Archive for the ‘Liberals’ Category
What make-or-break confidence tests are the Liberals facing this sitting? – iPolitics.ca
Before we get started, a quick caveat-slash-reassurance: While theres no official word yet that the Liberals and the New Democrats havereached an agreement or, at least, come to a working consensus that will see the the government introduce that long-promisedbill to establish a framework for a national pharmacare plan in time to meet the Mar. 1 deadline, theres also noword that either side has, oris about to walk away from the table without one.
When asked about the negotiationsearlier this month, Health Minister Mark Holland told reporters that the talks were progressing concretely, although he declined to provide a play-by-play of exactly what had been settled and what was still up for debate;speaking with reporters just last week, New Democrat Leader Jagmeet Singh said his party was getting very close to a final position to present to the Liberals.
(If forced to bet on the outcome, Process Nerd would put her money on the promised Canada Pharmacare Act making its debut in the House of Commons before the clock runs out, but with the back-and-forth likely to continue until the last possible juncture, that, too, could change.)
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What make-or-break confidence tests are the Liberals facing this sitting? - iPolitics.ca
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The Supreme Court Could Permanently Break the Government. Liberals Have a Chance to Stop Them. – The New Republic
The answer to that big question will depend on Justice Brett Kavanaugh. During oral arguments, Kavanaugh channeled a 46-page Harvard Law Review article he had published in 2016, two years before President Donald Trump nominated him to the Supreme Court. The crux of the piece, which was titled Fixing Statutory Interpretation, was that existing Chevron doctrine inappropriately makes judges decisions whether to defer turn on a murky distinction that has yielded arbitrary and inconsistent, though hugely consequential, outcomes.
The threshold question judges face, Kavanaugh emphasized, is whether the meaning of statutory language in question is, on the one hand, clear, plain, or unambiguousin which case judges themselves should apply that meaning (as they understand it)or ambiguous, in which event judges should accept the agencys view. Experience has proven, he contended, that the difference between the two categories rests purely in the eye of the beholder.
Instead, Kavanaugh wrote, judges should simply seek from the outset, and later apply, their own best reading of the relevant terms. However, he stressed, this suggested approach would require judges to still defer to agencies in cases involving statutes using broad and open-ended terms like reasonable, appropriate, feasible, or practicable. In those circumstances, then-Judge Kavanaugh wrote, Courts should be careful not to unduly second-guess the agencys choice of regulation.
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The Supreme Court Could Permanently Break the Government. Liberals Have a Chance to Stop Them. - The New Republic
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Some thoughts on why the Liberals are sinking in popularity – Toronto Star
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Some thoughts on why the Liberals are sinking in popularity - Toronto Star
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Opinion: Liberals face political oblivion with Trudeau at the helm – The Globe and Mail
More than a decade ago, Justin Trudeau took a dispirited, strife-torn, third-place Liberal Party and recreated it in his own image, winning election after election after election. There are few voices of dissent within the party because the voices who matter all matter because of him.
But the latest polls show the Liberals headed for, not just defeat, but decimation in the next federal election. Even the most die-hard Trudeau loyalist must be starting to wonder whether its time for a change at the top.
The Conservatives opened up a substantial lead over the Liberals last summer and have held it ever since. That lead may even be growing. A poll released on the weekend by Abacus Data for the Toronto Star shows the Tories ahead of the Grits in the popular vote by 19 percentage points 43 per cent to 24 per cent with the NDP at 18 per cent.
Data Dive with Nik Nanos: 2023 was a historically bad year for Justin Trudeau and the federal Liberals
The Liberals are in third place in the Prairies and in British Columbia. The Tories have more than 50-per-cent support in Atlantic Canada and lead the Liberals by 14 points in Ontario. But heres the truly amazing number: Abacus has the two parties statistically tied in the historically Liberal bastion of Quebec, with the Bloc Qubcois at 34 per cent, the Conservatives at 26 and the Liberals at 25.
(The online survey of 2,398 adults was conducted Feb. 1-7, with a comparable margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points, 19 times out of 20.)
Provincial sample sizes are small, with a greater margin of error than the overall national count. Thats why a Lger poll released last week is so important. An online sampling of 1,032 Quebec voters released earlier this month showed the Bloc Qubcois at 29 per cent, the Liberals at 28 per cent and the Conservatives at 24 per cent.
Thats two polls showing the Conservatives competitive with the Liberals in Quebec. What does that mean?
It means that if an election were held tomorrow, the Liberals would lose most of their 24 seats in Atlantic Canada and at least some of their 34 seats in Quebec.
The Conservatives would eat heavily into Liberal strongholds in suburban Ontario and B.C., while the NDP could steal seats from them in the downtowns. The Prairies would remain a Liberal desert.
There are Liberals who believe Mr. Trudeau is the best leader to save the furniture, as the saying goes that even in the event of a defeat in the next election, the Prime Minister would preserve the Liberal base for a successor to build upon. Those who think that need to reconsider.
The Liberals under Mr. Trudeau face a historic drubbing, one that could rival the calamities of 1958, 1984 or 2011. And polling analyst Philippe Fournier at 338Canada.com believes the assertion that there is still time to turn things around increasingly looks like naive wishful thinking.
The Conservatives already have their winning coalition of voters, he posted Sunday. Barring anything egregious, that vote is now locked in.
So is it time for Mr. Trudeau to step down? Voters appear to think so.
Data Dive with Nik Nanos: The national mood is dour good news for the Conservatives
In his poll for The Globe and Mail, released Monday, Nik Nanos has 46 per cent of Canadians saying Mr. Trudeau has done a poor job as Liberal Leader, compared with 25 per cent who rate his performance as excellent. When asked how the Liberals could best increase their chances of winning the next election, 39 per cent said the answer is to replace Mr. Trudeau. Only 3 per cent thought the partys best option is for him to stay.
(The hybrid phone and online survey of 1,114 adults was conducted between Jan. 29-31, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.)
One of the most important jobs of a political leader is to leave their party in decent shape for their successor. Stephen Harper not only reunited the conservative movement and provided almost 10 years of government, he left the Conservative Party with solid finances and 99 seats in the House after his 2015 election loss.
Mr. Trudeau has a duty to bequeath a healthy Liberal Party to the next leader. He must ask himself honestly whether remaining at the helm of the party best ensures that outcome. Most voters appear to have reached their own conclusions.
Editors note: A previous version of this article incorrectly referred to the Bloc Qubcois as the Parti Qubcois. This version has been updated.
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Opinion: Liberals face political oblivion with Trudeau at the helm - The Globe and Mail
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