A fresh look at the long war in Afghanistan – The Japan Times
NEW YORK With the Syria crisis dominating headlines, few are paying attention to Americas longest war. In fact, the war in Afghanistan has hardly been mentioned in the early months of U.S. President Donald Trumps administration, despite the presence of two experienced military officers Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster in key positions. This must change.
After 15 years of failed intervention, the situation in Afghanistan is out of control. The unity government that emerged after the contested presidential election of 2014 is dysfunctional, and security conditions are rapidly deteriorating. Meanwhile, opium production is surging and Afghanistan now ranks second in the world in money laundering (after Iran). In Europe and elsewhere, inflows of Afghan refugees continue unabated.
The war in Afghanistan has exacted enormous costs. So far, fatalities include roughly 3,500 coalition soldiers (some 70 percent of which were U.S. troops), about the same number of contractors, and some 100,000 Afghans (including security forces, opposition fighters and civilians). Since 2002, the U.S. has spent over $780 billion on the war roughly equivalent to the entire U.S. foreign-affairs budget for more than two decades. Additional non-budgetary expenditure, including disability payments and compensation to the families of fallen soldiers, will add hundreds of billions more to the wars total cost.
The war in Afghanistan was supposed to be over a long time ago. After all, U.S. troops did not enter the country to reconstruct it or create a democracy. But a series of missteps misguided civilian policies and misplaced priorities on the part of the government and its donors have boosted recruitment for the very groups the U.S. is supposed to be quelling, including al-Qaida, the Afghan Taliban and, more recently, the Islamic State.
The nation-building and counterinsurgency strategy that accompanied U.S. President Barack Obamas troop surge in 2010 was meant to turn the war around. Instead, as U.S. and allied troops left areas that had supposedly been cleared, the Taliban and other extremist groups soon returned.
The 43 percent increase in opium production in just the last year both reflects and reinforces the growing strength of these groups, which use drug-trafficking revenues to finance their operations.
Of global annual flows of 430-450 tons of heroin and morphine, about 380 tons are produced with Afghan opium.
Meanwhile, Afghanistan has been allowed to fall into an aid trap. The U.S. has disbursed about $110 billion for Afghan reconstruction. (Adjusted for inflation, that is equivalent to the $12.5 billion cost of the Marshall Plan for reconstruction in Europe after World War II.) Roughly $70 billion of those funds went to creating and financing Afghan security forces, and $40 billion went to non-military expenditure.
Yet, despite all that spending, Afghanistan will be unable to stand on its own feet for decades to come. The countrys cumulative GDP from 2002 to 2015 was only $170 billion; GDP in 2016 totaled just $17 billion, or $525 per capita. Non-military aid from the U.S. and others has amounted to 50 percent of GDP, on average, every year since 2002. And that aid has consistently been delivered in the same inefficient ways, even as the U.S Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) and others have repeatedly highlighted enormous amounts of waste, fraud and abuse.
As the Trump administration alters U.S. foreign policy priorities, devising a more effective strategy for Americas Afghan operations must be a priority. Only after such a strategy is in place should the administration meet the militarys requests to send more troops.
Fortunately, both Mattis and McMaster know that simply throwing more troops and more money at Afghanistan wont do the job. Indeed, both have emphasized the need to support counterinsurgency operations with effective policies that do not create new enemies and fuel the need for more ammunition. Retired high-level officers from all branches of the U.S. Armed Forces have taken this logic a step further, telling congressional leaders that combating terrorism requires addressing its causes, such as lack of opportunity, insecurity, injustice and hopelessness.
To create more cost-effective, integrated and inclusive policies that benefit most Afghans, not just the privileged few, U.S. leaders will need to engage in some radical rethinking. Various proposals are on the table, including one of my own: to create synergistic reconstruction zones (RZs) one aimed at local production and another aimed at exports that support economic recovery.
Such RZs can help the resource-rich Afghanistan to replace aid with foreign direct investment and export revenues. Foreign investors would work in support of local communities, enabling them to produce food and services for local consumption, rather than displacing them, as is so often the case. In exchange, the communities would protect the RZs, so that investors can produce for export at a lower security risk.
