Archive for the ‘Ukraine’ Category

Russian Army Arrives at Ukraine Border as US Fears Over ‘Hot War’ Simmer – Newsweek

As the bloody standoff in Ukraine reaches its annual apex month for violence, Kiev claims Russia is sending more troops near its borders, while the Kremlin has snapped back that it has every right to do so.

Relations between both countries have deteriorated significantly since Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014; ithas since backed separatist militants in Ukraines border regions. However, Moscow has not officially declared war on Kiev and continues to deny official involvement in the fighting on the ground.

Related: Russian ally scrapped U.S. base after threat of missile strike

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Speaking during a military conference, captured in a Facebook video andposted on the militarys official account on Sunday, UkrainianChief of General Staff Viktor Muzhenko said his forces had observed new moves on the Russian side of the border.

The organizational and staff structure, the arms and the military equipment that is approaching for reinforcement, indicates that these Russian divisions are striking forces in their essence and are intended for carrying out rapid offensive actions,he said.

The units in question, Muzhenko specified, were three motorized rifle divisions, two of which are usually headquartered at the borders of Ukraines war-torn Donbass regionand one that is usually deployed further north, near Smolensk.

Russian troops have previously dug in near the Ukrainian border, including near separatist-held lands, at times of impending fighting. Observers regularly record peaks in cease-fire violations during August.

A Ukrainian serviceman fires a machine-gun at the industrial zone of the government-held town of Avdiyivka, Ukraine, on May 22. Oleksandr Klymenko/Reuters

Asked to confirm or deny any deployments closing in on the Ukrainian border, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov did neither.

The Russian Federation is free to change the configuration of armed forces on its territory in accordance with what it views as most purposeful, he told state news agency Itar-Tass on Monday. When it comes to specifics, in any given case it is better to address this question to our colleagues at the Ministry of Defense.

Russia denies officially supporting the insurgents in Donbassbut has not provided a detailed explanation as to where the fighters acquired the troops and equipment to hold one of Europes most numerous armies at bayfor three years.

During a phone call with the leaders of Russia, France and Germany, Ukraines President Petro Poroshenko warned on Monday that the past few days have been some of the bloodiest this year.

Speaking to RFE, Kurt Volker, the newly appointed U.S. representative in Ukraine negotiations, said the conflict resembles a hot war, pointing out that a recent increase in clashes across the Donbass has killed at least nine Ukrainian soldiers within 72 hours.

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Russian Army Arrives at Ukraine Border as US Fears Over 'Hot War' Simmer - Newsweek

How Russia Took Crimea Without a Fight From Ukraine – Newsweek

The career of Sergei Yeliseyev helps to explain why Ukraine's armed forces gave up Crimea almost without a fightand why NATO now says it is alert to Russian attempts to undermine military loyalty in its eastern European members.

His rise to become number two in the Ukrainian navy long before Russia seized Crimea illustrates the divided loyalties that some personnel in countries that once belonged to the Soviet Union might still face.

Yeliseyev's roots were in Russia but he ended up serving Ukraine, a different ex-Soviet republic, only to defect when put to the test. NATO military planners now believe Moscow regards people with similarly ambiguous personal links as potentially valuable, should a new confrontation break out with the West.

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In 2014, Yeliseyev was first deputy commander of the Ukrainian fleet, then largely based in Crimea, when Russian soldiers in unmarked uniforms took control of Kiev's ships and military bases on the peninsula.

Instead of resisting, Yeliseyev quit and subsequently got a new job: deputy chief of Russia's Baltic Fleet.

Yeliseyev, now aged 55, did not respond to Reuters questions sent to him via the Russian defense ministry.

In Kiev, however, there is no doubt where his loyalties lay. "When he took an oath to Ukraine, these were empty words for him. He has always been pro-Russian," said Ihor Voronchenko, now commander of the Ukrainian navy, who once served with Yeliseyev.

In fact, the Russian soldiers were pushing at an open door in late February 2014Yeliseyev was just one of many to defect and almost all Ukrainian forces in Crimea failed to resist.

