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Last month, David Pocock became the first Independent senatorto represent the ACT.

His victory was improbable but not entirely unexpected: the former rugby union star hasan international profileand many Canberrans volunteered to help him.

In the weeks before his election, his main opponents showed signs they were nervous about his growing support.

Labor invested significantly more effort (and money) than it usually does to rally support for its senator, Katy Gallagher.

Advance Australia, a Liberal-aligned lobby group, spent even more it told Canberrans repeatedly that Senator Pocock was an extremist who was disguising his Greens sympathies.

Look back at how the 2022 Australian federal election unfolded

Ultimately, Senator Gallagher was re-electedbut with Labor's lowest-ever vote in the ACT.

And the Liberals' Zed Seselja became Australia's first territory senator to lose their seat at an election.

The ABC has analysed every ballot cast in the ACT Senate race.There were some surprising results and not just Senator Pocock's victory.

It took three-and-a-half weeks to formally declare the ACT Senate results,but the outcome was obvious on election night.

While Senator Pocock's party had significantly fewer first-preference votes than the Liberals(21.1 per cent to 24.8 per cent), his victory was a fait accompli.

Below is a simplified view of how the votes flowed, over dozens of preference distributions, to elect two senators.

Collectively, Labor's two candidates had more votes than the quota required for election in the ACT, which isone third of all votesplus one (or about 33.3 per cent).

However, Senator Gallagher fell 313 votes short. For the first time, an ACT Labor candidate needed to rely on preferences to be elected.

Mr Seselja's vote also dropped to a record low. And, as expected, only a trickle of preferences from minor parties went to the Liberals.

Senator Pocock's first-preference haul was not unprecedented: the Greens have done better twice (Kerry Tucker in 2007 and Lin Hatfield-Dodds in 2010).

The difference this time was that otherchallengers the Greens' Tjanara Goreng Goreng and independent Kim Rubenstein also polled well.

Ultimately, Senator Pocock won easily as he was the preferred choice of minor-party voters, who were more influential this election than in any other.

Senator Pocock was always seen to be targeting Mr Seselja's seatrather than Senator Gallagher's.

So it was a surprise when ACT Labor became so spooked by Senator Pocock's campaign that it significantly ramped up efforts to secure votes.

While Labor was never close to losing, perhaps its fear was reasonable.

This chart shows that the vast majority of Senator Pocock's supporters, when pressedto choose a major party, opted for Labor or the Greens rather than the Liberals.

Only one in six preferenced Mr Seselja above Senator Gallagher and Dr Goreng Goreng.

This suggestsSenator Pocock convinced more Labor voters to switch to him than Liberal voters.

There may be other explanations for example, he might have attracted large numbers of "tactical" voters, whose loyalty is still with Labor.

Either way, Senator Pocock's supporters are generally progressive rather than conservative.

Similarly, Professor Rubenstein who, like Senator Pocock, had the support of the Climate 200 advocacy group was of almost no interest to conservative voters.

Professor Rubenstein's "Kim for Canberra" campaign attracted a not-insignificant 4.4 per cent of first preference votes.

Analysis of those ballot papers suggests only one in eightof them supported the Liberals.

The 2022 election was a clear success for left-of-centre candidates.

But while the progressive vote expanded, it also fractured.

Senator Pocock's election and the rise of minor parties more broadly poses electoral challenges for Labor and the Greens.

How? That's best explained by looking at a hypothetical election in which Senator Pocock did not stand.

This year's federal election was always going to be difficult for the Canberra Liberals.

The Morrison governmenttanked across the country (except in Tasmania), and local debate centred on Mr Seselja's unpopular opposition to territory rights.

Yet while federal Greens leader Adam Bandt called the national outcome a "greenslide", this was untrue of the ACT.

This chart maps which major parties Canberrans preferred in 2019 and 2022.

Underlying support for the ACT Greens did not budge at all, despite the "greenslide", Mr Seselja's unpopularity and a deep swing against the Coalition nationally.

