Archive for August, 2017

Obama, Hillary Set To Hit The Campaign Trail Again – The Daily Caller

Both former President Barack Obama and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are working on plans to campaign for Democrats in 2018, and Democrats worry they plan to change the direction of the Party.

Aides to Obama told The Hills Amie Parnes he is looking to resurface on the national campaign stage. Parnes also reported Tuesday that Clinton is trying to sort out what role she might play in the midterm elections.

Parnes has written several books about the Clinton and Obama races.

Although the pair bring a lot of fundraising firepower to a very crowded field of needy Democratic candidates, party insiders worry about who would control the party if either past candidate became too influential.

He has to be careful, Julian Zelizer, a professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University told The Hill. At a moment when President Trumps approval is falling so fast including with his base there is a risk for Obama taking center stage and triggering the energy that many Republicans currently lack.

Zelizer has a point. Republicans both on The Hill and in the White House successfully campaigned against the former president, winning control of the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the presidency during the course of Obamas controversial tenure.

But Clinton brings a whole new set of potential baggage to the 2018 electoral cycle. The DemocraticNational Committees leaks revealed that members of the party worked with the Clinton campaign to ensure she received the nomination over Sen. Bernie Sanders, and she her reliance on Hollywood elites and overblown advertising campaigns failed to win over key minority voters in key states like Florida and Pennsylvania.

Despite those drawbacks, Clinton insiders argue that the former senator could help Democrats in states that she won over Trump in the 2016 presidential election.

No one can argue that Clinton helping in those areas wouldnt be helpful, an unnamed Clinton source told Parnes. That is a priority for her.

Despite Democratic assertions, Republican strategists welcome the return of the partys greatest targets in modern political history.

For 30 years, Hillary Clinton has essentially been Old Faithful for Republican candidates,strategist Doug Heye told The Hill. Her continued prominence only helps GOP candidates with an electorate that historically is more favorable than what they faced in the last presidential election.

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Obama, Hillary Set To Hit The Campaign Trail Again - The Daily Caller

Bill and Hillary Clinton to take questions at joint Dallas appearance – The Hill (blog)

Former Democratic presidential candidate Hillary ClintonHillary Rodham ClintonJudge orders new search for Hillary Clinton's Benghazi emails Chance the Rapper: 'I have a bigger voice than Donald Trump' Bill and Hillary Clinton to take questions at joint Dallas appearance MORE and former President Bill ClintonBill ClintonPenalties assessed by EPA decline under Trump, study finds Bill and Hillary Clinton to take questions at joint Dallas appearance Monica Lewinsky responds to Scaramucci calling New Yorker reporter 'the Linda Tripp of 2017' MORE will make a rare joint appearance at aDallas suburb in November, according to the Irving Music Factory website.

Tickets for the event at theyet-to-open entertainment complex will include a question-and-answer session and will go on sale later this month. Tickets willstart at $99.50 plus a fee, according to the Dallas Morning News.

The rare appearance comes as Clinton increases her public presence after asurprise loss to President Trump in last year's presidential election.

The last few months, I've been reflecting, spending time with familyand, yes, taking walks in the woods.

In September, theformer first lady and secretary of State will publish a book titled "What Happened"that details her experience on the 2016 campaign.

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Bill and Hillary Clinton to take questions at joint Dallas appearance - The Hill (blog)

Does Mueller’s grand jury mean an indictment is imminent? – PolitiFact

Special Counsel Robert Mueller has opened a grand jury in Washington, D.C., for his investigation into Russian election meddling and possible coordination by Trump campaign associates, according to multiple news reports. We decided to review the significance of this move, so we asked legal experts for their views on several questions related to grand juries.

What is a grand jury and what is its job?

The grand jury traces its roots to the Fifth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. That provision says that "(n)o person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a Grand Jury."

When a court impanels a federal grand jury, jurors are tasked with figuring out whether enough evidence exists to formally accuse someone of a felony. Unlike a trial jury, a grand jury does not play a role in determining guilt or punishment. Rather, this panel of 16 to 23 citizens serves a gatekeeping function for issuing indictments.

