Archive for the ‘Iran’ Category

IS Threatens Iran in Persian Language Video – Voice of America

Islamic State has issued a video threatening Iran and promising to conquer the country soon.

The 36-minute, Persian-language video is aimed at Iran's Sunni Muslim minority and accuses Tehran of persecuting them. But analysts said the intention behind the video released late Monday may be a desperate effort to show that IS, at its weakest since its declaration of a caliphate in June 2014, is still a potent force.

"IS was not successful in recruiting Iranian Sunnis when it was at its peak, and such an outreach now seems to be the struggles of a sinking body," said Alex Vatanka, a senior analyst at the Washington-based Middle East Institute.

Iraqi army soldiers and volunteers, such as Iranian-backed Shiite militias and Sunni tribes, prepare to launch mortar shells and rockets against Islamic State militant positions outside Tikrit, March 4, 2015.

Iran is deeply involved in efforts by Iraq and Syria to rout Islamic State from their territory, providing Shi'ite militias with funding and equipment. Since 2012, Iran has acted as a major ally of the Syrian regime in Damascus, backing Syrian troops in their war with rebel groups across the country. At times, Iranian forces have been in battles with IS fighters in Syria, according to reports.

The video, narrated and hosted by several Persian speakers with heavy Baloch accents, alleges more than 18,000 Iranian Sunnis have been executed since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. One of the speakers urges Sunnis to join the group "to defend their dignity and regain back the pride taken away by Iranian Shia authorities."

However, several opinion polls have shown little Sunni interest in joining IS.

The Baloch people live mainly in the Balochistan region of the southeastern-most edge of the Iranian plateau in Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan. They have long accused Tehran of discriminating against them for their Sunni faith.

Tehran has acknowledged it executed at least 977 people in 2015, mainly for drug-related crimes. Human-rights organizations have talked of mass executions of Sunnis and urged Iran to lift restrictions on Sunnis, who make up about nine percent of the population.

"It is hardly surprising that the Islamic State is trying to mobilize Iran's Sunni minority," said Ali Alfoneh a non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council. "Iran's Sunnis are subjected to varying degrees of discrimination, but they also suffer from the simple fact that they live in Iran's underdeveloped and impoverished periphery regions where everyone, Shia and Sunni, suffers.

"What I find surprising is that the Islamic State did not engage in a systematic propaganda effort earlier. It is equally surprising that Iran's Sunni minority, despite its sufferings, is not answering the call of the Islamic State," he said.

FILE - An Iraqi boy living in Iran holds a toy gun and flashes a victory sign in front of a poster of the Iranian Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in demonstration against Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, Tehran, June 20, 2014.

The video, which threatens to attack Iranian infrastructure, was released by Islamic States Diyala Province arm. Diyala province stretches from Baghdad to Iraq's border with Iran, but has never been the group's favorite hub due to its Shia majority. IS considers Shias to be apostates.

Several times in recent months, Iranian officials have spoken about breaking up IS-related terror cells and arresting IS-affiliated militants planning attacks inside Iran.

The claims lack many details, including when the alleged incidents took place, the identity of most suspects and concrete links to IS. And at times, the information has conflicted with other accounts.

"IS cells have been severely devastated by our security agents and operational units. We have identified them and targeted them miles beyond our borders," Amir Ahmadreza Pourdastan, commander of the Iranian Army, told a news conference last year.

But the growing emphasis by Iranian officials on the militant group's possible threat has caught the attention of Western analysts who monitor developments in Iran and offer varying views on the extent of the threat and Iran's aim by speaking publicly about them.

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IS Threatens Iran in Persian Language Video - Voice of America

Top US Commander: Iran Poses Greatest Global Threat, Demands Tougher Action – Washington Free Beacon

U.S. Central Command Commander Army Gen. Joseph Votel / Getty Images

BY: Adam Kredo March 29, 2017 12:32 pm

Iran poses the "most significant threat" in the Middle East, where its nefarious activities and support for terror organizations have grown since the announcement of the landmark nuclear agreement, according to the top U.S. military commander in the region.

The United States has "not seen any improvement in Iran's behavior" since the nuclear agreement was inked, according to U.S. Central Command leader Gen. Joseph Votel, who warned Congress on Wednesday that the Islamic Republic is boosting its support for militias in Syria and Iraq while building large numbers of ballistic missiles.

Votel, testifying before the House Armed Services Committee, opened his remarks by stating "Iran poses the greatest long-term threat to stability in this part of the world."

