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Romney’s Tax-Plan Flim-Flam

Well, it was about perfect, wasn’t it, that Mitt Romney gave his big economic speech before about 1,200 supporters in a 65,000-seat football stadium? Whether the stadium or the speech was emptier is the obvious question of the moment. Pathetic as the pictures of the event were, I’d have to hand the trophy to the speech. Some of Romney’s specifics weren’t as far out there as those of his opponents. His proposed individual marginal tax rates, for example, are radical, but not as radical as those announced by the remaining three other Republican candidates. But his plan is even worse than theirs are in a way that we’ve come to know as typically Romneyesque. He is desperately eager to please the right wing and also to try to seem like the responsible one, but there is no way to do both of things without lying.

First, though, let’s discuss that venue. So a hotel ballroom was oversubscribed. Okay, I know Detroit has been down on its luck for the better part of 40 years, but even so I find it pretty difficult to believe that there is not a venue in the whole metropolitan area that has a capacity somewhere in between the Westin Book Cadillac ballroom’s 1,000 or whatever and Ford Field’s 65,000 (for football; 80,000 for wrestling). The University of Detroit’s basketball teams, for example, must play somewhere. Reports indicate that the Economic Club of Detroit, not the campaign, made the switch. But someone at the campaign said, “Gee, okay!” It’s not a catastrophe, but it is staggeringly stupid. Imagine the field day the right-wing agitprop machine would have had in 2008 with Barack Obama doing something like that. Indeed remember the sport they made of the mere fact of Obama giving a speech in a football stadium, even after he did in fact fill it.

But the deception involved in trying to make 1,200 supporters seem like 80,000 is nothing next to the deception of the plan itself. Romney would lower all six current individual tax brackets by 20 percent. That’s not as drastic as his opponents’ plans. Newt Gingrich, for example, would let any taxpayer choose between paying under the current regime or just paying a 15 percent flat tax. Rick Santorum would have most taxpayers paying just 10 percent. So this is the Romney-the-Reasonable part of the plan. Sticking with six brackets is supposedly meant to signal that he believes in a little stability and is not a loon.

Reducing those rates, of course—along with the reduction of the corporate rate from 35 percent to 25 percent; along with massively increasing Pentagon spending—will reduce revenue. And here’s the catch, via The Wall Street Journal’s write-up. Romney “said Wednesday that as president, he would direct Congress to make up lost revenue from the rate cuts by limiting deductions, mostly for wealthier Americans. Mr. Romney and his aides didn't say which deductions would be targeted.”

Ah! There it is. Deductions? We’ll figure those out later. Listen, I have a new fiscal plan for the Tomasky household that I am announcing today. I’m going to go half-time at the Beast and quit doing all my other work, thereby reducing my income by well more than half. But circumstances dictate that I also need to buy a new car, and a nice car, a Lexus, because this household needs a husband/father who isn’t ashamed to be a Tomasky and is prepared for the future because the roads can get awfully dangerous out there in Montgomery County. How will I pay for it, you ask? Well, first of all, you’re a freedom-hater for even asking the question, and second, I’ll simply cut all other household spending to the bone. I’ll end up revenue neutral, I swear.

Romney’s plan is literally about that serious. He won’t announce which deductions because it’s really hard to go after deductions, and because there is probably not enough money there anyway to make up for the lost revenue. But trust him, it’ll all work out.

And here’s a curious thing. Romney commits a grave error, from the right-wing point of view, in even acknowledging that there is lost revenue. If he’d gone to the Mitch McConnell School of Economics he’d know that cutting tax rates increases revenue. So the really interesting question here is: Why does Romney even bother to acknowledge that there will be lost revenue that will need to be made up?

He acknowledges it because some small but quickly vaporizing part of the man still retains some attenuated grasp of fiscal reality. So rather than tell the balls-out, red-meat lie that reduced rates will raise more revenue, he tells the squishy and weasely lie that he’ll take care of the imbalance at a future unspecified date in some future unspecified way. And that, my friends, is Romney to the core. He thinks he can finesse everything, that he’s much cleverer than he is, that somehow people won’t notice. But no one’s buying his line about the bailout. It’s patent nonsense, and Steve Rattner just demolished it on the Times op-ed page today. Romney also looks a little graceless, by the way, saying that he drives the Mustang and the GM pickup, while his wife drives the Cadillacs, plural. The way he added that after a pause, it reminded me of John McCain not remembering how many houses he owned. But Romney remembers. He just thinks he can bluff it.

He makes me really wonder about the private sector in this country. Did he earn all those millions behaving this way, telling people what they wanted to hear, then maybe doing something else entirely, then saying to them that that was his plan all along, then jovially throwing a colleague under the bus? Don’t answer that question.

