Archive for the ‘Second Amendment’ Category

Supreme Illegitimacy – The Regulatory Review

A terrible trio of Supreme Court cases from last term illustrates the need for judicial reform, which can occur through several options.

In a single week in June 2022, at the close of its last term, the U.S. Supreme Court undermined its own political legitimacy through three decisions: New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, Dobbs v. Jackson Womens Health Organization, and West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency. Each of these decisions strikes at a core justification for any government: the need to protect the lives of its people.

Conservative and liberal political theories of different stripes agree that a foundational purpose of government is to preserve the lives and assure the safety of its citizens. They agree that government is justified by the need to preserve civil order through law, ideally through democratic processes, to protect the unalienable right to life.

Protecting the right to life is a primary justification for the consent of citizens to the authority of government in the social contract tradition of Hobbes, Locke, and Rousseau, which informed revolutions establishing democratic republics in the United States and Europe. Since then, long-standing questions have persisted about whose lives matter and who counts as citizens. A foundational principle, however, remains that government must protect the right to life of its citizens to remain politically legitimate.

For this reason, it is shocking to see the Supreme Court acting contrary to the right to life of millions of Americans with respect to gun safety, reproductive health, and climate damage. The Courts self-inflicted political illegitimacy demands immediate reform.

To begin with some conceptual background, legitimacy is an essentially contested concept in social theory. For purposes here, one can distinguish the following kinds of legitimacy: legal legitimacy, empirical political legitimacy, and substantive political legitimacy.

Legal legitimacy refers to whether the enactment of laws and their application follow agreed standards of rationality and interpretation. The frequent and arbitrary interference of an authoritarian leader in particular cases, for example, would void legal legitimacy.

Empirical political legitimacy refers to whether citizens in a specific government believe law-making and law-applying processes accord with their fundamental values, including, for example, following democratic procedures and trusting judges to act fairly.

Substantive political legitimacy refers to whether a legal and political system adheres to a minimum standard of moral coherence and normative justification of political authority. A regime that deprives a large mass of its citizens of vital rights loses this kind of legitimacy.

Owing to its decisions at the end of its last term, the Supreme Court has lost legitimacy along all three dimensions. Most decisively, the Court has lost its substantive political legitimacy by preventing the government from protecting the right to life of millions of Americans against gun violence, reproductive health risks, and degenerative climate consequences.

My argument that the Court has wrongly decided these cases is not simply a legal or constitutional one. It is an argument based in political and democratic theory that the current Court has lost its substantive political legitimacy, thus mandating its structural reform.

The first instance of the Courts misfiring came in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen. The Court in this case overturned a century-old New York state gun licensing statute through an expansive interpretation of the Second Amendment. In an earlier decision, District of Columbia v. Heller, the Court had previously struck down a law that prohibited the possession of handguns in the home as a violation of the Second Amendment. But in Bruen, the Court went further to require any gun licensing regime to give citizens a right to meet objective criteria to carry a gun in public.

Purportedly grounded in history, Justice Clarence Thomass majority opinion in fact flies in the face of hundreds of years of the government regulating dangerous weapons to keep people safe in their homes, on the streets, in their schools, and in their workplaces. Thomas argues that the Second Amendment enshrines an individual right to carry arms following a tradition going back to the first kings of England. The true history shows a gradual empowering of the state to restrict the public carry of weapons. As one historian explains, Thomass opinion is rambling and adopts an almost childlike caricature of historical method.

More than the bad history and bad law, Bruen is politically illegitimate because of its predictable consequences. It will exacerbate gun violence by impeding federal, state, and local governments from enacting common-sense gun safety regulations to preserve many human lives. Striking down the licensing statute in New York also overturned similar laws in six other states and the District of Columbia, and has thrown into doubt other important gun safety regulations.