In modern practice, the grand jury is a potent investigative tool for prosecutors, said Andrew D. Leipold, a law professor at the University of Illinois College of Law.

"People dont generally have a duty to cooperate with law enforcement," Leipold said. "So if the police or FBI questions someone, typically that person is not required to answer. And generally unless the police have a warrant, they cant make a person produce documents."

"But a grand jury can do that," he said.

In Muellers case, he could not conduct an effective investigation without a grand jury, said Ric Simmons, a law professor at Ohio State University.

"The prosecutor does not have subpoena power on his or her own," he said. "He or she needs the grand jury to issue subpoenas for documents and to compel testimony."

To issue an indictment, a grand jury needs to believe a federal crime was probably committed. This threshold, known as the "probable cause" standard, is a far easier hurdle to clear than the proof "beyond a reasonable doubt" needed to convict. Grand juries are also one-sided ordeals, where neither defendants nor their lawyers have the right to appear before jurors to refute incriminating evidence.

For these reasons, lawyers have a saying that any halfway decent prosecutor should be able to indict a ham sandwich. But its important to emphasize that someone who is indicted has not yet been found guilty, and may never be.

How has Special Counsel Robert Mueller used grand juries so far?

Muellers appointment in May as special counsel granted him fairly broad jurisdiction.

The Justice Department authorized him to lead an investigation into Russias interference in the 2016 election, as well as any links or coordination between the Russian government and Trump campaign associates, plus "any matters that arose or may arise directly from the investigation."

Grand juries are supposed to operate in secrecy, but because they issue subpoenas and compel testimony, their work sometimes becomes public. Our best understanding of how Mueller has used grand juries is based primarily on anonymously sourced news reports.

In June, Reuters reported that Mueller was taking over a grand jury investigation in Virginia that had been looking into former national security adviser Michael Flynn.

The investigation got fresh attention when the Wall Street Journal reported in August that a new grand jury had convened weeks earlier in Washington, D.C., to focus on his investigation.

That same day, Reuters reported the new grand jury had issued subpoenas related to a controversial June 2016 meeting at Trump Tower between Donald Trump Jr. and a Russian lawyer, and several others (CNN also reported on the subpoenas). The meeting was predicated on the promise that a "Russian government attorney" would deliver damaging information to Trump Jr. about his fathers Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton.

Why would Mueller open up a new grand jury?

While Muellers precise rationale for seeking more than one grand jury is not publicly known, legal experts told us its a fairly unsurprising move for a special prosecutor because it carries several advantages.

Grand juries typically divide their attention among multiple cases. So its possible Mueller believes he can operate more smoothly with a panel of jurors focused exclusively on whats potentially a large volume of information.

"In special investigations, rather than ordinary criminal cases, it is not uncommon to impanel a special grand jury," said Joshua Dressler, a law professor at Ohio State University. "This way, the jurors will become increasingly knowledgeable about the matters at issue, and they can focus on just one matter."

Theres a number of other theories for Muellers move.

Some believe his grand jury was meant to make it easier to broaden the scope of his investigation beyond Flynn.Others say a Washington-based jury would be more sympathetic. Still others say Mueller simply wanted a grand jury closer to his teams Washington office.

"Since the proceedings are secret, it is very hard to know which (if any) of these are correct," said Jed Shugerman, a professor at Fordham Law School.

Does the new grand jury mean an indictment is near?

Legal experts we spoke to fell into two camps on whether the existence of Muellers grand jury tells us anything about the likelihood of any future indictments.

Some experts think a grand jury by itself tells us nothing. Others said it increases the chances of indictments issuing at some future point, though none believed they were imminent.

Simmons said while a grand jury is a prerequisite for a future indictment, its also a required step in the early stages of an investigation.

"It simply means that Mueller did not believe the case was frivolous and decided a real investigation was appropriate," he said. "Thats something we all pretty much assumed already."

Leipold called the grand jurys impaneling "important but unremarkable" in the grand scheme of the investigation.

"I dont find any clues in its presence as to whether or not there will be an indictment or whether or not its imminent," he said. "I can imagine a world in which Mueller says, Im not inclined to seek an indictment, or, one in which he seeks lots of indictments."

