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Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first …

By Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto

In the first CBS News Poll following last weeks presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Clinton has edged ahead to a four-point lead over her Republican rival among likely voters. Forty-fivepercent of likely voters support or lean towards Hillary Clinton, while 41 percent support Donald Trump. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets 8 percent of likely voters, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives just 3 percent of the vote. Before the debate the two leading candidates were tied in a four-person race at 42 percent each.

Hillary Clinton extends her lead further in a direct head-to-head comparison. In a two-way match-up where third party candidates are not named explicitly, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, including leaners.

On balance, the recent presidential debate has had a more positive impact on views of Clinton than on views of Trump. Likely voters who watched the first presidential debate are twice as likely to say the debate made them think better of Clinton (32 percent) than worse (16 percent). For Trump, the reverse is true. Only 10 percent of voters who watched the debate say it made them think better of him, while 36 percent say it made their opinion of him worse. For about half of likely voters the debate had no effect on their impressions of the candidates.

Far more Democratic voters (58 percent) than Republican voters (22 percent) say the image of their candidate improved after the debate.

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Hillary Clinton made her first public comments on the New York Times' reporting on Donald Trump's tax returns Monday during a rally in Toledo, Oh...

Thirty-nine percent of registered voters overall now say they are very enthusiastic about voting, a slight increase from last month. The percentage of Clinton voters who are very enthusiastic about voting has risen seven points since before the first debate from 39 percent to 46 percent - which now matches the 46 percent of Trump voters who are very enthusiastic. Seven in 10 registered voters who support someone other than the two major party candidates are either not too (22 percent) or not at all (49 percent) enthusiastic about voting.

Just half of likely voters strongly favor their candidate, and another 27 percent like their candidate with reservations; 23 percent have made their choice because they dislike the other candidates. However, more Clinton voters (55 percent) strongly favor their candidate than Trump voters (47 percent). Nearly half (44 percent) of those voting for Johnson, Stein, or another third-party candidate are doing so because they dislike their other options.

Hillary Clinton enjoys strong support from women; she now leads Trump by 18 points. Trump maintains an 11-point lead among men.

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Donald Trump took questions from veterans during a campaign stop in Herndon, Virgina.

Trump holds a 12-point lead among white voters overall, and an even larger lead among white men. Clinton has an edge among white women. Trump continues to trail among blacks, eight in 10 of whom are voting for Clinton.

Trump has a 13-point lead among seniors, but Clinton now holds a lead among voters of all age groups under 65 years of age. Clinton continues to struggle with voters under 30 years of age beating Trump by 10 points among this group but getting just 40 percent of their vote overall. About one in four are voting for either Gary Johnson (21 percent) or Jill Stein (5 percent).

Whites without a college degree are strong supporters of Trump (56 percent back him), while Clinton leads Trump among white voters with a college degree. Trump and Clinton continue to hold similarly commanding leads among members of their own parties, while Trump holds a slight edge among independents.

Most Clinton and Trump voters say theyre sticking with their candidate. Ninety-twopercent of Trump voters and 93 percent of Clinton voters say their choice is set. Voters choosing a third-party candidate such as Gary Johnson or Jill Stein are far less secure in their decision. While 59 percent of these voters say their mind is made up, 41 percent could still change their mind and vote for another candidate.

Sixty-eight percent of voters are now paying a lot of attention to this years presidential campaign, up from 61 percent recorded before the first debate. Since last month, attention has risen 13 points among independents, seven points among Democrats, and four points among Republicans.

Regardless of who they will vote for, 55 percent of registered voters expect Hillary Clinton to finally win the 2016 presidential election, compared to just 33 percent that expect Trump to win. Most Republicans think Trump will win, while Democrats and independents think Clinton is more likely.

This poll was conducted by telephone September 28-October 2, 2016 among a random sample of 1,501 adults nationwide, including 1,217 registered voters. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News by SSRS of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones.

The poll employed a random digit dial methodology. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly selected from all adults in the household. For the cell sample, interviews were conducted with the person who answered the phone.

Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish using live interviewers.The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables.

