Archive for November, 2020

The fate of democracy rests with a handful of Republicans – The Week

Democratic nominee Joe Biden pulled ahead in Pennsylvania this morning, closing in on 270 electoral votes and thus the presidency. Millions of Democrats yearning to free themselves of President Trump are just minutes or hours from celebration. But what should be a moment of relief will be darkened by a gathering cloud of ominous threats coming from the president, his children and allies, and even some leading Republicans.

As Biden was pulling ahead yesterday morning in pivotal battlegrounds, leading in states totaling 306 electoral votes, the Trump camp was floating completely unsubstantiated conspiracies and claiming that "once the election is final, President Trump will be re-elected." Trump has no plans to concede and will go out as ugly and destructively as possible, dragging the country down with him.

These efforts to precipitate what amounts to a coup will almost certainly fall short of their goal. But that failure should not lead us to believe that our institutions are robust or that they saved us. It's more that just a handful of Republicans the leadership of the Pennsylvania legislature, Mitch McConnell and other GOP senators, maybe one or two of the conservatives on the Supreme Court if it ever gets that far still possess some tiny modicum of integrity and will prevent the president's conspiracy against America from succeeding. The Pennsylvania GOP won't send the Republican slate of electors to Congress. The Senate lacks a leader or a majority willing to endorse such a maneuver even if they did. And the Supreme Court would not sign what amounts to democracy's death certificate. Not today anyway.

This handful of Republicans, who have collectively done absolutely nothing to stop the situation from getting so out of hand in the first place, are literally all that is standing between us and authoritarianism.

For months, President Trump has clumsily telegraphed his plot and Republicans looked on in shameful silence, possibly because they believed the (terrible) polling and thought they were about to get waxed across the board in a way that would make the president's machinations look absurd. Once it became clear in the spring that more Democrats than Republicans wanted to avoid voting in person so as not to die of the highly contagious plague currently infecting more than 100,000 Americans a day, the president's team relentlessly attacked the legitimacy of voting by mail, tried to wreck the U.S. Postal Service, litigated every modest effort to make the process easier and more forgiving for citizens, and even enlisted GOP state legislatures in critical swing states to delay counting those ballots until Election Day.

They wanted to create the appearance of a Trump "win" being subverted by counting "illegal" late votes. They tried to convince millions of their followers of the utterly false premise that any ballot not tabulated by midnight on election night is illegal. And they have succeeded in doing just that. The fruits of their malevolent handiwork will menace this democracy for years no matter what unfolds over the next 10 weeks.

The right-wing propaganda apparatus is on board. At The Federalist, an outlet that makes Fox News look like the platonic ideal of objectivity, writers are claiming that "Democrats are trying to steal the election in the Midwest." Facebook had to shut down a group with hundreds of thousands of members called "Stop the Steal," which was advocating violence and catapulting baseless allegations across Mark Zuckerberg's vast digital empire. Prominent commentators like Mark Levin called on GOP state legislatures to submit their own electors in the precise nightmare scenario envisioned by The Atlantic's Barton Gellman in September. And Fox itself is giving hours and hours of airtime to people working tirelessly to subvert the election.

Because Biden is leading in several crucial states rather than just one, they probably won't be able to pull it off. But we must remember that it's not any mystical "guardrails" holding us up. It's happenstance. It's luck.

The uncomfortable truth is there is nothing in "the institutions" themselves to save us. They are not self-enforcing, as we discovered time and again during the Trump presidency, no more obviously than when Trump and his circle unapologetically violated the Hatch Act countless times and were met with complete indifference by every single elected Republican in the country. Those tasked with enforcing the rules looked the other way. When the branch of government that is supposed to faithfully execute the nation's laws is conquered by the lawless, there is no real backup plan.

And while you might not care that much about the Hatch Act, what they proved was that they could openly flout laws with no consequence whatsoever. Today it's an obscure ethics rule. Tomorrow it could be election laws. The day after it might be our basic human rights and freedoms. Think of it this way what if one of the QAnon conspiracy theorists Republicans just sent to Congress was the governor of Pennsylvania or Wisconsin? What if one of them becomes the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff? The chief justice of the Supreme Court?

The Republican Party is slipping away from its few remaining principled conservatives and is in the advanced stages of being gutted and rehabbed by some of the most dangerous people in the country. It is now a budding authoritarian organization that commands the loyalty of something like 47 percent of the population. It includes the sitting president and vice president of the United States, the minority leader of the House of Representatives, Kevin McCarthy, the chair of the Senate judiciary committee, Lindsey Graham, and multiple former Republican leaders and presidential candidates including Newt Gingrich and Rudy Giuliani, all of whom are out there right now giving credence to a plan to steal the election based on ludicrous fraud allegations they are literally making up.

