Will AI Replace Humanity? – KDnuggets
We are living in a world of probabilities. When I started talking about AI and its implications years ago, the most common question was is AI coming after us?
And while the question remains the same, my response has changed regarding probabilities. It is more likely to replace human judgment in certain areas, so the probability has increased over time.
As we discuss a complex technology, the answer will not be straightforward. It depends on several factors, such as what it means to be intelligent, whether we suggest replacing jobs, anticipating the timelines for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or identifying the capabilities and limitations of AI.
Let us start with understanding the definition of Intelligence:
Stanford defines intelligence as the ability to learn and perform suitable techniques to solve problems and achieve goals appropriate to the context in an uncertain, ever-varying world.
Gartner describes it as the ability to analyze, interpret events, support and automate decisions, and take action.
AI is good at learning patterns, however, mere pattern recognition does not qualify as intelligence. It is one of the aspects of the broader spectrum of multi-dimensional human intelligence.
As experts believe, AI will never get there because machines cannot have a sense (rather than mere knowledge) of the past, the present, and the future; of history, injury or nostalgia. Without that, theres no emotion, depriving bi-logic of one of its components. Thus, machines remain trapped in the singular formal logic. So there goes the intelligence part.
Some might refer to AI clearing tests from prestigious institutes and, most recently, the Turing test as a testament to its intelligence.
For the unversed, the Turing test is an experiment designed by Alan Turing, a renowned computer scientist. According to the test, machines possess human-like intelligence if an evaluator cannot distinguish the response between a machine and a human.
A comprehensive overview of the test highlights that though Generative AI models can generate natural language based on the statistical patterns or associations learned from vast training data, they do not have human-like consciousness.
Even advanced tests, such as the General Language Understanding Evaluation, or GLUE, and the Stanford Question Answering Dataset, or SQuAD, share the same underlying premise as that of Turing.
Let us start with the fear that is fast becoming a reality will AI make our jobs redundant? There is no clear yes or no answer, but it is fast approaching as the GenAI casts a wider net on automation opportunities.
McKinsey reports, By 2030, activities that account for up to 30 percent of hours currently worked across the US economy could be automateda trend accelerated by generative AI.
Profiles like office support, accounting, banking, sales, or customer support are first in line toward automation. Generative AI augmenting the software developers in code writing and testing workflows has already impacted the job roles of junior developers.
Its results are often considered a good starting point for an expert to enhance the output further, such as in making marketing copy, promotional content, etc.
Some narratives make this transformation sound subtle by highlighting the possibility of new job creations, such as that of healthcare, science, and technology in the near to short term; and AI ethicists, AI governance, audits, AI safety, and more to make AI a reality overall. However, these new jobs can not outnumber those being replaced, so we must consider the net new jobs created to see the final impact.
Next comes the possibility of AGI, which, similar to the multiple definitions of intelligence, warrants clear meaning. Generally, AGI refers to the stage when machines gain sentience and awareness of the world, similar to a human's.
However, AGI is a topic that deserves a post on its own and is not under the scope of this article.
For now, we can take a leaf from the diary of DeepMinds CEO to understand its early signs.
Looking at a broader picture, it is intelligent enough to help humans identify patterns at scale and generate efficiencies.
Let us substantiate it with the help of an example where a supply chain planner looks at several order details and works on ensuring the ones at risk of being met with a shortfall. Each planner has a different approach to managing the shortfall deliveries:
As an individual planner could be limited with its view and approach to managing such situations, machines can learn the optimal approach by understanding the actions of many planners and help them automate easy scenarios through their ability to discover patterns.
This is where machines have a vantage point over humans limited ability to simultaneously manage several attributes or factors.
However, machines are what they are, i.e., mechanical. You can not expect them to cooperate, collaborate, and develop compassionate relationships with the teams as empathetically as great leaders do.
I frequently engage in lighter team discussions not because I have to but because I prefer working in an environment where I am connected with my team, and they know me well, too. It is too mechanical to only talk about work from the get-go or try to act as it matters.
Take another instance where a machine analyzes a patients records and discloses a health scare as-is following its medical diagnosis. Compare this with how a doctor would handle the situation thoughtfully, simply because they have emotions and know what it feels like to be in a crisis.