Growing U.S. concerns about Iran's nefarious behavior since the nuclear agreement have promptedcalls from leaders such as Votel to adopt a strongermilitary posture against the Islamic Republic. President Donald Trump's White House has an opportunity to get tough with Iran as it continues to harass U.S. military assets in the region, according to Votel.

"Through both messaging and actions, we must also be clear in our communications and ensure the credibility of U.S. intentions," Votel stated in his written testimony. "Iran must believe there will be prohibitive consequences if it chooses to continue its malign activities designed to foment instability in the region."

The United States consistently is faced with "a range of malign activities perpetrated by Iran and its proxies in the region," according to Votel, who pointed to interference by Iran in Iraq, Syria, and other areas.

In addition to Iran's "nuclear weapons potential," the country poses several "credible threats," according to Votel. These include its "robust" ballistic missile program, cyber threats, and the continued harassment of U.S. forces stationed in the region.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC, also poses a significant risk due to its clandestine efforts to foster terrorism against U.S. allies, according to Votel.

"We must make sure that we are postured for purpose in this region," Votel said. "We must have a credible, ready, and present force."

There is mounting concern that Iran may begin targeting U.S. forces in Iraq, where it has long supportedgovernment-tied militia groups fighting against ISIS forces.

While Iranian-backed militias in Iraq have mainly worked to fight ISIS, they could turn their attention to the United States at any time, according to Votel.

"We remain concerned about Iran's efforts to prop up the Syrian regime against the opposition and its desire to exploit Shia population centers to increase their malign influence, not just in Syria, but also in Arab states across the region," Votel stated in his testimony.

"We are watching closely for indications and warnings of decreasing Iranian concern regarding the threat posed by ISIS, leading to a potential shift to targeting U.S. and coalition personnel and infrastructure in an effort to influence a potential long-term U.S. security presence," he said.

Iran also is seeking to foment unrest in Yemen, Lebanon, and the Gaza Strip. Its growing relationship with Russia poses regional concerns, Votel said.

"Iran fosters instability by funding and promoting a threat network that employs provocation, violence, and covert arms transfers that serve as the stimulants for a range of conflicts across the region," according to Votel. "It complements this subversive arm with conventional military provocation and overt threats to close key maritime sea lanes, especially at critical international economic chokepoints, namely the Strait of Hormuz and the BAM Strait, which puts global political stability and economic prosperity at risk."

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Top US Commander: Iran Poses Greatest Global Threat, Demands Tougher Action - Washington Free Beacon

Mitch McConnell criticizes Iran nuke deal as "windfall" for Tehran – CBS News

WASHINGTON-- Aiming to prove their commitment to Israel, senior U.S. lawmakers are backing bipartisan legislation that would slap Iran with new sanctions while maintaining rigorous enforcement of the landmark nuclear deal.

The measures, unveiled ahead of the opening of the annual American Israel Public Affairs Committee conference, seek to build consensus among Republicans and Democrats who are so often bitterly at odds on domestic issues.

The United States will stand with Israel, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said at the conference Tuesday. But the Kentucky Republican criticized the nuclear agreement as a windfall for Tehran that prevented the U.S. from taking more aggressive steps against Iran.

But today we can take a different approach, McConnell said. Today, we can combat Irans capability to fund, arm, and train terrorists like Hezbollah, Hamas, and its proxies in Syria.

In exchange for Tehran rolling back its nuclear program, the U.S. and other world powers agreed to suspend wide-ranging oil, trade and financial sanctions that had choked the Iranian economy.

The House bill, which is co-sponsored by House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Minority Whip Steny Hoyer, targets Irans illicit ballistic missile development program. The measure would shut out of the international financial system Iranian and foreign companies involved in the missile program - along with the banks that back them.

The Senate legislation imposes mandatory sanctions on people involved in Irans ballistic missile program and anyone who does business with them. The measure also would apply terrorism sanctions to the countrys Revolutionary Guards and enforce an arms embargo.

The measure is supported by Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee, the Republican chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, and Sen. Ben Cardin of Maryland, the panels top Democrat.

To combat these threats, we must harness every instrument of American power, House Speaker Paul Ryan said at the conference Monday. We must work with our allies - and Israel in particular - to counter this aggression at every turn.

