Archive for June, 2017

Post-Brexit, Europeans More Favorable Toward EU – Pew Research Center’s Global Attitudes Project

June 15, 2017

But many back empowering national governments on migration and trade, and they want their own vote on EU membership

By Bruce Stokes, Richard Wike and Dorothy Manevich

(Michal Fludra/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Recent years have seen turbulent shifts in public attitudes toward the European Union. Down just a year ago, before the Brexit vote in the United Kingdom, public sentiment about the European project has rebounded. Even British voters, who narrowly elected to withdraw from the EU, have markedly improved their views of the Brussels-based institution.

But while few citizens on the European continent are eager to see their own country depart the EU, many want the chance to have their voice heard through their own referendum on EU membership. Moreover, frustrations with Brussels remain when it comes to economic management and dealing with the refugee issue. Asked whether they would like their national government to make decisions about the movement of people into their country and trade with other nations, roughly half or more across the countries surveyed answer, Yes.

These are some of the key findings from a new Pew Research Center survey, conducted among 9,935 respondents in France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom from March 2 to April 17, 2017. Together, these 10 European Union member states account for roughly 80% of the EU population and 84% of the EU economy.

When asked about the ramifications of the UKs impending exit from the EU, publics in other member states generally agree that the British departure will be bad for the EU. They are less certain what Brexit will mean for the UK.

A median of just 18% in the nine continental EU nations surveyed want their own country to leave the EU. Greece and Italy are home to the largest support for exit, but even in these countries more than half want to remain a part of the European project.

That does not necessarily mean these publics are satisfied with the current state of affairs in Europe. Perhaps reflecting frustrations with whether their voices and concerns count in Brussels, a median of 53% across the nine European countries, excluding the UK, support having their own national referendums on continued EU membership. (For more on Europeans views on their voices being heard, see the Centers 2014 survey A Fragile Rebound for EU Image on Eve of European Parliament Elections.)

In addition, many want national governments, rather than Brussels, to control future migration both from outside the EU (a median of 74% across the nine continental European nations polled) and within the EU (a median of 66%). Moreover, a median of 51% prefer that their own governments, not Brussels, negotiate future trade agreements with the rest of the world.

With Brexit looming, Germanys influence in the EU is likely to grow. While Europeans have an overwhelmingly favorable view of Germany, a plurality (a median of 49%) believes Berlin has too much influence when it comes to decision-making in the EU.

Even as many Europeans want key powers to be transferred from Brussels to national capitals, local politics are far from stable. The past year has seen close, contentious elections in a number of EU member states, as well as newer political movements and parties outperforming established organizations. Overall, few political parties enjoy broad popular support. The survey asked about a total of 42 parties across the nations polled, and only five of those parties received a positive rating: two in Germany (the Social Democrats and Christian Democrats), two in the Netherlands (the Peoples Party and the Socialists) and the Swedish Social Democratic Party. Ratings are especially grim in Greece, where no party is seen favorably by even a quarter of the public. Parties on the far right such as Frances National Front and the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) generally get relatively low ratings.

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Post-Brexit, Europeans More Favorable Toward EU - Pew Research Center's Global Attitudes Project

Brexit talks to start Monday – POLITICO.eu

European Union's chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier | Olivier Hoslet/EPA

The top EU and UK negotiators will begin as scheduled in Brussels, despite British political turmoil.

By Florian Eder

6/15/17, 3:37 PM CET

Updated 6/16/17, 3:04 PM CET

U.K. Brexit SecretaryDavid Davis and the EUs chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier agreed on Thursday that talks on Britains departure from the European Union will begin on schedule on Monday June 19, two EU sources familiar with the mattertoldPOLITICO.

TheU.K. government and the European Commission confirmed the start date, with the Brits saying the talks would be led by Davis.

The agenda for Mondays talks is yet to be finalized, according to an EU source familiar with the preparations. The meeting is scheduled to run from 11 a.m. to 6 p.m. Brussels time, of course, the source said.

Barnier will speak English but wants the option ofswitching toFrench, so translation will be provided, the source said.

The timetable for the talksgetting started had been thrown into doubt by last weeks election setback for U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May. Her Conservative Party lost its parliamentary majority in a snap election that she had called to seek a stronger mandate for the Brexit negotiations.

However, British officials have insisted since the vote that they would stick to the timetable, which would enable May to attend asummit of EU leaders next Thursday and Friday with the negotiations already under way. Brexit is on the agenda of the summit, as well as the agenda of ministerial meetings earlier in the week to prepare for leaders talks.

Confirmation that the negotiations will start on time came as the EUs deputy Brexit negotiator Sabine Weyand held talks with U.K. officials in Brussels on Thursday a meeting described by a European Commission official as talks about talks.

Mays EU adviserOliver Robbins was in Brussels on Monday for a working lunch with theEUs chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier.

However, further details about the talks were thin on the ground.

