Changing demographics of US voters and Republican, Democratic coalitions, 1996-2023 – Pew Research Center
Mirroring changes in the U.S. population overall, registered voters have become more educated, more racially and ethnically diverse, older, and more religiously diverse over the past three decades.
Many of these changes have altered the makeup of both parties, but several have had a more pronounced impact on the Democratic Party than the Republican Party.
As the United States has become more racially and ethnically diverse, so too has the electorate.
Today, 67% of registered voters are White, 13% are Hispanic, 11% are Black and 4% are Asian. In 1996, when President Bill Clinton was running for reelection, 85% of voters were White, 4% were Hispanic, 9% were Black and about 1% were Asian.
Both parties are more racially and ethnically diverse than three decades ago, but not to the same degree. There has been more change in the composition of the Democratic coalition than the Republican coalition.
The electorate has grown older in recent decades. Currently, about six-in-ten voters are ages 50 and older (29% are 50 to 64 and 29% are 65 and older). By comparison, 41% of voters were 50 and older in 1996.
Reflecting this broader change, both parties voters are significantly older now than they were 20 years ago. But today Republican and Republican-leaning voters tend to be older than voters in the Democratic coalition. (In 1996, there was very little difference between the age profiles of the two parties.)
The share of voters with a bachelors degree or more has increased significantly among registered voters since 1996, from about a quarter (24%) to four-in-ten today.
Voters with a high school degree or less education have declined roughly in parallel, so that now about three-in-ten have a high school degree or less (28%), compared with nearly half (47%) in 1996. The share of voters with some college experience but no bachelors degree has remained relatively stable across this period (32% today, 29% in 1996).
The dual trends of increasing education levels and increasing racial and ethnic diversity over the last three decades have resulted in dramatic changes to the electoral landscape.
White voters without a bachelors degree remain the largest single group of voters across education levels, race and ethnicity. But where they once represented a clear majority (63%) in 1996, they are now about four-in-ten voters overall (38%).
Overall, about two-in-ten voters are Hispanic (9%), Black (7%) or Asian (2%) and without a bachelors degree.
Non-Hispanic White adults with a bachelors degree or more represent 28% of voters today, which is up modestly since 1996 (21%). Approximately one-in-ten registered voters are Hispanic (3%), Black (3%) or Asian (3%) and have bachelors degrees.
The Democratic Party does not have a single dominant bloc of voters across education levels, race and ethnicity.
Americans have become less Christian and less religious in recent decades, and the electorate reflects those changes. Two-thirds of voters identify with a Christian denomination, while about a quarter say they are religiously unaffiliated (26%). Fifteen years ago, about eight-in-ten voters were Christians (79%) and 15% were unaffiliated. (We used different questions about religious affiliation prior to 2008, so comparable data only goes back 15 years.)
These broader trends of declining shares of Christians and increasing shares of religious nones have impacted the demographic composition of the two parties coalitions in diverging ways.
Among GOP voters, the shares who identify as White evangelical Protestants (30% now, 33% in 2008) and White Catholics (18% now and in 2008) are little changed over the past 15 years. White nonevangelical Protestants have declined as a share of Republican and Republican-leaning voters from 22% to 15% over the same period, while religious nones have grown from 9% to 15% of GOP voters.
Today, White evangelical (5%) and White nonevangelical Protestants (10%) are 15% of the Democratic coalition, down from 28% 15 years ago. The share of Democratically aligned voters who are Black Protestants has changed very little over this period (15% then to 14% now).
The electorate continues to have more voters who call themselves conservative than call themselves liberal. About a quarter of voters say they are liberal (16%) or very liberal (8%), while 37% say they are conservative (26%) or very conservative (10%).
Almost four-in-ten voters say they are moderate (36%).
These shares are little changed since 2019.
The Republican coalition is overwhelmingly conservative: 49% of Republican-aligned voters say they are conservative and 20% say they are very conservative. About three-in-ten GOP voters say they are moderate (27%), and there are very few liberal identifiers in the party (less than 5%).
The Democratic coalition is more ideologically mixed than the Republican coalition. Among voters who associate with the Democrats, about half say they are very liberal (16%) or liberal (31%), while nearly as many say they are moderate (45%). Around 6% say they are conservative.