In the opening days of the conference, Israeli leaders hoping Trump would be a rubber stamp for the Jewish state heard plenty of reassuring rhetoric. Missing from the agenda so far, however, were concrete steps advancing the Israeli governments top priorities.

The Iran nuclear deal, so despised by Israel and congressional Republicans, is solidly in place. The U.S. Embassy is no closer to moving to Jerusalem from Tel Aviv, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus government wants. And as it has under past presidents, Washington is still telling Israel to slow settlement construction.

It is making for an unusual AIPAC conference, one relieved of the strains that marked the last years of President Barack Obamas tenure, but also filled with significant uncertainty.

Netanyahu on Monday called the U.S.-Israeli relationship stronger than ever.

His ambassador to the U.S., Ron Dermer, said a day earlier that for the first time in years or even decades, there is no daylight between our two governments.

Vice President Mike Pence said he and Trump stand without apology for Israel and we always will.

But its too early to tell whether Trump will ultimately fulfill Israels wishes. And there are indications hes reconsidering several stances adopted during the campaign.

As a candidate, Trump repeatedly vowed to be the president to finally relocate the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, which Israel considers its capital. As Pence said Sunday, that unequivocal promise has morphed into Trump now giving serious consideration to moving the American embassy.

While candidate Trump said hed renegotiate or dismantle the Iran nuclear deal, which Israel fiercely opposes, President Trumps administration is continuing to implement the accord while examining whether it should stand.

On Irans missile program, however, Trump has expanded U.S. sanctions. The administration last month responded to a missile test by hitting 25 people and entities with sanctions. But backers of the new legislation want the president to go further.

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Mitch McConnell criticizes Iran nuke deal as "windfall" for Tehran - CBS News

Lawrence Solomon: With an Arab NATO and a contained Iran, Trump is changing the Middle East – National Post

Donald Trumps Middle East policy is emerging. Apart from supporting Israel, he wants to eradicate ISIL and other Islamic jihadists, he wants to deter Iran and its dream of hegemony over the entire Middle East, and he wants the Arab countries to bear the burden of their own defence.

His answer: an Arab NATO, funded by its Arab members and aided by the military and intelligence assets of Israel and the United States.

The idea of a military alliance among the Arab nations first came from Egypts President Abdel al-Sisi two years ago in February, 2015, when he went on national television to warn about radical jihadis across the Middle East. The Arab League at its summit the following month endorsed the concept, and military heads from 11 Arab countries (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Morocco, Tunisia, Algeria, Sudan, Libya and Jordan) then met to work out the details.

But al-Sisis plans soon went into a deep freeze, despite a push by Lt. Gen. Mike Flynn, former head of the Defense Intelligence Agency, who argued in June 2015 testimony to two Congressional subcommittees that the U.S. should fully support, help organize, and assist those regional partners create an Arab NATO-like structure and framework. Build an Arab Army that is able to secure their regional responsibilities. Flynn was especially focused on deterring a Russia-backed Iran, which poses a nuclear threat to the United States as well as to the countries of the Middle East not just Israel, about which Iran is most vocal, but also the Sunni Arab states and Sunni Turkey, a NATO ally of the U.S.

Upon becoming president, Trump immediately revived the al-Sisi-Flynn plan. Rather than accepting Americas outsized military burden in the Middle East, he pressed the Arab NATO plan with Arab diplomats in Washington through Flynn, who had become his national security advisor, and Defense Secretary Jim Mattis. Trump personally took the issue up with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who was immediately receptive.

I believe that the great opportunity for peace comes from a regional approach from involving our newfound Arab partners, Netanyahu stated at a joint press conference with Trump when in Washington in February. Elaborated Trump: It is something that is very different, hasnt been discussed before. And its actually a much bigger deal much more important deal in a sense. It would take in many, many countries and would cover a very large territory.

The much bigger deal involves something for all the Sunni Arab states in the region. Saudi Arabia needs help fighting the Iranian-backed Houtis in Yemen, Egypt needs help countering threats from Libya, all are at risk from ISIL. As a down payment on the deal, the Trump administration launched a commando raid into Yemen. To seal the deal, Trump must overcome Arab fears of being accused of entering an alliance with Israel. Arab leaders have asked Trump to hold off moving his embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, and to prevent Israel from building new settlements, requests with which Trump is complying.

In short order, Trump has begun to realign the Arab armies, at the same time indicating he has their back against a nuclear-powered Iran bent on hegemony over the Middle East. Judging by the reaction of Iran, Trumps approach is working.

