PC Liberals swim with crocodiles ! Dealing with radical islam .
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PC Liberals swim with crocodiles ! Dealing with radical islam . - Video
The Liberals have withstood a large swing against them to hold on to victory in the South Australian Davenport by-election.
Liberal candidate Sam Duluk claimed victory after Labor candidate Mark Ward conceded defeat.
Labor appeared likely to have secured a 6 per cent swing towards it on a two-party preferred basis, transforming the Liberal stronghold of Davenport into a notionally marginal seat.
Analysts had predicted a swing towards Labor, although not large enough to delivery them a victory.
The by-election was held to choose a successor to longstanding Liberal MP Iain Evans.
There was controversy surrounding the ballot after Labor election flyers claimed Liberal candidate Sam Duluk did not live in the seat.
Meanwhile, Greens leader Mark Parnell accused the Liberals of trickery by having volunteers in plain clothes handing out how to vote material encouraging voters to place Greens last.
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Liberals withstand swing to win by-election in South Australian seat of Davenport
Gerald Caplan is an African scholar, former NDP national director and a regular panelist on CBCs Power and Politics.
A federal election will take place this year, most likely in October. Whatever the final date, there are only a small number of possible outcomes:
1. The Harper Conservatives will be re-elected with a majority. 2 They will receive the largest number of seats but not a majority. 3. One of the opposition parties will win a majority. 4. One or another of them will emerge with the most seats but no majority.
Pundits pretend to know things, but the truth is that any result, however implausible right now, is in fact possible. Jack Layton and his third party were sitting at about 18 per cent two weeks before the 2011 election, and were nowhere in Quebec. After a series of unpredictable and unplanned circumstances, they ended up with 30 per cent of the vote, a near-sweep of Quebec, and the Official Opposition. Thats the allure of politics anything can happen and occasionally does.
If either the Liberals or NDP end up with a majority government, that party would of course govern. But if any of the other outcomes prevail, a new era in Canadian history must begin. Some kind of long-term rapprochement between the NDP and Liberals must be pursued. Dont think, after a lifetime of deep attachment to the NDP, it doesnt kill me to write these words. But anything else is a recipe for continued Conservative rule, a fate that Canadian progressives must not inflict on our country in the name of party loyalty. If we take seriously the assertion that the Conservatives have already undermined the values that we and most Canadians hold dear, and that another term will entrench their work and make it irreversible, we have no choice but to place Canada before party.
If an election produces a majority Conservative government, that government must then face a united and determined opposition, working to at least minimize the great, irreversible harm Stephen Harper or his successor would inflict on the country.
If the result is a Conservative party with no majority but a plurality of seats, it will try all in its vast storehouse of chicanery to continue to rule in the face of a divided opposition, as indeed they successfully got away with doing from 2006 to 2011. Thats why the Liberals and NDP, with a majority of combined seats, must come together prepared to form a united government.
If either opposition party gets a plurality but not a majority of seats, it cannot form a government without the support of another party. That party must be the other opposition party, and the arrangement must be firm and unshakeable. The Conservatives will use every trick in the book and then some to destabilize the new government, which is why it must be able to operate with the same stability as a majority government. That requires an accord or formal agreement of some kind, perhaps even a full-blown coalition, looking to the eventual creation of a single moderate progressive party.
Some in both parties will scream blue murder about such an arrangement. I quite understand because I share a good deal of that reaction. It wont be an easy negotiation. But the truth is, as Dr. Freud might have said, much of the antagonism between the two parties reflects the narcissism of small differences. Whether either side likes to admit it or not, most New Democrats have much in common ideologically with many Liberals. Of course both sides would have to compromise on some issues, but this sacrifice would be worth the gains to be achieved. And saving the country demands nothing less.
New Democrats must be sensible. They need to remember that only once before 2011 did the NDP ever poll as much as 20 per cent in any federal election. Even now, with Mr. Laytons success a mere historical artifact, the NDP seems to have the support of somewhere in the 20 per cent range of public support. The NDP must find ways to increase its appeal and its support. Its policies, its very raison detre, must be broadened. Working with the Liberals would achieve this.
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The NDP and Liberals must come together to prevent the unthinkable
Liberals weigh up leadership options as Prime Minister Tony Abbott faces criticism
Liberals weigh up leadership options as Prime Minister Tony Abbott faces criticism Subscribe My Channel! .Some are said to be actively considering Julie Bishop or Malcolm Turnbull, but others...
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Liberals weigh up leadership options as Prime Minister Tony Abbott faces criticism - Video
The federal Conservatives and Liberals are locked in a tie in voter support, according to a new Forum Research poll.
The poll, conducted Wednesday and Thursday, shows the Conservatives have 35 per cent voter support and the Liberals 34 per cent a tie when the polls margin of error is factored in.
The opposition New Democrats are at 20 per cent.
Nothing much in particular has happened recently, the prime minister is no more popular, the other leaders are no less so, yet the incremental decline in the Liberal lead has continued to the point where it is no longer a lead, for the first time in our polling since Justin Trudeau became leader, Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff said in a statement.
Stephen Harper continues to benefit from the U.S.-led coalitions war against extremist Islamic State (ISIS) fighters in Syria and Iraq, which is proving to be popular with Canadian voters and thats a hard act to follow, Bozinoff added.
Based on seat distribution in the Commons, which will grow to 338 for the October election, Forum says the polling results indicate the Conservatives would win a slim minority 145 seats to 125 for the Liberals and 61 for the NDP.
When asked which party they expect will win the next election, 36 per cent of respondents said the Conservatives, 37 per cent said the Liberals, and 9 per cent said the NDP.
The poll randomly questioned 1,382 Canadian voters using an interactive voice response telephone survey. The results are considered accurate plus or minus 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
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Conservatives and Liberals tied in voter support, poll shows