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Republican volunteers and staffers fill a phone-banking room in the GOPs Aurora field office to support candidates including U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman, shown in upper right corner making calls, on Saturday, Nov. 1, 2014. (Jon Murray, The Post)

Mike Coffman is about as confident ahead of Tuesdays election as a congressman can be when he represents one the nations most competitive U.S. House districts. For that, the three-term Republican incumbent challenged by Democrat Andrew Romanoff this year can thank volunteers such as Alex Mowery.

The 16-year-old high school junior has driven from Broomfield to the Colorado Republicans Aurora field office once a week to light a fire on the telephone keypad.

During one 10-hour shift a couple weeks ago, Mowery said, he blazed through 1,693 phone calls. Its the field offices record.

The vast majority of those calls go unanswered, but the dialers leave voice mails and keep plugging along until they get the rare live undecided voter. In the final days of the campaign, it tends to be a positive reaction, Mowery says. Most people just want to tell you if they voted or not, and few are still undecided.

The phone-banking operation was humming Saturday afternoon on the seventh floor of an Aurora office building, with the focus shifting to nudging Republicans who hadnt yet returned their ballots. Colorado GOP Chairman Ryan Call and Coffman himself were dialing calls, as Coffman has done most days during the campaign.

U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman (AP file)

I feel like the people on the Republican ticket are really good guys, Mowery said, and hes mindful of whats at stake. Government is one of the most powerful, if not the most powerful, engine to drive positive change.

Watch video about GOP outreach for Coffman.

The Colorado Republicans say they finally are matching or even surpassing the Democrats much-vaunted turnout ground game this year, but theyve declined to reveal details. On Saturday, that was the reason given when campaign officials told Denver Post reporters and a photographer they wouldnt allow the media to follow volunteers canvassing activity. They limited access to interviews with volunteers in Aurora to those stopping through the field office.

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Republican turnout machine revs up in Aurora for Mike Coffman, other candidates

Right now, Harry Reid is hoping the Des Moines Register poll is wrong.

Just hours after he told voters in Iowa Saturday that their state was crucial to Democratic hopes of holding control of the Senate -- "If we win Iowa, we're going to be just fine," the Senate Majority leader said -- the final major statewide poll showed the Republican candidate firmly in charge.

The well-regarded Des Moines Register survey found state Sen. Joni Ernst ahead of Democrat Bruce Braley, 51% to 44%, which represents her biggest lead ever in the race. In polls taken in the last several weeks, the share of the vote won by Braley, a congressman, has dropped slightly while Ernst's has risen.

Voters polled in the Hawkeye state said they felt Braley was more knowledgeable about issues but that they connected better with Ernst. That represented a repudiation of Democratic efforts to paint Ernst as so far to the right that she failed to represent Iowa values. (Pollster J. Ann Selzer noted that Braley continued to be hurt by his insult of Iowa farmers, a tape of which was released last March by a GOP-allied research group.)

The state, which is accustomed to being the center of attention in presidential campaigns, has felt the bombardment this midterm election campaign too, as the candidates and allied supporters have spent millions on the race.

Perhaps because of that, a mere 4% of state voters polled said that they had not decided on a candidate, and only 7% who cited a choice said they might change their minds.

Republicans need a net pickup of six seats to wrest control of the U.S. Senate, and Democrats early on had counted Iowa in their corner, underestimating Ernst's ability to reach for the seat held by retiring Democratic Sen. Tom Harkin.

For political news and analysis, follow me on Twitter: @cathleendecker

More here:
Republican Joni Ernst leading in final Iowa Senate preelection poll

By Eric Bradner, CNN

updated 7:24 PM EDT, Fri October 31, 2014

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

Washington (CNN) -- Republican Joni Ernst has a small lead over Democrat Bruce Braley in Iowa's Senate race, a new CNN/ORC International poll shows.

Ernst had 49% support, topping Braley's 47%, in the survey of 647 likely voters, which was conducted Oct. 27-30 and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

The two candidates have exactly the same favorability ratings: Ernst, a state senator, and Braley, a congressman, are each viewed favorably by 49% of those surveyed, and unfavorably by 47%.

Iowa is one of several states that President Barack Obama won at least once -- Colorado, North Carolina and New Hampshire are the others -- where Republicans are hoping to grab Senate seats previously held by Democrats.

Their success in those states could determine whether the GOP captures the six seats it needs to become the Senate's majority party for Obama's last two years in office.

Democrats traditionally perform better among women, and in Iowa, the survey showed Braley with a 12 percentage point advantage in that category. But Ernst outperforms him among men, where she holds a 15 percentage point lead.

"Braley has an advantage among urban and suburban voters, but Ernst appears to be winning rural voters handily -- a key strength in a state like Iowa," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

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Poll: Republican Ernst has small lead in tight Iowa Senate race

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