John Podesta: Will He Join Hillary 2016? (Nov. 14, 2014) | Charlie Rose
Obama adviser and former Bill Clinton chief of staff talks to CHARLIE ROSE contributor Al Hunt about rumors he #39;ll be taking a senior role in Hillary Clinton #39;s 2016 presidential campaign.
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John Podesta: Will He Join Hillary 2016? (Nov. 14, 2014) | Charlie Rose - Video
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By: 2016 Hillary Clinton Watch
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It's been almost two weeks since their stinging defeat in midterm elections, but Democrats are still licking their wounds and trying to figure out where they went wrong. They don't have much time to extract the right lessons: The 2016 presidential campaign will begin in earnest any minute now.
So I consulted two Democratic sages, each of whom played a central role in electing the last two Democratic presidents: David Axelrod, who worked for Barack Obama in 2008, and James Carville, who worked for Bill Clinton in 1992.
Their advice aimed primarily at Hillary Rodham Clinton, who they both assume will run boiled down to two basic precepts.
First, don't take the 2016 election for granted; it's wide open, and either party could win.
Second, the overriding issue on voters' minds is the economy specifically, the stagnant lot of middle class workers. The candidate with the most convincing remedy for that problem is likely to win.
Let's take them in turn.
It may seem obvious that you should never take a presidential election for granted. But some Democrats have suggested their party has a virtual lock on the electoral college because more minority voters and young people will turn out in a presidential year.
Wrong, Axelrod said at a panel sponsored by the Wall Street Journal. Take no comfort in the demographics, he told the audience, because history suggests it's very difficult for a party to win after an eight-year run.
There have been seven presidential elections in the last 60 years when voters could extend a party's hold on the White House beyond eight years. They declined to do so six out of seven times. The sole exception was in 1988, when George H.W. Bush defeated a weak Democratic candidate to succeed Ronald Reagan.
Of course people are going to want some kind of change, said Carville. No one is going to say: I want the next four years to look like the last eight.'
Continued here:
Sage advice for Hillary Clinton
DES MOINES, Iowa If youre a die-hard Democrat in New York hoping to overcome the disappointment that was Nov. 4, youre worried.
But here in Iowa, where the first-in-the-nation caucuses are a mere 14 months away, some are breaking into a cold sweat.
Most party leaders here will assure you all conversations about the 2016 presidential nomination still begin and end with Hillary Clinton.
The former first lady and secretary of state is a sentimental favorite. Though she has not formally announced her candidacy, her well-oiled super PAC may be the most deeply rooted ever at this stage in the Hawkeye state.
I dont know of any party regulars or activists who are really pushing anyone else, says Jerry Crawford, who co-chaired Clintons 2008 campaign in Iowa and helps lead Ready for Hillary in the state.
Who will challenge Clinton? Vice President Joe Biden, 71, is playing coy about whether hes running, though insiders insist hes laying the groundwork. But would Biden run on Obamas record or try to stress their differences? And can he go an entire week without saying something ridiculous?Photo: AP
But that may be the problem. Familiarity breeds if not contempt, then frustration.
Crawford, who has led presidential campaigns in Iowa for almost three decades, acknowledges Clinton could easily stumble out of the gate if sometimes contrarian Iowans believe they are being force-fed an unlikeable candidate.
And Crawford, principal in Donegal Racing, a thoroughbred partnership, knows a lot about front-runners and dark horses.
Iowas caucus season is a personality contest, and the constant challenge of both Democrats and Republicans here every four years is to find new blood. The heavy bruising Democrats took in the midterms cinched the need for a deep bench.
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Is Iowa already sick of Hillary Clinton?