Sen. Rand    Paul (R) of Kentucky is breaking with many members of his    own party and other potential Republican candidates for    president in 2016 inoffering at least some support for the    presidents opening to Cuba, highlighting yet another area    where he seems likely to offer a contrast but which is also    likely to become an area of attack against him in a primary    race:  
      Sen. Rand Paul broke with other likely Republican      presidential contenders on Thursday by saying that opening up      more trade with Cuba is probably a good idea and declaring      that the US embargo on the country just hasnt      worked.    
      The Kentucky senators comments to the West Virginia radio      station News Talk 800 WVHU came a day after the White House      announced it would normalize relations with the communist      island.    
      The other likely GOP 2016 contenders who have      weighed in so far on the plans have expressed fierce      opposition. But Paul has taken a number of positions on      foreign policy that have been at odds with many in his party.    
      The 50-year embargo just hasnt worked, Paulsaidin remarks confirmed by his      office. If the goal is regime change, it sure doesnt seem      to be working and probably it punishes the people more than      the regime, because the regime can blame the embargo for      hardship.    
      [ ... ]    
      Paul in the past has indicated support for allowing      diplomatic talks with Iran over its nuclear program to      continue, another policy at odds with many leading      Republicans. He also has argued that a less aggressive      foreign policy is appealing to younger voters and others who      dont traditionally vote for Republicans.    
    Paul is, of course, correct in his assessment that the embargo    that was put in place 52 years ago and which largely remains in    effect, notwithstanding the hopeful and helpful steps that the    president took yesterday, has done little to either help the    Cuban people or undermine the Castro regime. As far as the    Cuban people go, all that it seems to do is to ensure that an    economy that has been on the rocks for decades remains there,    as the nation remains cut off from what would obviously be its    more lucrative trading partner and a lucrative trading partner    for the US, in turn, as it was in the years before the 1959    Revolution, although this time hopefully on a much more equal    footing. In the years of the Cold War, of course, the Cuban    government was able to shield its people from some of the    impact of the foolish economics of Castro socialism, thanks to    the subsidies it was receiving from the Soviet Union. When    those were cut off as the Cold War was collapsing, there was    much speculation that the Castro regime would not be far    behind, but the regime managed to survive and, in more recent    years, has exploited its relationship with the anti-American    regime in Venezuela to obtain energy supplies despite a    shortage of hard currency. The regime in Havana has also been    aided by the fact that, in the wake of the end of the Cold War,    many European nations, along with nations like Canada, eased    their own policies vis a vis Cuba, despite the fact that the US    kept its embargo in place for reasons that have more to do with    domestic politics and ongoing resentments from the Cold War on    both sides of the 90-mile divide between the US and Cuba than    with anything approaching a rational foreign policy. As Paul    goes on to note, there remain a host of complicated issues    between Havana and Washington, but since we know that following    the same road weve been on since 1961 isnt going to change    anything theres nothing wrong at all with trying a different    path.  
    In taking this position, Paul is of course differentiating    himself from several potential rivals for the Republican    presidential nomination, including Sen.Marco Rubio of    Florida,Sen.Ted Cruz of Texas,and former Florida    Gov.Jeb Bush, as well as what would appear to    bethe majority of the Republicans on Capitol    Hill.This isnt an unusual position for the senator    to be in, of course, since hes done similar things with regard    to US drone and surveillance policy, as well as foreign policy;    however, it does present another example of the difficulties    that he is likely to face if he does, in fact, run for    president in 2016. For the most part, Paul has gotten a good    deal of mostly positive press coverage when he takes these    contrarian positions, and hes so far taken only a small number    of attacks from fellow Republicans for his refusal to adhere to    party orthodoxy. While some of those attacks have come from    prominent members of the GOP like former US Ambassador to the    United NationsJohn Bolton, New Jersey Gov.Chris Christie, former Vice    PresidentDick Cheney, and Texas Gov.Rick Perry, they have been relatively low    key so far. If Paul runs for president, and especially if he    becomes a major player in the race, hes likely to become the    focus of attacks on issues such as this from all quarters of    the GOP. Perhaps he can withstand them and bring to the polls    in the early primary states a constituency that is truly    interested in taking the Republican Party in a different    direction when it comes to issues such as foreign policy and    civil liberties. The senator better be prepared to take some    incoming fire, though, because it is going to come, and it is    going to be quite severe when it does.  
    Doug Mataconis appears on the Outside the Beltway blog at    http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/.  
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