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July, more than most other months, is loaded with politically sensitive anniversaries that keep Communist Party of China (CPC) censors and security forces on their toes.

First comes the July 1 anniversary of Hong Kongs transfer from British to Chinese rule. Then there is July 5, marking the 2009 ethnic violence in the Xinjiang region that sparked an unprecedented crackdown on its mostly Muslim Uyghur population. The very next day, July 6, is the Dalai Lamas birthday, andJuly 9is the second anniversary of a sweeping repressive action against Chinas human rights lawyers.Finally there isJuly 20, the date in 1999 when the CPC banned the popular spiritual practice Falun Gong and began a massive and often violent campaign to eradicate it.

This year, the anniversaries overlap with other news stories that Beijing likely wants to quash, including an international uproar surrounding democracy activistLiu Xiaobos belated release on medical parole with terminal cancer, and a campaign by exiled tycoonGuo Wenguito publicize corruption allegations involving top Chinese leaders.

It is not surprising in these circumstances that the CPC hastightened information controls. But the party has not simply intensified its efforts in the short term. It has also gradually adapted its methods to a changing technological environment, one in which mobile phones, social media applications, and digital surveillance are critical features.

The result is a new level of intrusiveness and sophistication, as well as danger for populations that are already at risk of severe human rights violations.

Cutting off Access to Circumvention Tools

One of the escalating restrictions that may have the widest reach is a crackdown on virtual private networks (VPNs), which allow users to bypass official censorship. Several VPN applications have beendisabledor removed fromonline storessince July 1. In a June 22 message to customers,prominent VPN provider Greensaid that after receiving a notice from the higher authorities, it planned to cease operations on July 1, causing a ripple of conversations on social media about what circumvention tools could still be used. The latest initiative builds onincreasing official effortsto stop the dissemination of such tools, including some that the authorities had long tolerated.

The applications removal will have the secondary effect of cutting off software updates for users, leaving their devices more vulnerable to hacking. And while many use VPNs to access uncensored news or blocked social media sites like Facebook and Twitter, the tools are also used for security purposes, to protect businesses and activists from pervasive state surveillance.

Inspecting the Personal Communications of Minorities

Other recent controls have focused on ethnic and religious minorities. In Xinjiang, authorities in a district of the regional capitalUrumqiissued a notice on June 27 instructing all residents and business owners to submit their personal ID cards, cell phones, external drives, portable hard drives, notebook computers, and media storage cards to the local police post for registration and scanning byAugust 1. One district employee toldRadio Free Asiathat the campaign was taking place throughout the city. The goal is ostensibly to identify and purge any terrorist videos, but the action violates the privacy rights of Urumqis three million residents and exposes them to punishment for a host of other possible offenses, including those related to peaceful religious or political expression.

In Tibet, the instant-messaging application WeChat has become increasingly popular in recent years, as it has across China. But using it to communicate about the Dalai Lama or his birthday is difficult and dangerous. A test conducted in January by the Canada-based Citizen Lab found that the Tibetan spelling for Dalai Lama was automatically deleted in WeChat messages. Meanwhile, at leasttwo Tibetansare known to have been jailed for participating in a WeChat group commemorating the spiritual leaders 80th birthday in 2015. After a new spate of self-immolation protests took place in early 2017, Tibetans in Sichuan Province report that police aremonitoring communicationon the platform more closely and detaining those suspected of sharing information about self-immolations with overseas contacts.

New Tactics and New Targets

These developments reflect a broader trend identified in a recentFreedom House reporton religion in China. The study found that Chinese government tactics of religious control and persecution have been changing to incorporate new technologies and match the evolving communication habits of the public. Even in the absence of sensitive anniversaries, various modes of electronic surveillance have expanded dramatically at sites of worship and public spaces frequented by religious believers.

The CPCs information controls also appear to be spreading to traditionally less persecuted groups, like state-sanctioned churches and non-Uyghur residents of Xinjiang. Since March, authorities inZhejianghave reportedly been implementing a campaign to installsurveillance cameras in churches and possibly Buddhist temples, in some cases sparking altercations with police and violence against congregants. In Urumqi, the order to turn in digital devices forinspectionapplies to ethnic Han and Kazakh residents as well as Uyghurs, while localKazakhshave reported increased monitoring and some prosecutions related to expressions of their Muslim faith in recent months.

The Information Arms Race

The Chinese governments actions are partly a response to creative initiatives by minority activists to share their stories and perspectives in a heavily restrictive information environment.

It is a nonstop game of cat-and-mouse, journalist Nithin Coca wrote in a June 27articleabout Chinas high-tech war on Tibetan communication. As the Tibet movements digital-security abilities and training improve, the Chinese government implements more sophisticated hacking techniques.

Similarly, asFalun Gongpractitioners devise new means of disseminating information to debunk vilifying state propaganda and expose abuses they have suffered, security forces have adapted by increasing electronic surveillance and deploying geolocation technology to find and arrest them. Local authorities in places likeJiangsu provincehave also upgraded anti-Falun Gong propaganda efforts, deploying LED rolling screens, cartoons, microblogs, and QQ messaging including in schools last month to demonize Falun Gong and other banned religious groups.

A Vicious Circle

The result of the escalating controls is that there are even fewer avenues for persecuted groups and individuals to defend themselves, offer alternatives to the party line, or expose violence committed by officials. Meanwhile, other Chinese interested in knowing more about these and other censored topics find it increasingly difficult and risky to obtain information.

There is also a cost to the CPC. Such aggressive stability maintenance methods ultimately increase tensions with key populations, intensify resentment of the partys heavy-handed rule, and inspire anti-government activism and even violence, including among otherwise apolitical citizens.

From that perspective, while the CPCs efforts may successfully silence some critics this year, party leaders may face an even more daunting challenge next July.

Sarah Cook is a senior research analyst for East Asia at Freedom House, director of itsChina Media Bulletin,and author ofThe Battle for Chinas Spirit: Religious Revival, Repression, and Resistance under Xi Jinping.

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China's Newest Censorship Methods on Display - The Diplomat