Archive for March, 2022

The real and far scarier reason Republicans think Biden is illegitimate – The Guardian

Earlier this month, Team Trump claimed in court that their efforts to nullify Joe Bidens victory could not possibly have been fraudulent or be described as a criminal conspiracy, because those in and around the White House had merely been acting on the basis of sincerely held suspicions.

This sparked the latest round in the never-ending debate over whether or not Republicans actually believe that the election was stolen from them. Politically, it is important to push back against the opportunistic ways in which Republicans up and down the country have been using the big lie. But if we are trying to understand what is animating the rights rapidly accelerating radicalization against democracy, binary assumptions of Republicans as either true believers or power-hungry cynics are not very helpful and actually obscure more than they illuminate. In some fundamental way, Republicans are both. What we really need to grapple with is why so many Republicans are convinced the outcome of the election was illegitimate regardless of whether or not there were specific procedural irregularities.

Surveys have consistently indicated that a clear majority, probably about two-thirds, of Republicans consider Biden an illegitimate president. Its highly likely that many of them are well aware that some of the specific conspiratorial claims emanating from the right fake ballots? Lost ballots? Illegals voting? are bogus. But they dont seem to care about the specifics. They just believe Biden shouldnt be president.

What is most alarming is the underlying ideology that leads so many on the right to consider Democratic victories invalid even if they concede there was nothing technically wrong with how the election was conducted. It has become a core tenet of the Republican worldview to consider the Democratic party as not simply a political opponent, but an enemy pursuing an un-American project of turning what is supposed to be a white Christian patriarchal nation into a land of godless multiracial pluralism. Conversely, Republicans see themselves as the sole proponents of real America, defending the country from the forces of radical leftism, liberalism and wokeism.

Even if they dont subscribe to the more outlandish conspiracies propagated by Trumpists, many Republicans agree that the Democratic party is a fundamentally illegitimate political faction and that any election outcome that would lead to Democratic governance must be rejected as illegitimate as well. Republicans didnt start from an assessment of how the 2020 election went down and come away from that exercise with sincerely held doubts. The rationalization worked backwards: They looked at the outcome and decided it must not stand. In other words, accusations of fraud gain plausibility among conservatives not because of empirical evidence, but because they adhere to the higher truth of who is and who is not legitimately representing and therefore entitled to rule real America.

It is worth paying attention to how reactionary intellectuals have been dealing with the 2020 election. We certainly wouldnt expect Trump, most Republican officials, or the conservative base to devour rightwing treatises. As much as they would like to believe it, these reactionary thinkers are not leading the movement. But they tend to articulate the radicalizing authoritarian spirit that is threatening American democracy in strikingly stark terms. In this way, the rightwing intellectual sphere provides a crucial window into the energies and anxieties that are animating the right more broadly.

In March 2021, the magazine American Mind published a particularly instructive essay by Glenn Ellmers, entitled Conservatism is No Longer Enough. American Mind is a publication of the Claremont Institute, a rightwing thinktank in California that has become home to some of the most outrightly pro-Trumpian intellectuals. It is notable that Ellmers makes no claim that the 2020 election was stolen he doesnt allege manipulation, voter fraud, or conspiracy, and in fact explicitly acknowledges that more people voted for Biden than for Trump. He does not peddle conspiracy theories. Yet Ellmers maintains that the outcome of the 2020 election is illegitimate and must not be accepted.

According to Ellmers, Bidens presidency represents an un-American idea of multiracial pluralism something that is fundamentally in conflict with what he refers to as authentic America. In his view, everyone who voted for Joe Biden and his progressive project of narcotizing the American people and turning us into a nation of slaves is also un-American and therefore not worthy of inclusion in the body politic. Ellmers declares that most people living in the United States certainly more than half are not Americans in any meaningful sense of the term. Only authentic Americans are allowed in Glenn Ellmers United States a racialized idea of the people, most clearly represented by the vast numbers of heartland voters.

