Rand Paul and Donald Trump together helped kill the original GOP strategy for repealing Obamacare but delaying a replacement. Now they are trying to bring it back. Photo: Ron Sachs - Pool/Getty Images
Back in that dreamy period for Republicans between November 8, 2016, and Donald Trumps inauguration, when all things reactionary seemed possible, the consensus plan for dealing with Obamacare was called repeal and delay. It involved using the budget-reconciliation process to quickly repeal those elements of the Affordable Care Act that were not strictly regulatory in nature, but with delayed effective dates so that a full Obamacare replacement plan could be worked out at leisure, quite possibly with some Democratic support given the ticking time bomb of full repeal. This strategy had the great merit of letting congressional Republicans quickly keep their promise to bring down the great white whale of Obamacare, without immediately facing the consequences in terms of people losing insurance, or facing higher costs for skimpier coverage. And it also protected Republicans themselves from their own vast internal disagreements over the ultimate shape and structure of the health-care system.
But the agreement over repeal and delay quickly collapsed, with the key moment being a conversation between Trump and a U.S. senator on January 9:
Senator Rand Paul let the world know that hed gotten a phone call from President-elect Donald Trump wherein the mogul expressed agreement with Pauls argument that Obamacare should be repealed and replaced in a single action.
Other senators began expressing concerns about repeal and delay, and Trump delivered the coup de grce in his first post-election press conference when he talked about an Obamacare-replacement bill being passed most likely on the same day or the same week but probably the same day could be the same hour as repeal legislation.
Nearly a half-year later, with legislation to partially repeal and partially replace Obamacare teetering on the brink of failure in the Senate, the idea of a repeal and delay strategy is suddenly being promoted by wait for it Rand Paul and Donald Trump.
To be clear, Paul is not talking about the sort of very extended delays in consideration of a replacement bill (some thought until after the 2018 midterms) the original repeal-and-delay promoters contemplated. At one point he hints a bill extending the Childrens Health Insurance Program (CHIP), needed later this year, might be the appropriate vehicle.
What Pauls 180-degree turn on repeal and delay signifies, though, is the realization of some conservatives that insisting on simultaneous repeal and replacement was a big strategic error. It encouraged Republican moderates to fight for retention of some key elements of Obamacare in the replacement bill and thus eroded support for anything like a full repeal.
With respect to Trump, though, its anyones guess what, if anything, his sudden support for two different actions on health care means. He could be reacting very immediately to the prospect of total failure on health care, which is what still another Republican senator was talking about in proposing a two-bill approach, as noted by Jonathan Cohn:
Trumps tweet seemed to be endorsing an idea that Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb.) floated minutes earlier on Fox News and, according to the The Wall Street Journal, in a formal letter to the White House that if Senate leaders cant assemble a majority by July 10, they should try a different strategy: Vote to repeal the bill outright, or at least strip its funding, and then spend a month in non-stop hearings and negotiations to hammer out a deal on a new coverage scheme.
In any event, the immediate reaction from Mitch McConnells circle was chilly, as Caitlin Owens reports:
Senate Republican aides quickly shot down President Trumps tweet this morning, which said that if Senate Republicans cant pass their current health care bill, they should repeal the Affordable Care Act first and then replace it later.
Not going to happen, said one senior GOP aide. 15 votes for that strategy. Which is why we are where we are.
Bingo. The logic of repeal and delay is no better or worse than it was in January, when Trump and Paul successfully opposed it. Perhaps the worst sign for Republicans on health care is that they are now clearly going in circles.
The suspect was reportedly a former employee and physician at the hospital. He killed at least one person before turning the gun on himself.
McConnell is reportedly giving moderates more opioid funding, larger subsidies, and fewer tax cuts while giving far-right dissidents little.
California, Virginia, and Kentucky are among the states to tell Trumps voter fraud czar, Kris Kobach, to get lost.
A new initiative starting in September will offer a diversion program as an alternative to criminal penalties.
It could strip away some of the red tape to help the MTA move faster. But its not a long-term solution.
The Houses budget draft would slash $200 billion from entitlement spending 20 centrist Republicans say theyre reticent to support it.
Days after Trump was presented with military options against North Korea, he says Pyongyangs aggression will be met with a determined response.
The sort-of method behind the apparent madness.
The high-stakes tabloid showdown brokered by Jared Kushner.
Rand Paul and Donald Trump helped kill the original strategy for repealing Obamacare and enacting a replacement later. Now theyre both reviving it.
The council was established by President Obama to ensure gender equality in policy proposals.
Cardinal Pell and the risk Francis took.
Returning to one of the America First preoccupations of his campaign, Trump is on the brink of imposing steel tariffs on China and other countries.
One day after Trumps Twitter attack, Joe and Mika declare the president unwell and say the White House threatened them with bad tabloid coverage.
Chancellor Angela Merkel cleared the way for parliament to consider legalization, but she voted against it.
The jihadi group is losing land and resources. Defeating its nihilistic philosophy remains a much taller order.
Though the Trump administration reversed its stance on fiancs at the last minute, Hawaii still challenged its definition of close family.
A new Wall Street Journal report means the president has lost the benefit of the doubt.
A GOP opposition researcher says he tried to obtain missing Clinton emails for Flynn and intelligence reports support his tale.
The design of the Senate health-care bill is to slowly introduce Medicaid cuts that will grow much larger as time goes by.
See the original post here:
The Return of the Repeal-and-Delay Strategy for Killing Obamacare - New York Magazine