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Robert Pozen: Obama's Proposed Minimum Tax on Foreign Earnings

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Robert Pozen: Obama's Proposed Minimum Tax on Foreign Earnings

Banking sector hits back at critic

"There is no conspiracy between the major banks, smaller banks, building societies and the RBA" ... Steven Munchenberg. Photo: Justin McManus

The Australian banking sector has hit back after an offshore analyst cast doubts on the arguments used by the local sector for justifying lifting mortgage rates independently of the Reserve Bank this month.

The Australian Bankers' Association chief Steven Munchenberg disputed the basis of the analysis that concluded the big four banks enjoyed an oligopoly in the local market, saying there was "no conspiracy" between major banks and lenders in Australia to unfairly lift mortgage costs for Australians.

"There is no conspiracy between the major banks, smaller banks, building societies and the RBA, all of whom say the cost of funding has risen,’’ said Mr Munchenberg.

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Mr Munchenberg's comments follow a scathing analysis from Tokyo-based Societe Generale Asia Pacific head of interest rate strategy Christian Carrillo, who yesterday said it was "almost mathematically impossible" that total funding costs for Australian banks were rising, giving the sector a motive to lift mortgage rates independently of a Reserve Bank this month.

"The claim that the recent increase in mortgage rates is due to higher funding costs is very dubious," said Mr Carillo in a research note. "The mortgage hikes seem aimed at protecting their high profit margins."

Mr Munchenberg also said that Mr Carrillo’s analysis also didn’t take into account moves by smaller banks to lift interest rates this month, despite the RBA keeping rates on hold.

‘‘This doesn't explain why Bendigo and Adelaide Bank, Suncorp and even Greater Heritage Building Society all raised rates independently, citing funding cost issues,’’ he said. Banks also had to offer more competitive rates to attract depositors,  he said.

Mr Munchenberg pointed to Commonwealth Bank’s decision last week to lift interest rates on mortgages by 10 basis points while increasing deposit rates by 20 basis points on six-month term deposits. "Pressure on deposits eased in the first half of last year then grew again as EU crisis deepened and the costs of overseas money went back to GFC levels," he said.

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank raised their standard variable mortgage rate by 15 basis points this month, while Suncorp increased their standard variable rate by 10 basis points.

Australia's major banks - ANZ Bank, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac - have lifted mortgage customers by between 6 and 10 basis point after the RBA shocked the market earlier this month by keeping the cash rate at 4.25 per cent. The banks have insisted that the cost of funds needed to keep lending into the economy were rising, driven in part by the volatility associated with the European debt crisis. The unpopular out-of-cycle rate rises followed announcements of job cuts by ANZ Bank and Westpac, further inflaming opinion about the banks.

In a speech delivered on February 14, RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle said the rising cost of covered bonds by Australian banks is "is broadly comparable to that of recent covered issuance by banks in other jurisdictions where there has been a similar step up in cost."

"In the past few days, there has been a sizeable narrowing of spreads in the secondary market on the domestically issued covered bonds, to around 140 points over swap." 

Despite the variations in funding costs, a number of credit unions have kept mortgage rates steady since the RBA’s decision this month, including Credit Union of Australia, which held the standard variable mortgage rate at 6.72 per cent this month.

The average standard variable mortgage rate by the major banks was 7.3 per cent last week, compared to 7.04 per cent for 56 credit unions analysed by Canstar Cannex.  

czappone@fairfax.com.au

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Banking sector hits back at critic

Banking sector hits back at critics

"There is no conspiracy between the major banks, smaller banks, building societies and the RBA" ... Steven Munchenberg. Photo: Justin McManus

The Australian banking sector has hit back after an offshore analyst cast doubts on the arguments used by the local sector for justifying lifting mortgage rates independently of the Reserve Bank this month.

The Australian Bankers' Association chief Steven Munchenberg disputed the basis of the analysis that concluded the big four banks enjoyed an oligopoly in the local market, saying there was "no conspiracy" between major banks and lenders in Australia to unfairly lift mortgage costs for Australians.

"There is no conspiracy between the major banks, smaller banks, building societies and the RBA, all of whom say the cost of funding has risen,’’ said Mr Munchenberg.