On the other side are un-American enemies, not coincidentally characterized by their blind admiration for a young Black artist: If you are a zombie or a human rodent who wants a shadow-life of timid conformity, then put away this essay and go memorize the poetry of Amanda Gorman. Ellmers racist, anti-pluralistic vision is remarkably radical: he wants to redraw the boundaries of citizenship and exclude over half the population.

Ellmers is outraged precisely because he accepts the fact that a majority voted for Biden, that authentic Americans have become the minority in a country which they are supposedly entitled to dominate. Here we have a striking glimpse of the depth of despair underlying the pervasive siege mentality on the right. Whats scandalous about the 2020 election, in this interpretation, is not that it was stolen, but that un-American forces straightforwardly won.

Reactionaries like Ellmers have internalized the idea that they represent a persecuted minority, fighting with their backs against the wall in a desperate effort to defend authentic America. They dispute the legitimacy of the 2020 election not necessarily on the basis of fraud and conspiracy but because democracy itself subverted the will of real America by allowing the wrong people too much of an influence on the fate of the country.

Trumps incessant lies represent a vulgar, clumsy, narcissistic strand of conspiratorial thinking; those lies are shared by some, opportunistically used by many, and widely accepted on the right because they adhere to a higher truth: we are entitled to rule in America. Thats what is behind the widespread support for, or willingness to accept, any kind of suspicion, regardless of whether or not there is any shred of empirical evidence. If an election doesnt result in us being in power, it must be illegitimate, as we are real America; if it puts them in charge, it cannot be accepted, as they are out to destroy the nation.

Whether or not Republicans actually believe conspiracy theories about the 2020 election, most are absolutely convinced the result was illegitimate and they are all too willing to use allegations of fraud or ally with conspiracy theorists if it helps prevent future illegitimate outcomes. It is precisely the mixture of deeply held ideological convictions of white Christian patriarchal dominance, of what real America is supposed to be and who gets to rule there, and the cynical opportunism with which these beliefs are enforced that makes the assault on democracy so dangerous.

Thomas Zimmer is a visiting professor at Georgetown University, focused on the history of democracy and its discontents in the United States, and a Guardian US contributing opinion writer

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The real and far scarier reason Republicans think Biden is illegitimate - The Guardian

Crowded field emerges for 7th Congressional District, expected to include southern Volusia – Daytona Beach News-Journal

Rusty Roberts, former chief of staff for U.S. Congressman John Mica, has entered the race for his boss' old seat, bringing the total number of known Republican candidates to 12.

Florida's 7th District,held by Democrat Stephanie Murphy, will be vacant with her decision to retire from Congress. And redistricting is expected to shift the district from blue to red, with new boundaries crossing over into the southern half of Volusia County while also comprising all of Seminole County and a smaller portion of Orange County.

So it's attracted a slew of Republicans, including three who've proven to be prolific fundraisers: Brady Duke, who'd raised more than $900,000 by Dec. 31; Cory Mills, with nearly$760,000 at that point; and Anthony Sabatini, who'd gathered $733,000.

Florida redistricting: 3 burning questions about what lies ahead for Volusia, Flagler

Election year update: Florida redistricting dominoes begin to tumble, with Chase Tramont switching races

War back home: Volusia resident from Ukraine shares fears during interfaith prayer vigil in Deltona

Starting in March, months behind those and other candidates, Roberts istying his candidacy to his previous work on Capitol Hill as the top aide for 18 years to Mica, a 12-term congressman and former chairman of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee.

I will be a congressman who works not just talks.My work with John Mica helped secure positive results for Seminole, Volusia and Orange counties," Robertssaid in a news release Tuesday.

Roberts listed a number of Mica's accomplishments, including:

Roberts also was chief of staff for former U.S. Rep Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Miami and for six years was South Florida director for former U.S. Sen.Paula Hawkins.

After Mica's upset loss to Murphy in 2016, Roberts has worked as a vice president for Brightline Trains, the private high-speed rail project linking Miami to Orlando. He sits as a Gov. Ron DeSantis appointee on the Florida Transportation Commission, overseeing the Florida Department of Transportation.