In fact, Mr Seselja would likely have beaten Dr Goreng Goreng to the second Senate seat had Senator Pocock pulled out of the campaign.

How do we know? The ABC re-ran the ACT Senate election, using Canberrans' ballots as a guide but filtering out preferences for Senator Pocock's party.

Senator Gallagher coasted in, and Mr Seselja pipped Dr Goreng Goreng for the final seat (34 per cent to 30.5 per cent).

Of course, there are limits to this hypothetical exercise: Canberrans might have voted very differently in a campaign with different candidates.

But the results suggest that Mr Seselja didn't lose the election Senator Pocock won it.

If Senator Pocock fares poorly over the next three years, or decides against running for re-election, the Canberra Liberals will be very well placed to regain a senator.

The question for them now and all other Liberal branches is: what kind of Liberal do Canberra voters want?

The ACT Greens, meanwhile, face their own challenge. How do they mobilise the kind of support that Senator Pocock did?

Posted6h ago6 hours agoSun 19 Jun 2022 at 8:45pm, updated1h ago1 hours agoMon 20 Jun 2022 at 1:58am

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Which Canberrans voted for David Pocock, and what does this mean for the Liberals' future? - ABC News

Innovation, Science and Industry Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne speaks in the House of Commons, in Ottawa, on June 2.Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press

The federal Liberals introduced privacy legislation Thursday to give Canadians more control over their personal data, impose fines for non-compliant digital platforms and introduce new rules for the use of artificial intelligence.

The bill, presented by Innovation Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne, aims to fulfill his mandate to advance the federal digital charter, strengthen privacy protections for consumers and provide clear rules for fair competition in the online marketplace.

Bill C-27, or the Digital Charter Implementation Act, 2022, revives some aspects of a previous bill, introduced by the Liberals in late 2020, that did not become law.

Under the umbrella of the bill, a new Consumer Privacy Protection Act would aim to increase Canadians control over their personal information and how it is handled by digital platforms.

It would limit the information companies can collect on minors, and give Canadians the ability to request that digital platforms permanently delete their data.

Innovation Minister Franois-Philippe Champagne has introduced a privacy bill that sets out rules on the use of Canadians' personal data by digital platforms. It also creates new safeguards around the development of artificial intelligence.

The Canadian Press

It would also give the Privacy Commissioner of Canada order-making powers to encourage compliance via a new tribunal.

Those powers would include the ability to fine non-compliant companies up to five per cent of their global revenue or $25-million, whichever amount is greater, for certain serious offences.

A proposed Artificial Intelligence and Data Act would create new rules around the creation and deployment of new AI technologies.

It would create an AI and Data Commissioner with the power to order third-party audits of companies activities.

It would also outline criminal offences and penalties related to the use of illegally-obtained AI data, the reckless deployment of AI and its use with any intent to cause substantial economic loss.

The Canadian Chamber of Commerce said in a statement Thursday that the changes are a welcome but long overdue development.

The law has not kept up with the pace of change, nor with Canadas international competitors, the organizations senior vice-president, Mark Agnew, said.

The so-called lines between `digital and `traditional business no longer exist and Canadas laws must be equipped for this reality, or else our businesses risk falling behind their international counterparts.

With the House of Commons soon rising for a summer break, it is unlikely the bill will see much debate until the fall.

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Liberals introduce privacy bill that would set out rules on use of personal data and AI - The Globe and Mail

OTTAWA - The federal Liberals tabled a bill Friday that seeks to eliminate self-induced extreme intoxication as a legal defence for violent crimes, after the Supreme Court struck down a similar provision in May.

Bill C-28, introduced by Justice Minister David Lametti, would add new language to the Criminal Code that creates criminal liability when a person who commits a violent crime is in a state of negligent self-induced extreme intoxication.