Most successful healthcare professionals go beyond their Call of Duty and develop a connection with the patient to help them through difficult times, which machines are not good at.
Machines are trained on data that could capture the underlying phenomenon and create models that best estimate them.
Somewhere in this estimation, the nuances of specific conditions get lost. They do not have a moral compass, similar to a judge has when looking at each case.
To summarize, machines may learn patterns from data (and the bias that comes with it) but do not have the intelligence, drive, or motivation to make fundamental changes to handle the issues plaguing humanity. They are objective-focused and built on top of human intelligence, which is complex.
This phrase sums up my thoughts well AI can replace human brains, not beings.
Vidhi Chugh is an AI strategist and a digital transformation leader working at the intersection of product, sciences, and engineering to build scalable machine learning systems. She is an award-winning innovation leader, an author, and an international speaker. She is on a mission to democratize machine learning and break the jargon for everyone to be a part of this transformation.
Go here to read the rest:
Will AI Replace Humanity? - KDnuggets
- OpenAI disbands its AI risk mitigation team - - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- BEYOND LOCAL: 'Noise' in the machine: Human differences in judgment lead to problems for AI - The Longmont Leader - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- Machine Learning Researcher Links OpenAI to Drug-Fueled Sex Parties - Futurism - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- What Is AI? How Artificial Intelligence Works (2024) - Shopify - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- Vitalik Buterin says OpenAI's GPT-4 has passed the Turing test - Cointelegraph - May 20th, 2024 [May 20th, 2024]
- "I lost trust": Why the OpenAI team in charge of safeguarding humanity imploded - Vox.com - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- 63% of surveyed Americans want government legislation to prevent super intelligent AI from ever being achieved - PC Gamer - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- Top OpenAI researcher resigns, saying company prioritized 'shiny products' over AI safety - Fortune - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- The revolution in artificial intelligence and artificial general intelligence - Washington Times - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands team devoted to artificial intelligence risks - Yahoo! Voices - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands safety team focused on risk of artificial intelligence causing 'human extinction' - New York Post - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands team devoted to artificial intelligence risks - Port Lavaca Wave - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI disbands team devoted to artificial intelligence risks - Moore County News Press - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- Generative AI Is Totally Shameless. I Want to Be It - WIRED - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- OpenAI researcher resigns, claiming safety has taken a backseat to shiny products - The Verge - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- Most of Surveyed Americans Do Not Want Super Intelligent AI - 80.lv - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- How Artificial General Intelligence Will Shape the Future - Analytics Insight - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- A former OpenAI leader says safety has 'taken a backseat to shiny products' at the AI company - Winnipeg Free Press - May 18th, 2024 [May 18th, 2024]
- DeepMind CEO says Google to spend more than $100B on AGI despite hype - Cointelegraph - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Congressional panel outlines five guardrails for AI use in House - FedScoop - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- The Potential and Perils of Advanced Artificial General Intelligence - elblog.pl - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Market size is worth USD 27.47 Billion by 2030 with 37.5 % As Reveale... - WhaTech - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- DeepMind Head: Google AI Spending Could Exceed $100 Billion - PYMNTS.com - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Q&A: Mark Zuckerberg on winning the AI race - The Verge - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Say hi to Tong Tong, world's first AGI child-image figure - ecns - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Silicon Scholars: AI and The Muslim Ummah - IslamiCity - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- AI stocks aren't like the dot-com bubble. Here's why - Quartz - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- AI vs. AGI: The Race for Performance, Battling the Cost? for NASDAQ:GOOG by Moshkelgosha - TradingView - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- We've Been Here Before: AI Promised Humanlike Machines In 1958 - The Good Men Project - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Google will spend more than $100 billion on AI, exec says - Quartz - April 20th, 2024 [April 20th, 2024]
- Tech companies want to build artificial general intelligence. But who decides when AGI is attained? - ABC News - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Tech companies want to build artificial general intelligence. But who decides when AGI is attained? - The Bakersfield Californian - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Tech companies want to build artificial general intelligence. But who decides when AGI is attained? - The Caledonian-Record - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- What is AGI and how is it different from AI? - ReadWrite - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Artificial intelligence in healthcare: defining the most common terms - HealthITAnalytics.com - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- We're Focusing on the Wrong Kind of AI Apocalypse - TIME - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- Xi Jinping's vision in supporting the artificial intelligence at home and abroad - Modern Diplomacy - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- As 'The Matrix' turns 25, the chilling artificial intelligence (AI) projection at its core isn't as outlandish as it once seemed - TechRadar - April 8th, 2024 [April 8th, 2024]