Read the original post:
Changing demographics of US voters and Republican, Democratic coalitions, 1996-2023 - Pew Research Center
- Ohio is too expensive. Ohio House Democrats plan to introduce series of affordability bills - Ohio Capital Journal - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- GOP infighting, Democrats' unmet demands and a CLEAR windfall: Who's winning and losing the DHS shutdown - Fox News - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Schumer had a plan to win back the Senate, but some Democrats aren't on board - PBS - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Some Oregon Democrats get an unlikely primary foe: Their partys top boosters - Oregon Public Broadcasting - OPB - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats are starting to like congressional Democrats again - YouGov - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Texas Democrats are pooling resources, holding joint rallies in latest effort to win the November midterms - CBS News - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Anti-regulation Democrats? Top takeaways from the governors race forum in Fresno - latimes.com - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats Probe Into Noem, Lewandowski, Hones in on Pro-Trump Donors Contracts - NOTUS News of the United States - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Thursdays Campaign Round-Up, 4.2.26: Democrats sue to block Trumps order on mail ballots - MS NOW - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats be warned: Trump knows your weak spots - miningjournal.net - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats Start to Hammer Vulnerable Republicans Over War in Iran in Ads - The New York Times - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Q&A: The Strategy Behind Democrats Recent Mayoral Wins - campaignsandelections.com - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats flipped another GOP seat but not for the reason youd think - MS NOW - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- No Kings in America, Real Resistance in Rome - How Liberal Democrats and AIPAC Allies Hijacked the Movement While Italy Actually Fights Empire and... - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- The Republican Fundraising Advantage Keeping Democrats Up at Night - NOTUS News of the United States - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Whatever happened to North Carolina Democrats? - springhopeenterprise.com - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Democrats dont like Donald Trump or other Dems, polling shows: Bottom has fallen out - PennLive.com - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Election 2026: Six Democrats on May ballot vying to face Rep. Turner in November - Dayton Daily News - April 3rd, 2026 [April 3rd, 2026]
- Not just the base: Democrats in recent elections are flipping independent and Republican votes - CNN - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats and voting rights advocates vow to fight Trumps latest order: massive and unconstitutional suppression effort as it happened - The Guardian - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Kornacki analyzes what it will take for Democrats to win back the Senate - NBC News - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Why Democrats still face an uphill climb to win the Senate: From the Politics Desk - NBC News - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Senate Democrats are Breaking All the Wrong Records - House Committee on Appropriations (.gov) - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Political stunt: Democrats scold DeSantis over $5.5M cost to rename Palm Beach airport after Trump - WLRN - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- President Trump Acts Where Democrats Refused Bringing Relief to TSA Workers and Travelers - The White House (.gov) - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Trumps overtime tax break is a hit. Democrats arent sure what to do about it. - Politico - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats think taxing the rich will create affordability | Letter - Milwaukee Journal Sentinel - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Cory Booker says Democrats have failed this moment and calls for new leaders - The Guardian - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Andy Beshear Thinks Democrats Should Start Talking Like People - Politico - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Why Democrats Are Accusing the FBI of Trying to Smear Rep. Eric Swalwell - Time Magazine - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- CT Democrats push forward spending increase for $28.8B state budget that boosts education, services and more - Hartford Courant - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Schumer had a plan to win back the Senate. But some Democrats arent on board - Los Angeles Times - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats look to win Southern Az legislative races in bid to flip statehouse - Tucson Sentinel - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats take a page from the GOP playbook with new partisan voter registration program - azmirror.com - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats flipped another GOP seat. The reason isnt what you think. - Yahoo - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats win another special election, the 30th red-to-blue flip of Trumps second term - Yahoo - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- The Trump-voting pastor Democrats think could cost them a chance at a Nebraska Senate seat - CNN - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Democrats are trying to connect the dots on Trumps 2026 plan - CNN - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- Four Democrats face off for open Metro Council seat. Who are they? - The Courier-Journal - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- NY Democrats to blow state budget deadline again with little progress on talks: At the beginning of the middle - New York Post - April 1st, 2026 [April 1st, 2026]