Others viewed the new grand jury as a more meaningful development, but cautioned against jumping to any premature conclusions about its ultimate significance.

Jessica Levinson, a professor at Loyola Law School in Los Angeles, said that because of the relatively low probable cause standard -- recall the quip about indicting a ham sandwich -- she believes its more likely than not that at least one criminal indictment will issue.

"But none of this is a done deal," she added.

So what to make of the frenzied speculation in the Twitterverse about an indictment being issued any day now?

"I think people have overreacted to this news by thinking an indictment is imminent," Shugerman said.

Perhaps the only clue the grand jury gives as to Muellers timeline is that were in for a lengthy investigation, said Mark Godsey, a law professor at the University of Cincinnati and author of Blind Injustice, about the inner-workings of federal prosecutors' offices.

"I dont think it says much about timing, other than it suggests there is a lot of work to do, and that can impact how long the investigation lasts," he said.

Share the Facts

2017-08-10 15:47:15 UTC

-1

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Correct about grand juries

"You cant read that (the impaneling of a grand jury necessarily) means that indictments are going to follow."

Adam Schiff

U.S. Rep, D-Calif.

CNN

Sunday, August 6, 2017

2017-08-06

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Does Mueller's grand jury mean an indictment is imminent? - PolitiFact

Erdogan accuses Israel of violating democratic rights over …

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan slammed Israel over its implementation of extra security measures in Jerusalem. He called on the Jewish state on Sunday to observe "basic human rights values" following the clashes between Israeli security forces and Palestinian rioters over Israel's decision to place metal detectors at the entrance to the Temple Mount complex.

The Turkish president didn't stop there. "I condemn Israel's insistence on disregarding all warnings to maintain its position," he said. "It is unacceptable that Israel shut down Haram al-Sharif three days and imposed new restrictions, including metal detectors, on Muslims' entry to the area," he charged.

Erdogan notedly referred to the Temple Mount as 'Haram al-Sharif,' the name Muslims call the Temple Mount by.

"Metal detectors and other restrictions must be lifted immediately and the current status quo must be restored," he pressed on.

Erdogan spoke at a press conference held at the Istanbul Ataturk Airport where he was embarking on his trip to Saudi Arabia, Quait and Qatar in order to attempt to help solve the Gulf countries' rift with Doha.

Israeli security forces should refrain from using violence and act according to international law and humane values, he stressed while talking to the press there.

The Turkish president also expressed his wish for the world to take the Palestinian side in this current issue of contention between the two parties. "I call on the international community to take action in order to ensure that all restrictions on the freedom of worship at Haram al-Sharif be removed immediately," he continued, implying that the placing of the metal detectors was infringing on worshipers' basic democratic rights.

Turkey's Prime Minister Binali Yldrm also spoke out, calling on Israeli authorities to renege on their "unacceptable behavior including hurting the Al-Aksa mosque." Taking to Twitter, he emphasized that "terror has no religion, language or nationality, and it hurts all of humanity." The Turkish premier also said that Ankara "rejects Israel's excuses [about] closing the Al-Aksa mosque to Muslims."

Yldrm called on the Israeli government to "take into account that sensitivity of the Islamic world to this issue, and go back on the mistake it made in the fastest manner possible."

At the same time, he made sure to condemn attacks on synagogues in his country, and said that Muslims have been living alongside Jews in Turkey for hundreds of years. "Jews make up an important factor in Turkey's culture richness," he said and called on demonstrators to be "more moderate and not to attack places of prayers."

Erdogan had already spoken to Israeli President Reuven Rivlin, asking him to act for the removal of the metal detectors, but since their conversation last week the clashes have intensified. On Friday night, a 19-year-old Palestinian terrorist entered the home of an Israeli family in the West Bank community of Neveah Tzuf (Halamish) and stabbed to death three of the family members: 70-year-old Yosef Salomon and his two children, 46-year-old Chaya and 36-year-old Elad, who was a father of five.

Earlier in the day, three Palestinian demonstrators found their deaths in the mass protests which saw security forces and rioters face off for hours.