The Court has done so at a time when doctors describe gun violence as an epidemic. Justice Stephen Breyers dissent provides the grisly details. Simply reciting the names of places of recent gun massacresPhiladelphia, Uvalde, Buffalo, Atlanta, Dayton, Orlando, Charleston, Aurora, Newtown, and morerecalls a toll of many innocent lives lost, including many children. Since 2010, gun-related deaths have increased more than 44 percent. Gun-related deaths now exceed 45,000 annually, surpassing car accidents as a cause of death. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reports that 48,832 gun deaths in 2021 is the highest number of gun deaths in 30 years.

The Courts majority in Bruen is oblivious to the carnage. Justice Samuel Alito, in a concurring opinion, repeats a gun lobby trope about anecdotal cases of good guys with guns who foil public assaults. But he fails to grapple with the grim nationwide statistics. Studies show that the good guy with a gun is a statistical unicorn.

Bruen compounds the Courts misinterpretation of the Second Amendment in Heller by announcing what is essentially a new constitutional right of vigilantism. The Court refuses to give credence to the post-Heller test developed by eleven Courts of Appeals that balanced the governments interest in preventing gun violence against Second Amendment rights. Last week, a federal judge illustrated the destructive scope of Bruen by striking down provisions of New Yorks post-Bruen gun safety legislation, including the prohibition of guns in sensitive areas such as museums, theaters, stadiums, libraries, bars, and even child care facilities.

No modern government can maintain its political legitimacy without keeping its citizens safe from an epidemic of gun violence. As the philosopher Amanda Greene reasons, legitimacy is not possible while there is open conflict and threat of violence.

If Bruen threatens the safety of all Americans wherever they may go in public, a second legitimacy-shattering decision endangers the lives of many women.

In Dobbs v. Jackson Womens Health Organization, the Court struck down the 50-year old precedent of Roe v. Wade. Whatever one may think of the morality of abortion, the problem for the Courts political legitimacy is that its radical decision will inevitably cause the deaths of many pregnant persons. This choice is ironic, given the Courts intention to protect prenatal life.

The Court heard evidence that reversing Roe and its precedents would cause many deaths from lack of professional medical attention, a return to unclean or improvised abortions, and forcing mothers with serious health risks to give birth. The Courts majority did not care. Justice Alito, writing for the majority, noted impassioned and conflicting arguments about the effects of the abortion right on the lives of women, but then ignored the evidence.

In dissent, Justices Breyer, Sonia Sotomayor, and Elena Kagan observed that Roe and its precedents allowed states to prohibit abortions after fetal viability, so long as the ban contained exceptions to safeguard a womans life or health. Dobbs now frees the states to adopt any legal restriction beginning at conception, including criminal penalties against mothers and doctors. It recognizes no exceptions for pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, nor for fatal birth defects or complications that risk a mothers life.

Speaking plainly, the Court has condemned many women to death. Women who carry a pregnancy to term are 14 times more likely to die than when abortion terminates a pregnancy. They are 75 times more likely to die in Mississippi, the state where Dobbs arose. Moreover, researchers have estimated that a ban on abortions increases maternal mortality by 21 percent, with white women facing a 13 percent increase in maternal mortality while black women face a 33 percent increase. The Courts majority has the blood of these women on its hands.

It is one thing to bestow a new constitutional right. It is quite another to withdraw a preexisting, settled right knowing that the decision will kill many people who have relied on it.

At oral argument, Justice Sotomayor asked: Will this institution survive the stench that this creates in the public perception that the Constitution and its reading are just political acts? I do not see how it is possible. She is right.

Last but not least, the Courts decision in West Virginia v. EPA impedes governmental power to address the most difficult and threatening problem that humanity has ever faced: global climate disruption. Once again, the Court undercuts the ability of government to preserve the right to life of present and, in this case, future generations.

The climate emergency is here. As Justice Kagan observes in her dissenting opinion, many deaths are already occurring from an increasing severity of heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, storms, and floods. By the end of the century, human-caused climate disruption may account for as many as 4.6 million excess yearly deaths. The Courts majority simply shrugs off the scientific facts of these dangers.

