Archive for March, 2017

Hungary Migrant Crisis: ‘The Storm Has Not Yet Passed We Are Under Siege’ – Breitbart News

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Hungary responded to the migrant crisis by erecting strong border fences on its frontiers with Serbia, which is entirely outside the borderless European Union (EU), and Croatia, which is inside the bloc but not yet included in its passport-free Schengen zone.

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The government is now upgrading these defences, which haveslashed illegal migration from the hundreds of thousands to the tens of thousands and saved the country billions of forints. It is also recruitingan extra 3,000 border guards. But the prime minister warned 462 new recruits that we cannot afford to sit back during anoath-taking ceremony on Tuesday.

We have gained time between two major attacks, he declared. The storm has not yet passed, but has only subsided temporarily.

Orbn believes the country must take advantage of the current lull to reinforce its physical defences and bolster its border guard force, sending a clear message to illegal migrants.

If the world sees that we can protect our borders, if they see that the reinforced Hungarian border fence is impenetrable, and that we continue to insist on upholding our laws and we do not waver for a second then nobody will attempt to come to Hungary illegally, he said.

While spokesman Zoltn Kovcshas previouslyassertedthe fences are ultimately protecting the European Union, not Hungary, the prime minister warned that the Central European state should not expect outside support.

We can only rely on ourselves, he said, telling listeners that Brussels bureaucrats would only make our job more difficult.

Orbn contends the migrant crisis will remain on the agenda until people everywhere realise that migration is the Trojan horse of terrorism. He told the recruits they were the defenders of both freedom for Hungarys present and hope for Hungarys future.

We Hungarians want a Europe in which we can live our own Hungarian lives. In the Hungary that we want, security is the foremost concern.

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Hungary Migrant Crisis: 'The Storm Has Not Yet Passed We Are Under Siege' - Breitbart News

How Not To Write About The Migrant Crisis And Changing World Order – Huffington Post India

By sheer chance, or perhaps premeditation, Mohsin Hamid's new novel, Exit West, grapples with two great global catastrophes of our time: the migrant crisis and spread of terror. While both themes have immense dramatic potential, the plot remains disappointingly thin, the central characters just stopping short of coming alive in their full human complexity.

Like Hamid's previous novel, How to Get Filthy Rich in Rising Asia, Exit West is set in an unnamed city in the subcontinent, under siege from an outfit like the Taliban or the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). To curb the people's resistance, the militants indulge in unspeakable atrocities, leaving "bodies hanging from street lamps and billboards like a form of festive seasonal decoration."

Under these inglorious circumstances, Saeed and Nadia meet at an evening school, though they don't fall in love at first sight. Saeed is a sweet-tempered youth, almost docilely good-natured, while Nadia is fiery and rebellious, having left the security of home. Straddling a bike, she drives it across the city wearing a burqa so that men "don't fuck" with her. She smokes pot on her terrace, smuggles Saeed into her flat in a burqa, and has steelier nerves than him in the face of adversity.

READ: Why You Must Read This Novel About Two Girls Who Join The ISIS

But trouble pours into their lives soon. Saeed's mother has her head blown off in a freak gun battle, war breaks out shortly, rations become scarce and the sight of the dead on the streets as common as the living. Desperate for an exit, Saeed and Nadia buy a passage to another country from an agent, though they cannot persuade Saeed's father, broken by grief, to leave with them.

Hamid's writing is spare, unadorned to the point of severity, which may give the impression that one is reading the outline for a novel rather than its fully-fleshed form. He introduces brief digressions perhaps by way of complexity, opening up windows to happenings in other cities of the world in the US, Japan, Australia or Austria though these never add up to a sub-plot. Such fragments fit into the overall design of the dystopia he creates, but don't feel strictly germane to the progression of the master narrative.

The veneer of dystopia Hamid creates is understated, like his language, though its real-life correlation is too horrific for it to go unremarked. When Saeed and Nadia flee their country, like millions of refugees, they don't take a perilous journey by boat or other means rather, they pay the agent to walk through one of the mysterious, but ubiquitous, doors that have popped up in their city. Think of the magical door in Narnia or Alice in Wonderland or even the teleportation scenes in the popular TV series Fringe.

Such doors may be a familiar trope in assembly-line dystopias, but their parallel in the real world in incidents where millions have perished while fleeing oppressive regimes, lost their families or drowned in the seas are too wrenching to be turned into as seamless a transition as Hamid describes.

