Democrats sweat the details in Georgia special election – Politico
SANDY SPRINGS, Ga. Democrats are closer than they ever could have imagined to winning a House seat in the Republican suburbs of Atlanta, and dealing a resounding blow to Donald Trump.
But theyre also gripped by anxiety about what happens if they fall short Tuesday.
Story Continued Below
A loss in Georgias special election here could leave the party demoralized, with little to show for all the furious organizing, fundraising and spending in a handful of congressional special elections in the early months of the Trump administration. As a result, Democrats are now straining to throw everything they have at Georgias Sixth Congressional District to push Jon Ossoff over the top against Republican Karen Handel, aiming to prove they can win the suburban districts that may pave the way to a House majority in 2018.
"Just like any sporting event, however unlikely it is that you're close heading into the fourth quarter, a loss is bitterly disappointing and there will be some feeling of, 'when do we get this done if it's not this race?'" said longtime party strategist Dan Kanninen. "You'll definitely see some hand-wringing from Democrats wondering when we're going to get over that hump."
In public, the party insists that the mere act of keeping the contest close in a district the GOP routinely wins by over 20 points is a victory in itself. But behind closed doors, operatives and lawmakers expect a withering round of internal second-guessing if they come up short after pumping enough money into the pro-Ossoff effort to make it the most expensive congressional race ever.
And beyond recriminations, theyre worried the fundraising and organizing fire fueling the party in the Trump era could wane after so many resources were poured into Georgia especially with no other big-ticket races looming to re-energize the base until the off-year gubernatorial elections in November.
Your guide to the permanent campaign weekday mornings, in your inbox.
By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time.
"There's a lot of anticipation that Democrats could do better than Hillary [Clinton] did, but it remains to be seen if Democrats can turn these so-called red districts into something purple," warned former Democratic National Committee chair Donna Brazile.
With just hours left in the race to replace now-HHS Secretary Tom Price, Democrats' internal polls mirror the public ones, suggesting Ossoff holds a slight lead over Handel, though the gap between them remains within the margins of error in the surveys.
According to Democrats close to the contest, the high early voting turnout has rendered Tuesdays result less predictable than expected. And that unpredictability has party leaders stung by criticism from liberal activists for not spending enough money on earlier special elections this year in Kansas and Montana urging activists not to be disappointed by a tight race that ends in defeat.
Their concern is that anything less than victory could dampen the partys torrid energy and cash flow, with the next round of House races still nearly a year-and-a-half away.
From the start, the [Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee] understood that winning the Georgia 6th special election would be a monumental task. Simply put, virtually every structural advantage benefits Republicans in a special election in this traditionally conservative district, wrote DCCC Executive Director Dan Sena in an expectation-setting memo circulated to a group that included donors and friendly groups last Tuesday.
He reminded them that the committee has spent more than $6 million to fundamentally transform a traditionally Republican electorate, turn out low-propensity voters, channel the unprecedented grassroots energy, and communicate with swing voters.
But the Tuesday vote comes after the race basked for months in the national spotlight, during which Ossoff raised over $23 million and every DCCC briefing to progressive groups and donors included an update on the committee's activities in the race.
Party consultants have already been invited to a Sena-led briefing on Wednesday after the election, part of an effort by top Democratic operatives to try and calm nerves about the implications for 2018 of a potential Ossoff loss. Theyve already pointed to previous examples of special elections failing to serve as midterm bellwethers, and circulated analyses like one from the Cook Political Report noting that 71 GOP-held districts are expected to be even more competitive than Georgias Sixth, when Democrats only need to win 24.
I remember in 2011, Kathy Hochul won a special election in an historically Republican district in Buffalo and everyone prophesied that the Democrats were on track to recapture the House majority, said former DCCC Chairman Steve Israel. Winning or losing a special election doesnt get to the overriding challenge Democrats have, which is a map that the Republicans have rigged, and redistricting.
Still, no House race in recent memory has been as closely scrutinized as the one in Georgia, both because of the unprecedented spending and Trumps shadow. With Democrats hoping to use the president's weak approval ratings as fuel to power them back to a House majority, the affluent suburban district has become a testing ground for both parties, a recognition that is resembles the kind of electorate that could end up swinging control of the House in 2018.
Democratic leaders in Washington believe a win would not only re-invigorate their own grassroots, but would likely lead to a round of Republican soul-searching and finger-pointing. Against that backdrop, they expect a handful of top recruits to step into the fray against vulnerable GOP House members.
Victory is always much easier to embrace than defeat, so Jons victory on the 20th will make a lot of longer-shot races more viable, said Stacey Abrams, the Democratic Georgia House minority leader who is now running for governor another long-shot race itself. But if hes not successful, its a question of margin, and the most important conversation is going to be to look at the landscape and focus on how Jon Ossoff, a political neophyte, made this very competitive.