Advertisement: Story continues below

Mr Munchenberg's comments follow a scathing analysis from Tokyo-based Societe Generale Asia Pacific head of interest rate strategy Christian Carrillo, who yesterday said it was "almost mathematically impossible" that total funding costs for Australian banks were rising, giving the sector a motive to lift mortgage rates independently of a Reserve Bank this month.

"The claim that the recent increase in mortgage rates is due to higher funding costs is very dubious," said Mr Carillo in a research note. "The mortgage hikes seem aimed at protecting their high profit margins."

Mr Munchenberg also said that Mr Carrillo’s analysis also didn’t take into account moves by smaller banks to lift interest rates this month, despite the RBA keeping rates on hold.

‘‘This doesn't explain why Bendigo and Adelaide Bank, Suncorp and even Greater Heritage Building Society all raised rates independently, citing funding cost issues,’’ he said. Banks also had to offer more competitive rates to attract depositors,  he said.

Mr Munchenberg pointed to Commonwealth Bank’s decision last week to lift interest rates on mortgages by 10 basis points while increasing deposit rates by 20 basis points on six-month term deposits. "Pressure on deposits eased in the first half of last year then grew again as EU crisis deepened and the costs of overseas money went back to GFC levels," he said.

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank raised their standard variable mortgage rate by 15 basis points this month, while Suncorp increased their standard variable rate by 10 basis points.

Australia's major banks - ANZ Bank, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac - have lifted mortgage customers by between 6 and 10 basis point after the RBA shocked the market earlier this month by keeping the cash rate at 4.25 per cent. The banks have insisted that the cost of funds needed to keep lending into the economy were rising, driven in part by the volatility associated with the European debt crisis. The unpopular out-of-cycle rate rises followed announcements of job cuts by ANZ Bank and Westpac, further inflaming opinion about the banks.

In a speech delivered on February 14, RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle said the rising cost of covered bonds by Australian banks is "is broadly comparable to that of recent covered issuance by banks in other jurisdictions where there has been a similar step up in cost."

"In the past few days, there has been a sizeable narrowing of spreads in the secondary market on the domestically issued covered bonds, to around 140 points over swap." 

Despite the variations in funding costs, a number of credit unions have kept mortgage rates steady since the RBA’s decision this month, including Credit Union of Australia, which held the standard variable mortgage rate at 6.72 per cent this month.

The average standard variable mortgage rate by the major banks was 7.3 per cent last week, compared to 7.04 per cent for 56 credit unions analysed by Canstar Cannex.  

czappone@fairfax.com.au

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Banking sector hits back at critics

Buffet Mischaracterizes Gold’s Bull Market

By Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT

 

Once again, someone famous and once again Warren Buffet is dismissing Gold. In comparing it to the bubbles in housing and Internet stocks, he feels he?ll ultimately be vindicated. In his annual letter to shareholders, Buffet trashed Gold as a bubble that is being driven by fear of other asset classes. He believes that those who buy today only do so because they believe the ?ranks of the fearful will grow.?

 

Fear is a word that is tossed around all too often when ignorant commentators and analysts have to justify a rise in Gold. They can?t say its a bull market. They can?t say its supply and demand. They can?t explain the fundamentals. Fear is an incomplete explanation.

 

Fear should refer to fear or concern about the value of reserve currencies, not other asset classes. This is not rocket science. The developing world understands the value of Gold as various currencies under the weight of financially weak governments lost significant value throughout the 20th Century. Do you think the Pound or the Dollar has a bad track record? Consider the history of currency destruction in Eastern Europe, Latin America and Southeast Asia. It is multiples worse.

 

Generally speaking Buffet is right: stocks or businesses are a better investment than Gold. They make sense. They produce something, they earn profits. They grow. Even considering the survivorship bias, the trend for stocks historically is always higher. Gold is a speculation and always will be. However, Buffet fails to note the long-term cyclicality between stocks and Gold. The inverse relationship is clear and Gold?s time is now.  