While Saeed and Nadia struggle to build their lives from scratch in places they find themselves in from the Greek island of Mykonos to the city of London to Marin Country, California their opponents, "the natives", are mostly portrayed in broad strokes, as a conglomerate of evil and desperation.

In The Reluctant Fundamentalist, Hamid had succeeded in conveying the predicament of an outsider in a foreign land with nuance, showing up the politics of everyday life with an acute sensitivity. While he left behind the warmth of humanity in his first novel Moth Smoke, to my mind his best till date, he created a nexus of ideas in his more cerebral later fiction.

In spite of opening Exit West with two characters who absorb the reader's attention, Hamid quickly divests them of their humanity. This is not to say Saeed or Nadia becomes cardboard characters far from it but the spark they ignited in our minds at the start goes off halfway through the reading.

Perhaps this is Hamid's way of signalling their gradual disintegration as the life they had envisioned falls apart, a diminishing of their persons as immigrants in hostile societies. But he is also unable to resist the Dickensian urge to give us a glimpse into their lives years ahead an unfortunate device that heightens the shallowness of his character-building.

(Exit West is published by Hamish Hamilton, hardback, 232 pages, 599.)

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How Not To Write About The Migrant Crisis And Changing World Order - Huffington Post India

Heading off a climate migration crisis in Asia – eco-business.com

Families affected by Typhoon Haiyan in 2013 live in temporary tents. Climate change is set to drive more people from their homes in the future, but the world is ill prepared to deal with climate migrants, say experts. Image: ADB, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Nearly 15 million people worldwideapproximately the population of Cambodiawere forced from their homes in 2015 by weather-related disasters, including violent storms, floods and landslides.

As climate change intensifies, those numbers will rise. Not everyone will end up resettling elsewhere, but a large, undetermined number of displaced people are already becoming environmental migrants, defined by the International Organization for Migration as people who are obliged or choose to leave home due to sudden or progressive environmental changes that adversely affect their lives.

Climate change is one factor in the rising numbers of these displaced people, but the associated crisis is where many of these people live. Up to 650 million people live in areas that will be submerged or exposed to chronic flooding by 2100. The majority of people facing such threats make their home in Asia and the Pacific, the worlds most disaster-prone region, which is acutely exposed to the impacts of climate change.

Sea level rise, one of the most destructive climate change impacts, poses an irreversible threat to coastal communities and island states. Nine of the 10 countries with the largest number of vulnerable people living in low-lying areas are in Asia. In the Pacific, climate change threatens to literally redraw the map.

Entire countries and cultures on the small states in the worlds largest body of water confront an uncertain future. Australian climate researchers have identified five small reef islands in the Solomon Islands that have vanished over the past seven decades, and six other islands that have lost much of their land to the sea.

Receding shorelines have wiped out two villages, forcing residents to higher ground.The isolated nation of Tuvalu, just 2m above sea level, appears to be the country most threatened by climate change. Peak tides have reached as high as 3.4 meters.

The international community has awoken to the human toll of environment-related displacement, and to the likelihood that climate change will exacerbate these conditions. In 2015, governmental delegations from 109 countries endorsed the Nansen Protection Agenda for people displaced by disaster and climate change, and the Platform for Disaster Displacement has been established to implement this agenda.

More than 20 events discussing the link between climate change and migration were held during the COP22 meeting last November in Marrakech, Morocco.

The 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change called for the creation of a task force to develop ways of avoiding or minimizing human displacement caused by climate change. This was a significant advance, and it is important that the task force be formed, funded, and become active as soon as possible.

It has been given less than two years to deliver recommendations applicable at subnational, national, regional, and international levels, and to identify legal, policy and institutional challenges, as well as good practices and lessons learned.

Countries in Asia and the Pacific are already bolstering their defenses against environmental threats, and preparing for displacement in areas that are no longer safe to inhabit. The Peoples Republic of China, Papua New Guinea, and Viet Nam have relocated communities that face flood risks.

Bangladesh, long accustomed to cyclones and extensive flooding, has signed an agreement with the Netherlands to reclaim land by using sediment flowing through the countrys rivers, creating resettlement areas for people displaced by river erosion.

In Mangoroco, a village in Iloilo province in the Philippines, a sea wall built by residents saved many lives when Typhoon Haiyan hit the area in 2013. Kiribati has adopted a migration with dignity policy to create opportunities for those who wish to emigrate abroad now and in the near future.