Russia annexed Crimea the following month, prompting a major row with the West which deepened over Moscow's role in a rebellion in eastern Ukraine that lasts to this day.

At the time, Moscow and its allies in Crimea exploited weaknesses within Kiev's military to undermine its ability to put up a fight, according to interviews conducted by Reuters with about a dozen people on both sides of the conflict.

The Russian defense ministry did not respond to questions on their accounts of the events in 2014 submitted by Reuters.

One NATO commander told Reuters that, in a re-run of the tactics it deployed in Crimea, Russian intelligence was trying to recruit ethnic Russians serving in the militaries of countries on its borders.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, the commander said the alliance was particularly sensitive to the risk in countries with high concentrations of ethnic Russians, notably the Baltic states.

NATO had to guard against this, said the commander, though the risk should not be overstated because having Russian roots did not necessarily mean that a person's loyalty is to Moscow.

Officials in the Baltic states, former Soviet republics which unlike Ukraine are NATO members, play down the danger.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg likewise said he trusted the armies of the Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Still, he told Reuters: "We always have to be vigilant. We always have to develop our intelligence tools and to be able to see any attempts to try to undermine the loyalty of our forces."

Years before the Crimean annexation, a Ukrainian appointment panel appeared to drop its guard when it interviewed Yeliseyev for the deputy naval commander's post.

Yeliseyev was born near Moscow, graduated from a Soviet naval school in the Russian city of Kaliningrad in 1983 and served with the Russian Pacific fleet.

So the panel asked Yeliseyev what he would do if Russia and Ukraine went to war. He replied that he would file for early retirement, according to Myroslav Mamchak, a former Ukrainian naval captain who served with Yeliseyev. Despite this response, Yeliseyev got the job in 2006.

Mamchak did not disclose to Reuters how he knew what was said in the interview room but subsequent events bear out his account.

Relations between Russia and Ukraine dived as Kiev moved closer to NATO and eight years after his appointment, with the countries on the brink of conflict over Crimea, Yeliseyev stayed true to his word by quitting.

Russia's actions were not the only factor in the Crimean events. Ukraine's military had suffered years of neglect, there was a power vacuum in Kiev after the government was overthrown, and many Crimean residents felt more affinity with Moscow.

Still, Ukrainian service personnel with Russian ties switched sides when the annexation began and some officers pretended to put up resistance only to avoid court-martial. Moscow also intercepted orders from Kiev so they never reached the Crimean garrison.

"There was nothing spontaneous. Everything was organized and each fiddler played his role," said Mykhailo Koval, who at the time was deputy head of the Ukrainian border guard and is now deputy head of the Security Council in Kiev.

Voronchenko, who was another deputy commander of the navy at the time of the annexation, said he had received invitations to defect to Moscow's side soon after the Russian operation began.

These, he told Reuters, came from Sergei Aksyonov, who was then head of Crimea's self-proclaimed pro-Russian government, as well as from the commander of Russia's southern military district and a deputy Russian defense minister.

Asked what they offered in exchange, Voronchenko said: "Posts, an apartment ... Aksyonov offered to make me defense minister of Crimea." Neither Aksyonov nor the Russian defense ministry responded to Reuters questions about the contacts.

Voronchenko, in common with many other senior Ukrainian officers, had been in the Soviet military alongside people now serving in the Russian armed forces. He had spent years in Crimea, where Russia leased bases from Ukraine for its Black Sea fleet after the 1991 break up of the Soviet Union.

"Those generals who came to persuade me ... said that we belong to the same circle, we came from the Soviet army," he said. "But I told them I am different ... I am not yours."

Naval chief Denis Berezovsky did defect, along with several of his commanders, and was later made deputy chief of the Russian Black Sea fleet.

Many in the ranks followed suit. At one Ukrainian signals unit, service personnel were watching Russian television when President Vladimir Putin appeared on the screen.

"To my surprise, they all stood up," said Svyatoslav Veltynsky, an engineer at the unit. "They had been waiting for this." The majority of the unit defected to the Russian side.

