In 2020, democracy will be decided at the margins | TheHill – The Hill
While impeachment is likely to be the nations primary focus for the foreseeable future, Democrats must also sharply turn their attention locally, to directly target President Donald Trumps base across the Midwest if they want to win in 2020. Thats why my organization, American Bridge 21st Century, has launched a multimillion-dollar effort to do just that.
Launching a targeted strike to peel off Trumps white, working-class support in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania and winning the 2020 election is how we will defeat Trump and save our democracy. While congressional Democrats are upholding the rule of law, the party cannot afford to hemorrhage white, working-class voters in the way that we have in the last several presidential cycles and still hope to win the electoral college.
Luckily, we dont have to choose between motivating our base and peeling off the presidents core supporters in these swing states. Electrifying a diverse coalition that represents the New America will be the eventual Democratic nominees job, but until that nominee is in place next summer, our partys allied organizations must fill the void by communicating with these voters and persuading them to not support Trump in 2020. We must do both and if you dont think a modern Democrat can do that, just look at what Andy Beshear did in Kentucky on Nov. 5.
Although a comparison between a statewide and a presidential election has its caveats, Beshear was able to defeat incumbent Republican governor Matt Bevin in a state that Trump won by 30 percent; Beshear did so by both surging his urban and suburban support and cutting into Bevins rural margins. Pike County, whose population is more than 97 percent white and mostly rural, serves as a prime example of this. In 2016, Pike County voted for Trump by more than 62 percent, a margin of more than 15,000 votes; last week, Beshear narrowed that gap to about 22 percent, losing the county to Bevin by just under 2,000 votes. By surging his margins in Fayette County, which encompasses Lexington, and reducing his margins in rural counties like Pike, Beshear eked out a victory against a highly unpopular Republican governor by just about 5,000 votes.
In 2020, were up against an incumbent president who is a lot more popular in the swing states, and who has an operation that is a lot more formidable. For the past three years, the Trump campaign and GOP apparatus have built out an operation in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania akin to a political Death Star. In the third quarter of 2019, the Trump campaign raised a record $125 million to fuel a gargantuan reelection campaign that has remained on the ground in swing states since his election.
But they arent just trying to win back these voters, theyre trying to surge their support with this group into the stratosphere. Nearly 500,000 white, working-class voters in Wisconsin did not turn out to vote in 2016, and the Trump team is currently spending millions in a highly sophisticated voter contact effort to turn this group out in even greater numbers. If Trumps operation succeeds in boosting their turnout by even just a little bit, it will be ballgame no matter how high the Democratic turnout is.
Democrats lost Wisconsin by less than a percentage point in 2016 because Trump surged his margins with white, working-class voters in rural regions across the state, and our turnout in urban areas like Milwaukee wasn't strong enough to counter his gains. This difference between a President TrumpDonald John TrumpMost Americans break with Trump on Ukraine, but just 45 percent think he should be removed: poll Judge orders Democrats to give notice if they request Trump's NY tax returns Trump's doctor issues letter addressing 'speculation' about visit to Walter Reed MORE and a President Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonThe Memo: Centrists change tone of Democratic race In 2020, democracy will be decided at the margins Michelle Obama presents Lin-Manuel Miranda with National Portrait Award MORE came down to a rail-thin margin.
That tiny margin in 2016 meant the difference between a president who banned transgender troops from serving in the military and one who would have enacted the Equal Rights Amendment into law; a president who has irreparably damaged farmers in an ego-inflated trade war with Beijing and one who would have held a steady hand on the global stage; a president who welcomes foreign interference in our elections and one who would work to prevent it. The list goes on.
In 2020, with a president openly extorting foreign powers to investigate his political opponents and a Republican Senate that appears set to let him off the hook our democracy will live or die by these margins. It will be to our own peril to ignore this group of voters any longer. We must engage now if we want to make Trump a one-term president.
