Whats at stake for Nikki Haley in the South Carolina Republican primary? Al Jazeera English
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Whats at stake for Nikki Haley in the South Carolina Republican primary? - Al Jazeera English
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Overview
The South Carolina Republican primary is Saturday.Since 1980, with the exception of 2012, the winner of the Republican primary here has gone on to be the party's nominee. That year, Newt Gingrich finished ahead of Mitt Romney.
This is an open primary. Any registered voter that did not vote in the Democratic primary three weeks ago is eligible to participate.
Nikki Haley was elected twice as governor here, resigning halfway through her second term in January, 2017 to join the Trump Administration as U.N. Ambassador. Fast forward seven years and she is now Trump's only remaining major challenger for the Republican nomination.
Less prominent candidates Ryan Binkley and David Stuckenberg are also on the ballot, along with three others that have withdrawn from the race.
Trump has runwell ahead in the polls, leading 62% to 35% in the final 270toWin Average. An outcome close to this, while still showing significant support for Haley, will leave her with few, if any, delegates.
Live Results
Polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern Time.
Delegates
There are 50 total delegates. 29 are allocated based on the statewide vote, with three delegates awarded on the vote in each of the state's seven congressional districts. In each case, it is winner take all.
Bookmark ouraggregate delegate count mapto keep track through the primary and caucus season as candidates accumulate delegates toward the 1,215 needed to win the Republican nomination.
A Note on Republican Delegate Allocations
South Carolina is the only state authorized by the national party to have a plurality winner take all allocation prior to March 15.
Other states can back into winner take all with a threshold set at no less than a majority of the vote. Where no candidate meets the criteria, some variation on a proportional allocation is offered, often subject to a minimum threshold.
Most of the upcoming Super Tuesday states have taken this approach. Some, like California, allocate all delegates based on the statewide vote. Others work like South Carolina, allocating a portion of the delegates based on the vote in each congressional district.
As a practical matter, with only two major candidates remaining, there will be a majority winner in most of the Super Tuesday states. Barring a shift in the race, it will be difficult for Haley to amass many delegates. In fact, Trump's team believes their candidate will clinch the nomination on March 12.
Bookmark the 2024 Presidential Election Calendar
Starting March 5, some states include the presidential primary alongside the primary for other offices (e.g., Congress, Legislature)
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Overview and Live Results: South Carolina Republican Primary - 270toWin - 270toWin
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Former President Donald Trump is projected to be the winner of the South Carolina Republican, beating Nikki Haley in her home state.
Author: thv11.com
Published: 10:08 PM CST February 24, 2024
Updated: 10:08 PM CST February 24, 2024
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Trump wins South Carolina Republican primary, beating Haley in her home state - THV11.com KTHV
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This article is part of The D.C. Brief, TIMEs politics newsletter. Sign up here to get stories like this sent to your inbox.
In the mythologies of the modern conservative movement, no figure stands taller than Ronald Reagan. But his shadow is shrinking faster than a lot of Republicans realize.
Reagan was the voice that placed Barry Goldwaters name forward for the presidential nomination in 1964. He inaugurated what was then known as the Conservative Political Action Conferencewhich is now known as CPAC and starts todaywith a landmark speech in 1974 that employed the city on a hill rhetoric that would pepper so many of his remarks over the next 15 years. Once he was in the White House, Reagan was perhaps the most effective American Cold Warrior, helping guide almost a half century of antipathy between democratic Washington and communist Moscow to an end. Reagans agenda benefited from a sincere friendship with his Soviet counterpart, Mikhail Gorbachev, whom he ordered in Berlin to tear down this walleven over objections from the U.S. State Department and National Security Council. For close to 40 years, Republicans across the spectrum have found a way to somehow invite comparisons to The Gipper, including his Cold War victory over a geopolitical rival he branded The Evil Empire.
Reagan, it has to be said, was pretty spot-on when it came to his assessment of the then-Soviet Union and prescient about its next stage. Its heir, modern Russia, never fully shed its inclinations toward autocracy or foreign meddling. Its why even in the cooled rivalry between the two capitals there has never been a full thaw. Last weeks Munich Security Conference began hours after news broke of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalnys death. The German Chancellor devoted his entire speech at the Peace Through Dialogue confab to the threats from Moscow. Here in the United States, Navalnys death drew Reaganesque condemnation in stark moral terms from all corners of the political arena.
Well, nearly all corners.
Donald Trump, the former President and current Republican frontrunner for renomination, has stubbornly refused to condemn Russia or President Vladimir Putin for their role in Navalnys death in a remote arctic prison. In turn, he blamed Navalny for returning to Russia after an earlier attempt on his lifehe would have been better served staying away and talking from outside of the countryand then baselessly likened his own legal woes to those of Navalny, who as Putins chief critic never stood a shot at a fair trial in Russia.
Those comments came just days after Trumps admonition that Russia should feel free to attack any NATO member that isnt paying its fair share, further casting doubt on hisand, in turn, U.S.commitment to the defense alliance that requires any attack on a member be met with a response from all. I would encourage them to do whatever the hell they want, Trump said.