For a person to be found liable for their actions under the drafted update of Section 33.1 in the code, prosecutors would need to establish that they were criminally negligent.

The court would need to consider whether a reasonable person in that situation could have foreseen the risk that ingesting intoxicating substances could cause extreme intoxication and lead the person to harm another person.

The specific circumstances of the case would factor into the analysis, such as the substance itself and the quantity that was consumed, the persons state of mind at the time and anything they may have done to mitigate such a risk.

Extreme intoxication is defined in the bill as intoxication that renders a person unaware of, or incapable of consciously controlling, their behaviour.

It is not a presumed defence, meaning that the test would only apply if a defendant specifically raises it.

This has only ever happened a handful of times, Lametti said.

It would not apply to the vast majority of cases where drugs or alcohol are involved and almost never in situations where only alcohol was consumed.

This is not about being really drunk or really high, he said, repeating several times: Being drunk or high is not a defence for committing criminal acts like sexual assault.

Marci Ien, the Liberal minister for women and gender equality and youth, told reporters the government has been increasingly concerned about online misinformation suggesting that the recent Supreme Court decision meant that being drunk could be a defence for sexual assault.

She cited social media posts with hundreds of thousands of likes and views, including one that suggested rape is now legal if youre intoxicated.

Lametti said one of the motivations for closing the gap in the law so quickly was to address some of the rising fear and confusion around the decision.

You dont want someone to think, Oh, I can have a few drinks and do whatever the blank I want, he quipped.

In its unanimous May ruling, the Supreme Court made it clear that being drunk will never get someone off the hook for a violent crime.

Justice Nicholas Kasirer wrote in the decision that under the previous wording of Section 33.1, convicting someone for how they behave in a state of automatism, or when they are too intoxicated to stay in control of themselves, violates principles of fundamental justice.

The wording had been added by the Liberal government of Jean Chrtien in 1995, in response to a 1994 Supreme Court decision that acquitted a man of sexual assault because he was blackout drunk at the time of the offence.

But it failed the constitutional test because a person could be convicted without the prosecution having to prove that they acted voluntarily or that they ever intended to commit a crime even though a guilty action and a guilty mind must ordinarily be present for someone to be found criminally responsible.

On that basis, the court upheld two acquittals of men who committed violent acts after voluntarily consuming drugs, and ordered a new trial in a third, similar case.

Some groups expressed concern about the court ruling, with Kerri Anne Froc of the National Association of Women and the Laws steering committee urging action to rectify a gap in the criminal justice system and protect women and children, often the victims of these crimes.

The court suggested Parliament could enact new legislation to update the language of the Criminal Code in such a way that extremely intoxicated people could still be held accountable for their violent crimes.

Lamettis office reacted with what he called lightning speed, consulting with stakeholders, court interveners and members of Parliament to come up with a solution that could get broad support.

Pam Hrick, the executive director and general counsel of the Womens Legal Education and Action Fund, appeared alongside ministers at Fridays news conference and praised the governments thoughtful, nuanced and constitutional response.

Asked whether he expects the bill to be passed by unanimous motions before the House of Commons and Senate rise next week for a summer break, Lametti said he is optimistic.

There is a point of agreement here, and I hope we can move this forward.

The NDPs justice critic, Randall Garrison, said in a statement that his party will push to have the bill passed quickly.

The Conservatives say they are still reviewing the legislation.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published June 17, 2022.

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Liberals table bill responding to Supreme Court decision on 'extreme intoxication' - Toronto Star

The clock is ticking for the government to deliver on its ambitious promise to the New Democrats to deliver a dental care program for low- and middle-income uninsured kids by the end of the year, while cost estimates have nearly doubled.

The pledge is a key element of the Liberal government's deal with the NDP to stave off an election until 2025. The Liberals promised to provide coverage by the end of the year for children living in a household with an income of less than $90,000, expanding it next year to include under 18-year olds, seniors and persons living with a disability.

The plan is to fully implement the program by 2025.

