Archive for the ‘Republicans’ Category

How Much Trump Is Good for the GOP in House Races? – New York Times


Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog)
How Much Trump Is Good for the GOP in House Races?
New York Times
The race between the Republican Karen Handel and the Democrat Jon Ossoff in this reliably Republican district has become a proving ground for the surrogates tasked with defending the party's majority. Both sides together could spend more than $40 ...
Democrats are outspending Republicans in Georgia 6th raceAtlanta Journal Constitution (blog)

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How Much Trump Is Good for the GOP in House Races? - New York Times

Five goals for Republicans this summer – The Hill

Republicans are running out of time to make major legislative achievements before they break for their August recess and President Trumps 200th day in office later that month.

Congress will be in session for just 31 legislative days between now and the end of July, when the five-week recess begins.

Speaker Paul RyanPaul RyanFive goals for Republicans this summer Five tax reform issues dividing Republicans GOP leader tempers ObamaCare expectations MORE (R-Wis.) and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellMitch McConnellTrump calls for end to filibuster Five goals for Republicans this summer GOP leader tempers ObamaCare expectations MORE (R-Ky.) have both put more of an emphasis on the 200-day mark than Trumps first 100 days.

The two want to show that Republican control of Washington is a status quo the voters should support as they make their case for next years midterms.

Theres still time for Republicans to make some gains.

Adopting a budget

Republicans frequently blasted Democrats when they controlled Congress for going years without adopting a budget.

Then they were unable to adopt a budget last year due to internal divisions about cutting spending, though the inaction didnt hurt the GOP legislative agenda.

This time, failing to adopt a budget would imperil GOP hopes for passing tax reform through special budget rules that would prevent a Democratic filibuster.

Without a budget, in other words, the GOP may have to forget about a broad tax overhaul, a longtime dream of Ryans.

Figuring out a budget for next year will also have consequences for keeping the government funded after September.

Some Republicans want a bipartisan budget deal similar to those hammered out over the past four years, that would establish top-line spending levels for appropriations bills and raise the debt limit at the same time.

We need that kind of agreement to provide budgetary stability, said Rep. Charlie Dent (R-Pa.), a senior member of the House Appropriations Committee.

Raising the debt limit

Top Trump administration officials told Congress this week that lawmakers may have to approve a debt ceiling increase sooner than expected.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin urged lawmakers to pass a clean debt ceiling hike with no strings attached before leaving for the summer break.

I think its absolutely important that this is passed before the August recess and the sooner the better, Mnuchin said before the House Ways and Means Committee.

Conservative groups want to tie spending restrictions to a debt bill. The conservative House Freedom Caucus announced this week that they would demand any debt hike be paired with spending cuts.

Striking a bipartisan deal to avoid a bruising debt limit fight would let GOP leaders demonstrate they can govern responsibly, as they did with the four-month spending package earlier this month. But a wide-ranging budget and debt limit deal would be a disappointment for conservatives hoping to get policy wins under unified GOP control of government.

My concerns with the past years is that in a bipartisan fashion weve been kicking the road and adding to the debt substantially. Thats my concern with the past years. Going forward, when you win the House and the Senate and the White House, and youre the small-government party, thats my concern, said Rep. Dave Brat (R-Va.), a Freedom Caucus member.

Avoid a government shutdown

Congress is far behind where it normally is at this stage of the year in the annual appropriations process.

The House will enter June without having approved a single appropriations bill, and appropriators concede that theres no time to pass each individual spending bill given other priorities.

We can get the bills ready to get all 12 bills out of committee. The real question is, do you have the time to do them on the floor? Probably not. So you're going to have 'minibuses' or an omnibus, Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.) told reporters.

At a minimum, Republicans need to show that at a minimum they can keep the lights on while controlling Congress and the White House.

Government funding wont run out until the end of September, but the GOP will want to start putting together a plan this summer.

In frustration over accepting this months spending compromise, President Trump called for a good shutdown in September to fix the mess in Washington. But most Republicans in Congress want to avoid such a situation, believing they and Trump would get the blame for a shutdown.

Tax reform

Republicans cant move a 2018 budget, which they need for tax reform, until they finish work on a fiscal 2017 budget needed to repeal ObamaCare.

That means a tax reform vote in either chamber is still a long way off. But Republicans are eager to get moving.

The border adjustment tax proposal pushed by Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) to tax imports and exempt exports is withering in the face of opposition from conservative groups, retailers and fellow Republicans who warn it would increase prices on consumer goods.