The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample and the sample of registered voters could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups may be higher and is available by request. The margin of error includes the effects of standard weighting procedures which enlarge sampling error slightly.

The sample of likely voters is modeled among registered voters (N=1217), assigning each respondent a probability of voting based on their responses. The margin of error for the sample of likely voters is plus or minus four points. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

10-03-16 CBS/NYT toplines by cbsnews on Scribd

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Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first ...

Hillary Clinton: Donald Trump ‘contributing nothing to our …

Speaking at a campaign rally in Toledo, Ohio, the Democratic presidential nominee attacked her Republican opponent as representing "the same rigged system that he claims he's going to change."

"While millions of American families, including mine and yours, were working hard and paying our fair share, it seems he was contributing nothing to our nation. Imagine that," Clinton said. "In other words, Trump was taking from America with both hands and leaving the rest of us with the bill."

The Times story, Clinton said, "tells us everything we need to know about how Trump does business."

"After he made all those bad bets and lost all that money, he didn't lift a finger to protect his employees, or all the small businesses or the contractors he'd hired, or the people of Atlantic City," she said. "They all got hammered while he was busy with his accountants trying to figure out how he could keep living like a billionaire."

Clinton also mocked Trump for his massive losses during the 1990s, saying they undercut Trump's claim that he is a successful businessman who can help revive the US economy.

"Here is my question: What kind of genius loses a billion dollars in a single year?" Clinton said.

The New York Times story, which published online Saturday evening, has the potential to be deeply damaging for Trump in the final weeks of the presidential election.

Through an examination of portions of Trump's 1995 tax records, the New York Times determined that Trump declared $916 million in losses in his 1995 income tax returns -- "a deduction that could have allowed him to legally avoid paying any federal income taxes for up to 18 years," the article stated.

The Times did not look at Trump's federal return. It obtained one page of his New York State resident income tax returns as well as the first page of New Jersey and Connecticut nonresident returns. CNN has not independently verified the documents, but the Trump campaign has not questioned their accuracy.

The story offers powerful ammunition to Clinton as the 2016 campaign enters its final homestretch.

The former secretary of state has already been highly critical of Trump and his tax returns during the general election. She has gone after the real estate investor for defying the tradition that modern presidential nominees have followed by refusing to release his tax returns (Trump insists it is because his recent returns are under IRS audit, though that does not preclude him from making them public).

During the first debate last week, Clinton suggested that Trump was hiding something -- including, potentially, that "he's paid nothing in federal taxes."

In Ohio on Monday, Clinton once again suggested that Trump must be covering up something.

"You may have heard that he has long refused to release his tax returns the way every other nominee for president has done for decades," she said. "What is he hiding? It must be really terrible."

Clinton's top surrogates are also getting in the action.

Vice President Joe Biden, campaigning for Clinton in Orlando and Florida on Monday, said: "(He) says, 'I didn't pay any federal taxes possibly for more than 18 years.' He said, 'that makes me smart.' What does that make the rest of Americans?"

Trump went on offense Monday in his first rally since The New York Times story published. Speaking in Pueblo, Colorado, Trump said he has "brilliantly used" tax laws to his benefit and downplayed his alleged financial losses from the 1990s.

Monday marked the first time Clinton has campaigned in Ohio since Labor Day. Recent polls have shown Trump with a small advantage in his heavily white and working-class state.

But the Clinton campaign and its allies insist that the state is still within reach, and that Ohio is a must-win for the Republican nominee. As a part of the strategy to appeal to blue-collars workers in this region, Clinton on Monday went after what she called "egregious corporate behavior" that undermines the middle-class.

One of her prime targets was Wells Fargo and the recent revelation that the bank created a slew of accounts without customers' consent to collect fees.

"Look at Wells Fargo -- really shocking, isn't it?" Clinton said. "One of the nation's biggest banks, bullying thousands of employees into committing fraud against unsuspecting customers, secretly opening up millions of accounts for people without their consent, even their knowledge, misusing their personal information and sticking customers with hidden fees."

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Hillary Clinton: Donald Trump 'contributing nothing to our ...