Even those willing to resist found themselves in a hopeless position. One member of the Ukrainian border guards told Reuters how his commander had despatched their unit's ships to stop them falling into Russian hands, and ordered his men to train their rifles on anyone trying to enter their base.

However, the base's military communications were not working, having been either jammed or cut by the Russians. Isolated from his own side, and outnumbered and outgunned by Russian troops outside, the commander struck a deal with the head of a Russian special forces unit.

Pro-Russian civilians were allowed to force the base's gate without reprisals. The Ukrainians "supposedly could not do anything; you cannot shoot civilians", the member of the unit said on condition of anonymity because he is still living in Crimea and feared repercussions.

Russian troops then followed the civilians in, taking over the base and offering the unit a chance to switch allegiance to Russia. About half agreed, although the base's chief refused and was allowed to leave Crimea.

"The commander did not resist," said the unit member. "On the other hand, he did what he could under the circumstances."

Two other people involved in the annexationa former Ukrainian serviceman now on a Russian base in Crimea, and a source close to the Russian military who was there at the timealso described witnessing similar faked confrontations.

"You have to understand that the seizure of Ukrainian military units in Crimea was just a show," said the source close to the Russian military.

NATO's Baltic members differ significantly from Ukraine. Soviet-era commanders, for instance, largely left their armed forces after the countries joined the Western alliance in 2004.

Officials also point out that Russian speakers were among the seven members of Latvia's forces to die during international deployments to Afghanistan and Iraq.

Nevertheless, lessons have been learned from Crimea. "We learned, of course, that there was not only the issue of loyalty, but also false orders were submitted and there was a blockage ofcommunication during the Crimea operation," said Janis Garisons, State Secretary in the Latvian defense ministry.

Latvia has changed the law so that unit commanders are obliged to resist by default. But Garisons said the simplest step was taken long before the annexation, with the introduction in 2008 of vetting by the security services for "everybody who joins the armed forces, from private to general".

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How Russia Took Crimea Without a Fight From Ukraine - Newsweek

NATO Shows Ukraine Support at Sea but War in East Turns Bloody – Newsweek

Two NATO warships have docked at the Ukrainian portof Odessa and will open its doors to local visitors as part of the alliances bid to show support for Ukraines ambitions to one day join the Western-led bloc.

Ukraine, once a famously neutral state, has veered towardNATO membership since its relationship with neighboring Russia collapsed after a series of land grabs by pro-Russian forces in 2014. A poll last month found that nearly56 percent of Ukrainianssupported joining the alliance.

Read More: How a Russian ally kicked the U.S. military out after receiving missile strike threat

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The U.K. Royal Navys HMS Duncan and Turkeys frigate Yildirim arrived at the Black Sea port on Monday for a three-day stay,NATO representation to Ukraine announced on Facebook.

The vessels are in Ukrainian waters following a U.S.-led drill, called Sea Breeze, in which Ukraine took part. Theirpurpose this week, however, is more symbolic. The NATO liaison officer in Ukraine, Alexander Vinnikov, has officially gone aboard the visiting vessels, whichwill be open to Ukrainians who want to get better acquainted with the navies of Kievs western partners.

Russia has repeatedly objected to nonregional forces entering the Black Sea, taking particular issue with U.S. Navy vessels.

Tensions between Russia and Ukraine are high, as violence between government loyalists and Russian-backed separatist troops in eastern Ukraine flares up every year around August.

Ukraines president, Petro Poroshenko, warned on Sunday during a call with the leaders of Russia, Germany and France that Ukraine was entering the bloodiest outburst of 2017.Nine Ukrainian soldiers had died in the previous 72 hours.

The new U.S. envoy to the Ukraine ceasefire talks, Kurt Volker, said on Monday that he was astonished by the frail state of the ceasefire in eastern Ukraine and said the conflict resembled a hot war.