At a high-level panel discussion on Brexit at the 2017 Prague European Summit,Stefaan De Rynck, an official in the European Commissions Brexit negotiation team, noted that in Barnier the EU has a stable, mandated, accountable chief negotiator. It was unclear if the use of the word stable was a dig at Theresa May, whose campaign mantrawas strong and stable.

De Rynck, in response to a question, said he did not yet see any need to lower the political temperature around the talks. On the EU side, he said, Were going to be rational about this, cool-headed, trying to find the common interests and see where the differences lie.

Martin Povejil, the Czech Republics ambassador to the EU, who also sat on the panel, said the EU was ready to talk. And while Brexit posed many challenging issues, Povejil said he expected the EU27 to remain unified on the most fundamental positions. Indivisibility of the four freedoms, Povejil said. If we stick to that, we are on the same side.

European Commission First President Frans Timmermans told the Prague eventthat the EU would be happy to see the U.K. change its mind and stay in the bloc. Asked if he supportedstatements by French President Emmanuel Macron and German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schuble that the EUs door remained open, Timmermans said: By all means; we didnt ask the U.K. to leave.

David Herszenhorn, Quentin Aris and Tom McTague contributed to this article.

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Brexit talks to start Monday - POLITICO.eu

Petraeus: We went to Afghanistan for a reason, and we need to stay … – PBS NewsHour

JUDY WOODRUFF: Wars in Afghanistan, Syria, and Iraq, tensions within the Gulf states, and a new administration trying to manage an exploding region, all topics for retired General David Petraeus.

He commanded American and coalition forces in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and served as overall commander of U.S. military operations in the Middle East. He later served as director of the CIA in 2011 and 2012. Hes now with a global investment firm.

We spoke a short time ago.

And I started by asking him about reports that the Trump administration will soon send 4,000 additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan, and whether he thinks it is a smart move.

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS (RET.), Former Commander, Multi-National Force Iraq: I think it is, and its heartening.

I think what we need to get to in Afghanistan is a sustainable, measuring the expenditure of blood and treasure, a sustainable, sustained commitment. We need to recognize that we went there for a reason and we stayed for a reason, to ensure that Afghanistan is not once again a sanctuary for al-Qaida or other transnational extremists, the way it was when the 9/11 attacks were planned there.

Thats why we need to stay. We also have a very useful platform there for the regional counterterrorist effort. And, of course, we have greatly reduced the capabilities of al-Qaidas senior leaders in that region, including, of course, taking out Osama bin Laden.

But this is a generational struggle. This is not something that is going to be won in a few years. Were not going to take a hill, plant a flag, go home to a victory parade. And we need to be there for the long haul, but in a way that is, again, sustainable.

We have been in Korea for 65-plus years because there is an important national interest for that. We were in Europe for a very long period of time, still there, of course, and actually with a renewed emphasis now, given Russias aggressive actions.

And I think thats the way we need to approach this. Now, to be sure, the forces

(CROSSTALK)

JUDY WOODRUFF: Are you saying we may need to stay in Afghanistan 60, 70, 80 years?

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: I wouldnt say 60, but I think we shouldnt approach this as a year-on-year mission.

I think that was actually harmful. I think it gave all of the Afghan leaders and so forth were basically get the jitters. Those who are investing money consider every year whether to keep it there or whether to go to Dubai.

I think this is an important interest, and I think we ought to have a sustained commitment, but at a level that is sustainable. And I think a few more, 3,000 to 5,000 more troops, are very sustainable, but also we should relax the remaining restrictions on the use of our airpower to support our Afghan partners who have shown that they are willing to fight and die for their country against al-Qaida, the insurgents of various types and so forth.

JUDY WOODRUFF: But, of course, the reason Im asking, as Americans look at Afghanistan, you say we may need to stay decades and decades. We have been there, the United States, 15 years. At times, we have had over 100,000 U.S. troops there. That didnt turn back the Taliban. Why should 3,000 or 4,000?

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: It did actually turn back the Taliban.

You will remember I was the commander.

JUDY WOODRUFF: But not permanently.

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: Not permanently.

As I said, we are not going to permanently win this. Keep in mind, theres a huge difference between Afghanistan and even Iraq when we did the surge there. You cant pressure the leaders of the Afghan Taliban, the Haqqani Network, and even some of the other insurgent groups, because theyre out of our reach. Theyre in sanctuaries inside Pakistan.

And, indeed, there should be a regional effort there to try to get our Pakistani partners to do more to deny this sanctuary to those elements that are making life so difficult for Afghans and the Afghan government.

JUDY WOODRUFF: The other comment being made, General Petraeus, though, is that the administration has not laid out what its strategy is for Afghanistan. General Mattis himself said this week, were still working on it.

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: They are.

And, indeed, I understand there have been a number of meetings at the principals level and so forth. The national security team is working on that. I do think you can anticipate an integrated strategy.

Again, the troops are just a part of this. Theyre an important part, because, without them, without halting the erosion of security that has characterized Afghanistan over the last year or more, then youre going to have a serious problem on your hands.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Lets talk about ISIS in Syria you mentioned Syria and in Iraq. We are told progress is being made against ISIS on the battlefield, but the coalition airstrikes, we are now told, these Strikes are resulting in hundreds and hundreds of civilian deaths.