Hillary Clintons Health Is a Legitimate Campaign Issue …

Of course Hillary Rodham Clintons health is a legitimate issue for the 2016 election.

So is Donald Trumps. So is Gary Johnsons. So is that of any presidential candidate.

Mrs. Clintons media allies (which is to say, the media, more or less) are circling the wagons on this issue, and it is curious.

The Washington Posts Chris Cillizza made an unpersuasive attempt to explain why it was legitimate to treat John McCains health as a campaign issue in 2008 but illegitimate to do the same with Herself in 2016. McCain, he points out, would have been 72 years old at the time of his election, the oldest person ever elected to the office; Herself will, if elected in November, be a sprightly...69 years of age. McCain bore the scars of Vietnam and Arizona: He was grievously wounded and tortured by the Vietnamese, and he suffers from a recurring melanoma, which necessitates occasional trips to the doctor to have a patch of dodgy skin removed. Skin cancer is no joke, but millions of Americans live with melanoma of the sort McCain has with very little effect on their lives other than inconvenience.

Mrs. Clinton, in spite of her probably fictitious attempt to join the military, was never a prisoner of war, nor does she, so far as any record made public shows, suffer from cancer or any other chronic condition.

Still, she is not exactly the picture of health. As Cillizza notes, she suffered a concussion as a result of an unfortunate tendency to fall down, purportedly stemming from an upset stomach. There is at least one thing that leaps to mind that causes both digestive revolt and falling on ones ass, and it is whispered that Mrs. Clinton drinks immoderately, though there is no evidence that this is in fact the case. She sometimes requires a helper step to get into the SUVs that whisk her hither and yon in her pursuit of the presidency.

RELATED: My Brain Injury Made Me Forget, but My Health Is Not an Issue!

Mrs. Clinton is also remarkably forgetful: During a midsummer interview with FBI agents investigating her furtive and illegal e-mail practices, Mrs. Clinton used the words I cannot recall or similar formulations more than 40 times. Doctor Johnson once remarked that the prospect of being hanged concentrates the mind wonderfully, and perhaps it is the case that the prospect of being brought up on federal charges related to the handling of classified material has the opposite effect, producing a kind of special-purpose dementia.

Mrs. Clinton of course inspires the conspiracy kooks, an effect that is very much amplified by the fact that her opponent in 2016 is a big-league conspiracy kook leading a team of minor-league conspiracy kooks. Louis Brandeis was absolutely correct about sunlights being the best disinfectant, but Mrs. Clinton is a creature of the shade. Given her history of rampant, craven, deep, broad, sustained, overarching, continuous, relentless dishonesty about practically every aspect of her personal and public lives, is it really so implausible that shed lie about her health? No. Shed lie about her health even if there were nothing to lie about, just to keep in practice.

RELATED: Proverbial Sins

Of course reporters and her political opponents should dig into questions related to Mrs. Clintons health. We can be sure that her research staff was not in the least bit assuaged by that hugely entertaining letter from Donald Trumps personal physician, which stopped just short of declaring kryptonite the candidates only weakness.

Gary Johnson, like the man Hillary Clinton was not named for, has climbed Mount Everest (theres getting high, and then theres getting high) and is in remarkable condition for a 63-year-old man.

On the other hand, Winston Churchill drank Pol Roger like it was his job, lit up a hell of a lot more blunts on the average day than Gary Johnson does, and maintained a diet that would have horrified Michelle Obama, but he was one of the greatest leaders in modern history and lived to be 90 years old.

If the president of the United States of America were limited to his proper role chief executive of the federal bureaucracies and commander in chief in times of war then we might not worry too much about his health. Indeed, if ever we are able to reinvigorate this republic and return its public and private spheres to their proper roles and proportions, that will be one of the ways we know weve succeeded: Dont worry if President Smith dies in office; well just get another one.

Is Mrs. Clinton as sickly as some say? Or is she just a dotty old bat of the ordinary sort? We can be absolutely sure that we will not get the truth of it from Mrs. Clinton, and we can be reasonably sure that we will not get the truth of it from reporters and editors who have renounced all curiosity on the question.

Mrs. Clintons health is a legitimate issue, even if it offends the tender sensibilities of the Washington Post.