Campaign signs are piled in a vehicle as Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff visits a campaign office on April 17 in Marietta, Georgia. | Getty
Democrats have found that an anti-Trump message only carries them so far. Ossoff initially gained attention as a potential warrior against the administration, but now rarely talks about the White House. Instead, hes pushing a message about reforming Washington. While GOP polling shows that Trumps approval rating has dropped within the district, Ossoff has had to expand his focus to try and win over moderates and some Republicans the day after the DCCC finished conducting local focus groups that revealed moderates' complicated views of Trump, Ossoffs campaign stopped going after the president in its paid ads.
Trumps political operation has, in fact, given Ossoff more trouble than Democrats anticipated: when the pro-Trump America First Policies group first jumped into the race with advertising, it was viewed as a turning point by DCCC operatives, who saw the move as evidence that an entirely new piece of the GOP infrastructure was swooping in to save the seat for Handel. The DCCC then injected more money into the race than initially planned and intensified its direct mail get-out-the-vote program.
With the race turning away from its early framing as a referendum on Trump, Democratic operatives have instead looked closely at Ossoffs campaign for clues about messaging that other Democrats might emulate next year. Thats been a sensitive exercise: Democratic establishment strategists fret that the partys liberal insurgent wing will take an Ossoff loss as evidence that candidates need a clearer, Bernie Sanders-like message of economic populism, while progressive leaders worry an Ossoff win could encourage the party to recruit more moderates.
The races potential to exacerbate internal divisions is one reason the DCCC has sought to remind its allies over and over about the district's conservative leanings. But it has also been bringing in consultants from all over the party to talk to its staff about how to communicate with various constituencies that will be central to its 2018 efforts among them Sanders strategists including operatives from the Devine Mulvey Longabaugh firm that handled his media and campaign manager Jeff Weaver, who have been through the building to talk about millennial targeting and economic messaging.
For now, in the closing stretch of the race, the party is ratcheting up the level of engagement. They're directing busloads of volunteers from all over the country and scores of campaign pros from Washington in the final days to help turn out voters. House and gubernatorial candidates have joined state Democratic parties from as far away as Oregon in asking for volunteers to join the phone banking program for the special election. This month, the DCCC even urged sitting members of Congress to throw cash at Ossoff, leading to a deluge of donations from his potential colleagues for the last week of the race to the tune of over $55,000, according to federal filings.
This is a laboratory. In order to win the House back we have to win in districts that are gerrymandered for Republicans, so [special elections like this one are] laboratories for us to figure out whats the best way to mobilize this vote, said Democratic National Committee Associate Chair Jaime Harrison, conceding that a loss in Georgia would expose the reality that the party has not yet reached the point of being fully prepared to take back the House.
Its why you have preseason before you start the NBA regular season, he added. We still need to work out all the kinks and figure out the best way forward. I do know we cant continue to do some of the same things weve been doing.
Missing out on the latest scoops? Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
See the article here:
Democrats sweat the details in Georgia special election - Politico
- How Democrats Used the Word Affordability to Take On Trump - The New York Times - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Democrats see health care subsidies leverage in shutdown deadline - thehill.com - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Democrats are making 2028 moves. Heres what to know - CNN - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Examining Democrats 2025 Victories in Pennsylvania and What They Could Mean for the Future - The Center for Politics at UVA - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- DNC won't release its report on what went wrong for Democrats in 2024 - NBC News - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Even Democrats dont care if Bill Clinton is burnt by Epstein - The Times - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Andy Beshear builds buzz among Democrats for possible White House run - thehill.com - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Frustrations mount among survivors about House Democrats selective releases of Epstein files and photos - CNN - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- House Democrats release more Epstein photos, including Bill Gates and a dinner full of wealthy philanthropists - Fortune - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- If Democrats Campaign on Stopping Scam Calls, Theyll Be Re-Elected Forever - Home Current Affairs - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- In a close 2025 defeat, Democrats see the beginnings of a 2026 red-state surprise - CNN - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Democrats will not release the autopsy of their 2024 presidential loss - CNN - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- What the Government Shutdown Actually Revealed for Democrats - Home Current Affairs - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Trump at NC rally: Democrats will shut down government in January - thehill.com - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- STRUZZI: DEMOCRATS DODGED VOTE ON BILL PROTECTING WOMENS SPORTS - WCCS AM1160 & 101.1FM - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Blue Horizons: Charting the Path Forward for Texas Democrats - Houston Public Media - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Democrats demand answers as green card ceremonies are abruptly canceled - NewsNation - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Video Democrats react to expected partial release of Epstein files - ABC News - December 21st, 2025 [December 21st, 2025]
- Our message is simple: Democrats unite as GOP again struggles to address health care - Politico - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Barack Obama tells House Democrats that party should focus on the midterms, not ideological divides - ABC News - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Top Banking and Financial Services Democrats Joined by Dodd-Frank Authors File Amicus Brief Challenging the Administration's Illegal Efforts to... - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Jan. 6 police hero becomes go-to witness for Democrats in Congress to counter Trump - CBS News - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- WisDems: ICYMI: Wisconsin Democrats, Main Street Action hold press conference to address the bealth care crisis as ACA open enrollment for January 1st... - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats From Schumer to Mamdani to AOC Face Big Year in 2026 - Bloomberg.com - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Missouri Sen. Hawley Votes with Democrats to Extend Health Care Subsidies Amid Local Concerns - KOAM News Now - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats Are Playing with Fire in Texas - The Liberal Patriot - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- White Christian Clergy Running for Congress As Democrats Face Skeptics