The majoritys arrogance in West Virginia is astonishing. It reaches out to review a moot Obama-era Clean Power Plan, and then creates an entirely new major questions doctrine to restrict governmental authority. As Justice Kagan writes, this doctrine appears magically as a get-out-of-text-free card to prevent agencies from doing important work, even though that is what the U.S. Congress directed.

Professor Richard Revesz confirms that the new major questions doctrine announced in West Virginia, and effectively applied in an earlier case National Federation of Independent Business v. Department of Labor, casts an ominous pall over the nations regulatory future. Even though Congress acted in August to re-empower the EPA by adopting a statute overturning the effect of West Virginia with respect to the agencys authority to regulate greenhouse gases, the new major questions doctrine will continue to impede effective climate and other health-related policies.

As in Bruen and Dobbs, the Courts new doctrine announced in West Virginia will kill people. Taken together, the cases count three strikes against the Courts political legitimacy by preventing the political branches from acting to protect the basic right to life of its citizens.

One may also assess the legal legitimacy of these decisions as egregiously wrong. Bruen extends a wrong-headed originalist interpretation of the Second Amendment and adds historical errors. Dobbs lacks any coherent legal analysis on the merits and violates the principle of stare decisis, overturning the 50-year old precedent of Roe as well as the 30-year-old precedent on precedent of Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pennsylvania v. Casey. And West Virginia conjures a brand new major questions doctrine to prune the authority of the administrative state.

My argument here, however, does not focus on the weaknesses in the Courts constitutional interpretation or legal methodology. A deeper, unifying feature of these cases is that they are politically illegitimate because they subvert the governments authority to protect citizens lives with respect to gun violence, reproductive health, and climate damage.

Not surprisingly, these decisions are unpopular with the public, eroding the Courts political empirical legitimacy as well. Public opinion polls show the Court at its lowest approval ratings on record. In the latest Gallup survey, a record low of only 47 percent of Americans say they trust the judicial branch headed by the U.S. Supreme Court. Only 40 percent approve of how the Court is doing its job.

The Courts loss of both substantive and empirical political legitimacy means that the quality assent of citizens needed to justify it has vanished. A major political structural adjustment is therefore required. A Supreme Court that has lost its political legitimacy must be reformed. Otherwise, our government as a whole could lose legitimacy, tilting the political world toward chaos.

Although it is rare, this is not the first time in history that the Court has launched itself into political illegitimacy. And the political branches, Congress and the President, have corrected the Courts course before.

There are two important historical precedents. The first followed the Courts worst decision ever, Dred Scott v. Sandford, which held that no enslaved or free black person had federal constitutional rights. Dred Scott sparked the Civil War, and its breach of legitimacy was repaired only by the recognition of rights in the Thirteenth, Fourteenth, and Fifteenth Amendments, along with the federal civil rights statutes adopted in the 1960s.

Another low moment for the Court occurred when it repeatedly struck down many statutes passed in the early days of President Franklin D. Roosevelts New Deal.

In these previous moments of lost judicial legitimacy, the political branches responded. During the Civil War, Congress increased the number of Supreme Court justices to ten, giving President Abraham Lincoln another appointment, and Congress then reduced the number to seven to prevent President Andrew Johnson from appointing justices to undo Reconstructionwhich, unfortunately, later occurred anyway.

Responding to the Courts evisceration of the New Deal, President Roosevelt threatened to appoint as many as six additional justices, depending on how many sitting justices reached the age of 70. This threat encouraged the switch in time that saved nine when a few justices changed their tune and upheld New Deal legislation.

The United States faces another constitutional legitimation crisis today. Fortunately, there is a menu of choices available to address it. The Presidential Commission on the Supreme Court of the United States issued a report in December 2021 examining options for reform.