Bradley Beychok is the co-founder and president of American Bridge 21st Century, a progressive super PAC that supports Democratic candidates and is an opposition-research group for the Democratic Party. Follow him on Twitter @beychok
See more here:
In 2020, democracy will be decided at the margins | TheHill - The Hill
- Georgia is dousing the last embers of democracy - The Economist - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Is Redistricting Ruining Democracy? - The Free Press - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- This Week at Democracy Docket: A Major Win for Democracy and the Coming Attack on Mail Voting - Democracy Docket - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Five Ways Tuesdays Results Will Affect Voting Rules and Democracy - boltsmag.org - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Federal Judge, Warning of Existential Threat to Democracy, Resigns - The New York Times - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- How Ranchers and Grassroots Organizers Are Shaping Democracy in Wyoming - The Fulcrum - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Why Liberals Do Not Understand the Value of Democracy - Hungarian Conservative - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Ali Velshi: Democracy is built by people who show up even when the odds say they shouldnt - MSNBC News - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Eagles Keep Democracy Rolling on Election Day - University of Mary Washington - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Too Young to Vote, Not Too Young to Fix Democracy - The Fulcrum - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier warned that the rise of the far right and increasing antisemitism pose a growing threat to Germany's... - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- The Down-Ballot Votes That Sustained The National Pro-Democracy Wave - Democracy Docket - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- "Courage is the New Currency": Skye Perryman and Democracy Forward - Interfaith Alliance - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- A Polish Jewish Artist Who Embraced Democracy and Explained Scripture to Englishmen - Tikvah - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Biden touts Dems election wins, says Trump is taking 'wrecking ball' to democracy - USA Today - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- TN State Rep on working in the minority, against the odds: Democracy is built up in the margins - MSNBC News - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Letter: Mail-in voting key to healthy democracy - Honolulu Star-Advertiser - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Letter | East Wing emblematic of destruction of democracy - The Cap Times - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- America can rebuild the East Wing, but what about democracy? - The Fulcrum - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Without Precedent: Lisa Graves on the Supreme Court, Tariffs, Voting Rights & Legacy of John Roberts - Democracy Now! - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- This Week in Democracy Week 42: Trump Pardons Crooks, Ignores Courts, and Threatens War - Zeteo | Substack - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Retired Navy rear admiral offers thoughts on military readiness and democracy [column] - LancasterOnline - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- This little-known position in WA is a huge democracy booster - The Seattle Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- National dialogue in the DRC: A tool for co-opting opponents or consolidating democracy? - Brookings - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Democracy Watch: The one-year countdown begins to midterm elections with big stakes. Can the nation live up to the ideals it embraced 250 years ago? -... - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Maine Rejects Anti-Voting Ballot Measure, Reaffirms Voting Access - Democracy Docket - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Reimagining Democracy: Lessons and strategies from Asia and Africas battle against backsliding - International IDEA - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Protecting Democracy and the 2025 Redistricting Battles: A Conversation with Xavier Becerra - UCLA Luskin - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- From Mamdani to Prop 50, John Nichols on Election Day Races & the Future of Democratic Party - Democracy Now! - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Newsroom Leaders on Gender, Press Freedom and Democracy - The 19th News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Speaker Johnsons unprecedented, democracy-thwarting effort to keep the Epstein files secret - Popular Information | Judd Legum - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Information is the lifeblood of democracy - The Durango Herald - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Poll Shows Dissatisfaction With New Democracy, Tsipras Too - The National Herald - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Forget petty bribes, state capture is corruption so deep it is shaping the rules of democracy itself | Kenneth Mohammed - The Guardian - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Preserving Democracy: How CCIJ verified and permanently archived Nigerian election documents - MuckRock - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Who Can Rescue Democracy? Local Funders Have the Edge - Chronicle of Philanthropy - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- This Week at Democracy Docket: First on Voter Suppression News - Democracy Docket - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- An Open Letter to Speaker Johnson: Real Patriots Dont Fear Democracy - The Fulcrum - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Democracy in transition: Global struggle for governance in a changing world - Latest news from Azerbaijan - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Aarhus Centres