With planning and investment, some migration can be averted or postponed. In other cases, migration should be promoted as a practical way of adapting before its too late.

A 2012 ADB study recommended that countries conduct national assessments of natural disaster risks, calling for strengthened disaster risk management through better early disaster warning systems and improved design of post-disaster sheltering plans.

Theres also a need for social protection and jobs for those who remain behind in vulnerable areas. Governments can support development initiatives driven by the communities themselves, as well as skills training and alternative livelihood programs.

They can invest in climate-resilient sustainable infrastructure and basic services in migrant-receiving cities, using hazard maps to guide future resettlement plans, and consulting with local communities in the construction of storm-resistant homes.

Environmental migration should be systematically addressed in strategy, policy, and planning documents on climate change, such as nationally determined contributions under the COP process, as well as in country development plans and disaster risk reduction strategies.

With planning and investment, some migration can be averted or postponed. In other cases, migration should be promoted as a practical way of adapting before its too late.

What should be avoided, however, is inertia. Better policies, strong leadership, rigorous scientific research, and international cooperation will help vulnerable communities make informed choices about their future rather than let climate change decide for them.

Bart Edes is Advisor, Sustainable Development and Climate Change Department; Head, Knowledge Sharing and Services Center, Asian Development Bank. This blog first appeared as an article in Asian Geographic magazine and is republished from the ADB blog.

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Heading off a climate migration crisis in Asia - eco-business.com

A new theory for the productivity slowdown illegal immigrants – MarketWatch

An extended family of eight from Colombia speak with Royal Canadian Mounted Police officers after they illegally crossed the U.S.-Canada border near Hemmingford Quebec.

All sorts of reasons have been trotted out to explain why U.S. productivity growth has slowed so markedly, from mismeasurement to stalling innovation to weak capital investment.

Oxford Economics has a new research note adding another theory: unauthorized workers.

They say that up to 15% of the 2 percentage point slowdown in productivity growth can be attributed to illegal immigration.

Also read: U.S. productivity still worst in five years despite better showing from manufacturing

By their numbers, which rely on data from the Labor Department and a survey from Pew Research, there are just over 11 million illegal immigrants in the U.S., of which 8 million are in the workforce, or 5% of the total U.S. workforce.

They then adjusted the productivity growth numbers for a larger workforce.

The research note does point out that theyre assuming illegal immigrants arent captured in official employment statistics. Thats not necessarily the case the Bureau of Labor Statistics acknowledges the household survey does include some illegal immigrants, so the question is the degree to which it does.

Furthermore, the Pew data suggest the number of illegal immigrants in the labor force has stabilized in recent years. And yet, the productivity slowdown has been more notable recently. Which means that even if Oxford Economics is right, there have to be other factors in play for why productivity growth has slowed.

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A new theory for the productivity slowdown illegal immigrants - MarketWatch

How America’s idea of illegal immigration doesn’t always match reality – Minnesota Public Radio News

When you think of illegal immigration in the U.S., do you picture a border crosser or a visa overstayer? A family or a single person? A farmworker or a waiter?

People living in the U.S. without legal status are frequently invoked in American politics especially in recent months. But the conversation is often short on facts about the millions of people who fall into this category.

There are, however, outdated beliefs: A Pew Research Center survey in 2015 found that very few Americans are aware of recent changes in immigration patterns.

And, of course, there are stereotypes, which often don't always match up with reality. Most people in the U.S. illegally have been here for years, for instance, and people working service jobs far outnumber migrant farm labor.

Here's a look at the actual statistics about people living in the U.S. illegally.

We should note that there are a few caveats about this data. Different research groups use different methodologies, and in some cases, they rely on estimates. We've included links to all our data sources so you can read about their methods in more detail.

There are far more naturalized citizens than unauthorized immigrants in the U.S., and slightly more green card holders, according to the Pew Research Center.

The total number of people living in the country illegally about 11 million has made headlines recently, because immigration advocates suggest that under the Trump administration's immigration enforcement policies, almost all of them could be targeted for deportation. (More than 700,000 "DREAMers" immigrants who were brought into the U.S. illegally or overstayed their visas as children are still temporarily protected from deportation through the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, or DACA, program.)

A large majority of those people currently living in the U.S. illegally have been here for a decade or longer, which is a major shift from the situation at the turn of the millennium.

About two-thirds of unauthorized immigrants have lived in the U.S. for 10 years or more, Pew says. Only 14 percent arrived within the past five years.

