In past years, similar warning zones have almost always been    relegated to the far reaches of the eastern Mediterranean, to    the waters off Syria. Even legitimate Russia exercises in the    area have used the body of water between Crete and the    Syrian-Lebanon coastline. Also, Russia's only warm water port is    located in Tartus, Syria, adjacent to this naval operating    area.  
    With all this in mind, this latest warning notice is especially    peculiar.  
    Eastern Libya has remained particularly mired in chaos in    recent months, and just last week, Libyan National Army troops,    under the command of the rogue    General Khalifa Haftar, struck deeper into central    Benghazi. Haftar's forces are at odds with the UN backed    Libyan government in Tripoli, but he is a favorite of the    Kremlin. The Russian Navy even hosted the    strongman aboard their only carrier, the Admiral    Kuznetsov, as it traversed the region    earlier this year. We described Haftar as such in a recent    feature on Russia's    increasing involvement in Libya:  
      "Haftar himself has had a complicated political history. He      served as a military officer in Gaddafis army before running      afoul of the enigmatic leader and ending up in prison. In      1990, he moved to the United States after officials in      Washington helped secure his release.    
      Though Haftar styles himself head of Libyas national armed      forces, fighting terrorists on behalf of the countrys      central government, he has disputed the GNAs authority and      seems intent on becoming president. His spokespersons have      declared taking over Tripoli is key to the groups supposed      counter-terrorism mission, implying that government officials      are in league with dangerous Islamist extremists."    
    It seems very possible that Russia could be moving to actively    support the General's forces in the region, and specifically in    the coastal power center of Benghazi now that he has    established a steady foothold there. Once again, this could be    done via cruise missile attacks on opposition forces bases or    even via naval gunfire support. Russia would likely classify    such an act as an anti-terror campaign in a similar way as it    has done in Syria. Russia has deployed a number of special    operations troops to eastern Egypt, whichare likely    operating in Libya in support of Haftar. These troops could    work as a targeting cell for such strikes.  
    Just today, Putin seemed ready to    deepen Moscow's involvement in the conflict, after meeting    with Italian Prime Minister Paolo Gentiloni. Meanwhile, General    Haftar met with Egypt's Army    Chief of Staff today, a totally unprecedented event and a    signal that a Egyptian-Russian-FLA alliance could be in the    works.  
    Another possibility, albeit a less likely one, is the Russians    are demoing weaponry for Egypt, who have ordered a lot of    hardware from Moscowsince the US turned away from    Cairo under the Obama Administration.  
    If Russia does become "kinetically" involved in Libya, it would    mark a major change in policy by the Kremlin and would act as    another reminder of how Russia is willing to opportunistically    fill any geopolitical void left by the    US.  
    Although the US has periodically waded back into the Libyan    civil war, the actions have largely centered around    counter-terror operations, with targeted strikes    on particular Islamic extremist groups or individuals    operating in the country or even occupying portions of it. But    Russia may be looking to accomplish an entirely different set    of objectives. It Moscow could prop-up Hafter to where his    forces can reliably secure the eastern part of Libya, it could    offer Russia another warm water port in the Mediterranean and    doing so could result in a persistent Russian military presence    on NATO's southern flank.  
    Contact the author:Tyler@thedrive.com  
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What Do The Russians Have Planned Off Libya's Coast Next Week? - The Drive