strengthen environmental democracy at annual meeting in Vienna - Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- John Burtka III: America needs to be the "Arsenal of Democracy" again - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- From arsenal of democracy to arsenal of resilience - The Strategist | ASPI's analysis and commentary site - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Most Americans see unlimited election spending as a threat to democracy: poll - CaloNews.com - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Defending Democracy in a Topsy-Turvy World - Global Issues.org - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Judge Luttig: We the People are the final backstop for American democracy - Yahoo - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Fake information is all the rage and fanning division across the world. We are facing the question of how we could all defend democracy. We are... - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- This Week in Democracy Week 41: Trump Threatens Even More Troops on the Streets - Zeteo - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- What would you do if democracy was being dismantled before your eyes? Whatever youre doing right now - The Guardian - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- From Copenhagen to Doha: Democracy and the Renewal of the Social Contract - International IDEA - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- News Analysis: Prop. 50 is just one part of a historically uncertain moment for American democracy - Los Angeles Times - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democracy in Action as Students Use Art to Express Their Hopes - Rutgers University - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- NAACP Backs Virginia Redistricting Effort to Protect Black Representation and Defend Democracy - NAACP - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- In Big Win for Voters and Democrats, Court Blocks Trumps Demand for Voter ID on Registration Form - Democracy Docket - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democracy at a crossroads: Rule of law and the case for US engagement in the Balkans - Atlantic Council - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Watch Archived Video of My Safeguarding Democracy Project Conversation with Danielle Citron, Brendan Nyhan, and Amy Wilentz on the Media and Social... - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Mamdani of the Midwest: Meet Omar Fateh. Could He Be the Next Mayor of Minneapolis? - Democracy Now! - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Republicans are handling the shutdown like democracy is ending - The Real News Network - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democracy Experts Issue Red Alert on Trump Leading Slide to Autocracy - The Daily Beast - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democracy Digest: Hungary and Slovakia Are Biggest Rule of Law Decliners in EU - Balkan Insight - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Beyond the ballot box: Democracy Day returns for fifth consecutive year - The Stanford Daily - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- DHS Sued for Records on Trump-Appointed Election Conspiracy Theorist - Democracy Docket - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- What the 2025 elections mean for the midterms and our democracy - 1A | Speak Freely - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Power without voters: How the shutdown reveals a broken democracy - The Real News Network - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Terry Newman: CTV's unbalanced reporting is what is a threat to democracy - Yahoo News Canada - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump Orders First U.S. Nuclear Weapons Tests in 33 Years - Democracy Now! - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- From past to present: The state of democracy - westerngazette.ca - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Prince Andrew Stripped of Royal Titles and Evicted from Royal Mansion - Democracy Now! - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- UM-Flint to host symposium on civic life and democracy - Flint Beat - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Elizabeth Shackelford: The intoxication of power and its consequences on democracy around the world - Chicago Tribune - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- All Voting Is Local Is Building Democracy The Only Way It Works: Locally, Patiently, Together - Forbes - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Forget diplomatic niceties: its beyond time Europe denounced Trumps trashing of democracy in the US - The Guardian - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- How do we reclaim civility and democracy? - Financial Times - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Reimagining Democracy in Asia: Addressing the Threat of Backsliding - International IDEA - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Europes Housing Crisis Threatens the Foundations of Democracy - Social Europe - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Democracy Day to focus on civic engagement beyond the ballot box - Stanford Report - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Trump Once Again Threatens Unlawful Third Term - Democracy Docket - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Investing in Democracy: Lessons from the Asia-Africa Conference and International IDEAs 30 Years - International IDEA - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Honors College 2025 Day 3: Policy, Practice, and the Persistence of Democracy - Stanford University - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- This Is About Voter Intimidation: Gavin Newsom Is Calling Out Trumps Bid to Control Elections - Democracy Docket - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- What Zohran Mamdanis rise tells us about the state of democracy in America - Analyst News - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]