Yet Republicans need to find some other way to pay for their tax reform proposal if they dont want to add to the deficit.

The border adjustable piece, I wish they would whip that to find out what the sense is. And if you dont have the votes on it, then you got a trillion dollar hole that you gotta fill. And theres ways to do that linked to the budget, Brat said.

Healthcare

In the Senate, the GOPs goal is to finish work on legislation repealing and replacing ObamaCare by the August recess.

Whether they can do it is anyones guess. There are severe differences among Republican senators over how to move forward, and McConnell has been careful about setting expectations.

GOP senators distanced themselves from a Congressional Budget Office analysis this week that predicted 23 million people would lose insurance over the next decade under the House bill. It also projected higher costs for older and sicker people.

Senate GOP staff will be drafting legislation during the Memorial Day recess, with a discussion draft possibly circulating when senators return.

Theres an added reason for the Senate GOP to move quickly.

It is using the same budget reconciliation rules to avoid a Democratic filibuster on healthcare that it intends to use on tax reform.

But its unclear how long the reconciliation vehicle for the healthcare bill will last.

The reconciliation measure is for fiscal year 2017, and Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget senior advisor Ed Lorenzen noted that the Senate parliamentarian has not yet ruled if reconciliation instructions expire at the end of the fiscal year in September.

If the parliamentarian were to rule the 2017 vehicle expires in September, Republicans would have to either pass the healthcare measure quickly or try to move a bill the old-fashioned way with Democratic votes.

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Five goals for Republicans this summer - The Hill

Senate Republicans have no answer to the trickiest question on tax reform – Washington Examiner

The Senate is emerging as a possible hurdle to achieving tax reform this year, as Senate Republicans have failed to say which tax breaks they're willing to take away in order to pay for tax rate reductions, unlike House Republicans who have already offered some ideas.

If Congress doesn't eliminate big tax breaks, it won't be able to lower tax rates without blowing out the federal deficit. Republicans have set ambitious goals for tax rates, with President Trump calling to lower the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 15 percent and House Republicans setting a target of 20 percent.

In their tax reform blueprint, House Speaker Paul Ryan and House Republicans identified three major ways they would raise revenue: One would be eliminating all itemized deductions, except for those for mortgage interest and charitable giving; another would be to prevent businesses from deducting the cost of interest on loans; and last would be the border adjustment.

While border adjustment has stirred the most recent controversy, all three would be difficult to pass. While none has a strong advocate in the Senate, all three have critics.

"That's obviously one of the problems you have with any kind of tax reform, is everybody loves their tax preference," said Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis.

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch has suggested that all three of the House's major revenue-raisers, or "pay-fors," do not enjoy support in the Senate at the moment.

"I don't think in the final analysis they'll be able to do that," Hatch said of the idea of limiting the ability of businesses to deduct interest payments from taxable income, speaking after a meeting with the White House and House on tax reform this month.

Like every tax break, the deductibility of business interest payments has a dedicated coalition of businesses defending it. Real estate investors, private equity funds, telecommunication companies and other groups that have debt built into their business models will lobby to keep it in the tax code.

In theory, Republicans could be able to overcome industry resistance if they did so together. But one issue is that the White House has shied away from clearly advocating the elimination of many big breaks. "My preference is to maintain interest deductibility," Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in congressional testimony on Wednesday, hedging that it was on the table.

As for the border adjustment tax, which would raise about $1 trillion, a number of senators have expressed doubt or outright opposition, and no senator has championed it.

Nor have any senators proposed curbing itemized deductions the way House Republicans have. Those include deductions for medical expenses, state and local taxes and much more.

The Trump administration has placed itself squarely behind ending the state and local tax deduction, a major itemized deduction that is worth well over $1 trillion over a decade. Although less ambitious than the House plan to end all itemized deductions, it is an ambitious proposal.

Yet no senator has committed to it. Asked Thursday if attacking the break is feasible in the Senate, Hatch simply waved the question off.

If Republicans hope to pass meaningful tax reform, though, they will have to get Senate support for limiting some big tax breaks.

Each break makes an enormous difference in terms of the tax rates that can be achieved. In the House blueprint, for instance, the inclusion of the border adjustment tax allows them to lower the corporate tax rate to 20 percent. Without it, they would be able to lower the rate to only 30 percent without adding to the deficit, said Kyle Pomerleau, the head of the tax modeling team at the Tax Foundation. A 30 percent corporate tax rate would still be well above the average for advanced economies and even higher than former President Barack Obama's target of 28 percent.