Israel had decided to introduce the new security measures after two Israeli policemen were killed by three Muslim terrorists ten days ago. The assailants fled into the Muslim structures within the complex, and after police conducted a thorough search of the area multiple weapons surfaced, indicating that other potential perpetrators had been stashing them in preparation to carry out further attacks.

While the metal detectors remain in place, top Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have said in the past couple of days that the country was considering alternative security options in the wake of the unabating tensions surrounding the issue.

Yasser Okbi contributed to this report.

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Erdogan accuses Israel of violating democratic rights over ...

Turkey’s Great Terror – The Nation.

Journalists and activists in Istanbul protest the trial of opposition journalists accused of aiding terror. July 28, 2017. (AP Photo / Emrah Gurel)

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Turkeys megalomaniacal president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has turned his once-promising developing country into a gulag state. The mechanism by which the increasingly one-party government has accomplished this Stalinization of the country is the tagging of millions of Turkish citizens as terrorists. The charge is unrelated to any actual act of terrorism. Erdogan has made them the political equivalent of ritually impure, branded as outcasts because they associated with other outcasts. Erdogans anti-terror net has now swept up the German government of Chancellor Angela Merkel, the US Pentagon, and even Amnesty International.

Erdogan focuses in his speeches on two btes noires, the neo-fundamentalist Muslim Gulen movement and the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK). He has legitimate grievances against leaders of both groups, but he has gone much further, tarring ordinary Gulenists and Kurds, as well as anyone who stands up for their civil rights, as terrorists. Moreover, Erdogan himself allied with the Gulen organization in the early 2000s, forming a united front of modernist, pro-Islam groups to challenge the top-down secularism of Turkeys old 20th-century elite. If the Gulenists are really so universally wicked, surely Erdogan himself should resign over one of the great instances of poor political judgment in our new century.

In late July, UK Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson protested to Turkey over its arrest of the chair and the director of Amnesty International Turkey, Idil Eser and Taner Kili, respectively. Human-rights activism, in other words, is in Erdogans Turkey a form of material support for terrorism.

Turkey has given Germany dossiers on 4,500 Turks in the latter country it wants arrested, and is angry that the Merkel government does not agree that people may be made taboo by fiat despite having not actually committed a crime. Nor will the German police stop Turkish Kurds from rallying to protest Erdogans scorched-earth tactics in the villages of eastern Anatolia. Erdogan lashed out at German officials again this week, accusing them of abetting terrorism. Many German parliamentarians are convinced that Turkeys prospects for ever joining the European Union, slim to begin with, have been ended by Erdogans authoritarianism. They are increasingly unhappy that it is a full member of NATO.

Because the Pentagon has allied with left-wing Syrian Kurds, whom Erdogan sees as linked to the PKK guerrillas, it has been thunderously denounced by Turkish government officials as supporting terrorism.

Ankara certainly is not acting very much like a NATO ally with regard to US efforts against ISIL (the Islamic State, ISIS, or Daesh) in Syria. Because the Pentagon has allied with left-wing Syrian Kurds, whom Erdogan sees as linked to the PKK, it has been thunderously denounced by Turkish government officials as supporting terrorism. Turkey itself has offered little help to the United States in rolling up ISIL.

Because the charge of supporting terrorism only requires standing up for the basic human rights of outcast groups, secular intellectuals inside Turkey have also been prosecuted by Erdogans allies. The opposition newspaper Cumhuriyet (The Republic) has been a thorn in Erdogans side for reporting on rights abuses, and therefore 19 of its journalists were charged with abetting terrorism last fall. All but four have now been acquitted by the courts. Last month, even faculty at the staunchly secularist Bogazici (Bosphorus) University in Istanbul were arrested on implausible charges of Gulenist sympathies. Their actual infraction may have been to use the local smartphone security app, ByLock, which Turkish cyber-police associate with plotting terrorism. Internet privacy applications have been banned by the increasingly Orwellian Turkish state.

Erdogan saw the attempted coup of July 15, 2016, as a conspiracy centrally directed by Fethullah Gulen, the leader of the secretive Hizmet organization. Gulen was granted asylum in the United States in the late 1990s, when mixing religion and politics had been criminalized by the secularists then in control of Turkey. Because Erdogan and the Gulenists were for so long political allies, and because Turkey still has something of a spoils system, the Gulenists appear to have seeded members throughout the government, in the police, the judiciary, the universities, and the army.

