Changing demographics of US voters and Republican, Democratic coalitions, 1996-2023 – Pew Research Center
Mirroring changes in the U.S. population overall, registered voters have become more educated, more racially and ethnically diverse, older, and more religiously diverse over the past three decades.
Many of these changes have altered the makeup of both parties, but several have had a more pronounced impact on the Democratic Party than the Republican Party.
As the United States has become more racially and ethnically diverse, so too has the electorate.
Today, 67% of registered voters are White, 13% are Hispanic, 11% are Black and 4% are Asian. In 1996, when President Bill Clinton was running for reelection, 85% of voters were White, 4% were Hispanic, 9% were Black and about 1% were Asian.
Both parties are more racially and ethnically diverse than three decades ago, but not to the same degree. There has been more change in the composition of the Democratic coalition than the Republican coalition.
The electorate has grown older in recent decades. Currently, about six-in-ten voters are ages 50 and older (29% are 50 to 64 and 29% are 65 and older). By comparison, 41% of voters were 50 and older in 1996.
Reflecting this broader change, both parties voters are significantly older now than they were 20 years ago. But today Republican and Republican-leaning voters tend to be older than voters in the Democratic coalition. (In 1996, there was very little difference between the age profiles of the two parties.)
The share of voters with a bachelors degree or more has increased significantly among registered voters since 1996, from about a quarter (24%) to four-in-ten today.
Voters with a high school degree or less education have declined roughly in parallel, so that now about three-in-ten have a high school degree or less (28%), compared with nearly half (47%) in 1996. The share of voters with some college experience but no bachelors degree has remained relatively stable across this period (32% today, 29% in 1996).
The dual trends of increasing education levels and increasing racial and ethnic diversity over the last three decades have resulted in dramatic changes to the electoral landscape.
White voters without a bachelors degree remain the largest single group of voters across education levels, race and ethnicity. But where they once represented a clear majority (63%) in 1996, they are now about four-in-ten voters overall (38%).
Overall, about two-in-ten voters are Hispanic (9%), Black (7%) or Asian (2%) and without a bachelors degree.
Non-Hispanic White adults with a bachelors degree or more represent 28% of voters today, which is up modestly since 1996 (21%). Approximately one-in-ten registered voters are Hispanic (3%), Black (3%) or Asian (3%) and have bachelors degrees.
The Democratic Party does not have a single dominant bloc of voters across education levels, race and ethnicity.
Americans have become less Christian and less religious in recent decades, and the electorate reflects those changes. Two-thirds of voters identify with a Christian denomination, while about a quarter say they are religiously unaffiliated (26%). Fifteen years ago, about eight-in-ten voters were Christians (79%) and 15% were unaffiliated. (We used different questions about religious affiliation prior to 2008, so comparable data only goes back 15 years.)
These broader trends of declining shares of Christians and increasing shares of religious nones have impacted the demographic composition of the two parties coalitions in diverging ways.
Among GOP voters, the shares who identify as White evangelical Protestants (30% now, 33% in 2008) and White Catholics (18% now and in 2008) are little changed over the past 15 years. White nonevangelical Protestants have declined as a share of Republican and Republican-leaning voters from 22% to 15% over the same period, while religious nones have grown from 9% to 15% of GOP voters.
Today, White evangelical (5%) and White nonevangelical Protestants (10%) are 15% of the Democratic coalition, down from 28% 15 years ago. The share of Democratically aligned voters who are Black Protestants has changed very little over this period (15% then to 14% now).
The electorate continues to have more voters who call themselves conservative than call themselves liberal. About a quarter of voters say they are liberal (16%) or very liberal (8%), while 37% say they are conservative (26%) or very conservative (10%).
Almost four-in-ten voters say they are moderate (36%).
These shares are little changed since 2019.
The Republican coalition is overwhelmingly conservative: 49% of Republican-aligned voters say they are conservative and 20% say they are very conservative. About three-in-ten GOP voters say they are moderate (27%), and there are very few liberal identifiers in the party (less than 5%).
The Democratic coalition is more ideologically mixed than the Republican coalition. Among voters who associate with the Democrats, about half say they are very liberal (16%) or liberal (31%), while nearly as many say they are moderate (45%). Around 6% say they are conservative.