in Their Own Party - Word&Way - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- What we know about the Epstein photos released by Democrats - PBS - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats gather in California feeling sunny once again - Politico - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Top Democrats call for investigation into share-buying spree by Trump allies - The Guardian - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats mourn killing of Hollywood star and activist Rob Reiner - Politico - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Could Trump thwart Democrats by embracing their policies? What new poll shows. - Politico - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- House Democrats release Epstein photos with Trump, Bannon, Clinton and others - The Guardian - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats want to win back Congress. First they need to weather their primary battles - CNN - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Pelosi suggests Trump has no 'reason' to be impeached third time if Democrats retake House - Fox News - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Sydney Hanukkah massacre leads New York Democrats to grapple with globalize the intifada rhetoric - Jewish Insider - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Top Democrats heartbroken by deaths of Reiner, wife - thehill.com - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- State of Texas: Crockett shakes up Senate race for both Democrats and Republicans - KXAN Austin - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- LIZ PEEK: Minnesotas fraud scandal exposes Democrats indifference to the needy - Fox News - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- DEMOCRATS UNITE AGAINST SYDNEY TERROR BUT FETTERMAN WARNS PARTYS ANTI-ISRAEL RIFT BOILING OVER - WCCS AM1160 & 101.1FM - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Reiner left a mark with Democrats, who are stunned by his killing - thehill.com - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- LETTER: Midland Democrats urge clean campaigns, unity in 35th race - Midland Daily News - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats egos open the door for a GOP governor | California Focus - Oroville Mercury-Register - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- To win in 2026, Democrats need the voters they keep dismissing - The Boston Globe - December 16th, 2025 [December 16th, 2025]
- Democrats pushing for 3-year extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies - CBS News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats test an affordability message in one of the nations richest districts - Politico - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- These voters backed Trump in 2024 and Democrats in 2025. What will they do in 2026? - NBC News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats target Trump's affordability crisis in 2026 offensive - Axios - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats release Epstein Island photos as Maxwell argues against release of grand jury transcripts - ABC News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats Need to Treat the Supreme Court Like the Villain It Is - The Cross Section | Paul Waldman - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Young Americans Hate Both Parties. They May Still Pick Democrats in 2026. - Cook Political Report - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Virginia Democrats to hold firehouse primary for Richmond senate race but what does that mean? - WRIC ABC 8News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Senator Marshall: Democrats Are Refusing to Address Fraud - U.S. Senate (.gov) - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats eye a red-state push even as intraparty fighting persists - Politico - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Focus group: Trump voters who backed Democrats in 2025 frustrated with the economy - NBC News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats question Trumps stamina after he appears to nod off in public - Roll Call - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Trump claims Democrats will try to pack Supreme Court if they win upcoming elections - The National Desk - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Groundbreaking NYT Op-Ed lays bare the Democrats internal battle over Israel - Mondoweiss - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Trump administration says it will withhold SNAP from states led by Democrats if they don't provide recipient data - PBS - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- A special election puts Democrats on track to flip the House - The Economist - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- More images of Epstein's private island home released by House Democrats - BBC - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- 12 House Republicans join Democrats to oppose redistricting, but bill advances to Senate - The Statehouse File - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats Briefed on Boat Strikes 'Disturbed' by What They Saw - Time Magazine - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats release never-before-seen images and videos of Jeffrey Epstein's island - Axios - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Steve Kornacki: How Democrats missed the mother of all upsets in Tennessee - NBC News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- How Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear Thinks Democrats Can Win Rural America - The New Republic - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Steve Kornacki: GOP warning signs and lessons for Democrats in Tennessee's special election results - NBC News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Senate Democrats to force vote on bill to extend health care tax credits for 3 years, Schumer says - CBS News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats Raise the Stakes for Their 2026 Races By Making It About 2032 - NOTUS News of the United States - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Democrats and Republicans are pouring money into a special election in Tennessee. Here's why - NPR - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Democrats in New Jersey Ram Through Bill to Defang a Corruption Watchdog - The New York Times - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Elise Stefanik accuses Mike Johnson of "getting rolled" by Democrats and lying about defense bill provision - CBS News - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Al Gore urges Democrats to send a 'shock wave' in Tennessee race - USA Today - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Democrats begin congressional probe of Kash Patel's use of FBI Gulfstream jet - CBS News - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Mandela Barnes Enters Wisconsin Governor Race, Joining Crowded Field of Democrats - The New York Times - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Why Democrats are so focused on Tennessees 7th District special election - NBC News - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- For Democrats, a New Way to Make Health Care Affordable - Washington Monthly - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Even Ahead of the Tennessee Special Election, Democrats Feel Bullish About Competing in Red Areas - NOTUS News of the United States - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Ro Khanna: Democrats must break with the Epstein class, or lose - The.Ink | Anand Giridharadas - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Williamson County Democrats to host election night watch party for Aftyn Behn - Williamson Herald - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]