Despite all of this madness, Biden stands at the precipice of the presidency. The temptation to turn the page is understandable. It has been a long and exhausting four years, characterized by new outrages, indecencies, and threats seemingly every hour. For too many of us, the din of madness has drowned out other human pursuits and joys that we want nothing more than to return to. On Jan. 21, the worst of it will probably be over for now. But Democrats can't be too busy celebrating to recognize the enormous dangers that are still with us.

There can be no post-election demobilization and no return to normal. Those dreaming about not having to think about the president every day need to wake up and realize that we are at most one Republican wave election away from putting a bunch of Pizzagate conspiracy theorists and Lost Causers in charge of the federal government, where they will fully control the coercive apparatus of the most powerful country in the history of the world. Some of them are willing to destroy democracy just to prevent an elderly, moderate Democrat from leading what amounts to a weak caretaker government, one that will probably be unable to pass a single piece of meaningful legislation.

What will they do when there is more on the line? Do you really want to find out? It can happen here. And if we don't remain vigilant, it will.

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The fate of democracy rests with a handful of Republicans - The Week

CNN’s Defterios: Trump ‘is threatening the core of democracy’, Alexis Papachelas | Kathimerini – www.ekathimerini.com

I think Donald Trump kind of sees the world in the same way as President Erdogan, taking a tough line, kicking up some dust, being the rebel in the region, Defterios says. And this could strain relations with Greece, and within NATO itself.

In an interview with Kathimerini held before a final verdict was given on the US presidential race, CNN journalist John Defterios stressed incumbent Donald Trumps determination to challenge the result in court, disregarding the perils of such a move.

Defterios explained Trumps enduring popularity among the American electorate, underscoring the fact that his supporters demonstrate dedication that is cult-like.

In the same interview, he predicted that instability in the Middle East and the Eastern Mediterranean will continue.

Why do you think Trump is still so popular? Thats one question thats on everybodys mind today.

Its a question I get all the time, in terms of people saying, Where does this support come from? We have to recognize that the US is extremely polarized. If you look at the map from the center of the country, from the Midwest, and then move down to the right and an arch down to the southeast, this is the Trump base. I think this is a backlash against globalization over the last 25 years and the transition from the GATT treaty to the World Trade Organization.

The developed economies with the US included here didnt prepare their citizenry for the competition thats coming from China and the developing world. So the Trump base has been communicated with this idea of Make America Great Again. The real translation is, Lets protect the American worker again and throw up barriers and raise a lot of heat with China, which has not benefited the US economybut it makes this base feel better.

Now this is a complex issue, but the bottom line is this is the group that was widely addicted during the opioid crisis in the Midwest, in the south of rural America (they're) very passionate, almost a cult-like following to Donald Trump. So these are the red states. They have this perception that he delivers right across the board on the economy. I think its more of a sales pitch than the reality of what we have today. But their loyalty is because he puts this at the top of the agenda, communicating with these people, and the economy, before the Covid-19 shock. How do you explain the fact that while he has mishandled the Covid crisis, this seems to have had no impact on a large part of the population? As an American its a tough thing to explain, but it comes down to free liberties. They have couched this debate, about wearing a mask for example, with the removal of a right to freedom, to even the right to bear arms. Nobody wants anybody to mess around with their ammunition and arms control and gun control. They think this is taking something away.

And again, the president has said, I dont want to lock down the economy and I want these people to be able to work again, so its been framed not as a health issue and America has the highest death rate per population, and also the highest infection rate per population but more Youre encroaching on my freedoms, I dont like big government, I dont like high taxes, I dont want anybody to tell me what I should do with my guns.

And hes framed that into the debate when it comes to the health crisis as well. Now, I think we have another crisis in the United States, partially because the elites and leadership over the last generation have not ever communicated with this base. It started with Fox News and seeing that Main Street America was ignored. And they lit a torch going back 20 years ago with the development of Fox and you have to give credit to Donald Trump for latching on to the movement if you will, speaking their language, even though hes a billionaire by trade, was born with a silver spoon. They identify because of the language hes using about the hardworking lower class of America.