After 15 years of conflict, ending the war in Afghanistan may seem to have lost some of its urgency. But the truth is that it is more urgent than ever, not just to check the flows of refugees to Europe and elsewhere, but also to undermine terrorist recruitment efforts. By promoting impact investment by those seeking both economic gain and social progress, and by advancing projects that benefit foreign investors and local communities alike, the Trump administration may be able to do just that.
Graciana del Castillo, author of Guilty Party: The International Community in Afghanistan is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Project Syndicate, 2017
See the original post:
A fresh look at the long war in Afghanistan - The Japan Times
- Pakistan and Afghanistan agree to a ceasefire - NPR - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- HistoriCity | Revisiting the shared past of India and Afghanistan | Latest News India - Hindustan Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan pledge to respect ceasefire after more than a week of deadly fighting - AP News - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Dexters Model United Nations Club Talk Education, AI and Afghanistan - The Sun Times News - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Italy and 19 Countries in the EU, more repatriations in Afghanistan - European Newsroom - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- What we know about Pakistan-Afghanistan ceasefire, will it hold? - Al Jazeera - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- EU Increases humanitarian funding to expand WHOs health response in Afghanistan - emro.who.int - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan announced a cease-fire on Sunday, after the worst outbreak of violence between the neighboring countries in years. But the... - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- WHO: Hunger in Afghanistan Is on the Rise - Hasht-e Subh Daily - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- What is Durand Line between Afghanistan and Pakistan? Why do Afghans refuse to consider it as border? | World News - Hindustan Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Pakistan and Afghanistan agree to immediate ceasefire after peace talks in Doha - Reuters - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Ceasefire agreed between Afghanistan and Pakistan after deadly clashes - The Independent - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- 'Pak Attacked Afghanistan': What Trump Said On Brokering Peace - NDTV - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Danger tourism: Meet the travellers flocking to Taliban-controlled Afghanistan - Euronews.com - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan pledge to respect ceasefire after more than a week of deadly fighting - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan have agreed to an immediate ceasefire, Qatar says - AP News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan have agreed to an immediate ceasefire, Qatar says - WAPT - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan spike as truce is extended - Al Jazeera - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan, Pakistan Agree to Ceasefire Mediated by Qatar and Turkey - kurdistan24.net - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Qatar says Afghanistan and Pakistan have agreed to an immediate ceasefire - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Pakistan and Afghanistan begin talks in Qatar, says Taliban - France 24 - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Lasting truce? Pakistan, Afghanistan agree to immediate ceasefire after Qatar talks - Times of India - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan agree ceasefire after talks in Qatar - The Independent - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Future of Pakistan-Afghanistan ceasefire hinges on Kabuls ability to rein in TTP analysts - Arab News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan agree to immediate ceasefire on border - Ukrinform - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan withdraws from Twenty20 cricket tri-series in Pakistan over military strikes - AP News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Pakistan and Afghanistan agree to new ceasefire after more than a week of deadly clashes - Yahoo News Singapore - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Pakistan lashes out at ICC for "biased" statement in solidarity with Afghanistan - The Hindu - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan issues BIG warning to Pakistan amid ceasefire: 'Swear by god, you will not find safety even up to Indian border' - DNA India - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan pledge to respect ceasefire after more than a week of deadly fighting - Toronto Star - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Iran says ready to help ease Pakistan-Afghanistan tensions - The Sentinel - of this Land, for its People - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- 'A border that refused to die': Why no one recognises the 'Durand line' between Pakistan and Afghanistan? - WION - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan pledge to respect ceasefire after more than a week of deadly fighting - The Independent - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Border clashes erupt between Pakistan and Afghanistanagain - The Economist - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Why are Afghanistan and Pakistan clashing on border? - CNN - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Who are the Talibros? Meet the content creators braving Afghanistan - Times of India - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- How far will escalation at Pakistan-Afghanistan border go? - Mission Network News - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Why Pakistan and Afghanistan Turned on Each Other - The National Interest - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Fighting escalates on border between Pakistan and Afghanistan - Al Jazeera - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Afghanistan and Pakistan agree ceasefire after trading their deadliest fire in years. Heres what we know - CNN - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Pakistan and Afghanistan agree to a temporary ceasefire after days of deadly clashes - NPR - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- News Wrap: Pakistan and Afghanistan agree to a 48-hour ceasefire after days of clashes - PBS - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- The Return of the Great Game: India and Pakistans Shadow War in Afghanistan - Australian Institute of International Affairs - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Afghanistan-Pakistan war: Who blinked first and ran seeking truce? - India Today - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Pakistan says ready to talk to Afghanistan on our terms - Times of India - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Escalating Tensions, Fresh Clashes on the Afghanistan-Pakistan Border - The Diplomat Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Afghanistan Faces One of the Worlds Worst Hunger Crises, UN Warns - KabulNow - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- UN urges Pakistan and Afghanistan to end hostilities to protect civilians - TRT World - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Pakistan and Afghanistan agree to temporary ceasefire after deadly violence along border - Australian Broadcasting Corporation - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- How Afghanistan Taliban displayed pants of Pakistani soldiers, leaving them red-faced - Firstpost - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Pakistan agrees to ceasefire with Afghanistan after days of bloodshed - Sky News - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Dozens killed, injured in new Pakistan-Afghanistan border clashes - Al Jazeera - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- He supported the U.S. war in Afghanistan. Now he may be deported to the Taliban. - The Washington Post - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Afghanistan-Pakistan Is The Latest Conflict Trump Wants To Solve. Why Has It Erupted? - NDTV - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Afghanistan says more than a dozen civilians killed in renewed border fighting with Pakistan - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Afghanistan-Pakistan conflict and why India cares - The Indian Express - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Connection beyond clampdown: an update from Afghanistan - Mission Network News - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Is Pakistan stoking border clashes with Afghanistan that Trump wants to solve? - Firstpost - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Pakistan and Afghanistan Engage in Border Clashes with Conflicting Claims - Yeni Safak English - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Over 12 civilians killed in attacks on Afghanistan by Pakistani forces - Deccan Herald - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- They fought with Britain and US in Afghanistan now Taliban is taking its revenge - The Independent - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Afghanistan rewrite records and thrash Bangladesh by 200 runs, become first team to... - The Times of India - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Clashes on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border: At least 15 civilians and six paramilitary members killed? - vijesti.me - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- 'We have other options': Afghan Foreign Minister warns amid Afghanistan-Pakistan conflict - The Economic Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Afghanistan says it has killed 58 Pakistani soldiers in overnight border operations - AP News - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Border Clash Between Afghanistan and Pakistan Threatens a Wider Conflict - The New York Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Taliban Expand Ties with India, While Accusing Pakistan of Bombing Afghanistan - The New York Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Who Are The Taliban Indicted By The Peoples Tribunal For Afghanistan? - Forbes - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- War breaks out between Pakistan and Afghanistan - yahoo.com - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Fierce Fighting, High Number Of Casualties Reported Along Pakistan-Afghanistan Border - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Afghanistan-Pakistan conflict: Will Saudi Arabia step in? Here's what Kingdom said - The Times of India - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Pakistan claims over 200 Taliban forces killed in deadly border clash; claims Afghanistan facilitating t - The Times of India - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- India-Afghanistan Relations: In Search Of Dominance And Legitimacy OpEd - Eurasia Review - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Im good at making peace: Trump turns attention to border skirmishes between Pakistan and Afghanistan - Dawn - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Im Good at Solving Wars: Is Trump Now Eyeing Pakistan-Afghanistan Conflict? - Times Now - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Why are Pakistan and Afghanistan battling at the border? What does it mean for India? - Firstpost - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Afghanistan is free now, but if Pakistan rejects peace, we have other options: Afghan FM - The Economic Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Afghanistan open to talks with Pakistan, but we have other means: Muttaqi - The Hindu - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Echoes of the Durand Line: Afghanistan and Pakistan at a crossroads - Tehran Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Afghanistan kills 58 Pakistani soldiers: Why the two Islamic nations are fighting as Afghan foreign minist - The Economic Times - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]