Our award-winning journalists bring you the news that impacts you, Canada, and the world. Don't miss out.

The government has just over six months to launch a completely new program, but still appears to be in the consultation phase of the planning and hasn't settled on the most basic question: what form will this program take?

One option is for the program to be delivered as a federal transfer to provinces, which would either administer it alongside existing dental programs or amalgamate them together.

But the NDP have always pitched the program as a stand-alone federal dental insurance plan, administered by federal staff to fill the gaps in the patchwork of provincial and private programs across the country.

A third option to contract the program out to a private company is also on the table, according to several stakeholder groups who've been in talks with government officials but aren't able to speak publicly.

Each available path has its own pitfalls and would likely take more than six months to traverse, and it's not clear what concessions the NDP are willing to accept to get a federal dental-care program in place.

"We are driving dental care forward and are intent on delivering the stated goals. We believe weve found an excellent national model that meets expectations," said NDP health critic Don Davies in a statement Thursday.

The government's 2022 budget suggested the plan would cost $5.3 billion over the next five years, starting with a modest investment of $300 million this year to kick-start the kids program.

But in a legislative costing note, the PBO says the total cost of the program, if delivered as a transfer to provinces, could be closer to $9 billion, and the government would have to spend $939 million this year to get it going.

The PBO's report underscores just how complicated the government's task is in setting up a new dedicated program, the Canadian Dental Program said in a statement.

While we fully support efforts by all levels of government to improve Canadians oral health, were concerned that the timeline previously announced may be exceedingly ambitious given the complexity of this issue," said Dr. Lynn Tomkins, the association's president.

The government has so far held several one-on-one and roundtable meetings with a large slate of stakeholders, including those with an interest in health care, oral health and insurance.

A task force has been stood up to navigate the various options. The executive director of that task force, Lindy Van Amburg, was not available for an interview.

Instead, Health Canada issued a statement to say that coverage will be provided for children this fiscal year, suggesting the government may be offering itself slightly more breathing room by giving itself until the end of March to fulfil its deal with the NDP.

"The government of Canada is committed to respecting the timelines that have been set out for this program, and will provide more information as the design of the program moves forward," the statement read.

Still, the timeline is ambitious. If, as the PBO interpreted, the government decides to download its dental care ambitions onto the provinces, it will need to get buy-in from 13 provinces and territories with a myriad of existing programs and their own unique industry landscape.

The dental association prefers this option because it would support existing programs that need funding, be less disruptive to the insurance sector and pose a lower risk of people going without coverage during the transition.

The Liberals went through a similar process to realize its cost-cutting goals for child care last year, but it took nearly a year to get all provinces and territories to agree.

The politics of signing new provincial and territorial dental care deals may also be complicated by the fact that several provinces, including Quebec and British Columbia, have emphatically requested more money from the federal health transfer with less political meddling from Ottawa.

Contracting out a federal program comes with its own headaches. Some stakeholders have told the government it could offer best value for money, but transparency and accountability could be lost in the event a private company takes over the coverage.

Awarding a multi-billion-dollar procurement process would normally take upwards of a year. Companies need time to prepare a bid, government officials need to carefully go through each one, and that's all before the winning company is able to start working on the program.

It's anyone's guess how long it would take to launch a federal bureau with dedicated government staff.

The government will need to pick an option before it can even begin delving into the arguably much more challenging and detailed work of deciding which services will be covered, how much reimbursement the plan will offer and how it will impact the industry at large.

It's also difficult to know precisely how much the program will cost. If, as some groups fear, provincial and employee insurance plans drop coverage and refer patients to the federal program, the Liberals' promise to the NDP could become much more costly, very quickly.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published June 16, 2022.