We also have an education crisis with this working class because they cant compete in the world arena because they dont have the right training or education. So theyre suffering due to the transition of globalization, but its couched now under the Trump mantra as making America great again. Lets protect the American uneducated worker by throwing up trade barriers, cutting taxes for companies to grow, and then driving up the employment rate. Hes not been a fiscal conservative in the real traditional sense with Republicans, but his base doesnt care. Thats reality.

At this point, it seems that this election is going to be dragged out probably in the courts. How do you view this? Is it really dangerous for the standing of the US worldwide? Some people are even talking about some sort of civil strife within the country. How do you see all that?

We saw the electoral vote count led by Joe Biden, so this is why Donald Trump immediately put out a press statement saying that this is a shame or a fraud against the American people again communicating with his base. Almost an alarm, to say You stand ready, as he did with the Proud Boys. They have armed militias. So I dont want to overplay it to you, but there is a real threat.

If it does not go in the direction that Donald Trump is looking for after he does exercise all the might of the court system, even taking it to the Supreme Court, he has a huge advantage today. It could lead to civil unrest. Every vote counts. There is a threat against democracy if, for some reason, the courts decide that the counting after election day does not count. But it doesnt make any sense at all because we shifted because of Covid-19 90 million voters going in for a mainland ballot. The Trump administration through the different governors stopped the vote counting before the election so they couldnt get those votes counted because theyre heavily Democratic, so it was a very calculating move. And then, after saying that if you count after the polls closed on November 3 they dont count, it doesnt make any sense whatsoever.

But hes really threatening the core of democracy and the voting system. He doesnt like structure, he doesnt like the international architecture, but... he spends most of his time trying to break the structures. So again, he serves as the rebel supporting white working-class America, and they love the bellicose language that he uses.

I gather from what youre saying that even if Trump is defeated, Trumpism will be around for a while, right?

I dont think so. In fact if Trump is defeated here, I think this would be a flash in the pan, and the Republican Party can reset to the center again. Theres a danger here if Trump wins, and Ill just put out a different proposal here. If Trump wins, that means the Democratic Party would lunge to the left, because the criticism of Joe Biden is that he was playing the centrist card, trying to win the Rust Belt states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio. If indeed Trump stays in office, expect the AOCs and the Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warrens to move the party to the left, which I think strategically would be a mistake. Weve learned the lesson though: The victories are won in the middle. And you hear a lot of Republican veterans say its time for a Republican reset. I tell you, the next two weeks is going to be very, very uncertain, which I think is going to wake up the financial markets by the way at the same time put in doubt the structure and leadership of the United States.

What do you mean by that?

People are suggesting that China and Russia were agitating the system and interfering on social media platforms in support of Joe Biden. I think to the contrary here. I think the two if you take the Chinese and Russian model if they can agitate the system, it provides instability for the US model of democracy. So whether its Donald Trump or Joe Biden right now, it allows the Chinese and the Russians, for example, to take a step back. And I understand they did intervene but, if thats the case and this is the premise that people are using that allows their models to look strong for the future, that democracy is waning, that liberalism is on the wane right now. If you take a look at the UK system with Brexit, one would say the same: They marched to Brexit. Theyre trying to negotiate an exit. The Tory party didnt have a good response to Covid-19. It looks like democracy in many states around the world those in the G7 are afraid right now, and this is a real challenge to the largest economy, what was the global leader in the world if you look at the model, if it goes through this exercise, a challenging of the vote by a renegade Donald Trump.

How do you think this election is going to impact the Middle East, the Eastern Mediterranean, and more specifically Greece and Turkey? As you know, we have a big problem with Turkey around here. Trump seems to have a very close, special relationship with Erdogan. How do you see things developing in that respect?

OK, lets cover the kind of the wider Middle East its almost monopolar, if you will. Here in the Gulf states where Im sitting in Abu Dhabi, six Gulf states look at Iran with the exception of Oman, which tries to remain neutral and they say that is the number one issue for them and thats why Donald Trump has supported them very transactionally on defense sales of US equipment to the Gulf states. So that was a transactional move. Joe Biden said that he would come back and re-engage with the Iranians, probably not to the level that President Obama was doing ahead of the dismantling of that agreement by Donald Trump. So thats the key issue here. Would Joe Biden re-engage with Iran? That would change the mix. The Abraham accords will make it more difficult for Joe Biden or any other US leader to put a wedge between the Gulf states and Israel in the future because they actually see the future against Iran, the same. So I would expect a much more moderate package from Joe Biden. If Trump stays in I would expect more pressure, and potentially a number of sources worry about a surprise attack against Iran. A future of Trump in office I think raises insecurity in the region as well.