In reviewing the options, any reform should meet two conditions. First, statutory interventions rather than constitutional amendments are needed because there is no time for a constitutional amendment. Second, any reform when adopted must dislodge the current majority that is acting illegitimately.

Here are three specific options that could be adopted singly or in combination.

1. Expand the Court to 13 justices. The power of Congress to alter the number of justices on the Court is long established as constitutional. The number of justices has fluctuated historically between a minimum of five and a maximum of ten, and the Commission determined that there is widespread agreement among legal scholars that Congress has the constitutional authority to expand the Courts size. Law professors and former judgesincluding Michael Klarman, Mark Tushnet, Nancy Gertner, and Lawrence Tribesupport expanding the membership of the Court.

Expanding the Court to 13 justices would counter the Machiavellian machinations of Senator Mitch McConnell. As Majority Leader, McConnell refused even to hold hearings on President Barack H. Obamas appointment of Merrick Garland. McConnell later rushed through a confirmation of President Donald J. Trumps appointment of Amy Coney Barrett, thus arguably stealing two appointments for Republicans. Giving President Joseph R. Biden the power to appoint four justices would rebalance the Court to a seven-six Democratic-to-Republican ratio.

Other justifications to expand the Court include increasing the number of justices to handle an increasing workload, returning to a tradition of one justice for each court of appeals, and conforming to the numbers of judges on the highest courts of other democratic governments in the world, which range from seven to 18.

2. Establish 18-year term limits for justices. Federal judges have a constitutional right to lifetime appointment, but this does not mean that Congress cannot set term limits specifically for the Supreme Court. As the Commission on the Supreme Court recognizes, rotation systems are possible. Retroactively imposing an 18-year term limit would require Justice Thomas to retire immediately, Chief Justice John Roberts in 2023, and Justice Alito in 2024.

Two thirds of Americans favor terms limits for the Courts justices, according to a recent poll.

3. Set a mandatory retirement age of 75. Following the same logic that lifetime judicial appointments do not necessarily entail lifetime appointments to the Supreme Court, Congress could set a retirement age of, say, 75. Retired justices could remain active as senior judges by special designation to lower courts or as special masters. Setting a retirement age of 75 would require Justice Thomas to retire next year, Justice Alito in three years, Justice Sotomayor in seven years, and Chief Justice Roberts in eight years.

The Commissions report reviews other alternatives as well, including jurisdiction stripping, a supermajority requirement for constitutional review of statutes, legislative overrides, a mandatory code of judicial ethics, and recusal rules for conflicts of interest. Other creative options include a Supreme Court lottery that entails randomly drawing Supreme Court panels for each case from a pool of all appellate judges, and a balanced bench comprising five justices appointed by Democrats, five by Republicans, and five by the ten politically appointed justices.

One might argue that rejiggering the structure of the Court may also have detrimental consequences for its legitimacy, causing it to become even more political or politicized. The United States, however, stands very far away today from dreams of neutral principles. The Courts illegitimacy has become not just legal or even political; it is now existential.

At a conference last month, Chief Justice Roberts said, I dont understand the connection between opinions that people disagree with and the legitimacy of the Court. He confuses legal legitimacy and political legitimacy. The problem is not just that the Court is getting the law wrong. Worse even than acting as politicians in robes, the Courts current majority is taking an axe to a foundational root of the political legitimacy of government: the power to protect the right to life of its people.

Because the Court has become the most dangerous branch, arrogantly heedless of the human and environmental consequences of the jurisprudence it so ruthlessly imposes, it must be stopped. Congress and the President must determine the exact mode of reform, but some effective change of the Courts structure is essential to restore its political legitimacy.

Eric W. Orts is the Guardsmark Professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

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Supreme Illegitimacy - The Regulatory Review

What is the Second Amendment? | Fox News

The Second Amendment in the Bill of Rights guarantees gun rights for millions of Americans and has contributed to the United States becoming the most heavily armed population in the world.