After Irans long-range missile launch on Jan.29, shortly after Trumps inauguration, it was menacingly put on notice by the Trump administration, and to immediate effect. Iran soon cancelled a follow-up launch of a long-range missile that had been planned, and even cancelled a non-military launch of a satellite, for fear of rousing Trumps ire. According to Irans Tasnin News Agency, a frustrated Amir Ali Hajizadeh, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Aerospace Force, bitterly complained that Iran had been deterred because of Americas angry tone How much longer will we be blackmailed and forced to compromise? If we do not change our strategy, and continue to operate according to orders from officials who are stuck in the mud, our situation will deteriorate daily.

The deterrence went further. Iran has stopped provoking U.S. navy vessels on the water, all but stopped its public threats to sink them, all but stopped burning the American flag, all but stopped its Death to America calls. Irans reticence to provoke the U.S. has continued despite criticism. As put in one Iranian article earlier this month, when Trump was elected, (government officials) said that Trump was unpredictable and makes unconsidered decisions and that is why it is better for us to refrain from saying anything to offend him Adding to Irans angst is a fear that Russia has abandoned it, after being wooed into an alliance with the U.S. that will see Iran squeezed out of Syria.

Iran is now on its back foot, concluded an analysis by the Middle East Media Research Institute, saying These developments have given rise in Tehran to a sense that it is besieged and under an emerging existential threat, in light of the crystallization of a comprehensive U.S.-Russia-Arab (including Israel) front against the Iranian revolutionary regime.

Trump, in contrast, is leaning forward, his assertive Middle East diplomacy, two months into his presidency, showing astonishingly promising results.

National Post

Lawrence Solomon is a policy analyst with Toronto-based Probe International. LawrenceSolomon@nextcity.com

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Lawrence Solomon: With an Arab NATO and a contained Iran, Trump is changing the Middle East - National Post

How long can Boeing’s Iran deal survive? – CNNMoney

Relations between Iran and the U.S. are going from bad to worse. Tehran slapped sanctions on 15 U.S. companies Sunday in retaliation for American sanctions announced last month.

"Imposition of new sanctions by the U.S. is based on fabricated and illegitimate pretexts and amount to an action against international regulations," Iran's foreign ministry said in a statement.

Boeing (BA) signed an $8 billion deal to sell 80 jets to Iran Air after many sanctions were lifted as part of an international deal on the country's nuclear program.

The planemaker is not on the list of Tehran's targets, which includes Raytheon (RTN), Oshkosh (OSK) and Bushmaster. None of them currently does any business with Iran.

"The sanctions from the Iranian side don't really have any practical importance to them," said Robin Mills, CEO of Qamar Energy and an expert on Middle East energy and investment. "These U.S. defense companies obviously don't have any assets or activities in Iran. It's just trying to score political points."

Related: Chinese firm fined $1.2 billion for violating U.S. sanctions on Iran

But the rising tension puts Boeing's plans on an increasingly shaky footing.

"[The Boeing deal] is a key pressure point I think because that is of course one of the few areas where U.S. trade with Iran has been specifically allowed," said Mills.

President Trump has long been critical of the Iran nuclear deal that was signed under the Obama administration.

After assuming office, Trump said he was putting Iran "on notice" and his first move against the country was including its citizens on a travel ban.

Tehran then conducted a missile test which prompted a round of U.S. sanctions that targeted 25 individuals and companies connected to Iran's ballistic missile program and Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

The next big test for Boeing's deal is likely to come in June, when sanction waivers signed by President Obama will be due for renewal. It's the first time Trump will have to sign them.

"The next round of waivers... are absolutely crucial," said Trita Parsi, president of the National Iranian American Council. "If the Trump administration doesn't renew them, the United States will be in direct violation of the deal. If so, the deal will start collapsing and the United States will be blamed for its collapse."

Related: Trump's move on Iran could cost jobs at Boeing

To complicate matters, a bill has been introduced in Congress to investigate whether Iran Air supports the Iranian Revolutionary Guard or foreign terrorist organizations.

If Iran Air were found to have such links, it would be prevented from receiving new aircraft or U.S.-made parts. That would effectively freeze the sale of jets from Boeing to Iran.

The first Boeing planes are scheduled to arrive in 2018.

CNNMoney (Dubai) First published March 27, 2017: 1:10 PM ET

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How long can Boeing's Iran deal survive? - CNNMoney