Here's a look at some of the other leading candidates:

Benfield, of DeBary, is a businesswoman and former DeBary City Council member and vice mayor. She ran unsuccessfully for Florida House District 27 in 2020. Born in Puerto Rico, she has lived on the mainland U.S. since age 6. She owns Florida Living Quarters, an interior design firm, and Design or List It, a real estate brokerage. She is married and has three children.

A former member of Navy SEAL Team One, Christian minister and law-enforcement trainer,Duke is the father of five children. He lives in Oviedo with his wife Julie. Duke served in the military from 2006 to 2015, deploying in Afghanistan in 2009 and 2010 as a sniper and breacher.

Mills, who lists a business office in Winter Park as his address on an FEC document, is a husband and father who served in the U.S. Army with deployments in Iraq, Afghanistan and Kosovo. He was injured, struck twice by explosives in 2006, and earned a Bronze Star. Following his service, Mills cofounded Pacem Solution International and Pacem Defense LLC with his wife, Rana. The contract service has provided risk assessments, intelligence and security abroad.

Sabatini, a lawyer from Howey-in-the-Hills, serves in the Florida House of Representatives in District 32, a Lake County seat. He is married and a captain in the Florida Army National Guard. Sabatini is known for attacking Republican Legislature leadership, calling House Speaker Chris Sprowls a "RINO" and filing bills including one proposing to prohibit transgender surgeries on children. His legal work includes numerous lawsuits against Florida local governments' emergency orders during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Other candidates who have filed, either with the Federal Election Commission or state Division of Elections, include:

Allek Pastrana of Orlandois the only Democrat to file with the state.

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Crowded field emerges for 7th Congressional District, expected to include southern Volusia - Daytona Beach News-Journal

Here are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia | TheHill – The Hill

Eight Republicans voted against legislation to revoke normal trade relations with Russia over its invasion of Ukraine in a Thursday vote.

The eight were on the other end of a lopsided 424-8 vote to punish Moscow with the removal of normal trade relations. The legislation would raise tariffs on imports from Russia and Belarus, which has backed Moscow's bombardment of Ukraine.

It would also givePresident BidenJoe BidenEx-Trump personal assistant appears before Jan. 6 panel Defense & National Security Russia sends warnings to the West On The Money Feds propose new disclosure rule for public companies MORE power to impose even stricter taxes on their goods.

The eight GOP "no" votes were Reps. Marjorie Taylor GreeneMarjorie Taylor GreeneGOP efforts to downplay danger of Capitol riot increase The Memo: What now for anti-Trump Republicans? Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene says she's meeting with Trump 'soon' in Florida MORE (Ga.),Matt GaetzMatthew (Matt) GaetzHere are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia Congress must strengthen protections against insider trading by its members and their families Far left, far right find common ground opposing US interventionism MORE (Fla.), Lauren BoebertLauren BoebertHere are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia 16 House Republicans vote against bill to promote education on internment camps Five things to watch for during Zelensky's address to Congress MORE (Colo.),Thomas MassieThomas Harold MassieHere are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia 16 House Republicans vote against bill to promote education on internment camps Far left, far right find common ground opposing US interventionism MORE (Ky.),Andy Biggs (Ariz.),Dan Bishop (N.C.),Glenn GrothmanGlenn S. GrothmanHere are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia Far left, far right find common ground opposing US interventionism The 17 lawmakers who voted against the Russian oil ban MORE (Wis.) andChip RoyCharles (Chip) Eugene RoyHere are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia 16 House Republicans vote against bill to promote education on internment camps Congress must strengthen protections against insider trading by its members and their families MORE (Texas).

All eight Republicans in the House who voted against the anti-war measure have made it a point to stand out in the far-right wing of the GOP and have been holding tight to former President TrumpDonald TrumpOhio GOP Senate candidates tout MAGA bona fides at debate Ex-Trump personal assistant appears before Jan. 6 panel GOP sounds alarm bells over Greitens allegations MORE as he plots a potential run for president in 2024.

Greene, in a video posted online, said she couldn't support the U.S. intervention in the war because Americans have more pressing issues.