Beginning in 2013, Gulenist moles in the government began attempting to destroy Erdogan politically by leaking damning conversations they managed to record, one of him directing his son to get large amounts of cash out of their home in advance of a corruption probe. Erdogan told his constituency that the leaks were fake news, and suffered no fall in popularity. He clearly began fearing that his Gulenist partners, having jointly come to power with him, were plotting to sideline his Justice and Development Party (AKP) and take over the government. From his point of view, the attempted coup was the culmination of this plot.

Erdogans hold on power had been challenged by another political grouping, this one center-left, from the 2015 elections. The pro-Kurdish Peoples Democratic Party (HDP) put up an unexpectedly good showing in June of that year, gaining 13 percent of the seats in Parliament. Its leaders campaigned on multiculturalism, womens and gay rights, and minority rights. The some 20 percent of the Turkish population that is of Kurdish heritage is politically diverse. Some are conservative Muslims and had voted for Erdogan. Others are on the left. The HDP appears to have attracted votes from even conservative Kurds, much reducing the percentage of seats Erdogans AKP gained, to 40 percent.

Erdogan has made simply being pro-Kurdish a crime, trumping up cases against HDP members, even parliamentarians, on grounds of supporting the PKK.

Since Erdogan had hoped his AKP would gain an absolute majority in Parliament to amend the Constitution and move to an imperial presidency, the rise of the HDP proved extremely inconvenient. He was handed a gift in the summer of 2015, however, by the radical Kurdish guerrilla movement, the PKK, which may also have been alarmed at the rise of a moderate party that appealed to Kurds. The PKK went on a rampage, attacking Turkish soldiers and police.

Erdogan responded by breaking off peace talks with the PKK and deploying the military against Kurdish populations suspected of supporting them. When snap elections were called for November 1, 2015, because of a hung parliament, Erdogans AKP recovered enough ground, with 50 percent of seats, to form a government on its own, and the HDP was reduced to 10 percent of seats.

Erdogan then made simply being pro-Kurdish a crime, and gradually moved on HDP members, even on parliamentarians, trumping up cases against them on grounds of supporting the PKK guerrilla organization. The HDP had consistently stood against guerrilla violence of that sort; nevertheless, their MPs have gradually been stripped of their parliamentary seats and their leaders jailed. With each HDP MP removed, Erdogans majority in Parliament is strengthened.

While the Gulenists may or may not be a cult, as Erdogan now alleges, if any individual among them has not committed a crime, it is a violation of their rights to deprive them of employment or imprison them for thought crimes.

After the failed coup, Erdogan went on an Egypt-style binge of firings and arrests, jailing some 50,000 people and firing 150,000 government employees on grounds that they were linked to the Gulenists. Universities founded by the Gulenists were abruptly shuttered, leaving thousands of students without a degree. While prosecuting the coup plotters is legitimate, obviously 200,000 Turks did not conspire to overthrow the government last summer. And while the Gulenists may or may not be a cult, as Erdogan now alleges, if any individual among them has not committed a crime, it is a violation of their rights to deprive them of employment or imprison them for thought crimes. What Erdogan has done is the equivalent of the Republican Party in the United States, having gained power by allying with evangelicals, abruptly declaring all Southern Baptists to be terrorists.

Erdogan came to power through democratic means, but he does not believe in an ongoing civil societybased democracy. He thinks of the government as an elective dictatorship, in which voters are offered a choice, say, every few years, but after which they should sit down and shut up. He has connived at maintaining an electoral majority comprising the Muslim middle classes in Anatolia and some urban right-wing secular Turkish nationalists. Erdogans government had been moving in the direction of a persecuting state for years before the bungled 2016 coup gave him the perfect pretext to jail tens of thousands of critics, close down newspapers and universities, and intimidate the country into silence. Turkey has become an object lesson for anyone in democratic societies. When you hear a government official shouting the phrase war on terror, be afraid. Be very afraid.

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Turkey's Great Terror - The Nation.