When it comes to the Eastern Mediterranean, Ive had sources in the intelligence community from Eastern Europe say it is the most dangerous spot in the world right now, which raised eyebrows for me two years ago, and its played out exactly as this person was suggesting because theres gas assets at stake here. I think Donald Trump kind of sees the world in the same way as President [Recep Tayyip] Erdogan, taking a tough line, kicking up some dust, being the rebel in the region. And this could strain relations with Greece, and within NATO itself. So thats the real danger. But I think in favor of Greece when it comes to the Eastern Mediterranean this is a strong alliance. The way I see it, Israel, Egypt, Cyprus, Greece, backing from France, Chancellor [Angela] Merkel backing the Greek position, ready to serve as a mediator if this thing needs to come to a close, it works. I think if Joe Biden came in, I think hed be actually much more engaged in the Eastern Mediterranean, and he would try to find a solution. I think Donald Trump would never challenge Erdogan, or Vladimir Putin for that matter. I think this could drag into a very dangerous direction.

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CNN's Defterios: Trump 'is threatening the core of democracy', Alexis Papachelas | Kathimerini - http://www.ekathimerini.com

American Democracy Survives Its Brush With Death – The New York Times

There is still a possibility that this election could end up in an Electoral College tie of 269 to 269. If that happens, the next president would be determined by the new House of Representatives, with each state casting one vote.

Thus, California, where nearly one in eight Americans live, with 53 members in the House, would have the same power as Wyoming, a state with a lone representative in the House and a declining population.

The obvious flaw here that the person who gets the most votes does not necessarily win could be neutralized by the National Popular Vote Compact, in which all of a participating states electoral votes are pledged to the winner of the national popular vote.

On Tuesday, Colorado voters approved joining the compact, which now has 15 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 196 electoral votes. More states are needed to push it past the 270-vote margin where it could go into effect. But for now, its the best vehicle for bringing the American system closer to one that reflects the will of the people.

Ah, the will of people. Who knows what the hell that is. Yes, its karmic justice that three of the states pivotal in electing Mr. Trump Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan now look like three that will fire him. And for that slim majority, and the rest of us, may mourning in America soon turn to morning in America.

The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. Wed like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles. Here are some tips. And heres our email: letters@nytimes.com.

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Timothy Egan (@nytegan) is a contributing opinion writer who covers the environment, the American West and politics. He is a winner of the National Book Award and author, most recently, of A Pilgrimage to Eternity.

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American Democracy Survives Its Brush With Death - The New York Times

Opinion: US election tears at the seams of liberal democracy – DW (English)

Practically every aspect of US foreign policy in the last few decades, whether good or bad, has been dominated by two ideals: The establishment of America's liberal order and the promotion of its democratic values.

The United Statesjustified its wars in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan and its involvement in Libya by claiming that it is the arbiter of democratic values, which it has a duty to promote and protect across the world.

Those very same democratic values are now at stake in the US. President Donald Trump's refusal to state categorically that he will concede defeat should he lose, raises a worrying prospect for the future of liberal democracy.

Read more:Opinion: Trump's appalling disregard for democracy in US election

DW's Mimi Mefo Takambou

Surely, thinking and acting in that category is meant to be the preserve of countries in Africa or parts of the world where the US has for decades claimed to be working relentlessly to "teach" what it perceivesto be democratic.

You will recall Trump's very unflattering remarks about a number of African countries and their values. Talk about double standards. I recall for instance that In 2018, following the post-election violence in Zimbabwe, the then-US State Department spokeswoman, Heather Nauert, was keen to point out that the elections "presented the country with ahistoric chance to move beyond the political and economic crises of the past and toward profound democratic change."

Questions of possible fraud and post-election violence aside, the US appears to be following another trend seen in "lesser" democracies. Whatever the outcome of the election, this will be the first time that someone over 75 will be occupying the White House. Should Biden win, he will be over 80 years old when he completes his first tenure. Many African leaders have clung on to power at an age when they should be retiring as heads of state.

The US might easily go intofree fall, should things turn out the way Trump is predicting and should he refuse to concede defeat on the grounds of fraud. Should he, however, emerge as the winner, the question would still remain whether he won because of the fraud he has constantly peddled.

The fundamental principles of liberal democracies are therefore severely challenged by the way the US election and the aftermath have been conducted, irrespective of how it turns out. As Africans around the world observe the drama unfolding before their eyes they will be at pains to understand what constitutes a real democracy.