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The communist soldier using charity sites to fund his war – BBC News – BBC News


BBC News
The communist soldier using charity sites to fund his war - BBC News
BBC News
Several Americans and Brits are using charity donation websites to finance their war efforts in eastern Ukraine.

and more »

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The communist soldier using charity sites to fund his war - BBC News - BBC News

Ukraine is set for a new lease of life: A country at war tries to return both to normality and the bond markets – City A.M.

Ukraine's prospects are looking up.

Two years ago, the countrys then finance minister Natalie Jaresko was seeking fiscal aid. The economy was shattered by war with Russia, which saw GDP plummet by 9.7 per cent in 2015.

Things look rather different for her successor. Oleksandr Danylyuk, a former executive with consultant McKinsey in London, took over in early 2016, just as the economy started to rebound.

Earlier this month, he returned to the capital to sell investments in an economy which the International Monetary Fund (IMF) says may be on the verge of a boom.

Growth will be two per cent this year, Danylyuk predicts, before accelerating to three per cent in 2018, in line with IMF forecasts.

Read more: Ukraine's central bank pulls plug on PwC bank audit rights over PrivatBank

Even with the shadow of its aggressive neighbour still casting a pall over the east of the country, Danylyuk projects a palpable confidence in his countrys prospects.

Given where Ukraine is, we can easily grow six per cent [in a year], he tells City A.M.

On the back of the expected rebound, the Ukrainian government is looking to re-enter international bond markets for the first time since 2013, potentially with an autumn issue.

The exact amount to be issued has not yet been decided, Danylyuk insists, although a figure between $500m (385m) and $1.5bn currently seems most likely.

The success or failure of reforms will be the driving force for demand for Ukrainian debt, with big changes in energy, healthcare and a new land market on the way.

Danylyuk says: All the reforms we are doing are actually aimed at making these sectors attractive to investors. We understand that internal resources are limited.

The government has already made big and sometimes domestically unpopular changes, including the removal of energy subsidies.

They are also set to introduce a requirement for pensioners to pay tax for a minimum number of years before they can draw a state pension, a move which will broaden the tax base.

Read more: Ukraine vows to "vigorously" defend itself over Russian loan

Another central plank of the changes is the fight against corruption. There is close to zero tolerance for corruption in Ukraine, says Danylyuk.

The Euromaidan revolution in 2014 which brought the current government of President Petro Poroshenko to power was driven in part by frustration with the cronyism of the previous government.

Yet Ukraine ranks 131st in Transparency Internationals Corruption Perceptions Index, level with Iran and Russia, and corruption in the private sector is much lower down the list of priorities, Danylyuk admits.

Not many people in Ukraine think about [private sector corruption] this way, he says. The corruption thing is something happening within the state, the government.

If corruption was one driver of the 2014 revolution, the other was the chance to throw off the yoke of Russian influence and move closer to Europe.

Russias response was brutal, annexing Crimea to the south and the thinly-veiled instigation of a separatist occupation in the eastern Donbas region.

The prospect of a frozen war that occasionally flares up into violence is hardly conducive to a thriving economy, and Russia is still capable of turning the screw: a trade blockade this year may have knocked a whole percentage point off annual growth.

However, Danylyuk is relatively sanguine about the Russian threat, which he characterises as an expensive artificial boost of patriotism by Vladimir Putin.

Ukraine has completely weaned itself off Russian energy imports since 2014, while recent economic growth proves the country is resilient.

There is not much they can do actually to further destabilise [Ukraine], so its a good signal, says Danylyuk. Im very optimistic.

Unsurprisingly, Danylyuk is firm that sanctions on Russia must remain in place, praising the US, France and the UK, one of the most reliable partners, for their pressure.

While pushing for the international community to ostracise Russia, the longer-term vision for his country the vision he is selling to investors is a globalised Ukraine more deeply embedded in the institutions of the West.

Its an open, vibrant economy, deeply integrated with the European Union free-trade area, but also having very extensive links with other countries, he says. It will be a totally new economy.

Read more: The problem with Ukraine and Iraq isnt Putin and Islamic State

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Ukraine is set for a new lease of life: A country at war tries to return both to normality and the bond markets - City A.M.