However, every state interprets the "right to bear arms" and a "well-regulated militia" differently. More recently, Congress passed the most significant gun control bill in 30 years that incentivizes states to enforce more red flag laws and expands background checks for gun owners between 18-21-years-old. The legislation directly results from the Uvalde shooting in Texas that left dozens of children dead.

Although The Supreme Court has thrown out state gun regulations that they view as unconstitutional, like in the recent case of New York, where the Court ruled 6-3 against a law that made it difficult to obtain a concealed carry handgun license. Nevertheless, the Second Amendment is at the center of the gun control debate and is blamed by Democratic politicians for the rise of mass shootings.

The original text of the Second Amendment in the Bill of Rights states, "A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed." The text has been interpreted as the right for individuals to buy and protect themselves with guns. In 2008, the Supreme Court reaffirmed that individuals may use this right for self-defense and other lawful purposes.

The United States has the most heavily armed citizenry in the world. (iStock)

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The Court also ruled state governments, like the federal government, may not infringe upon this right.

Why was the Second Amendment created? In modern times a common belief is that the Second Amendment was made to protect the right of citizens to hunt or defend their homes from unlawful entry. While these are examples of rights the Second Amendment protects, the historical purpose is broader.

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The historical purpose of the Second Amendment, according to constitutional scholars, was to give the citizenry of the newly formed nation the ability to fight against a tyrannical government and defend itself against unlawful violence. This mindset comes from the framers of the Constitution, who had just defeated the British Empire and wanted to ensure a tyrannical government would be less likely in the future.

James Madison, one of the founding fathers and framers of the Constitution, proposed the Second Amendment at the Constitutional Convention because he feared the government could use a centralized military to oppress an unarmed citizenry.

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I Put WordRake’s New Version 4.0 to the Test Against the Supreme Court’s Second Amendment Opinion in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association -…

As reported here yesterday, the legal editing software WordRake released a new version 4.0 that expands its functionality, adds new pricing options for less-frequent users, and introduces a new Simplicity editing mode for simplifying complex language.

With this release, WordRake now has two editing modes: Brevity and Simplicity. You might consider the Brevity mode to be classic WordRake, in that it does what WordRake has always done suggest edits that can make a document more concise.

The new Simplicity mode focuses on making suggestions designed to simplify complex language. It converts jargon, bureaucratic language and difficult words into words that are more familiar, WordRake says.

Read about WordRake in the LawNext Legal Technology Directory.

In previous blog posts, I have tested WordRake by using it to evaluate suggested edits to Supreme Court opinions. To read those previous reviews, see:

WordRake gave me a preview copy of this new version 4.0, so, in keeping with those prior posts, I decided to do the same.

Having recently used a different legal editing software,BriefCatch, on the leaked draft of Justice Samuel Alitos opinion overturning Roe v. Wade(I Ran Justice Alitos Draft Abortion Opinion through the BriefCatch Legal Editing Software. Heres What Happened), I chose another controversial opinion from the courts most-recent term, the Second Amendment case of New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, written by Justice Clarence Thomas.

I downloaded the PDF and converted it to Word, selected WordRakes new Simplicity mode, and hit the Rake button. It took roughly 10 minutes for WordRake to analyze the lengthy opinion (132 pages in Word, including dissents). When it was done, it told me that it had analyzed 2,585 sentences and made 232 suggestions.

In fairness, a Supreme Court opinion may not be the best document for testing the Simplicity mode, as it has most certainly been through multiple rounds of editing and editors before it is released to the public. On the other hand, if an editing program can find ways to clean up a document such as a Supreme Court opinion, imagine what it can do for your brief.

What Simplicity mode found were a number of repetitive and relativity minor editing suggestions. They included, for example:

As you can see, none of the suggestions are particularly substantive, but that may be the point, and it certainly may be due to the nature of the document I analyzed.