Kevin D. Williamson is National Reviews roving correspondent.

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Hillary Clintons Health Is a Legitimate Campaign Issue ...

Hillary Travels With Ambulance As Health Worsens – Patriot …

Hillary Clintons health has deteriorated to the point that she now travels with an ambulance in her motorcade.

Now it has been revealed that Clinton also has an ambulance traveling in her local motorcades. All the while, the democratic nominee has refused the notion that she is suffering from any debilitating illness, even though it has been quite apparent for some time.

An ambulance is a part of Hillarys motorcade, which underscores the candidates major health issues.

In a video by Infowars correspondent Millie Weaver, an ambulance is seen following behind Hillarys campaign bus with its lights on, indicating its part of Hillarys motorcade as she visited Cleveland, Ohio on Labor Day weekend.

A Secret Service source also told Infowars that Hillary has major neurological health problems which could be linked to Parkinsons or a similar disease.

Hillarys campaign also keeps Hillary away from the press because camera flashes can cause her seizures, the source stated, adding that a half-million dollars was spent to adapt three SUVs with lowered floods and disabled access to prevent Hillary from tripping.

Hillarys attempts to ignore the constant media scrutiny of her health are no longer working, and now that her symptoms are on full display of her traveling press corps, we can only expect the excuses and charade to become more bold.

You can read more here.

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Hillary Travels With Ambulance As Health Worsens - Patriot ...

Post-debate poll: Hillary Clinton takes round one …

That drubbing is similar to Mitt Romney's dominant performance over President Barack Obama in the first 2012 presidential debate.

Voters who watched said Clinton expressed her views more clearly than Trump and had a better understanding of the issues by a margin of more than 2-to-1. Clinton also was seen as having done a better job addressing concerns voters might have about her potential presidency by a 57% to 35% margin, and as the stronger leader by a 56% to 39% margin.

The gap was smaller on which candidate appeared more sincere and authentic, though still broke in Clinton's favor, with 53% saying she was more sincere vs. 40% who felt Trump did better on that score. Trump topped Clinton 56% to 33% as the debater who spent more time attacking their opponent.

Although the survey suggested debate watchers were more apt to describe themselves as Democrats than the overall pool of voters, even independents who watched deemed Clinton the winner, 54% vs. 33% who thought Trump did the best job in the debate.

And the survey suggests Clinton outperformed the expectations of those who watched. While pre-debate interviews indicated these watchers expected Clinton to win by a 26-point margin, that grew to 35 points in the post-debate survey.

About half in the poll say the debate did not have an effect on their voting plans, 47% said it didn't make a difference, but those who say they were moved by it tilted in Clinton's direction, 34% said the debate made them more apt to vote for Clinton, 18% more likely to back Trump.

On the issues, voters who watched broadly say Clinton would do a better job handling foreign policy, 62% to 35%, and most think she would be the better candidate to handle terrorism, 54% to 43% who prefer Trump. But on the economy, the split is much closer, with 51% saying they favor Clinton's approach vs. 47% who prefer Trump.

Most debate watchers came away from Monday's face-off with doubts about Trump's ability to handle the presidency. Overall, 55% say they didn't think Trump would be able to handle the job of president, 43% said they thought he would. Among political independents who watched the debate, it's a near-even split, 50% say he can handle it, 49% that he can't.

And voters who watched were more apt to see Trump's attacks on Clinton as unfair than they were to see her critiques that way. About two-thirds of debate viewers, 67%, said Clinton's critiques of Trump were fair, while just 51% said the same of Trump.

Assessments of Trump's attacks on Clinton were sharply split by gender, with 58% of men seeing them as fair compared with 44% of women who watched on Monday. There was almost no gender divide in perceptions of whether Clinton's attacks were fair.

The CNN/ORC post-debate poll includes interviews with 521 registered voters who watched the September 26 debate. Results among debate-watchers have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. Respondents were originally interviewed as part of a September 23-25 telephone survey of a random sample of Americans, and indicated they planned to watch the debate and would be willing to be re-interviewed when it was over.

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Post-debate poll: Hillary Clinton takes round one ...