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Romney’s Tax-Plan Flim-Flam

Sagar, Runi Murder: Expats, Germans demand fast trial – Video

23-02-2012 19:05 Bangladeshi expatriates living in Germany have demanded swift trial of the killers of journalist couple Sagar Sarowar and Meherun Runi. At a condolence meeting in Bonn on Sunday, Bangladeshis were joined by the Germans in urging the Bangladesh government to ensure a full investigation and justice.

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Sagar, Runi Murder: Expats, Germans demand fast trial - Video

How Expats Should Lead in China – Video

24-02-2012 09:41 Lynn Paine, Harvard Business School professor, offers five rules for western managers operating in the Chinese market.

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How Expats Should Lead in China - Video

8 Ridiculous Tax Loopholes

On paper, the U.S. has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the world. But in practice, corporations pay far less. The Government Accountability Office (PDF) estimated the average tax burden at 25.2 percent, and some of the largest corporations, such as General Electric and Wells Fargo, pay no taxes at all. This is possible because the tax code is riddled with exceptions and loopholes, created at the behest of lobbyists and exploited by teams of tax experts, many of whom used to work for the IRS and the Treasury. With the help of Citizens for Tax Justice, The Daily Beast rounded up some of the most egregious corporate tax loopholes.

Deferral of Overseas Income

Multinational companies don’t have to pay U.S. income taxes on overseas profits until they transfer them back home. But in reality, companies just leave their profits in overseas tax havens, deferring taxes indefinitely. Not only that, an accounting scheme known as “transfer pricing” allows companies to move profits from the U.S. to offshore havens so they’re counted as overseas earnings. For example a pharmaceutical company could sell a drug patent to a subsidiary in the Cayman Islands for a nominal fee, then have the subsidiary charge the parent company huge licensing fees. The company can then deduct the licensing fees from its taxable income in the U.S. and send the profits to its foreign subsidiary, where taxes can be indefinitely deferred. Some 83 percent of top 100 publicly traded companies had tax-haven units in 2009, according to the GAO. General Electric, Google, Pfizer, and many other companies use this technique. The federal government loses an estimated (PDF) $100 billion a year through offshore tax abuses.

Deductions for Shipping Jobs Overseas

At first glance it doesn’t seem particularly egregious that corporations can deduct moving expenses, but that changes when the break is applied to companies moving operations overseas. President Obama proposed ending this exemption for companies moving overseas while giving a credit to companies moving back to the U.S.

The Domestic Production Deduction

This deduction was meant to encourage companies to keep manufacturing operations in the U.S. by allowing them to deduct profits from “qualified production activities.” But by the time the law was enacted, those activities had expanded to include not just manufacturing but everything from oil drilling to filmmaking to real estate. (Obama proposed barring oil and gas companies from using the deduction.) The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities estimated that the deduction cost states $500 million in 2011, and the Congressional Budget Office (PDF) estimates it will cost the federal government $163 billion over the next decade.

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Last-In, First-Out Accounting

Normally when you buy something for $30 and sell it for $50, you have to pay taxes on a $20 profit. But corporations—especially oil companies—manage their accounts differently. They might buy oil for $30 a barrel, and then buy some more for $45 a barrel later in the year. Then when they sell a barrel of oil for $50, they get to assume that they sold the last barrel they bought, the one that cost $45, allowing them to report a profit of $5 instead of $20. Citizens for Tax Justice estimates that the loophole is worth $97 billion over the next 10 years.

Punitive Damages Deduction

When corporations are hit with punitive damages, they’re able to write them off as an “ordinary and necessary” business expense (PDF). Consequently, Exxon’s $1.1 billion Alaska oil spill settlement actually cost the company $524 million after taxes. Obama’s budget proposes to eliminate the deductibility.

Accelerated Depreciation Deduction

This allows companies to deduct for the depreciation of a piece of equipment at a faster rate than it actually takes the equipment to depreciate. Because interest expenses are also deductible, a company can borrow money to buy equipment, deduct both the interest on the debt and the “accelerated” depreciation of the equipment, and claim deductions greater than the profits generated by the investment. It’s one of the loopholes that allow corporations to pay no taxes during profitable years.

The corporate jet deduction became a hot-button issue during the debt-ceiling debate when President Obama used it as leverage against the Republicans. Under the current law, corporations can claim deductions for the depreciation of their jets at a faster rate than commercial airlines can. Closing the loophole wouldn’t save much money—about $4 billion over 10 years—but as a political symbol, it’s invaluable. (For what it’s worth, yacht owners get an accelerated depreciation deduction plus a few more.)

