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Gov. Martin O #39;Malley of Maryland--he #39;s running for President even tho he #39;s at 4% against Hillary Clinton.

By: Leonard Levine

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Hillary Clinton`s Medical Issue
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on her health after Republican Karl Rove suggested she may have traumatic brain damage.

By: news world

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Hillary Clinton`s Medical Issue - Video

When a politician drops 10 percentage points in the polls in a year, a reasonable assumption is that it has probably not been a very good year.

Then again, reasonable has not really applied to Hillary Rodham Clintons presumed run for the presidency in 2016.

Since January, Hillary Rodham Clinton has seen the percentage of Democrats and Democratic leaning independents who would vote for her in a primary or caucus drop by 10 points, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Then again, she still has a 47-point lead over her nearest competitor, Vice President Joe Biden, who clocks in at 14 percent in a new poll. Liberal-wing darling Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D) of Massachusetts comes in third at 13 percent, up 6 percentage points since June.

What does it all amount to? So far, probably nothing more than a gradual and very expected return to earth for the former secretary of State.

At some point, Clinton was going to have to pivot from being the secretary who launched two fawning teledramas to being, well, a politician again and she was never likely to pull that off without some drag on her atmospheric approval.

This year, she began that pivot with a book tour that, while perhaps less than scintillating, at least put her back in front of the public saying presidential sorts of things. Gone was the dutiful-yet-chic Obama administration civil servant with blackberry and sunglasses. Enter the candidate-to-be.

For some in the Democratic Party, Clintons pronouncements might have removed some gloss. She is, after all, more hawkish than President Obama, and as the First Friend of Bill, she is no enemy of the American middle or Wall Street. The result has been a (very) low level liberal insurgency, looking for a potential candidate to challenge Clinton, or at least to drive her further to the left.

Hence the rise of Senator Warren.

But Clinton appears in no danger of being tea partyed by the liberal left. Among the most liberal respondents, Clinton still holds a 63-21 percent lead over Warren, the Post-ABC poll found.

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Hillary Clinton slips in presidential poll: Was 2014 a bad year for her?

Dec 21, 2014 7:01am

Hillary Clinton is off her peak but still overwhelmingly strong in support for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, while Elizabeth Warren has inched up in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Clintons backed by 61 percent of Democratic and Democratic leaning independents who are registered to vote, giving her a vast advantage over potential rivals Joe Biden, at 14 percent, and Warren, the freshman U.S. senator from Massachusetts, at 13 percent.

See PDF with full results here.

Still, Clintons support has slipped from 69 percent in June, down by 8 points, while support for Warren is up by 6 points not remotely enough to make it look competitive at this stage, but movement nonetheless. Biden has held essentially steady.

Warrens been described as the darling of liberals, and indeed her support among liberals has gained 11 points since June, while Clintons has slipped in this group by 14 points. Nonetheless, Clinton still holds a wide 59-19 percent lead over Warren among liberals, with 12 percent for Biden. (Narrow it down to very liberals, combining the last two ABC/Post polls for an adequate sample size, and its similar Clinton 63 percent, Warren 21, Biden 6.)

There are few if any substantive differences across groups in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates and very little support for three others tested, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb and Martin OMalley. That makes it a far different-looking race from the GOP contest, in which, as reported last week, allegiances are widely scattered, with no clear leader.

METHODOLOGY This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone interviews Dec. 11-14, 2014, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults, including 346 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who reported being registered to vote. Results have a 3.5-point error margin overall, and 6.0 points for registered leaned Democrats. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

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Clinton: Off Her Peak, but Still Towering

The year 2014 brought a mixed bag for Hillary Clinton's presidential hopes. Her popularity continued to decline, her book tour drew mixed reviews (along with her book), andsome in the liberal wing of the part are urging Elizabeth Warren to challenge her for the Democratic presidential nomination.

But her status as most prohibitive Democratic front-runner in history has not changed. She remains the overwhelming favorite against both Warren and Vice President Joe Biden.

Sixty-three percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they'd vote for her if their state's primary (or caucus) were held today, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Biden garners 14 percent, Warren wins 11 and three other candidates getless than 5 percent each, including Vermont Sen.Bernie Sanders, former Virginia senator Jim Webb and Maryland Gov.Martin O'Malley.

Clinton's 49-point lead is actually her worstperformance of the year in Post-ABC polls, with her support slipping 10 points over the course of four surveys this year (the first of which only listed three candidates).

That lead has led to plenty of talk about whether Clinton is inevitable. As we've noted, Clinton's lead is far larger than her advantage heading into her ultimately losing 2008 candidacy and is bigger than any non-incumbentsince at least the 1980s. Her edge also contrasts sharply with the Republican field, where the same poll found Mitt Romney and Jeb Bushleading but neither cresting 20 percent.

Clinton's lead is not likely to be this big one year from now. Once candidates (including Clinton) actually announce their candidacies and debates are held, Democrats will become more familiar with their options and some will certainly pick other candidates.

But just as the election is many months away, so does Clinton have a very long way to fall before an opponent can make any serious challenge. There remains a huge reservoir of goodwill toward Clinton in the Democratic Party, and that's what has kept her edge in far-away pre-election surveys so gigantic throughout 2014.

Scott Clement is a survey research analyst for The Washington Post. Scott specializes in public opinion about politics, election campaigns and public policy.

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The Fix: Hillary Clinton *drops* to a 49-point lead for the Democrats 2016 nomination