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For the first time in his three-mandate tenure, Stephen Harper has failed to secure opposition support for sending Canada to war.

The Liberals among others claim the prime minister always meant to go it alone; that he wanted to be isolated in Parliament for electoral purposes.

The Conservatives among others argue that Harper is making the best of a less than ideal situation; that he is dealing with opposition parties no longer capable of rising above partisan calculations.

Those who argue that Harper never wanted opposition support for a combat mission point to Paul Calandras hapless responses to early NDP queries about Canadas role in the fight against the Islamic State group.

They see that as a provocation designed to undermine any chance of a parliamentary consensus and subsequently compounded by Harpers failure to keep his opposition counterparts in the loop as to his thinking on the issue.

They suggest that for the better part of the past year, the prime minister had been looking for an international wedge issue that would distinguish his foreign policy from that of the Liberals, and also resonate in the next election.

From their perspective, Harper saw a golden opportunity not only to divide the Liberals but also to bring home 2011s soft Conservative supporters who have been flirting with voting for Justin Trudeau next year.

Scratching the surface, one unearths quiet speculation that the prime ministers six-month deadline on Canadas combat role could be meant to give him a window if circumstances are favorable to call an early election, so as to seek a mandate to pursue or expand the current mission.

That thesis makes for an irresistible construct for anyone who believes the prime minister is blind to the missions political risks or, alternatively, who assumes that governments always have their ducks perfectly lined up.

As it happens, the opposite is more often true.

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Canada is poised to go to war in Iraq without the support of the federal opposition parties, whose leaders say they will not back a government motion to join U.S.-led air strikes because past interventions in the region have failed.

In a significant move, Liberal leader Justin Trudeau said on Friday that Prime Minister Stephen Harper has failed to make the case for Canada to join the U.S.-led combat mission, which includes several other Canadian allies. The party has traditionally supported Canadian military missions while in opposition, although a Liberal government opted not to participate in the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Mr. Harpers motion, which should pass easily because the government has a majority of seats in the House of Commons, calls for Canada to join air strikes against Islamic State militants and contribute military assets for six months. Mr. Harper said initial strikes would occur in Iraq but suggested they could expand to Syria if Ottawa has the clear support of that countrys government.

In the House on Friday, NDP leader Thomas Mulcair questioned the value of past interventions in the Middle East and said another war would not put an end to the current conflict. He said Canada should first focus on offering humanitarian relief to people in Iraq and Syria and on strengthening those countries political institutions, a role he suggested Canada was well-positioned to play because of its decision not to participate in the 2003 war in Iraq.

The defeat of the insurgency in Iraq is a goal that the United States has been trying, without success, to achieve since the wrong-headed invasion of 2003, Mr. Mulcair said. All of the horrors unfolding before our eyes are as a result of that failed mission.

Canada has offered financial support to surrounding countries that have taken in refugees and has provided funds to help with food aid to the region, among other measures. The government has also sent 26 troops to offer military advice to security forces in Northern Iraq and sent military equipment such as helmets and body armour.

Mr. Trudeau said the last war in Iraq was based on flawed intelligence and the world is still dealing with the consequences of that mistake. Rather than joining the U.S.-led combat mission, Mr. Trudeau said he believes Canada could make a stronger contribution through other means, such as providing airlifts and medical support.

Unlike the Prime Minister, Liberals believe that Canada can make a more helpful contribution to the international effort to combat ISIL than a few aging war planes, Mr. Trudeau said, using an earlier acronym for the Islamic State group. Canadians have a lot more to offer than that. We can be resourceful, and there are significant, substantial non-combat roles that Canada can play.

Although the Liberals made the decision to stay out of the 2003 war in Iraq, the party has backed Canadian combat missions in recent decades. Quebec, where the NDP holds most federal seats, is a key political battleground for the Liberals, and polls suggest Quebeckers are among the least likely to back the plan to join the military mission in Iraq.

The opposition parties also raised concerns that the combat mission could involve future strikes against Syria, which NDP foreign affairs critic Paul Dewar warned could aid Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

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