- AI & robotics briefing: Why superintelligent AI won't sneak up on us - Nature.com - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Get Ready for the Great AI Disappointment - WIRED - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Part 3 Capitalism in the Age of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI): what it is and why its discovery can change the world - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Exploring the Path to Artificial General Intelligence - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- The Acceleration Towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Its Implications - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- OpenAI Warns: "AGI Is Coming" - Do we have a reason to worry? - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- The fight over ethics intensifies as artificial intelligence quickly changes the world - 9 & 10 News - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- AI as the Third Window into Humanity: Understanding Human Behavior and Emotions - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) in Radiation Oncology: Transformative Technology - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Exploring the Potential of AGI: Opportunities and Challenges - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Full-Spectrum Cognitive Development Incorporating AI for Evolution and Collective Intelligence - Medriva - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Artificial Superintelligence - Understanding a Future Tech that Will Change the World! - MobileAppDaily - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- Title: AI Unveiled: Exploring the Realm of Artificial Intelligence - Medium - January 10th, 2024 [January 10th, 2024]
- The Simple Reason Why AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) Is Not ... - Medium - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- What does the future hold for generative AI? - MIT News - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- One year after its public launch, ChatGPT has succeeded in igniting ... - Morningstar - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- Macy's Could See Over $7.5 Billion in Additional Business Gains ... - CMSWire - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- Securing the cloud and AI: Insights from Laceworks CISO - SiliconANGLE News - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- Amazon unleashes Q, an AI assistant for the workplace - Ars Technica - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- You're not imagining things: The end of the -3- - Morningstar - December 2nd, 2023 [December 2nd, 2023]
- OpenAI researchers warned board of AI breakthrough ahead of CEO ouster, sources say - Reuters - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- What the OpenAI drama means for AI progress and safety - Nature.com - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- The fallout from the weirdness at OpenAI - The Economist - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- How an 'internet of AIs' will take artificial intelligence to the next level - Cointelegraph - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- OpenAI Is Seeking Additional Investment in Artificial General ... - AiThority - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- Top AI researcher launches new Alberta lab with Huawei funds after ... - The Globe and Mail - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- This Week in AI: Accelerationism, AGI and the Law - PYMNTS.com - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- Tesla FSD v12 Rolls Out to Employees With Update 2023.38.10 ... - Not a Tesla App - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- Searching AI-powered ChatGpt for HNP authors, the Great Salt ... - The Daily Herald - November 24th, 2023 [November 24th, 2023]
- Unveiling the Mechanics of AI: How Artificial Intelligence Works - Medium - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- The stakes are high so are the rewards: Artificial intelligence and ... - Building - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- What will AI do to question-based inquiry? (opinion) - Inside Higher Ed - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- The Department of State's pilot project approach to AI adoption - FedScoop - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- Anthropic and SK Telecom team up to build AI model for telcos - Tech Monitor - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- Derry City & Strabane - Explore the Future of Education and ... - Derry City and Strabane District Council - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- Ethical Considerations of Using AI for Academic Purposes - Unite.AI - August 16th, 2023 [August 16th, 2023]
- Elon Musk says Tesla cars now have a mind, figured out 'some aspects of AGI' - Electrek - August 13th, 2023 [August 13th, 2023]
- To Navigate the Age of AI, the World Needs a New Turing Test - WIRED - August 13th, 2023 [August 13th, 2023]
- What's Behind the Race to Create Artificial General Intelligence? - Truthdig - August 13th, 2023 [August 13th, 2023]
- Why Hawaii Should Take The Lead On Regulating Artificial ... - Honolulu Civil Beat - August 13th, 2023 [August 13th, 2023]
- Artificial Intelligence (AI) Explained in Simple Terms - MUO - MakeUseOf - August 13th, 2023 [August 13th, 2023]