Read the original post:
Changing demographics of US voters and Republican, Democratic coalitions, 1996-2023 - Pew Research Center
- Over 100 House Democrats vote to block billions of dollars in military aid to Israel, reflecting growing schism in party - CNN - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- How Democrats datacenter push in swing states is risking their midterm hopes - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Trumps intelligence nominee Jay Clayton clashes with Democrats over 2020 election - AP News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Nearly half of House Democrats vote to cut off aid to Israel as public opinion shifts - NBC News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- 100 House Democrats vote to cut off aid to Israel, showcasing party shift - The Hill - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Eight Democrats hoping to replace Graham Platner to debate Thursday - Maine Morning Star - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House vote to end Israel aid divides Democrats, with 103 voting to cut off funding - CBS News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House defeats bid to end military aid to Israel as over 100 Democrats vote for it - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Here Are the Maine Democrats Running to Replace Graham Platner - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats block advancement of defense bill to protest Trumps hostilities with Iran - The Guardian - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats arent coalescing behind a Graham Platner replacement - Politico - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats Split Over Rep. Massies Amendment to Cut Israel Aid - News of the United States - NOTUS - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Here are the 12 Democrats trying to win the right to face Susan Collins - Bangor Daily News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Onondaga County Legislature Democrats have started fighting for their agenda. Its because they got a lawyer. - Central Current - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats face test over future of party in Michigan Senate primary - The Hill - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- "Every option is bad": Democrats squirm over House vote to shut off aid to Israel - Axios - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats Block Defense Bill Over War in Iran - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- House Democrats fracture badly over Massie amendment to cut $3.3B in U.S. aid to Israel - Fox News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Can Democrats Win Rural Voters Turning Away From Trump? Its a Tough Sell. - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Surge of House Democrats back failed bid to cut off U.S. military aid to Israel - Washington Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Todd Blanche says hes not a yes man while tangling with Democrats at his confirmation hearing - NBC News - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Nearly 200 House Democrats demand probe into ICE deaths without interference - Anadolu Ajans - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Exclusive / Democrats wage a new campaign culture war with the alpha left - Semafor - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- US House defeats amendment to end Israel aid, but nearly half of Democrats vote in favor - The Times of Israel - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Opinion | If the Democrats Actually Want to Win, This Is What They Have to Do - The New York Times - July 16th, 2026 [July 16th, 2026]
- Democrats Haunted by Biden-Harris Switch as They Replace Platner in Maine - The New York Times - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- As Democrats pick up the pieces after Graham Platner, many wonder: how did this happen? - The Guardian - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Why Democrats are salivating at Victor Marx at the top of the ballot - 9News - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Here are the races to watch as Democrats grow more bullish on retaking the Senate - The Washington Post - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Heres what we know about Maine Democrats plan to replace Graham Platner - Maine Morning Star - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Who will replace Graham Platner on the ballot? 7 Democrats to watch - PBS - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Opinion | Democrats extremism and stupidity are catching up with the GOPs - The Washington Post - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Democrats fear chances of winning Senate may be slipping away - The Hill - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats wrestle with the daunting task of replacing Graham Platner - Bangor Daily News - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Democrats say they want a fighter. Does it have to be a White man? - The 19th News - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Opinion | Why Democrats Are Tripping All Over Themselves - The New York Times - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Opinion | The Democrats Cant Go On Like This - The New York Times - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Democratic socialists arent the only young, progressive Democrats dividing the party - The Conversation - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Why Graham Platner wasnt the answer to the Democrats man problem Stateside with Kai and Carter - The Guardian - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Democrats have abandoned Graham Platner - Politico - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Democrats are calling for an investigation into Houston ICE shooting. Republicans have been mostly silent - Houston Public Media - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Why Democrats Would Probably Come Out Ahead if Platner Dropped Out - The New York Times - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats Hope to Replace Platner as Senate Nominee. Has That Ever Worked? - The New York Times - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Maine Democrats outline process to replace Platner on November ballot - WABI - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Southern Black leaders warn their power is on the line and Democrats are looking elsewhere - Politico - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Here Are the Maine Democrats Who Might Replace Graham Platner - The New York Times - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Inside the growing firestorm over House Democrats' meddling in their own primaries - Axios - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Democrats are calling on Platner to drop out after latest allegations - Maine Morning Star - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- These Maine Democrats could run to replace Graham Platner in the Senate race - CNN - July 11th, 2026 [July 11th, 2026]
- Editorial: Centrist Democrats must not let democratic socialists take over their party without a fight - Chicago Tribune - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Why are Republicans red and Democrats blue? - The Guardian - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Senator Marshall: The Democrats Will Do Anything to Tear Down Donald Trump - Senator Roger Marshall (.gov) - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- No Safe Seats targets Arizona Democrats. Heres what the campaign means - AZ Family - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Gaza protests against two Democrats spark outcry and debate on tactics - The Guardian - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Trump attacks Democrats in 4th of July speech marking 250 years of America - CBS News - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Whats fueling the far-left surge? Democrats themselves hate the party - The Seattle Times - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Republicans tout tax breaks, Democrats blast Medicaid cuts on bills anniversary - Washington Times - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Democrats want a supermajority on the Board of Supervisors. They have a North County problem. - San Diego Union-Tribune - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Josh Shapiro warns Democrats face battle over what we believe in after socialists upset primary victories - Fox News - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Democrats lay out investigation priorities if they retake the House - Washington Examiner - July 6th, 2026 [July 6th, 2026]
- Police arrest 2 for allegedly attacking Democrats party activists in south Tel Aviv - The Times of Israel - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats plot subpoena storm over Trump's $2 billion gold rush - Axios - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- As Trump commands 250th stage, Democrats offer their vision of patriotism - The Washington Post - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats will have field day with Trump inquiries if they win House, legal experts say | US midterm elections 2026 - The Guardian - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Could infighting derail Democrats' hopes to win back House? - NPR - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- House Democrats push Trump to sign bipartisan housing bill - localnewslive.com - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- A new test for Democrats - where they stand on Israel - BBC - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats raise concerns of fraud by Freedom 250 - The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Opinion | Democrats are facing their MAGA moment. Good luck containing it. - The Washington Post - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- As Donald Trump profits in billions, Democrats feud over taxing the rich | Opinion - Sacramento Bee - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- WV House Democrats ask governor for urgent special session on public school funding - News From The States - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Opinion | No more appeasement. Democrats need to fight the DSA. - The Washington Post - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ruling on Trans Athletes Gave the G.O.P. a Win. Most Democrats Looked the Other Way. - The New York Times - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats accuse Trump-linked fundraisers of fraud over diverted donations for America's anniversary - DC News Now - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats make final push to raise minimum wage in this years Pa. budget - Spotlight PA - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- As Kentucky GOP numbers have grown, 25 counties still have more registered Democrats - Kentucky Lantern - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats accuse Trump-linked fundraisers of fraud over diverted donations for America's anniversary - AP News - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats, Republicans organizing 'Meet the Candidate' events - Door County Daily News - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- House Democrats push Trump to sign bipartisan housing bill - WTOC - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Trump and Republicans return to communist attacks against Democrats ahead of the midterm elections - AP News - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]