Another example: Eliminating the state and local tax deduction would raise about $1.8 trillion over 10 years in the Tax Foundation's model, which is based on one of the models used by Congress' own tax experts. That revenue pays for nearly all of the individual tax cuts in the House Republican plan, Pomerleau said, including the reduction in the top tax rate from 39.6 percent to 33 percent, the collapse of seven brackets into three and cuts to capital gains taxes. "Without that," Pomerleau said of eliminating the state and local tax deduction, "it's really hard to get anything on the individual side."

At the same time, curtailing the ability of residents to deduct their state and local taxes would be a declaration of war on high-tax blue states and on the real estate industry, which hates the idea of families losing a break that helps them with property taxes.

The only way to get the public to go along with a tax reform that got rid of that tax break would be to simultaneously promise them that their rates will be lowered dramatically.

So far, unlike the House and White House, the Senate has not proposed a framework for reducing tax rates. That is part of the reason senators have been reluctant to run afoul of special interests by putting their tax breaks on the table, suggested Dean Zerbe, Alliantgroup national managing director and a former staffer on the Finance Committee.

"You always want to kind of have dessert at the same time you're serving the vegetables," he said.

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Senate Republicans have no answer to the trickiest question on tax reform - Washington Examiner

5 tax reform issues dividing Republicans | Business urges Trump to stick with Paris climate accord – MarketWatch

House Speaker Paul Ryan and congressional Republicans must still resolve a handful of issues before agreeing on a tax-reform plan.

Will tax reform be tied to infrastructure spending? And, how long should tax changes last?

Those are 2 of 5 tax reform issues Republicans need to resolve as they march forward with an overhaul of the tax system, writes the Hill. The others are how low the tax rates will be; what will happen to the border adjustment tax; and how the tax bill will treat business investments. House Speaker Paul Ryan and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady have said the GOP agrees on about 80% of a tax-reform plan. But working through the final 20% could take some time.

Paris-accord decision time: CNN Money writes President Trump will decide this week on whether to stick with the Paris climate accord, and the heat is on from businesses to stay in. If he bails on the agreement, which has been signed by 195 countries, he will do so over the objections of hundreds of major U.S. businesses. In recent months, big business has lobbied fiercely in favor of the deal, which aims to end the fossil fuel era. Even major oil companies like Chevron CVX, -0.92% and Exxon XOM, -0.58% back it, CNN Money writes. Heres what Trump tweeted from Sicily last weekend:

Trade, military relationship with Germany will change, Trump says: Trump was busy tweeting on Tuesday morning, including about the U.S.s trading and military relationships with Germany. He said the U.S. has a massive trade deficit with Germany and that the country pays far less than it should for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. This will change, he wrote.

Last week, National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn said Trump believes Germany is very bad on trade.

Also: Mike Dubke resigns as President Trumps communications director: WSJ.

Trump to roll back Obamas Cuba policies: Trump is preparing to announce a rollback of former President Barack Obamas policies toward Cuba, according to the Daily Caller. Obama ended the policy known as wet foot, dry foot that gave Cuban illegal immigrants a path to legal status; opened travel to the island nation; re-established diplomatic relations; and loosened restrictions on doing business with Cuba. John Kavulich of the U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council said the administration will enact increased enforcement relating to travel, and focus on discouraging transactions controlled by the Revolutionary Armed Forces (FAR) of the Republic of Cuba.

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5 tax reform issues dividing Republicans | Business urges Trump to stick with Paris climate accord - MarketWatch

Microdosing for Republicans – SFGate

Begin Slideshow 6

Just a little lick of love, every day

Just a little lick of love, every day

Jesus' favorite

Jesus' favorite

Just a few drops under the tongue every morning before session, senator

Just a few drops under the tongue every morning before session, senator

The world, after all, isn't black and white, good and bad, dumb bifurcation. It's a madly, endlessly cascading swirl and swoon, scream and sigh.

The world, after all, isn't black and white, good and bad, dumb bifurcation. It's a madly, endlessly cascading swirl and swoon, scream and sigh.

Microdosing for Republicans

I used to think it was so simple, that the most obvious, overarching problem facing fundamentalist Christian Americans, pseudo-macho politicians andpuny, big-stick dictators alike was largely one of gross sexual ineptitude, all that angry old-male megalomania and grim saber-rattling stemming merely from gloomy carnal repression and warped Puritanical anxiety, all resulting in a desperate need to compensate, to prove their value and their sad macho mettle in pretty much any way possible.

