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A brand new Zogby Analytics poll of likely Republican presidential primary voters shows Kentucky Senator Rand Paul and former Massachusetts Governor (and 2012 GOP nominee) Mitt Romney tied at 15% in a very crowded field of potential candidates. The online poll of 212 likely Republican presidential primary voters was conducted September 3 and 4 and has a margin of sampling error of +/-6.9 points.

Here is how all the candidates stack up:

Obviously, this is early and has much to do with name recognition. However, what is striking is the two top contenders represent two completely different sides of the GOPs likely voters. Paul, who actually outpolls Romney 15.2% to 14.6% (which of course is statistically insignificant), draws his support mainly from men (among whom he leads Romney 16% to 12%), while Romney is ahead among women 17%-14%. Paul captures 64% of the small amount of 18-29 year olds, while Romney gets only 4%. Romney, on the other hand leads handily among 30-49 year olds and voters over 65 19% to zero among the former and 24% to 5% among the latter. Among 50-64 year olds, Paul is ahead 15% to 9%.

Registered Republicans like Mitt over Rand by a factor of 17% to 8%, but among the almost three in ten self-described independents, Rand leads 31% to 10%. Among the 85% self-described conservatives, the two leaders are about tied 18% for Paul, 16% for Romney. Paul is the choice among those with college degrees; Romney is backed by those without college degrees.

Protestants choose Paul 21% to 14%, especially those are Born Again/Evangelical 24% to 9%. Both big city and rural voters favor Paul by big margins. The two are closer among small city and suburban voters. NASCAR Fans want Paul 23% to 9% over Romney, but Investor Investor Class voters prefer Romney 22% to 5%.

Certainly there is a long way to go and there is a long list of other contenders, including Huckabee who shows real strength among those who attend church services at least weekly a trait that could help him win Iowa again. For now, the real dynamic within the GOP is best personalized in the forms of Rand Paul and Mitt Romney. This is a classic split.

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Rand and Mitt Tied for 2016: A Tale of Two GOPs

** FILE ** Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul speaks at the Americans for Prosperity gathering Friday, Aug. 29, 2014, in Dallas. (AP Photo/LM Otero) more >

Sen. Rand Paul said Monday that hell wait until the spring before deciding whether to officially launch a bid for the White House.

My wife and I are still talking about it, and weve agreed to continue talking about it, but I dont think there will be a final decision made until the spring, Mr. Paul told Breitbart.com.

Mr. Paul said his decision to run as a presidential candidate will depend on whether or not he believes the GOP is ready to endorse a different kind of Republican.

Theres a lot of different variables, not just family life but also whether or not we think the electorate is warming up to these ideas and ready for maybe a different kind of Republican a Republican that keeps the core values and beliefs of what we stood for but also has issues and areas of where we can reach out to new people, he said.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, the leading potential Democratic presidential candidate, said last week that she, too, will wait until the new year before deciding whether to run for her partys nomination.

I do have a unique vantage point and a set of experiences about what makes the United States operate well and what doesnt, and what a president can do and should be doing, Mrs. Clinton, a former first lady, told an audience at an event in Mexico City last week where she was traveling to promote student scholarship funding from billionaire Carlos Slim.

So I am going to be making a decision around probably after the first of the year about whether Im going to run again or not, Mrs. Clinton told the audience, CBS News reported Monday.

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Rand Paul says he will make 2016 decision by spring

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