As I have previously noted in writing about this and other legal editing programs, users should never blindly accept an editing programs suggestions, as they are sometimes wrong. In the snippet above, for example, the suggested change of possessing a to with a, results in a sentence that makes no sense.

Similarly in this example, the change of methodology to methods changes the meaning to something the author did not intend.

Here is one more example, where WordRake suggests changing the phrase justices of the peace to just the single word justices. The problem, of course, is that these are terms of art that have different meanings.

I also ran the document through the original Brevity mode. This time, it took 11 minutes, and from the 2,585 sentences it analyzed, it made 499 suggestions.

Many of the suggestions in Brevity mode were the same as those in Simplicity mode, such as changing nevertheless to still and the like. A number of other suggestions were to eliminate transitional words and phrases such as moreover or in other words. In other places, it suggested a different transition, such as changing that said to however.

Here again, WordRake made some erroneous suggestions. For one, it recommended changing the phrase, the courts generally proceed to step two, to, the courts generally step two.

If I accepted all of the suggestions in Brevity mode (without regard to whether I should accept them), it reduced the word count from42,448 words to 41,564, or 884 words.

The use of any editing software should be guided by your own editorial judgment. Just because a program says you should do something, that doesnt always mean you should.

That said, my experiences using WordRake suggest that it can be a useful product for honing and editing ones writing. Not only does it provide an extra level of review for your writing, but it can also show you how you can make your writing more concise and direct. Given its affordable cost, and especially with its new monthly pricing, it is worth adding to your toolkit.

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Yale Law Students Must Be Quaking in Their Boots – Bloomberg Law

Ill say this much for US appeals court Judge James Ho: Hes defying the stereotype that Asian Americans are quiet worker bees who fade into the background.

Ho, who sits on the Fifth Circuit, has been throwing himself under klieg lights. I will no longer hire law clerks from Yale Law School, he declared at a Federalist Society conference in Kentucky last week. Ho miffed that the school not only tolerates the cancellation of viewsit actively practices it.

What better way for an up-and-coming judge to get attention than to plunge into Americas culture wars?

Judge Ho certainly comes across as very partisan, said Kermit Roosevelt, a professor at University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School. And the growing numbers of judges like him do suggest that something about the judiciary has changed. My sense is that its a sign of polarization within the elite legal community.

Taking a page from the right-wing handbook, Ho is going to town. I would contend that cancel culture is one of the leading reasons why citizens no longer trust a wide variety of once-leading institutions, he said. It turns out that, when elite institutions make clear that people who think like you and me shouldnt even exist, we return the favor, urging his fellow jurists to join the Yale boycott.

So take that, numero uno law school! Unless you renounce cancel culture, your graduates will go begging for federal clerkships.

Gimme a break.

Perhaps Im underestimating Hos clout, but I cant imagine students turning down coveted seats at the nations most prestigious law school because he put it on his personal blacklist. And what are the odds that other federal judges, even unabashed conservative ones, will trash the resumes of awesome Yalies because of the schools woke reputation?

As for the idea that Yale Law School operates a torture chamber for conservative students, well, the likes of Josh Hawley, J.D. Vance, and Brett Kavanaugh seem to be doing just fine. And lets not forget Stewart Rhodes, the leader of the Oath Keepers, whos also a proud graduatealbeit on trial charged with seditious conspiracy for his role in the Jan. 6 riots.

Judges tend to speak through their opinions, Roosevelt said. Its rare to have judges speak outside the job. ... Its unusual for Ho to suggest a general liberal-conservative conflict and take a side in it.

Whats fueling this polarization is simple, said Saul Cornell, a professor at Fordham University who specializes in legal history: This is part and parcel of the age of Trump.

Indeed, Ho, who was appointed by Trump, has been polishing his act as the cultural warrior judge extraordinaire. In February, at another Federalist Society event, Ho went out of his way to defend libertarian Ilya Shapiro, who got into trouble for using the term lesser black woman to describe President Joe Bidens plan to appoint a Black woman to the Supreme Court.

