Democrats are all but extinct in the South
Originally published December 5, 2014 at 8:49 PM | Page modified December 5, 2014 at 10:09 PM
WASHINGTON The ailing Democratic Party, its stature as a national party teetering, appears poised to be wounded again Saturday if underdog Sen. Mary Landrieu loses her bid as expected for re-election in Louisiana.
The likely win by Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy in the runoff would complete a near-sweep this year of Southern Senate seats and governorships, in 10 of the 11 states of the old Confederacy. The Democrats only victory was in Virginia, where Sen. Mark Warner barely survived a surge by Republican Ed Gillespie.
The Louisiana race is emblematic of the trouble Democrats faced in 2014 and are likely to confront for years. The party is widely regarded in the South as hostile and indifferent to the interests of white working-class voters, said Merle Black, a Southern politics expert at Emory University.
Landrieu, a three-term senator, won 42 percent in the Nov. 4 election. Cassidy got 41 percent, and conservative Rob Maness won 14 percent. Because no one got a majority, the top two finishers vie in Saturdays runoff.
Novembers exit polls illustrate Landrieus challenge. Four of five Louisiana voters were worried about the economy, and Landrieu won only 38 percent of the ones who were. She barely got 1 of 5 white votes, about two-thirds of the electorate, and 94 percent of the black vote.
Those patterns were repeated throughout the South. In nine other Southern states with Senate race exit polls, Warner did the best among whites, winning 37 percent. Five Southern Democrats got 22 percent or less.
A Landrieu loss would be the latest blow to Democrats in the South. Other than Virginia, only Florida has a Democratic senator or governor, once Arkansas Gov. Mike Beebe retires in January. Sen. Bill Nelson was re-elected to a third term in 2012.
Part of the Republican success results from the uniqueness of 2014. Incumbents in three Southern states where President Obama is unpopular were up for re-election, and they were hobbled by their voting records. Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., who lost last month, had the worst party-line record and he had still sided with Obama 90 percent of the time last year.
The Democratic record included support for the Affordable Care Act of 2010, which Republicans touted as the latest Democratic intrusion into private lives as well as the partys yen for big, expensive government.
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Democrats are all but extinct in the South
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