If we truly care about suffering and death on our television screens, we cannot fund more of it by sending money and weaponry to Ukraine to fight a war they cannot possibly win," she said. "The only effect, more arms and more money from America will be to prolong the war and magnify human suffering."

She bemoaned the attention that Ukraine has received as the Kremlin's attacks have escalated.

"All were hearing is potential war with Russia over Ukraine," she said on the House floor. "Ukraine is not a NATO member ally and President Biden had told them we would only be standing with our NATO member allies."

The vote came just after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky made a virtual plea to Congress for more assistance, as thousands have died in the ongoing war.

Massie said on Twitter that he thought the legislation granted too much power to the president to sanction other countries.

Gaetz last month expressed frustration over Americans providing financial assistance for the war.

"Why should Americans have to pay the costs for freedom elsewhere when our own leaders won't stand up for our freedom here?" Gaetz said during the Conservative Political Action Conference in Orlando, Fla.

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Here are the eight Republicans who voted against ending normal trade relations with Russia | TheHill - The Hill

Local roundup: Lock Haven softball tops Holy Family in both games of a doubleheader – Williamsport Sun-Gazette

Behind three home runs and 29 hits, the Lock Haven softball team rolled to a pair of victories on Sunday afternoon in a twin bill with Holy Family, 9-1 and 9-8.

In the first game of the day, the Bald Eagles (8-5) took an early lead and never looked back as they took the opener by a 9-1 tally in five innings.

Riley McClellan got the scoring started in the top of the first. McClellan belted a lead-off single to left field and swiped second base to quickly move into scoring position. Two batters later, Summer Peters pushed McClellan home with a single to left field as the Bald Eagles opened up a 1-0 lead.

Warrior Run graduate Madison Waltman earned the victory for the Bald Eagles. Waltman allowed one run on three hits and fanned four Holy Family batters to notch her sixth victory of the season.

The Mansfield University baseball team scored 18 runs with 13 different players recording hits to split with PSAC Eastern Division foe West Chester University on Sunday. The Mounties took game one, 8-5 before falling in the nightcap, 14-8.

The Mounties (7-10, 1-4 PSAC East) pounded out 13 hits in game one and 10 hits in game two on the cold and rainy afternoon against one of the top teams in the conference.

In game one, junior Brittain Shander (3 for 4, double, two runs, RBI) and sophomore Shay Gustafson (3 for 4, triple, two runs, RBI) led the way offensively with three hits each. Senior Assaf Lowengart drove in two runs with a double and scored, while sophomore Dylan Mercedes added a pair of hits, including a double and drove in a run. Senior Brady Mengel rounded out the multi-hit Mountaineers with a double and RBI, while freshman Brycen Rearick hit the first home run of his career to put the exclamation point on the victory.

The Mountaineer bullpen also excelled, as junior Josh Colon and freshman Austin Lewis combined to shut the door over the final 3 2/3 innings, allowing just one run and striking out four to seal the victory for MU. Colon earned the win and Lewis earned the save. Sophomore Ryan King struck out five through the opening 3 1/3 innings, allowing four runs.

Lock Haven dropped Sundays opener, but responded with a big 8-1 win in game two versus Kutztown University PSAC Eastern Division doubleheader at Watkins Field. Lock Haven lost the first game, 5-4.

The game was quiet in the opening innings, but in the top of the third Kutztown put up 3 runs to take a 3-0 lead. Lock Haven (7-13) notched a run in the bottom of the fourth when Blaise Zeiders found a gap for an RBI single up the middle driving in Justin Lichtenwalner to cut the Golden Bears advantage to 3-1.

Lock Haven got the bats going in the bottom the sixth when Jake Mastillo hit a line drive into the gap in the outfield to double and drive in Lichtenwalner from second. Joe Shannon followed with a single, and a Kutztown error allowed Mastillo to score and slice the lead to 4-3.

In game two Kutztown started quick and took an early 1-0 lead in the top of the first. Gavin Troutman walked in the bottom half of the first inning and Mastillo hit a double off the left field fence to tied the game 1-1.