Though the topic at the event was supposed to be originalism, Ho used the occasion to rail against cancel culture, declaring, I stand with Ilya.

Even as far back as 2018, NPR asked whether Ho in his opinions and dissents was writing legal opinions or political commentary, citing his aggressive rhetoric on abortion, which hes called a moral tragedy, and the Second Amendment, which he claims has been relegated to a second class right.

Ho is a performance artist. It seems hes been trying to break out of the overcrowded pack of ambitious young conservative judges to burnish his brand as the leading firebrand. I couldnt help but wonder if Hos latest outburst was a check on the commotion surrounding Aileen Cannon, the judge in the Mar-a-Lago documents case, whos now creaming him as the most Trumpian of Trump judges.

Hes looking for headlines, Cornell said. Once upon a time, the judiciary was the most trusted branch of the federal government, and now we have these cowards. It used to beduring the William F. Buckley eraconservatives could dish it out as well as take it. Now theyre wimps, yet they call liberals the culture of victimhood.

Ho is exploiting the moment for his own career, but isnt he also wreaking havoc on our trust in the judicial system?

I think that public faith in the judiciary is affected much more by the Supreme Court than by lower judges, Roosevelt said. But Judge Ho doesnt help.

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Yale Law Students Must Be Quaking in Their Boots - Bloomberg Law

John Roberts is the chief. But its Clarence Thomass court. – SCOTUSblog

SCOTUS FOCUS ByJames Romoser on Oct 2, 2022 at 7:00 pm

Justice Clarence Thomas announces an opinion from the bench in 2019. (Art Lien)

When the Supreme Court returns to the bench on Monday for its first oral arguments of the new term, Justice Clarence Thomas almost certainly will ask the first question.

Thomas, who was appointed in 1991, is the courts longest-serving justice and was for many years its most taciturn member. He famously went a decade without asking a single question. But when the court tweaked its argument format during the pandemic, Thomas began speaking up. He now interrogates the lawyers during nearly every case, often marking the terrain on which the case will be fought.

The other justiceshave even agreed to defer to Thomas at the start of each argument before jumping in themselves. The rationale is that Thomas, a stickler for politeness, dislikes interrupting the advocates or his colleagues. But its hard not to view the arrangement as symbolic of Thomass remarkable ascendance. Long considered an outlier on the courts right flank, Thomas is now the intellectual leader of a conservative transformation that the six Republican-appointed justices are ushering into American law.

Few would have predicted it. Perhaps not even Thomas himself. In his second term, he boasted that he was proudly and unapologetically irrelevant and anachronistic. Back then, his commitment to originalism the idea that the Constitutions language should be interpreted solely according to how the words were understood when they were written made him an ideological oddity, even among many conservatives. And his no-compromises approach alienated moderates like former Justice Sandra Day OConnor.

Now, as he enters his 32nd term, his critics surely still see him as anachronistic, but he couldnt be more relevant. Lower courts, elite appellate law firms, and Republican congressional offices are stocked with former Thomas clerks. Under President Donald Trump, no other justice had as many clerks appointed to the federal judiciary or to senior administration positions.

And of course theres his wife, Ginni, who has tried to establish her own sphere of influence. She lobbiedtop Trump officialsandstate lawmakers to overturn the 2020 election an effort that landed her before the Jan. 6 committeeon Thursday. Thomas has stayed mum on his wifes activities, and even the staunchest critics of the Thomases dont expect the revelations about Ginni to erode Clarences influence.

Thats in part because many judges (including several other justices) now consider originalism to bethe default mode of constitutional interpretation, and even non-originalists frequently employ its history-focused methods. Its become commonplace at the Supreme Court to lean on obscure 19th-century documents (evenahistorical ones) and appeal to the nations deep-seated traditions.