Is that the price that Americans should be prepared to pay to get ahead of ISIS?

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: We should absolutely minimize the civilian deaths, and theres no question that there will be more of these. This does happen in wartime.

There will be far fewer than certainly what the extremists, these very barbaric Islamic State forces, have done. But this is an enemy thats literally sheltering among the civilians. Thats whats making it so difficult to take this last remnant of the Islamic State in Mosul.

This is now old Mosul, the Old City. And, remember, I spent a year there as a two-star when we were in charge of Northern Iraq with the 101st Airborne. Its a rabbits warren. Its very tight. Its very difficult.

And the enemy has literally just literally barricaded itself in there with snipers, with suicide bombers, with explosives, rooms and houses rigged, surrounding themselves with civilians. And this is the most diabolically difficult challenge, even for the very skilled counterterrorism forces of the Iraqi army.

Thats whats really slowed this down. We can expect some of that in Raqqa. That operation has now began in Syria. That was until recently presumably the Islamic State headquarters. There are reports that some of these leaders have already led and moved town the Euphrates River Valley further to Deir el-Zour.

Thats going to be a tough fight, but its a much smaller city compared to the two million, lets say, of probably a quarter or less the size of Mosul.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Im moving us through some very difficult areas very quickly, but I now want to turn now to Saudi Arabia, the Gulf nations.

President Trump was there just very recently trying to put present a united front with the Saudis and these other countries, mainly against Iran, but it turns out they are they have turned against Qatar, and the president has signaled that he has problems with Qatars support for terrorist activities.

At the same time, his administration has said, we hope these countries can work together.

What is the strategy, the approach that the United that we should expect, that we should understand as Americans about the administrations policy there?

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: Well, Secretary of State Tillerson is taking charge of this now. Hes trying to get the temperature down some.

Clearly, theres been a frustration that boiled over with the Emiratis, our close partners the Emiratis and the Saudis, against our other close partners the Qataris. Of course, its the Central Command forward headquarters. My forward headquarters is inside outside Doha at Al Udeid Air Base.

They gave us $100 million for that. But I have to say, at times, I went there and said, look, youre giving us all this money for our forward headquarters, and then Al-Jazeera is hammering us every day in the news. There is something not right here.

And similar frustrations have, again, just boiled over, also, the allegations of support of political Islam. You have to understand that, for the Emiratis especially, there is more worry about Muslim Brotherhood kind of activity than there actually is with Iran or even the Islamic State.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed will explain, we can see the extremists, we can see the Iranians. The insidious creep of political Islam is more difficult. And Qatar has allowed the heads of Hamas, Muslim Brothers, other political Islam organizations in the region to locate there.

These are all three our friends, our partners. I hope would be that, in this case, Secretary of State Tillerson can indeed get the temperatures down, get talking going on behind closed doors, rather than out as visibly as it has been, because that makes it very difficult, and you start to back different friends into corners.

But its hard. The United States, in some respects, needs to avoid being engaged in a beauty contest, where we have to say which is the fairest of them all. Thats not fair to us and its not fair to them. And I think that this is resolvable, but its not going to be easy.

JUDY WOODRUFF: General David Petraeus, thank you very much for stopping by.

GEN. DAVID PETRAEUS: Pleasure, as always.

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Petraeus: We went to Afghanistan for a reason, and we need to stay ... - PBS NewsHour

Pakistan reaffirms support for peace, stability in Afghanistan – Pajhwok Afghan News (subscription) (blog)

KABUL (Pajhwok): Pakistan has reaffirmed its commitment for durable peace and stability in Afghanistan, a media report said on Saturday.

Pakistan State and Frontier Regions Minister Abdul Qadir Baloch said his country would extend its full cooperation for peace and stability in Afghanistan, according to radio Pakistan.

The minister also urged Pakistani parliamentarians to support the government on security and peace related issues of Afghanistan.

Relation between the two neighbouring countries remained tense over the issues of terrorism and Pakistans lack of sincerity to lasting peace and stability in Afghanistan.

During recently held Shanghai Cooperation Organisation meeting both, AfghanistanandPakistan agreed on taking action against the terrorist groups that pose threats to the security of the two countries, President Ashraf Ghanis office has said.

Ghani and Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, at a meeting in Astana, also agreed on the formation of a joint working group to address the issue of terrorism, a scourge haunting the region.

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Pakistan reaffirms support for peace, stability in Afghanistan - Pajhwok Afghan News (subscription) (blog)

Iran Bans Zumba, and Its Fans Fume – New York Times


New York Times
Iran Bans Zumba, and Its Fans Fume
New York Times
TEHRAN To those Iranians shaking their hips and backsides to Latin American music during Zumba exercise classes, Iran's Muslim clerics and an American company have the same message: Stop it. It's illegal. The country's Zumba fans, however, are ...

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Iran Bans Zumba, and Its Fans Fume - New York Times