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Liberals still dithering over dental care delivery to satisfy promise to NDP - Canada's National Observer

When the retired four-star general John R. Allen resigned as president of the Brookings Institution this week, he was already subject to a federal criminal probe regarding his alleged lobbying activities for the government of Qatar, a nation with which Brookings has a long and complicated history. U.S. prosecutors cited messages Gen. Allen had sent apparently seeking payments for work to help Qatar win Washingtons backing in a feud with its regional rivals, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, and then lying about it when questioned by the feds, which his lawyer denied on his behalf. Allens alleged crimes occurred before his presidency of Brookings began, but owing to its enormously well-funded presence at the time in Doha, he apparently felt this job was the perfect setting for him to continue to milk the Qatar monarchy and manipulate U.S. foreign policy in its direction.

The Times coverage referred to Brookings as a pillar of Washingtons liberal establishment and the prestigious, left-leaning institution. And its true: Brookings boasts some of the great liberal minds of this or any generationwell, at least one of them. But liberal or even left-leaning are labels that apply only in the alternate universe of punditocracy discourse, in which Trumpism is considered a slightly extreme but otherwise legitimate expression of one side of allegedly objective both sides reporting. The mislabeling of what is essentially a conservative (small c) establishment organization that, in recent years, has become enormously dependent on the kind of corporate donations that do not allow for much in the way of boat-rocking has two likely sources. One is the fact that Brookings fellows have been dining out for nearly half a century on the fact that G. Gordon Liddy wanted to blow it up on behalf of Richard Nixon. The second is a campaign, under way at least as long, to define anyone who does not embrace the increasingly flat-earth, now neo-fascist precepts of the dangerous lunatics who have seized control of the Republican Party as liberal. Brookings is left-leaning in the same way the State Department, the FBI, and the entire deep state are now considered to be liberal conspirators and the Democratic Party to be Communist pedophiles.

But for the still-sensible among us, take a look at who has been running Brookings for the past half-century. Its president from 1977 to 1995, Bruce MacLaury, spent most of his career in the Federal Reserve, with a stint in the Nixon Treasury Department. He was replaced by Michael Armacost, who was an undersecretary of state for the Reagan administration and ambassador to Japan under the first George Bush. At the same time, Richard Haass, who now runs the Council on Foreign Relations (and therefore employs genocide enabler Elliott Abrams), ran its foreign-policy department, and had been a senior director also in Papa Bushs National Security Council. Armacost was replaced by the famed Time magazine foreign-policy writer (and published New Yorker poet) Strobe Talbott, who also served as deputy secretary of state in the Clinton administration. But I dont think anyone would have considered Talbott left-leaning in the sense of, say, Times onetime liberal columnists Barbara Ehrenreich or Peter Beinart, or, when it comes to genuinely liberal foreign-policy mavens, Paul Warnke or Morton Halperin. And Talbott was followed by Allen, whod spent 40 years in the not-so-left-leaning Marine Corps. (Media Matters, back in 1997, made a lengthy case against applying the liberal label to the institute.)

Read more Altercation

This is one problem with the Times (and others) outdated and inaccurate labeling. The other is a willingness, at least in this case, to focus more intensely on the transformation of the think tank culture itself. I have been an intern at two think tanks and worked as a senior fellow of three more. At each of the latter, I managed to isolate myself from any fundraising responsibilities, but such freedoms have grown increasingly rare and anachronistic, even in the genuinely left-liberal think tank world. Today, most centrist and even some liberal think tanks function as alternative avenues for lobbying by nations that would prefer not to be seen to be lobbying. Daniel Drezner, who wrote a book on a related topic which I discussed here in 2017, notes that think tanks are less heavily regulated than more traditional forms of political spending, such as campaign contributions and lobbying members of Congress, and adds, the percentage of cash donations from foreign governments to Brookings nearly doubled between 2005 and 2014. The think tank hosted a Middle East research center in Doha for 14 years, and stopped receiving funding from Qatar in 2019 after reportedly receiving more than $14 million from the country. (I read this on Vox.)