The 71,000-page tax code is full of accelerated-depreciation loopholes for various industries. Along with corporate jets, NASCAR racetrack owners get a special exemption. They can deduct for the depreciation of their tracks over a seven-year period instead of the 39 years the government estimates (PDF) it actually takes them to depreciate. The break was put in place in 2004 but was renewed in the 2008 financial-system bailout known as TARP. It costs the government $40 million a year.

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8 Ridiculous Tax Loopholes

Oil Stocks to Buy if Oil Goes Higher

By ETFStocks.com

In response to Iran launching missiles at the USS New Orleans, the US Navy responded by destroying two Iranian oil platforms in the Rostam oil field. The destroyed platforms were being used as tactical communication relay points, radar tracking stations and as bases of operations for Iranian helicopter and speed boat attacks on maritime shipping in international waters.

Imagine what would happen to oil prices if that were an actual story at the top of all internet news sites?

The truth is that ETF Stocks only changed the name of the US ship. It did happen on Black Monday, October 19, 1987 - a day better known for a notorious stock market crash.

With both sides flicking lit matches at one another, you don’t have to be a fortune-teller to see a similar fire erupting. Although stocks got crushed on that bloody October day, oil barely budged.

While ETF cringe as we type “things are different today”, they truly are. Iran has made it crystal clear that they intend on making oil’s price a weapon if they so much as feel “provoked”. Making good on their threat of closing the Straits of Hormuz could be the FireSteel that sparks oil to record highs. (Oil is already trading at all-time Euro dollar highs.)

Let’s get one thing clear before moving forward, ETF Stocks is not predicting or hoping for any such scenario. Four dollar gas is already too much for us! However, even the vertically challenged can’t overlook the political parallels to 1987. (There are a few other strange coincidences worth noting: the NY Giants won the Super Bowl and the stock market got off to a smoking hot start in ‘87.)

Louis Pasteur said, “Fortune favors the prepared mind.” In this case, prepping for a potential oil price spike could help protect your fortune.

ETF Stocks painstakingly reviewed 100s of oil related stocks and their correlation to oil’s price swings. We wanted to determine which equities are most likely to follow oil’s price movements. Obviously, shares could always decouple from oil, but “what's past is prologue.”

Of course, there is always iPath® S&P GSCI® Crude Oil Total Return Index ETN (OIL). It has stuck to oil’s price like Velcro in the past year; although, it has slightly underperformed oil.

ETF Stocks isn’t into underperformance; that is a commodity that you can overpay for anywhere. Instead, we want companies that run hotter when oil rises, and yet they cool less quickly when crude falls.

The following oil related stocks all trade for more than $10, do more than $500,000 a day in volume, and Wall Street’s consensus recommendation is buy. If history does repeat, most should do well if oil gushes higher.

Company Ticker OIL MACHINERY-SERVICES-DRILLING      Cameron Intl CAM    Core Labs Nv CLB    Dresser-Rand Gp DRC    Dril-Quip Inc DRQ    Gulf Island Fab GIFI    Gulfmark Offshr GLF    Helix Egy Solut HLX    Hornbeck Offshr HOS    Natl Oilwell Vr NOV    Oceaneering Int OII    Seadrill Ltd SDRL OIL-EXPLORATION&PRODUCTION      Anadarko Petrol APC    Concho Resourcs CXO    Contl Resources CLR    Georesources GEOI    Gulfport Engy GPOR    Legacy Reserves LGCY    Lin Energy Llc LINE    Mv Oil Trust MVO    Noble Energy NBL    Oasis Petroleum OAS    Pioneer Nat Res PXD    Plains Expl&Prd PXP    Provident Enrgy PVX    Qr Energy Lp QRE    Rosetta Resrcs ROSE    Sm Energy Co SM    Voc Energy Trst VOC    Wpx Energy Inc WPX OIL-MISC      Calumet Speclty CLMT    Eagle Rock Egy EROC    Energy Xxi Ltd EXXI    Genesis Energy GEL    Targa Resources TRGP OIL-INTEGRATED      Bp Plc BP    Cenovus Energy CVE    Chevron Corp CVX    Conocophillips COP    Exxon Mobil Crp XOM    Statoil Asa-Adr STO OIL&GAS PRODUCTION-PIPELINE      Copano Egy Llc CPNO    Dcp Midstream DPM    Enbridge Egy Pt EEP    Holly Egy Ptnrs HEP    Targa Resources NGLS    Williams Cos WMB

 

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

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Oil Stocks to Buy if Oil Goes Higher