To paraphrase Justice Elena Kagan,were all Thomists now.

If the 74-year-old justice is reaping a bounty, its because hes been planting seeds for decades. In particular, three issues have long motivated Thomas above all others. The first is guns. The second is rights. The third is race.

On guns, Thomas pioneered a robust interpretation of the Second Amendment before it became conservative dogma. As a justice, he first floated the idea that the amendment guarantees a personalright (his emphasis) to own firearms ina solo concurrence in 1997. It took 11 years for five justices to adopt that position inDistrict of Columbia v. Heller at least as applied to guns kept in the home. Thomas wasnt satisfied, though. In the years after Heller, he urged the court to take up more gun cases and further expand the amendments scope. When the court turned down those cases, Thomas wrote dissent after dissent, castigating his colleagues for treating the Second Amendment as a constitutional orphan and a disfavored right.

Earlier this year, he finally prevailed. In his majority opinion in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen probably the most important opinion Thomas has ever written he extended the right first recognized in Hellerbeyond the walls of the home, so the Second Amendment now protects individuals who wish to carry concealed handguns in public. Most significantly, he enshrined originalism as the legal test for analyzing gun-control measures. Rather than looking at contemporary evidence about gun violence, courts must now strike down any gun restriction unless an analogous regulation existed centuries ago.

If Thomas rescued gun rights from the constitutional orphanage, there is another, broader class of rights that he believes should be sent there instead: the bundle of substantive-due-process rights that are not explicitly listed in the Constitution but that nonetheless have been deemed fundamental to a free society. Conservatives and liberals largely agree with the premise of substantive due process, though they fiercely disagree on the specific rights that make it up. (Conservatives invoke certain economic rights; liberals invoke the rights to privacy and bodily autonomy.) Thomas, however, rejects the premise altogether. For three decades, he has argued that the whole doctrine is an oxymoron.

InDobbs v. Jackson Womens Health Organization, the court eliminated the most contentious right under substantive due process: the right to obtain an abortion. Justice Samuel Alitos opinion didnt abandon the doctrine altogether. But his history-focused assessment of the right an approach that is textbook Thomas will sharply curtail the doctrine in other areas. And Thomas, in a concurrence, laid the groundwork for overturning the rights to contraception and same-sex marriage.

That leaves the matter of race. Here, too, Thomass views are unorthodox, even when compared with his fellow conservatives. Todays court watchers may be surprised to learn that, as a young man, Thomas was immersed in Black nationalism. The political scientist Corey Robin haspersuasively shownthat Thomass worldview isrooted in that experience. Hegrew up in rural Georgia during Jim Crow, became a self-described radical devotee of Malcolm X, and came to view liberal social policies as white paternalism.

Nowhere is this more apparent than on the issue that likely will define the upcoming Supreme Court term: affirmative action in higher education. Other conservative critics of affirmative action argue that society must transcend race by adopting colorblind policies. And they say the practice is unfair to white students (or Asian American students, as the challengers contend in thetwocases now before the court). Not Thomas. He views affirmative action as a benighted form of racial experimentation perpetrated by the white ruling class against Black people, including himself.

In his 2003 dissent inGrutter v. Bollinger, Thomas accused the courts majority of ignoring growing evidence that racial (and other sorts) of heterogeneity actually impairs learning among black students. The court upheld affirmative action in that case, in a landmark opinion by OConnor. Now, opponents of affirmative action are asking the newly conservative Court to overturn Grutterand effectively outlaw race-conscious admissions nationwide.

The cases will be argued on Halloween, but the courts opinion probably wont drop until the end of the term in June, possibly on its last day. Its most likely author: Clarence Thomas, the justice who now asks all the first questions and, more often than not, gets the last word.

This column was originally published on Sept. 29 in National Journal and is owned by and licensed from National Journal Group LLC.

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John Roberts is the chief. But its Clarence Thomass court. - SCOTUSblog