As is the case for many of my fellow Africans, the nature of this election has left a bitter taste in my mouth.

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Opinion: US election tears at the seams of liberal democracy - DW (English)

Opinion: Trump’s losing, and liberals are upset? – Los Angeles Times

Good morning. Im Paul Thornton, and it is Saturday, Nov. 7, 2020. Before we take a look back at the week in Opinion, lets talk about ...

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Oh, to hell with the pithy introduction President Trump appears likely to have lost! Thats a big deal! Arguably the most authoritarian American leader ever ran for reelection, and enough voters seem to have told him no. We passed an important stress test that other liberal societies failed when they acquiesced to a strongmans wish to stay in power. That the president wants to overturn the election only exposes the lethality of the bullet our democracy looks like it just dodged.

This isnt to say were in the clear. As op-ed columnist Nicholas Goldberg explained, given everything we know about Trump his mismanagement of the pandemic, his refusal to accept the emotional burden of the deaths of 236,000 people, his dehumanization of immigrants, his persistent maladaptiveness the fact that he was able to draw tens of millions of votes is just mind-boggling and does not bode well for the months and years ahead. The Times Editorial Board expressed similar discomfort with Trumps less-than-demoralizing defeat and contemplated the implications of his enduring support.

Look, I wanted to see Trump and his sycophantic enablers buried in a landslide as much as the next guy, but after the Obama years we have to learn to accept something less satisfying than a 2008-type realigning election. Globally, authoritarian leaders in seemingly healthy democracies have managed to retain power in free and fair elections, only to go on to make the next election a little less free and a little less fair. For all its faults, the United States appears to have bucked this trend and selected as its next leader someone whose defining characteristics were empathy and competence. This is a wonderful development.

Why arent Democrats dancing in the streets? My thinking aligns more with that of op-ed columnist Virginia Heffernan, who urges liberals to mute their inner self-critics and celebrate the achievement of their biggest goal: the likely election of Biden and Kamala Harris. The problem, according to Heffernan, is that liberals are natural movement joiners, eternally focused on lofty principles but blind to the realities on the ground. She repeats the advice of journalist Windsor Mann, a Republican who voted for Biden: Spike the football. Gloat. L.A. Times

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There is no Latino voting bloc. Get used to it. About of quarter of voters who identify as Latino supported Trump, according to exit polls, leading to howls of dismay among liberals over ... what exactly? That the presidents inhumane border policies should have pushed every Latino voter into the arms of Joe Biden? That assumption isnt just offensively reductive; its not a winning strategy, says Mariel Garza. She writes: Really, we have to go through this again, explaining that Latinos are a racially, culturally, socioeconomically diverse group of people with a wide range of hopes and dreams and political leanings and not a uniform voting bloc? L.A. Times

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On that note, we have a new newsletter dedicated to the complexity of the Latinx experience. Its called the Latinx Files, its free, its weekly, and I encourage you to sign up for it. Nearly half of Los Angeles County and a fifth of all Americans identify as Latino, and the experiences of this diverse group will play an important role in Californias future. The newsletters author is L.A. Times audience engagement editor Fidel Martinez, who each week will send to your inbox his original reporting combined with the best of the papers coverage of Latinx culture, politics, art and much more. L.A. Times

This was the worst week ever for COVID-19 in the United States, and its only getting worse. While you were compulsively refreshing your Twitter feeds for ballot updates, new coronavirus infections set a daily record on Wednesday, then a new one on Thursday, then a new one on Friday. With a president who refuses to take meaningful action and much of the country momentarily distracted by the nontrivial task of rescuing American democracy, the pandemic is bound to get worse in the U.S., writes Mariel Garza: Sorry to be the bearer of bad news at the end of a difficult week, but its good not to lose sight of the fact that theres something more dangerous than partisan politics lurking out there. L.A. Times

If I told you that anticompetitive businesses successfully bought a law, where would you think this happened? In a post-Soviet oligarchy? It actually happened here in California, where voters probably just thought they were helping out their favorite Uber drivers by passing Proposition 22. What they were really doing was allowing money-losing, billionaire-backed companies rewrite a state employment law they didnt like and permanently etching it into the books by making it amendable only by a seven-eighths legislative majority. As the New York Times Shira Ovide charitably put it, Uber and Lyft Go Legit. New York Times

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Opinion: Trump's losing, and liberals are upset? - Los Angeles Times