COLLEGE SOFTBALL

Lock Haven 9, Holy Family 1

(GAME ONE)

LHU 106 02 9 11 0

Holy Family 001 00 1 3 3

M. Waltman and S. Arrigale. J. Blackson, A. Remington (5) and De. Moser. W: Waltman (6-1). L: Blackston (1-3).

Top Lock Haven hitters: R. McClellan 3-4, 2B, HR, 3 RBIs, 2 runs; D. GOod 2-4, 2B, run; S. Peters 2-3, RBI, run; S. Arrigale, 2B. Top Holy Family hitters: J. Blackston, 2B; J. Martinez, 2B.

Lock Haven 9, Holy Family 8

(GAME TWO)

LHU 202 030 2 9 18 1

Holy Family 202 013 0 8 14 2

J. Scheilham, K. Gioglio (4) and S. Arrigale. M. Patterson, S. Ciasullo (5) and A. Leitizia. W: Gioglio (2-2). L: Ciasullo (1-3).

Top Lock Haven hitters: D. Good 4-5, run; S. Peters 3-5, RBI, run; M. Ruppert 2-4, 3B, 2 runs; S. Arrigale 3-4, 2B, HR, 3 RBIs, 3 runs; R. Trexler 3-4, 2B, 2 RBIs; H. Lestician, HR. Top Holy Family hitters: A. Smith 2-5, 2 HRs, 2 RBIs, 2 runs; E. Hansen 3-4, HR, RBI, 2 runs; S. Ciasullo, 2B; A. Remington, HR.

Records: Lock Haven (8-5), Holy Family (3-15).

COLLEGE BASEBALL

Mansfield 8, West Chester 5

(GAME ONE)

WCU 010 310 0 5 11 2

Mansfield 202 301 x 8 13 5

Joe Sperone Dylan Howanitz (4), Joe Messina (4), R.J. Kuruts (6) and RJ Gifford. Ryan King Josh Colon (4), Austin Lewis (6) and Brycen Rearick. W: Colon (2-0). L: Howanitz (0-1). S: Lewis (1).

Top Mansfield hitters: Corey Stouffer 3-4, 3B, RBI, run; Justin Horn 2-4 3B; L. Cantwell 2-4, 2B, 2 runs; Mike Ferrara, 2B; Keith Flaherty, 2B. Top West Chester hitters: Shay Gustafson 3-4, 3B, RBI, 2 runs; Dylan Mercedes 2-3, 2B, RBI; Brady Mengel 2-3 2B, RBI, run; Brycen Rearick, HR; Brittain Shander, 2B; Assaf Lowengart, 2B; Samuel Freedman, 2B.

West Chester 14, Mansfield 8

(GAME TWO)

WCU 115 150 100 14 12 6

Mansfield 040 000 202 8 10 3

A. Cantwell, Nolan Graber (5), Kyle Lazer (7), Colin Kennedy (9) and R.J. Gifford. Houtz, Todd Erney (3), Logan Magdits (3), Lorenzo Febbo (5), Ian Wilbur (7) and Ryan Verbonitz. W: Cantwell (1-2). L: Houtz (1-1).

Top West Chester hitters: Zach Wright 2-5, 2B, RBI, 3 runs; Joe Kaleck 3-6, 3B, 3 RBIs, 3 runs; Corey Stouffer 2-4, 3 RBIs; Zack Miles 2-4, 3B, RBI, 2 runs; L. Cantwell, 2B. Top Mansfield hitters: Assaf Lowenegart 2-4, 2B, 2 RBIs; Alan Bautista 2-2, 2B, RBI, 2 runs.

Records; West Chester (14-3, 5-1 PSAC), Mansfield (7-10, 1-4 PSAC).

Kutztown 5, Lock Haven 4

(GAME ONE)

Kutztown 003 010 001 5 10 1

LHU 000 103 000 4 6 2

Dominic Proietto, Jake Skrocki (6) and Antonio Rossillo. RJ Kruse, Aedan Walter (4), Rylan Bailey (6), Jared Coolledge (9), Garrett Starr (9) and Garrett Nephart. W: Skrocki (1-0). L: Colledge (1-1).