- GOP, Democrats face pressure to end DHS shutdown: Join the live discussion - The Hill - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Fetterman urges fellow Democrats to 'do the right thing' as government shutdown takes toll on workers - Fox News - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Hoping to unseat Collins, Maine Democrats battle it out in an expensive U.S. Senate primary - NPR - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Homeland Security Talks Hit Snag as Democrats Demand ICE Restrictions - The New York Times - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- DHS funding deal on shaky ground as Trump and Democrats both decline to embrace it - NPR - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Democrats face test as rare Ethics hearing examines Cherfilus-McCormick fraud allegations - The Hill - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Democrats look to boost offshore well cleanups - E&E News by POLITICO - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Democrats Have Fundraising Edge in Virginia Redistricting Battle Ahead of April Referendum - The New York Times - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Florida Democrats flipped two legislative seats in 2026 special election, their best performance in years - CBS News - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Florida Democrats flipped 2 legislative seats Tuesday. Is it a harbinger of trouble for the long dominant GOP? - Florida Politics - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Vast majorities of Democrats and Republicans are concerned about technology's effect on misinformation and personal privacy - YouGov - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Cory Booker wants Democrats to 'Stand' and fight - NPR - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Democrats revive allegations around Trump classified document case in latest political battle with Justice Department - CNN - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Missouri Democrats' efforts to restore child care subsidy funding thwarted in the House - KCUR - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Blakeman thought his matching funds were secure, then Democrats objected - Newsday - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- FEMA official who has claimed to be teleported is unfit for role, Democrats say - Mississippi Today - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Scalise on DHS Shutdown: It is a Disgrace What Democrats are Doing to Hardworking Families - Congressman Steve Scalise (.gov) - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- How Democrats win on foreign policy The US is drifting Leftward on Israel and Iran - UnHerd - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Republicans Seethe as DHS Talks Derail After Democrats Retread Their Offer - News of the United States - NOTUS - March 26th, 2026 [March 26th, 2026]
- Wheels Up for Senate Democrats Who Leave TSA and Americans Grounded - House Committee on Appropriations (.gov) - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Opinion | The Democrats Could Still Mess This Up - The New York Times - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats set a turnout record in Texas, so is this the year it turns blue? - NPR - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- GOP urges Mills veto as Augusta Democrats review bills raising taxes on wealthy - WGME - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Trump says Democrats must cheat to win. What do his supporters think? - NPR - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats deliver stunning flip in New Hampshire special election, latest in series of 28 upsets - The Guardian - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- One month later, White House and Democrats no closer to ending the DHS shutdown - Politico - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats Chances of Flipping Senate and House This Year Hit Record High - Newsweek - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats file war powers resolution to prevent Trump from attacking Cuba without approval - The Hill - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- What Kansas Democrats running for Congress said about immigration, ICE - The Topeka Capital-Journal - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Poll: California Democrats want to disband ICE - Politico - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats see chance to flip 23rd District with Gonzales out - The Texas Tribune - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats propose tax cut bill targeting working families - WDAM-TV - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Democrats propose tax cut bill targeting working families - Cleveland 19 News - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- Mark Cuban names 2 up-and-coming Democrats he's impressed with, says the rest can't 'sell dollar bills for 50 cents' - Business Insider - March 15th, 2026 [March 15th, 2026]
- No endgame: Why US Democrats say Iran war hearing has them worried - Al Jazeera - March 11th, 2026 [March 11th, 2026]
- Democrats Sued to Find Out Whether Trump Will Send Armed Officers to Election Sites - The New York Times - March 11th, 2026 [March 11th, 2026]
- Senate Democrats ramp up pressure campaign for public hearings on war with Iran - NPR - March 11th, 2026 [March 11th, 2026]
- White House, Democrats trade blame for missed paychecks and airport delays - Government Executive - March 11th, 2026 [March 11th, 2026]
- Democrats Demand Hegseth and Rubio Testify on Iran War - The New York Times - March 11th, 2026 [March 11th, 2026]
- E&C Democrats Press NTIA Administrator on BEAD Funding Updates & Stress Trump Executive Orders Do Not Supersede Federal Law - Democrats, Energy and... - March 11th, 2026 [March 11th, 2026]