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Congratulations, Republicans! You won the Senate majority! Now, can you hold onto it for more than two years?

Looking at the 2016 Senate map, there's reason for some doubt. Im helping win the majority in 2014, and Im making the point that 2016s going to be a very different map for us, Ohio Republican Sen. Rob Portman, who is up in 2016, told the New York Times earlier this year.

He's right.

Republicans will have to defend 24 seats as compared to just 10 for Democrats in 2016. And, the raw numbers don't even tell the whole story. Seven seats currently held by Republican incumbents -- Florida,Illinois, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin -- were all carried by President Obama in 2008 and 2012. And there is chatter about potential Republican retirements in Arizona and Iowa; if either John McCain or Chuck Grassley decided to call it a career, each of those races would be major Democratic targets.

On the other side of the coin, Republican takeover opportunities are few and far between. By far the most endangered Democrat is Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid who survived in 2010 but could be facing Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval (R), who won a second term with more than 70 percent of the vote on Tuesday, in 2016. Reid has said he will run again although his demotion from Majority Leader to Minority Leader might make him rethink those plans. The only other Democrat who starts the 2016 cycle in serious jeopardy is freshman Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet, who, like Reid, was a surprise winner in 2010. Sen.-elect Cory Gardner's (R) convincing win over Sen. Mark Udall (D) on Tuesday in the Rocky Mountain State will undoubtedly energize Republicans although it's less clear what the GOP bench looks like for a race against Bennet.

Outside of those two seats, there's almost no vulnerability on the Democratic side. Even if Sen. Barbara Boxer (Calif.) or Barbara Mikulski (Md.) decide not to run again, both sit in very, very Democratic states -- particularly at the federal level.

To win back the Senate majority in two years time will, likely, require Democrats to net four (if they hold the White House in 2016) or five (if they don't) seats. Republicans currently control 52 Senate seats in the 114th Congress but Sen. Mark Begich (D) is behind by 8,000 votes in Alaska and likely to lose, and Sen. Mary Landrieu's chances don't look great in Louisiana's Dec. 6 runoff.

Five seats is certainly not out of the question -- although it might be a bit of a stretch -- given the Senate map of 2016. Of the 10 most vulnerable seats listed below, Republicans hold eight.

The number one ranked race is the most likely to flip party control in 2016. To the Line!

The GOP gained control of the Senate Tuesday night, taking hold of the legislative agenda in that chamber. Here are three of the policies Republicans are likely to tackle as they take the reins in January 2015. (Julie Percha/The Washington Post)

See the article here:
The Fix: Why Republicans Senate majority could be very short-lived

Newly empowered Republicans say they cant repeal Obamacare and plan to chip away at the law piece by piece, starting with redefining full-time work in a way that could affect health coverage for 1 million people.

House Speaker John Boehner and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell yesterday said they want to rewrite the Affordable Care Act so employers could avoid providing health coverage to workers who put in less than 40 hours a week -- up from the laws current 30-hour threshold.

The move is backed by business groups such as the National Retail Federation and the National Restaurant Association. The measure, which would face a presidential veto, would make it easier for employers to shift more workers to part-time status and avoid buying insurance or paying fines under a provision of the law taking effect at the end of the year.

The likely result: A million people would lose employer-paid health care and have to look for subsidized coverage on government insurance exchanges or go on Medicaid, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Thats just the opening round.

McConnell said after his party won control of the Senate in the Nov. 4 midterm election that Republicans wouldnt able to repeal the health-care law as long as Barack Obama is president and would instead seek to limit its scope.

Their strategy of choice will be piecemeal attempts to repeal parts of the statute, and its clear that the 40-hour rule may very well be part of that litany, said Ron Pollack, executive director of Families USA, a Washington-based advocacy group that supports the health-care law.

The maneuver taps into public anxiety that the law would create incentives for employers to reduce workers hours to avoid paying fines or purchasing insurance. The Republican leaders borrowed language from the labor movement, characterizing the proposal as an effort to restore the traditional 40-hour definition of full-time employment in an op-ed article published yesterday in the Wall Street Journal.

McConnell, of Kentucky, and Boehner, of Ohio, are returning to a proposal that the Republican-led House passed in April, with the support of 18 Democrats. The White House threatened a veto and the Democratic-controlled Senate never took up the legislation.

White House senior adviser Dan Pfeiffer said Obama would reject the new effort to change the law.

The proposal they offered before, it kicked a lot of people off of health care and cost a lot of money, Pfeiffer told Bloomberg reporters and editors today in an interview. It was bad policy and bad for the American people.

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Republicans to Chip at Obamacare by Redefining Work Hours

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

Washington (CNN) -- Two days after voters angry with Washington's dysfunction swept Republicans into control of the Senate and expanded their advantage in the House, Speaker John Boehner used his first post-midterm news conference to issue a "burn" notice to the commander-in-chief.

"When you play with matches, you take the risk of burning yourself and he's going to burn himself if he continues to go down that path," the Ohio Republican told reporters on the Hill, when asked about President Barack Obama's plans to issue executive orders on immigration before year's end.

Just hours after Obama recommitted himself to staying the course on immigration orders and protecting his signature health care law, Republicans spent Thursday firing back shots at the administration, signaling that Tuesday's midterms did little to quell partisan tension in Washington.

Republican National Committee members as well as GOP leaders on the Hill took the election results as a sign to dig in on their issues, and while both parties made reference to compromise, Thursday's developments suggested more of the opposite was in store.

Obama alone after midterm repudiation

Two of the most powerful Republicans in Washington, Boehner and the expected next Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, outlined their priorities in writing, using an oped in the Wall Street Journal to showcase their 2015 priorities. Among them: Repealing Obamacare, authorizing construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline and reforming the tax code.

The pair took shots at Democratic House and Senate leaders who shepherded most of Obama's significant legislative achievements through Congress, saying they "won't repeat the mistakes made when a different majority ran Congress in the first years of Barack Obama's presidency, attempting to reshape large chunks of the nation's economy with massive bills that few Americans have read and fewer understand."

And in his press conference, Boehner said the House will likely vote again next year to repeal the Affordable Care Act -- both in full and in separate chunks, like stripping away the medical device tax and the individual mandate.

Get ready: 2016 starts now

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Heated Republicans return fire at Obama

Obama: Republicans Had a `Good Night #39; in Midterms
Nov. 5 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama speaks at a news conference in Washington about the results of the midterm elections. (Source: Bloomberg) -- Subscribe to Bloomberg on YouTube:...

By: Bloomberg News

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Obama: Republicans Had a `Good Night' in Midterms - Video

Barack Obama Speech Press Conference Election 2014 - Republicans Winning The Senate | FULL
United States Senate Elections, 2014 Obama Speech Press Conference Election 2014 - Republicans Winning The Senate | FULL Obama Speech Press Conference Election 2014 - Republicans ...

By: Valerie Venraij

Originally posted here:
Barack Obama Speech Press Conference Election 2014 - Republicans Winning The Senate | FULL - Video