Top Kutztown hitters: ANtonio Rossillo 3-3, run; Mike Piscotty 2-4; Zach Moretski, 2B. Top Lock Haven hitters: Blaise Zeiders 2-4, 2B, RBI; Gavin Troutman, 2B; Jake Mastillo, 2B.

Lock Haven 8, Kutztown 1

Kutztown 100 000 0 1 5 0

LHU 111 302 x 8 13 3

Gavin Moretski, Gavin Grande (5) and Antonio Rossillo. Kevin Worek, Matt Lingenfelter (6) and Garrett Nephart. W: Worek (3-2). L: Moretski (0-2).

Top Kutztown hitters: Jimmy Kerley 2-3, 2B. Top Lock Haven hitters: Jake Mastillo 3-3, 2B, HR, 3 RBIs, 3 runs; Joe Shannon 3-4, 3B, RBI, run; Zach Kaatz 2-4, RBI; Garrett Nephart 2-4, HR, RBI, run.

Records: Kutztown (6-13, 3-1 PSAC East), Lock Haven (7-12, 1-5 PSAC East).

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Local roundup: Lock Haven softball tops Holy Family in both games of a doubleheader - Williamsport Sun-Gazette

Learning From Data – Online Course (MOOC)

Outline

This is an introductory course in machine learning (ML) that covers the basic theory, algorithms, and applications. ML is a key technology in Big Data, and in many financial, medical, commercial, and scientific applications. It enables computational systems to adaptively improve their performance with experience accumulated from the observed data. ML has become one of the hottest fields of study today, taken up by undergraduate and graduate students from 15 different majors at Caltech. This course balances theory and practice, and covers the mathematical as well as the heuristic aspects. The lectures below follow each other in a story-like fashion:

The 18 lectures are about 60 minutes each plus Q&A. The content of each lecture is color coded:

The Learning Problem - Introduction; supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning. Components of the learning problem.

Is Learning Feasible? - Can we generalize from a limited sample to the entire space? Relationship between in-sample and out-of-sample.

The Linear Model I - Linear classification and linear regression. Extending linear models through nonlinear transforms.

Error and Noise - The principled choice of error measures. What happens when the target we want to learn is noisy.

Training versus Testing - The difference between training and testing in mathematical terms. What makes a learning model able to generalize?

Theory of Generalization - How an infinite model can learn from a finite sample. The most important theoretical result in machine learning.

The VC Dimension - A measure of what it takes a model to learn. Relationship to the number of parameters and degrees of freedom.

Bias-Variance Tradeoff - Breaking down the learning performance into competing quantities. The learning curves.

The Linear Model II - More about linear models. Logistic regression, maximum likelihood, and gradient descent.

Neural Networks - A biologically inspired model. The efficient backpropagation learning algorithm. Hidden layers.

Overfitting - Fitting the data too well; fitting the noise. Deterministic noise versus stochastic noise.

Regularization - Putting the brakes on fitting the noise. Hard and soft constraints. Augmented error and weight decay.

Validation - Taking a peek out of sample. Model selection and data contamination. Cross validation.

Support Vector Machines - One of the most successful learning algorithms; getting a complex model at the price of a simple one.

Kernel Methods - Extending SVM to infinite-dimensional spaces using the kernel trick, and to non-separable data using soft margins.

Radial Basis Functions - An important learning model that connects several machine learning models and techniques.

Three Learning Principles - Major pitfalls for machine learning practitioners; Occam's razor, sampling bias, and data snooping.

Epilogue - The map of machine learning. Brief views of Bayesian learning and aggregation methods.

You can also look for a particular topic within the lectures in the Machine Learning Video Library.

This course was broadcast live from the lecture hall at Caltech in April and May 2012. There was no 'Take 2' for the recorded videos. The lectures included live Q&A sessions with online audience participation. Here is a sample of a live lecture as the online audience saw it in real time.

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Learning From Data - Online Course (MOOC)