York Times
- Are Democrats having a Tea Party moment? I'm not buying it. | Opinion - USA Today - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats Are Blaming Each Other Over Minnesotas Welfare Fraud Scandal - wsj.com - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Can Democrats still win if socialists take over their party? - The Hill - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Moderate Democrats Scramble to Block a Socialist From Winning in Wisconsin - Time Magazine - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- As Democrats elsewhere squabble among themselves, Kansas voters just want to win - Kansas Reflector - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Trump tries new line of attack on Democrats, calling them jihadists - CNN - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Crypto Democrats Are Ghosting the Industry - The American Prospect - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats have a working-class voter problem that progressives like Abdul El-Sayed are still struggling to solve - The Conversation - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Opinion | Democrats need to face their real liability - The Washington Post - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Centrist Democrats dismiss Abdul El-Sayed as a freak radical. Do they want to win in 2028 or not? | Nesrine Malik - The Guardian - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Can NC Democrats gain legislative power in November elections? Races to watch. - WRAL - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- House Democrats Demand Answers From Trumps VA on Vets Struggling to Access Mental Healthcare - ProPublica - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Can Gluesenkamp Perez win over the Democrats who voted against her in Washingtons primary? - opb.org - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Ocasio-Cortez says Democrats are 'unifying,' focused on 'working people' in midterms - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats face their next big fight between moderates and the left - The Seattle Times - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Democrats Vow to Unite Behind Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, but Tensions Remain - The New York Times - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Hostage activist Zangauker says Golan broke pledge to put her on Democrats slate - The Times of Israel - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- The GOPs free cash for education puts Democrats on the hot seat - Politico - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats see an chance to flip a US House seat as abuse claims mount against Ohio Rep. Max Miller - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Opinion: Georgia Democrats state convention will double down on a losing agenda - AJC.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- The Democrats have one last chance to halt the erosion of US democracy and its less than 100 days away - The Guardian - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats factional battle hits a swing district in Michigan - NBC News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Two looming primaries will test pro-Israel Democrats role in the party - Politico - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Trump shattered ethics norms. Will voters trust Democrats to fix them? - npr.org - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats big Virginia plans were foiled, but its still at the center of the battle for the House - NBC News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Will Left-Wing Democrats Reinvent the Party or Hurt Its Chances in November? - The New Yorker - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- 100 days until midterms and Democrats are winning because they actually have a message - Fox News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Opinion | Fauci and the Democrats Have a Lot to Answer For - The New York Times - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- To win over working-class voters, Democrats need to stop talking about democracy - npr.org - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Two Democrats advance to a runoff in the Georgia special election to succeed late Rep. David Scott - NBC News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Essay | Michigans Millennial Primary Is a Fight for the Future of the Democrats - wsj.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Mandela Barnes is asking Democrats for another chance in governors race - WPR - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Trump claims attacks on Minnesota's water systems were due to Democrats, not Iran - Scripps News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Americans give Republicans and Democrats brutal ratings on #1 issue: New poll - NJ.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- A better branding could help the Democrats refocus and unite [letter] - LancasterOnline - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Young House Democrats Push to Expand Their Growing Influence (1) - news.bgov.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- More Democrats will brave the stage at this year's Fancy Farm picnic - WUKY - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- First Thing: Top Democrats accuse Republicans of becoming gelatinous blobs on Iran war - The Guardian - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- WATCH: Democrats admit when they'd eliminate the filibuster as SAVE Act fight heats up - Fox News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats in Congress demand training, vetting information on ICE agent who killed immigrant in Maine - CBS News - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats have nominee for interim Rockford mayor, but no clear majority - Rock River Current - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Democrats Mobilize Over Fears Trump Will Deploy Troops to Polls - News of the United States - NOTUS - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- How the Democrats Screwed Bernie Review: Party Crushers - wsj.com - August 1st, 2026 [August 1st, 2026]
- Maher slams Democrats, says hes open to voting for Vance in 2028 - The Hill - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- The Democrats suddenly have a 39-year-old Senate warrior tearing into Trump and 'Prince Don and Prince Eric': Jon Ossoff - Fortune - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- In Arizonas Primaries, Democrats Fight Over a House Seat They Need Badly - The New York Times - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats select delegates as the party begins the abnormal process of replacing Platner - Maine Morning Star - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Fetterman threatens to abandon Democrats - Axios - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Sen. John Fettermans small-dollar donor base dries up in another sign of his struggles with Democrats - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Democrats call for investigation into ICE officer shooting in Maine after new reports emerge - The Guardian - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- These AIPAC-Backed Democrats Voted to Nix Israel Aid. AIPAC Punished Them. - The New York Times - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- NEWS: Casar, Oversight Democrats Demand Investigation of ICE Murdering Lorenzo Salgado Araujo - House.gov - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Inside the fight over Israel tearing Democrats on the Hill apart - CNN - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Sen. Fetterman on Democrats' position on Israel: It's getting "more incredibly hostile towards Israel." - CNN - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- More than half of House Democrats vote to cut Israel aid in growing split - AP News - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- AIPAC stops taking donations for House Democrats who voted to cut military aid to Israel - The Times of Israel - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Will progressive or moderate candidates help Democrats win in November? - CNN - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Texas Democrats Ask for Investigation Into Ken Paxton After Our Reporting Found He May Have Violated Election Law - ProPublica - July 20th, 2026 [July 20th, 2026]
- Over 100 House Democrats vote to block billions of dollars in military aid to Israel, reflecting growing schism in party - CNN - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- How Democrats datacenter push in swing states is risking their midterm hopes - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Trumps intelligence nominee Jay Clayton clashes with Democrats over 2020 election - AP News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Nearly half of House Democrats vote to cut off aid to Israel as public opinion shifts - NBC News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- 100 House Democrats vote to cut off aid to Israel, showcasing party shift - The Hill - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Eight Democrats hoping to replace Graham Platner to debate Thursday - Maine Morning Star - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House vote to end Israel aid divides Democrats, with 103 voting to cut off funding - CBS News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House defeats bid to end military aid to Israel as over 100 Democrats vote for it - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Here Are the Maine Democrats Running to Replace Graham Platner - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats block advancement of defense bill to protest Trumps hostilities with Iran - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats arent coalescing behind a Graham Platner replacement - Politico - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats Split Over Rep. Massies Amendment to Cut Israel Aid - News of the United States - NOTUS - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Here are the 12 Democrats trying to win the right to face Susan Collins - Bangor Daily News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Onondaga County Legislature Democrats have started fighting for their agenda. Its because they got a lawyer. - Central Current - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats face test over future of party in Michigan Senate primary - The Hill - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- "Every option is bad": Democrats squirm over House vote to shut off aid to Israel - Axios - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats Block Defense Bill Over War in Iran - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House Democrats fracture badly over Massie amendment to cut $3.3B in U.S. aid to Israel - Fox News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Can Democrats Win Rural Voters Turning Away From Trump? Its a Tough Sell. - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Surge of House Democrats back failed bid to cut off U.S. military aid to Israel - Washington Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Todd Blanche says hes not a yes man while tangling with Democrats at his confirmation hearing - NBC News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Nearly 200 House Democrats demand probe into ICE deaths without interference - Anadolu Ajans - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]