 

The current case for Gold is all to simple. The leading nations of the world must monetize current and future debts to prevent a potentially catastrophic deflationary depression. In a debt crisis, currencies lose substantial value. We are in a global debt crisis and ground zero is the developed world.

 

But Gold is a bubble! It?s gone up 10 years in a row and the public is in. Right?

 

Did you know the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1985-1999 only had one year in the red and it was only a decline of 4%? Did you know the global allocation to Gold and gold-related investments is barely more than 1%? Furthermore, if Gold were in a bubble, we wouldn?t be seeing the large cap stocks trading at 12x trailing earnings (see GDX) nor would we see junior exploration companies trading at multi-year lows relative to Gold.

 

Clearly Buffet doesn?t understand Gold. He doesn?t mention its appeal as an inflation hedge or as a currency. He falsely assumes its rise is a result of only wild speculation and a disdain for everything else. He has no idea how under-owned Gold is nor is he aware of the valuations of the shares.  

 

However, you can?t fault his reasoning for wanting to own stocks. He believes he can invest in companies that will benefit from inflation or continue to earn profits that will outpace inflation. He has investments in energy companies and agriculture companies. To some degree, those companies are affected by commodity prices. Why not consider an investment in Silver Wheaton or Franco Nevada? There has to be someone in Buffet?s camp that is intrigued by the precious metals royalty companies. They don?t have mining risk. They earn profits and pay a dividend.

 

In the long run Buffet will be right. Gold and gold shares will probably flame out in spectacular fashion. The public will get killed. However, this is closer to ten years away than one or two years in the future. Many were calling stocks a bubble in 1995. Not 1999. 1995! That was when the bubble was just getting started. The next breakout in the gold equities and the metals themselves will serve as a recognition move to the masses. It will be a springboard to an eventual bubble. This is a very volatile, cyclical sector so one must do Buffet-like due diligence in picking stocks. If you?d be interested in professional guidance in uncovering the best mining stocks for 2012, then we invite you to learn more about our service.

 

Good Luck!

 

Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT

Jordan@TheDailyGold.com

-- Posted Tuesday, 21 February 2012 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com
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Buffet Mischaracterizes Gold’s Bull Market

Getting Familiar with Key Biscayne Real Estate Market to Get the Best Property

In any real estate article, lenders are the most read and mentioned word. But are you really aware of the importance of these people? Do you really know who these people are?

If you are a first time homebuyer in the Key Biscayne real estate market, knowing who you could turn to for financing is very important. To get more familiar with these lenders for your Key Biscayne real estate investment, here are some of the most common types of lender to whom you could apply financing.

Mortgage Brokers

Mortgage brokers are not really the people who can provide you the financing that you need for your Key Biscayne real estate property acquisition. They just act as the middlemen between you, the borrower and the lender, the financer. The best thing when it comes in hiring a mortgage broker is network.

Normally, mortgage broker are associated with huge arsenal of mortgage lenders that can provide you with plenty of loan options that you can choose from. These professionals are also helpful when searching for the best rate. But most of the time broker too does not have your best interest at heart, making it somewhat harder to land the most advantageous mortgage term.

Banks

If you are planning to invest in Key Biscayne real estate and you are looking for a conventional loan, the first institution that you normally think about is those banks within the area. Actually these lenders offer financing that is regulated by the federal and state agencies. Looking for these lenders is not really difficult thing to do since most of them have several branches all over the city.

But on the other hand, negotiating with banks can be tremendously tough especially for first time homebuyer. And since they always protect their interest, you may not be able to get the best term for your loan.

Online lenders

The internet is not just a large pool of information; it is also a home for several lenders. You can also take advantage of several internet lenders to help you search for the most favorable loan rates. But with other real estate activities, research is still the crucial part. With lenders online, the learning curve is exponentially greater than with banks.

Builders

If you prefer a newly constructed Key Biscayne Real Estate property, the home builder may also set-up financing with an affiliate lending company. The risks are the same with others; you may find your best interest unimportant. But of you are first time homebuyer, accepting the lender of your home builder may be the easiest way to qualify for the right financing.

Ella Ayson
Key Biscayne Real Estate

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Getting Familiar with Key Biscayne Real Estate Market to Get the Best Property