For years, the party treated Trumps Putin adoration as something to be ignored or grudgingly tolerated. Thats no longer a tenable position. With Russian forces capturing Avdiivka while a desperate Ukraine waits for U.S. aid blocked by the House GOP Caucus, Trumps apologist posture toward Russia and the Republican Partys position are essentially indistinguishable; its a dynamic that has enormous consequences across the globe.
The clearest sign of the partys shift may be apparent at this weeks CPAC, where a whos who of conservative luminaries will deliver speeches, most of which are likely to either avoid mentioning or waive away inconvenient stories like Navalnys death, the stakes of Ukraines fight for self-determination, or the bombshell news that the GOPs drive to impeach President Joe Biden may have been largely orchestrated by Russian intelligence.
Trump has been consistently against helping Ukraine defend itself against the Russian invasion and onslaught. Back in 2019, Ukraines leader didnt bend to Trumps request to weaponize the justice system in Kyiv to hurt Biden, so this is personal.
Republicans have tried to have it both ways, striking a critique of Putins regime while saying Biden cannot counter Moscows aggression. Antagonizing Trump is not a good gambit, as so many vanquished rivals have learned the hard way. Its why Sen. J.D. Vance, an Ohio Republican, has aggressively tried to sour his new colleagues on spending in Ukraine, suggested Ukraine concede with land transfers to Russia, and most recently, floated the notion that the proposed money for Ukraine was actually a backdoor scheme to begin impeachment proceedings against Trump should he win. (No, really.)
Speaker Mike Johnson, whose grip on the Speakers gavel is weak given his partys razor-thin majority, has been offering his own master class in compliance. As long as Trump opposes sending desperately needed help to Ukraine, there will be no immediate votea reality that could complicate even keeping the government open in the coming weeks.
Thats not to say Trumps takeover is absolute. Down in her home state of South Carolina, former Gov. Nikki Haley has been on a slow-and-steady effort to block Trump from another nomination, starting with the states primary on Saturday. After nearly a year of prevaricating, Trumps former envoy to the United Nations has finally dropped the pretense of trying to be MAGA Minus the Red Hat. "Of course, many of the same politicians who now publicly embrace Trump privately dread him," Haley said. "They know what a disaster he's been and will continue to be for our party. They're just too afraid to say it out loud."
Haleys diagnosis is not wrong, especially in the norm-favoring Senate. Donors dont love Trump but see him as the most viable option these days to make Biden a one-termer. House lawmakers may harbor some of these same inclinations, but they fear their constituents who may decide defiance of Trump or his allies is sufficient justification for a primary challenge.
Which, taken as a snapshot, reveals a party far removed from Reagans soaring rhetoric: We raised a banner of bold colors; no pale pastels. Reagan viewed communism as a direct threat to what he saw as Americas greatness and called the Soviets the focus of evil in the modern world. The United States supported anti-communist efforts in Afghanistan, Nicaragua, Angola, and Cambodia. He told aides before the famous summit with Gorbachev in Reykjavik that he wanted to get rid of those atomic weapons, every one." And when Reagan got it wrongas he did when his administration engaged in the arms-for-hostages Iran Contra Affair that left only 12% of Americans believing he was telling the truth about an effort driven by a desire to confront communismhe fessed up. And when he left office, Reagan was the most popular President heading into retirement since FDR.
Trump is no Reagan in ways great and small. Trump defended Putin in the face of proof that Russian-linked operations meddled in the 2016 election; as he departed the Oval Office, highly classified documents related to that investigation went missing. While President, Trump shared sensitive intelligence documents with a Russian ambassador widely believed to be a spy. Where Reagan sought to spread democracy far and wide, Trump tried to hold onto power by subverting it at a rally that turned violent on Jan. 6, 2021.
And Republicans have gone along with all of it. They looked the other way on intelligence breaches, and failed to convict Trump during a record two impeachment trials. And, even in the face of evidence that their impeachment payback of Biden is based on an FBI informant now indicted for telling lies that he alleges started in Russia to hurt Biden, House Republicans say theyll plow forward regardless. The fact that the cornerstone of their case against Biden originated with Russian spooks and bogus claims of checks sent to Biden family members from Ukraine is inconsequential in their march to help Trumps chances of returning to Washington. And as Ukraine struggles in its fight against Russia, it seems those Republicans are ready to abandon the former Soviet republic because Trump has a grudge.
Its quite an act of intentional forgetting on the part of the Republican Party to set aside their lionized legend of Reagan in service of another TV talent, one who seems to hold Reagan-era precedents in contempt and share little of his admiration for democracy. Yet this is the current work of a large cut of the contemporary GOP. For a lot of conservatives, it has not been easy to get over their first crush, but they have another charismatic figure at the ready. Or at least one refusing to retreat.
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Originally posted here:
How Putin Co-Opted the Republican Party - TIME
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