In the late 1990s, the number of new arrivals was far higher, and the share of longtime residents far lower.

Mexico is "the leading nation of origin for U.S. unauthorized immigrants," Pew writes, but the share of immigrants from Mexico is also declining.

That is to say, Mexican immigrants are a shrinking majority of the population living in the country through illegal immigration.

Of people living in the U.S. illegally, more than half are from Mexico. The population from that one country far outnumbers the population from entire continents. But there are fewer people of Mexican origin living in the U.S. now than there were a decade ago.

You can see the trend lines clearly if you look just at people arriving in the U.S. illegally, instead of the millions who live here. The percentage arriving from Mexico has dropped markedly, while more immigrants are coming from Africa, Central America and Asia.

The reasons for the shifting immigration patterns are complex. For Central American immigrants, conflicts in their home countries certainly play a role. The Migration Policy Institute suggests that there might be similar reasons for increased migration from Asia and Africa.

"As European countries have tightened migration restrictions after record inflows of asylum seekers and migrants in 2015, some Africans and Asians fleeing conflict and poverty appear to be flying to Latin American countries with relatively lenient visa policies, such as Ecuador, Brazil, and Cuba, then turning to established regional migration networks," the Migration Policy Institute writes.

The Department of Homeland Security has estimated that as of Jan. 4, 2016, about 416,500 people overstayed their visas in fiscal year 2015. That's less than 1 percent of visa holders who entered the U.S. during that period.

Still, it's unclear how many visa overstayers make up the total number of unauthorized immigrants. A Pew estimate from 2006 says it could be as high as 45 percent. A recent study by the Center for Migration Studies estimates that two-thirds of those who joined the unauthorized immigrant population in 2014 were visa overstayers.

Why's it so hard to nail down the details? In part, it's because the data released last year are the first numbers on visa overstays that the government has released in more than two decades.

Federal law requires the Department of Homeland Security to report how many people come into the U.S. and stay after their visas expire. But the government has been having trouble collecting that data for years, as a study by the U.S. Government Accountability Office found.

The way airports and other ports of entry are currently set up makes it difficult to keep track of when a traveler leaves the U.S. The department has been piloting new programs to identify airport travelers by scanning their faces and irises.

Without historical data, it's hard to measure trends. But the estimates for fiscal year 2015 do show that Canadians made up the majority of visa overstays.

If you're a person living in the U.S. illegally, odds are you can be found in one of a few big cities and their surrounding suburbs.

Sixty-one percent of this population lives in 20 metropolitan areas, such as New York, Los Angeles and Houston, Pew reports. That's very different from the stats for the U.S. as a whole just 36 percent of the overall population live in those areas.

But "metropolitan" doesn't mean "urban," and most people living there illegally reside in the suburbs instead of the city proper. (The only exception to that rule is Phoenix.)

That can pose a challenge for city governments that want to take a stand on immigration issues, as NPR's Richard Gonzalez reported last month:

"Many big city mayors have promised to resist President Trump's threat to cut off federal funds to sanctuary cities. But the fact that most of the unauthorized immigrants live outside of city limits might complicate a mayor's ability to protect them, according to William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution.

"He told the Chicago Tribune, 'This may raise questions of whether or not the sanctuary status is an umbrella one that covers the whole region.' "

You probably know that people living in the U.S. without legal status, as well as other immigrants, are a big part of the farm labor force.

That's why the farm industry and farmworkers have been keenly concerned about Trump's rhetoric and policies on immigration.

But there just aren't very many farming jobs in the U.S., overall. So farming is not a common industry for the 11 million -- only 4 percent of people living here illegally work in agriculture.

Far, far more work in service jobs or in construction.

According to the Migration Policy Institute, one-third of people who are age 15 or older and staying in the U.S. without authorization live with at least one child under the age of 18 who is a U.S. citizen. That's far more than the number who live only with noncitizen children that's just 6 percent of the population.

Jennifer Van Hook, a demographer at Penn State University who studies immigration, points out that this statistic shows that deportations affect more than just unauthorized immigrants.

"When these people leave the country, who's going to take care of their children? It's likely that some of those U.S.-born children will be accompanying their parents," she says.

Former President Barack Obama's attempt to temporarily shield these parents of U.S. citizens from deportation through Deferred Action for Parents of Americans and Lawful Permanent Residents also known as DAPA has never been implemented, and the future of the effort is unclear.

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How America's idea of illegal immigration doesn't always match reality - Minnesota Public Radio News