Buy some guns, get a Hummer, forsake your soul to a megachurch, start a war with Iraq, worship Fox News, whine about female empowerment, never think for yourself, turn Republican and fear and hate upon just about everything that doesnt conform? Just for starters.

To be sure, all those were certainly hallmarks of the Bush era, and it led to the concomitant trope that if only the repressed conservatives of America would free themselves from the tepid chains of fundamentalist Christian panic and, you know, get well and happily laid once in a while, theyd surely calm the hell down and the world would might survive a few more generations.

Ah, youth.

I dont quite believe that anymore, and not only because my understanding of the world has become more sophisticated, or because all those brittle conservative males have become any less oppressed, or any less ignorant of god.

Exactly the contrary. Its because the modern political world white conservative males in particular have taken a turn for the worse, the darker, the more spiritually hostile. As the world these men inhabit contacts and shrivels, as their influence decreases, their actions only turn more ruthless, their souls more dim.

Translation: There is no longer any room for quaint notions about sexual oppression and getting laid. No more jokes about furtive gay hookups in the bathroom, senator. The tepid sexual anxiety that was at the root of so much damning scandal for the GOP and fundamentalist Christianity in the 90s and 00s has given way to something far more gruesome, and far more devastating. And Trump is leading the charge.

So, what now? If vile Trumpism is no longer only about old white guys compensating for raging feelings of inadequacy, if all their hateful trolling not just pushback against their own increased cultural irrelevancy, then surely they are on the verge of true and violent collapse, threatening to take us all down with them. And so maybe what these lost boys really need, is a far more intense sort of... cracking open, before its too late.

They need to see Earth from space. They need to volunteer in a slum in India. They need to imbibe large amounts of peyote and spend a week in a sweat lodge in the desert, crying out to the ancestors. They need to drop ayahuasca with master shamans in a Brazilian jungle, and have a personal reckoning with the One True Mother. They need to witness their own bloated egos explode into a million fractal shards and reassemble into the shape of a giant, undulating butterfly with wings of blood. Hey, its a start.

Too much to ask? Of course it is. So maybe they could just dive into the latest trend of, say, microdosing. Maybe some intrepid D.C. interns could, I dont know, spike the congressional coffee with sufficient micrograms of LSD, psilocybin or MDMA, just a little bit, every single day, for the next few years. And the entire White House, too. And see what happens.

After all, microdosing is in. Its the freshest, most viral pathway to heightened awareness. It reportedly reduces depression, aids creativity, tickles the animas synapses just so; it just might be the magic elixir, the thing mystics have known for millennia and science is now beginning to understand, the idea that hallucinogens (and, increasingly, various strains of THC), even in tiny, barely perceptible doses, can soften the egos roughest edges, aid in perception and generate feelings of delight and ease. Whats not to like?

Of course it makes sense. Of course millennia of deep hallucinogenic experience across myriad cultures and millions of humans would translate directly to the notion that a small bit of same, every few days, could help a person, you know, reconnect. With spirit. With nature. With the planet. With his or her fellow man.

Could it maybe, just maybe, help the viciously maladjusted, spite-filled modern GOP relocate the one human quality thats most lacking in Trumpland today: empathy? Of course it could.

Longshot, I realize. And of course, Trump himself is way too far gone for any such transformation. Never has an American president been so sadistically, so enthusiastically lacking in basic concern for humanitys well-being. Never has an American leader been so entirely bereft of warmth, fundamental decency or moral literacy. And never have so many Republicans gleefully followed him right into the bleak abyss.

But then again, who knows? Its worked for anxious moms. Its worked for business types, yogis, teachers, mechanics, doctors, writers, students, athletes and authors, ancient masters and modern intellectuals, gurus and saints and gods.

Jesus almost certainly enjoyed a great deal of hallucinogens, if he wasn't one himself. Buddha was a walking indica cookie. The gurus who channeled the Vedas, the most ancient, most mystical spiritual literature on human record? Come on.

So then, a humble call-out to the D.C. interns, the disgruntled White House staffers, the furious FBI agents, the beleaguered reporters, the miserable wives and daughters of congressional Republicans, et al. Let us happily conspire to perhaps start dosing the most hateful and morally egregious among you with various (increasingly legal) compounds of wow, and see what transpires.

And of course, save a good amount for yourself, too. We're all in this together. That's what the mushrooms tell me, anyway.

The rest is here:
Microdosing for Republicans - SFGate