This 2016 piece from the Times takes a look at the overall issue of corporate funding of think tanks, and just what those firms are buying with that money. This one from the Post two years earlier focuses specifically on Brookings, which is considered the gold standard of Washington think tanks, but seeks to maintain that standard by collecting and distributing lots of gold, almost always in a manner that is consistent with the values and interests of both its investors and its customers. In that way, it is not so different from any other business, which the people who work therewho, in many if not most cases, have become responsible for raising the money for their own studiescertainly understand. But for the purposes of public consumptionand in many cases, self-respectthey must pretend as if they are not.

For more on the issue of foreign funding of think tanks and who gets what, take a look at this study. And if you wonder why the right wing is so much better at ensuring that their ideas are adopted by the political process than liberals are, even though they are, by and large, terrible, you really should read this interesting report.

Altercation readers might remember that I wrote earlier this year of a documentary shown about the life of the great Israeli novelist A.B. Yehoshua at Lincoln Center. Sadly, he passed away from cancer this week.

Yehoshua was born to a Sephardi family that had lived in Jerusalem for five generations, and this Times obituary does a nice job of walking one through his oeuvre. All of his novels are serious, even demanding, but rewarding undertakings. Yehoshua was almost as famous, however, for his politics. Along with fellow famous Israeli writers Amos Oz, Yehuda Amichai, and Aharon Appelfeld, he formed a mini-peace movement that provided nervous liberal American Jews de facto a way to oppose the machinations of Israels government when it mistreated the Palestinians or ignored chances for peace without being called self-hating Jews or worse. I visited Yehoshua at his home in Haifa for a piece I wrote in 2008, entitled Israel Turns 60, and wrote this:

The great Israeli novelist and Peace Now activist A.B. Yehoshua recently caused a stir when he wrote an op-ed for La Stampa in Turin, Italyreprinted in Israel but not in the United Statescalling on America to recall its ambassador to Israel as long as the practice of expanding the illegal settlements continues When I visited Yehoshua in his Haifa home, he explained that many longtime friends criticized this positioneven Amos Oz disagreedbut Yehoshua replied, If America loves us so much, they could help us to keep our promises Its like a father with a son and the son is taking drugs. I love him and I want to help him. But to help him, we have to break until he stops with the drugs.

Late in life, Yehoshua took a couple of stances that stirred things up. One was when he declared diaspora life to be basically ridiculousterming American Jews to be only partial Jewsand insisted that all serious Jews should move to Israel. This was deemed to be such a big deal that the American Jewish Committee published a little book about it. And in 2020, he announced he felt forced to give up on the two-state solution and try to create a single state encompassing Arabs and Jews as equal citizens. If you watch the movie noted above, you will see him attempting to promote this idea to West Bank Palestinians, who appear to like and respect the man, but do not have muchany, reallyfaith in his proposal ever becoming a reality. Anyway, take a look at his books, see which of them appeals most to you, and try it.

The world of Jewish Twitter is understandably angry over an apparently anti-trans article that appeared on the right-wing Jewish website Tablet, which is supported by the right-wing, pro-Trump Tikvah Fund. This gives me the opportunity to remind people that Tablet published what I think is a clear winner in the Worst Holocaust Article Ever Published by a Jewish Publication category in a walk. You wont find the article itself anywhere, but here is Jeffrey Goldbergs appropriately outraged discussion of it. Why nobody was ever fired over its publication I will never understand.

I have been fighting the long tail of COVID for, like, three weeks, and yesterday, tragically, its intensity claimed my ticket to see Paul McCartney in New Jersey, as I was not up to the trip. Please, whatever forces control the important doings of the universe, dont let me wake up and read that this unconscionably abbreviated performance was somehow picked up and repeated. (And really, Paul, Seventeen? Seventy would be more age-appropriate when singing it live.) Sometimes, guys, rather than trying to do this, its better to do this.

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Altercation: Is Brookings a 'Liberal' Think Tank or a Big-Money Lobbyist - The American Prospect